Abu Dhabi’s Economic Performance in the Last 10 Years Chart book (2001-2010) July, 2012 ADCED is a government advisory agency that provides a platform for government and private sectors to work together to achieve economic diversification and sustainable growth
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Abu Dhabi’s Economic Performance in the Last 10 Years Chart book (2001-2010)
July, 2012
ADCED is a government advisory agency that provides a platform for government and private sectors to work
together to achieve economic diversification and sustainable growth
2
Contents
1. GDP and Inflation
2. Population and Labor Force
3. Foreign Trade
4. Investment
5. Abu Dhabi in the Global Economy
3
Abu Dhabi’s Share in UAE’s GDP (2001-2010) - Nominal Terms The Capital represents over half of the country’s economy
Source: UAE National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ADCED
(%)
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
(AED bn)
1.600
1.400
1.200
1.000
800
600
400
200
0
2010
1.093
2009
993
2008
1.156
2007
948
2006
816
2005
663
2004
543
2003
457
2002
403
2001
379
AD growth (R)
UAE growth (R)
Abu Dhabi GDP
Other Emirates GDP
AD share in UAE total GDP
49% 48% 50% 54% 58% 60% 58% 61% 60% 57%
UAE’s GDP (2001-2010)
AD share in UAE non-oil GDP
35% 35% 36% 37% 39% 39% 38% 40% 42% 42%
GDP at Current Prices (mn, AED) 620,316 GDP Growth Rate 15.6% Oil Share in GDP 49.7% GDP Per Capita (th, AED) 315.3 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (mn, AED) 177,467 Foreign Direct Investment (mn, AED) 278,105.4 *Oil, Gas & Oil Product Exports (mn, AED) 202,437 Non-oil Exports (mn, AED) 11,610.9 Re-exports (mn, AED) 10,991.7 Imports (mn, AED) 86,574.1 Inflation Rate (%) 3.1
*2009
Abu Dhabi’s 2010 Key Economic Indicators at a Glance
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010 2005 2002
Abu Dhabi’s GDP Y-o-Y Growth (2002-2010)
Total
Oil
Non-oil
Abu Dhabi’s GDP growth rate (CAGR)
GDP 1 year (2010) 5 years
(2006-2010) 10 years
(2001-2010)
Oil 29% 1.4% 15.2%
Non-oil 5% 11.7% 13.6%
Total 16% 6% 14.3%
Real GDP Growth (%) 12.9 1.7 8.1 -2.6 3.6
12.2 -6.8 -1.7 -10.6 1.7
Nominal GDP Growth (%) 21.1 34.3 17.6 17.2 30
Non oil Oil
Inflation 8.3 10.7 14.9 0.8 3.06
*DED Estimates (1995=1)
Source: Department of Economic Development (DED) – Abu Dhabi 4
5055
4144
4144
4953
5653
(%)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
(Million)
800
600
400
200
0
2010 2005 2001
Oil GDP
Non-oil GDP
Inflation (R)
Non-oil share in GDP (R)
Abu Dhabi’s Real GDP* (In AED Millions)
Abu Dhabi’s Real GDP Share in Oil and Non-Oil (In AED million)
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD) *Abu Dhabi consumer price index (index 2007 = 100)
16.3
9.77.76.9
-8.3
(%)
60
10
0
-10
55.4
16.1%
9.8%
9.7%
7.7%
18.9%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Weight
37.9%
Contribution of Different Expenditure Groups to the Overall Annual Percentage Change in Prices in 2010 Compared to 2009 120%
100%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
Contribution
55.5%
36.8%
19.2%
-8.3%
-28.0%
24.8%
80%
60%
40%
Relative Change
Transportation
Communication
Other
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels
Food and non-alcoholic beverages
Clothing and footwear
Other includes : Fixtures and fittings, household equipment; Miscellaneous goods and services; Hotels and restaurants; Education; Recreation and culture; Health; Alcoholic beverages and tobacco
Abu Dhabi’s Inflation After a peak at 14.9 % in 2008 inflation dropped to 3.1 % in 2010
Abu Dhabi’s Inflation Rate 2001-2010
122
5
7
101111
13
17
26
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
)%(
Oth
ers
Agr
i.
Tou
rism
E&W
Go
v’t
Trad
e
Ind
ust
ry
Fin
ance
Logi
stic
s
Rea
l Est
ate
Co
nst
ruct
ion
2001
2007
2010
Abu Dhabi’s share of non-oil sectors in non-oil GDP (2001, 2007, 2010)
20 5 5 1 6 9 21 2 4 11 12
177 42 43 13 51 83 190 14 33 101 104
20
08
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ADCED 6
% of sector labor in total workforce
Sector labor (thousands)
0.31.01.1
2.3
3.74.8
5.55.6
6.4
8.6
13.0
)%(
15
10
5
0
Oth
ers
Agr
i.
Tou
rism
E&W
Go
v’t
Trad
e
Ind
ust
ry
Fin
ance
Logi
stic
s
Rea
l Est
ate
Co
nst
ruct
ion
2001
2007
2010
Abu Dhabi’s share of non-oil sectors in total GDP (2001, 2007, 2010)
Abu Dhabi’s Non-Oil Sectors Construction and real estate are the main non-oil contributors
)%(
30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5
Mining & Quarrying 28,9
Financial Services 14,4
Government Services 13,0
Manufacturing 10,8
Real Estate & Business Services 6,4
Wholesale & Retail Trade 5,3
Restaurants & Hotels 4,6
Agriculture 2,1
Construction 2,0
Transport & Communications 1,3
Electricity, Gas & Water -0,6
2010 GDP (AED bn)
14.4
Abu Dhabi’s Sectoral Growth Rates 2009/2010
39.7
80.9
6.1
33.9
6.6
30.0
23.2
308.0
620.3
CAGR 2001 – 2010
(%)
14.5
16.9
18.4
0.4
7
11.6
8.5
9.8
13.6
12.8
53.4 14.5
34.5 12.5
7 Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ADCED
Total GDP
Abu Dhabi’s Sectoral Growth Rates in 2010 The oil sector was leading the growth, followed by the financial services, gov’t services and manufacturing
Historical sectoral GDP growth rates compared to total nominal growth (1-2)
Financial Services Trade Transport & Communications
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010
14,4
2,0 8,4
29,2 17,4
2005
17,6 15,7 10,3 12,6
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010
5,3
-12,3
24,2
16,1 13,4
2005
12,5 10,2 7,4 12,9
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010
1,3
-2,0
19,9
14,9
22,8
2005
17,5
54,1
12,5
39,4
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD) 8
Restaurants & Hotels Construction & Real Estate
Agriculture
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
2010
4,6
-7,1
39,0
14,0
18,4
2005
21,8
15,3 6,3 9,9
(%)
Total GDP
Sector
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010
6,4 7,4
16,6
26,6 23,6
2005
20,1 16,2
18,9 11,7
Electricity, Gas & Water
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
(%)
2010
-0,6
3,2 11,3
21,6 19,7
2005
31,3 19,3
43,4
3,5
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
14,5 8,2
12,9
25,6 39,6
27,4
40,3
2005
(%)
2010
2,0
20,8
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD) 9
Historical sectoral GDP growth rates compared to total nominal growth (2-2)
10
Contents
1. GDP and Inflation
2. Population and Labor Force
3. Foreign Trade
4. Investment
5. Abu Dhabi in the Global Economy
(Millions)
10
8
6
4
2
0
2010
.
2005
2.0
4.1
8.3
Abu Dhabi
UAE
Abu Dhabi’s Population Compared to the UAE (Millions of Persons)
+102%
+43%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD) 11
Population in the UAE and Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi’s population reached around 2 million in 2010
60,000
80,000
20,000
2005
27,113
40,000
64,623 56,136
0
23,974
2010 2001
97,523
79,625
80,110
100,000
(Thousands)
91,736
17,898 1,712
7,414
8,351
2010 2001
2,574
5,777
9,126
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
(Thousands)
6,361
2005
2,443
8,804
Comparison Between Total Births / Deaths in Abu Dhabi and the UAE
Births Deaths
Abu Dhabi UAE
35%
65%
16%
84%
Abu Dhabi
Private Education
Government Education
Nationals Non-Nationals
68%
32%
80%
20%
UAE
1.4
Abu Dhabi UAE
Graduates from Government / Private Education in Abu Dhabi and the UAE by Nationality (2009/2010)
5
4
3
2
1
0
(Millions)
0,0
2010
1,72
1,29
0,42
1,64
1,24
0,41
1,57
1,18
0,39
1,51
1,13
0,37
1,44
1,08
0,36
2005
1,37
1,03
0,34
1,32
0,98
0,33
1,26
0,94
0,32
1,20
0,90
0,30
2001
1,15
0,86
0,29
(Growth, %)
0,6
0,4
0,2
9
8
7
6 0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
10
11
12
13
Non-Nationals
Nationals
Population growth
Abu Dhabi’s Population by Nationality (2001 – 2010)
Percentage of population in the labor force 61.2%
Females as a percentage of total labor force 12.1%
Economic dependency ratio* 63.2%
20
10
12
3232 29
98
0
20
40
60
80
100
Al Ain
Western Region
Islands
2010
61
1
2005
59
1
2001
64
4
(%)
Abu Dhabi City
Abu Dhabi’s Population by Region
% of Females % of Males
Abu Dhabi Total Population by Age Group
and Gender (Mid 2010)
Age group
0
29
10
11
23
18
7
1
0
0 to 9
10 to 19
20 to 29
30 to 39
40 to 49
50 to 59
60 to 69
70 to 79
80+
0
19
24
19
22
10
4
1
0
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD)
Abu Dhabi’s Population Foreigners represent around 80% of the total population
* Economic dependency ratio = dependent people (not of working age) / number of people of working age (economically active)
Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)
UAE and Abu Dhabi’s Distribution of Active Labor Force by Sector (2008)
3.8
0.9
0.1
(%)
15-19
24-20 11.8
34-25 38.2
44-35 30.5
45-54 14.6
55-64
65+ Abu Dhabi
3.2
0.9
0.3
(%)
11.4
41.4
30.1
12.8
UAE
UAE and Abu Dhabi’s Distribution of Active Labor by Age Groups (2008)
0.2
0.0
6.1
0.0
Foreign
Private 50.9
Semi-Government
Local Government 12.6
Federal Government 10.2
(%)
Other
Private Household 19.9
Diplomatic Agency
Abu Dhabi
0.1
0.8
4.1
0.7
7.9
(%)
12.4
63.3
10.7
UAE
(%)
25.7
27.1
12.3
10.9
11.7
12.4
Abu Dhabi 9.8
7.3
(%)
28.8
29.0
14.5
10.6
UAE
UAE and Abu Dhabi’s Distribution of Active Labor by Educational Status (2008)
Illiterate
Can Read & Write
Primary
Preparatory
Secondary
University & above
Labor Force in the UAE and Abu Dhabi by Age, Sector and Educational Status
13
Real GDP 13.3 8.2 5 25.3 16.1
Labor 4.6 4.6 4.6 5.9 4.6
15.7
0.8
Unemployment (%)
3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 4 4
(Growth, %)
Population 12.6 4.9 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
* Labor represents employed persons only
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), Ministry of Economy, ADCED
(Million)
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
($ Billion)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Labor* GDP (L)
Growth ’07/08
(%) Δ in share ’07/08 (%)
Labor sectoral shares ‘08 Share in ‘03
14.8
6.5
5.9
2.1
8
-(0.4)
13.9
9
3.6
8.4
1.7
-(0.2)
-(0.3)
-(0.6)
0
-(0.7)
0.4
0
-(0.1)
0
5 -(0.1)
3.7 -(0.1)
21
16
13
14
3
12
7
3
1
1
5
3
0 10 20 30
)%(
Financial services
Electricity , Gas & water
Mining & Quarrying
Real Estate
Restaurants & Hotels
Transport & Comm.
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Gov’t Services
Others
Trade
Construction
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force and GDP (In Billions of US$)
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force by Economic Activity (2008)
14
29
15
8
8
5
3
2
1
1
3
13
11
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force by Sector Nearly 30% of the labor force is concentrated in the construction sector
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ILO classifications, ADCED
Employed Labor by Economic Activity and Main Occupation – 2008 (In Thousands)
15
6
2
0
2
5
4
2
3
1
Finance
Electricity & water
Manufacturing
Tourism
Government
Construction & real estate
Education
Transport
Trade
Health & social
Agriculture
Oil
0
(Thousands)
3
2
55
20 40 60
Oil
Construction & real estate
Government
Trade
Manufacturing
Transport
Agriculture
0
(Thousands)
Tourism
Education
219
Health & social
116
101
83
51
43
37
Electricity & water
33
300
32
Finance
24
14
200
13
100
Specialists in Scientific Fields
0
Skilled Agriculture Workers 1
10 30
25
Service Workers 16
Technicians & Professionals 8
20
2
Craft Workers 2
Not Stated
Elementary Occupations 2
Machine Operators & Assemblers 0
Senior Officials & Managers 21
Clerks 9 9
2
25
16
8
21
2
2
0
1
0
10 20 30
% of nationals in these professions to total active labor force
% of nationals in these professions to total nationals
Admin Occupations Office Occupations Skilled Labor Unskilled Labor Total
2.7%
28.3%
6.1%
63.4%
0.5%
5.0%
0.3%
3.3%
9.7%
100%
Nationals Non-Nationals
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force by Gender The government is the main employer of nationals in administration occupations
0
2010 2005
(Thousands)
200
400
600
800
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,000
1,800
25.1%
24.7%
Abu Dhabi Population
600
500
400
200
300
100
0
2005
+13%
2008
(Thousands)
1,000
900
800
700
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force
12
0 20 40 60 80 100
(a) 88
(%)
Active Labor Unemployed
22
Males Females
(c) 78
8
Private Sector
(b) 92
Gov’t Sector
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force National labor represents around 9.7% of the total work force and the vast majority of them are males working in the government sector
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ADCED
Non-Nationals Nationals
16
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force There has been a decline in the unemployment rate of nationals since 2001. The majority of the unemployed nationals are males with low educational attainment from Abu Dhabi region and Al Ain City
(‘000)
98
96
94
92
90
88
86
0
+12%
2008
96
2005
86
Abu Dhabi National Employment (In Thousands)
(‘000)
10,400
10,300
10,200
10,100
0
-3%
2008
10,047
2007
10,145
2005
10,320
Abu Dhabi National Unemployment (In Thousands)
Western Region
5%
Al Ain 44% Abu Dhabi 51%
3.33.54.0
1.41.0
10.412.0
15.2
5.13.5
(%)
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-1.6
2008 2005 2001 1995 1985
Abu Dhabi Unemployment Rate
Based on the Vision 2030, the unemployment
target for 2015 is 7%
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), ADCED
National Unemployment
Total Unemployment
78% 22%
Males Females
17
0.20.80.4
6.82.4
25.122.7
16.213.9
11.5
0.10.41.1
43.3
12.1
32.9
6.12.3
0.61.1
%
50
40
30
20
10
0
Ph
D
Mas
ters
Hig
her
Dip
lom
a
Bac
hel
ors
Dip
lom
a
Seco
nd
ary
Pre
par
ato
ry
Pri
mar
y
Can
rea
d &
wri
te
Illit
erat
e
Abu Dhabi National Unemployment by Educational Status (2008)
Females
Males
18
Contents
1. GDP and Inflation
2. Population and Labor Force
3. Foreign Trade
4. Investment
5. Abu Dhabi in the Global Economy
Source: Department of Finance - Customs Administration, Ministry of Foreign Trade
UAE and Abu Dhabi Key Non-Oil Trade Indicators (In AED Billions)
2001
(AED Millions)
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2010 2005
(AED Millions)
0,10
0,08
0,06
0,04
0,02
0,00
AD Imports (right)
UAE Imports
(AED Millions)
1,500
1,000
500
0
2010 2005 2001
(AED Millions)
0,40
0,35
0,30
0,25
0,20
0,15
0,10
0,05
0,00
AD Exports (right)
UAE Exports
19
Non-Oil Foreign Trade of the UAE and Abu Dhabi The non-oil foreign trade is dominated by imports
(Billions)
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
UAE Imports
UAE Re - Exports
UAE Exports 86.693.9
90.3
63.3
45.7
35.233.126.9
22.521.2
11.69.56.35.84.63.22.71.91.00.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
(Billions)
AD Exports (right)
AD Imports (right)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
(Millions)
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), Department of Finance - Customs Administration, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), IMF Country Report
-100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
(Millions)
Oil
Abu Dhabi Trade Balance (In AED Millions)
Abu Dhabi Key Trade Indicators (In AED Millions)
(Oil exports)
(Non-oil exports)
Total re - exports
Total exports
Total Imports (cif)
20
Abu Dhabi’s Foreign Trade Foreign trade is dominated by oil exports and non-oil trade balance is negative
Non-oil
Abu Dhabi’s Foreign Trade Abu Dhabi’s total non-oil exports increased modestly by 11.6% while non-oil imports tripled during the past 10 years
Abu Dhabi Non-Oil Imports by Region – 2001 (In Millions AED)
Abu Dhabi Non-Oil Exports by Region – 2001 (In Millions AED)
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), Department of Finance - Customs Administration 21
4,654
MENA
Asia
North America
Central and South America
Oceania
Europe
202
332
55
Africa
2,258
Total Non-Oil Imports 21,233
4,617
Total Non-Oil Exports 919
106
MENA Asia
North America
Central and South America
Oceania
Europe
0.06
0.7
233
Africa
6
40
533
Abu Dhabi Non-Oil Imports by Region – 2010 (In Millions AED)
Abu Dhabi Non-Oil Exports by Region – 2010 (In Millions AED)
Abu Dhabi’s Top Oil & Gas Exports and Trading Partners Asia is the main oil and gas market for Abu Dhabi hydrocarbon exports followed by Western Europe for refined petroleum products
Abu Dhabi’s Main Oil & Gas Exports Partners - 2010 (% volume)
Abu Dhabi
87.4
13.5
13.5
Crude Oil
Refined petroleum products
Liquefied gas
35.6 18.4
Japan Korea
15.7 2.2 19.6
Tailand
Holland
13.5 UK
3.3 France
5.6
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), IMF
Saudi
2.9
13.6 3.2
India Taiwan
22
China
5.4
Singapore
6.1
11.0
210190
310
213195
144
9772
5357
2005
(Billion)
300
200
100
2001
0
2010
250
50
350
150
Abu Dhabi oil export value
Abu Dhabi’s Oil Exports 2001-2010 (In AED Billion )
2001
(Metric Tonne)
2005 2010
0
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000 LNG
LPG
Pentane Plus
Gas Exports
Abu Dhabi’s Gas Exports 2001-2010 (In Thousand Metric Tonnes)
Distribution of Active Labor Force by Sector - 2008 (In Thousands)
(%)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Employment
Labor Force for Selected Countries – 2008 (In Millions)
Unemployment
2.2 2.6
6.3
3.5
0.5
Abu Dhabi
Source: Statistics Center Abu Dhabi (SCAD), National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), UAE Ministry of the Economy Population Estimates, Qatar Information Exchange, Ministry of Manpower - Singapore
Singapore
4.2
Abu Dhabi’s Labor Force and Unemployment Compared to Selected Countries
660
23 17
752
6
21 106
85
200 112
Other*
312
1,412
Construction
Manufacturing
1,500
(Thousands)
Services
0 500 1,000
Males
Females
2
132 509
Other*
Services
1,000 1,500
(Thousands)
177 Construction
50 51
175
Manufacturing 2
0
151 149
378
3
500
*Other includes Agriculture, Fishing, Mining & Quarrying, Utilities and Activities Not Adequately Defined
-8
4
4339
3023
66
193
(%)
60
40
20
0
-20
2009 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
80
-40
-60
2010
Imports (Y-o-Y % Change)
66
-49
62
35
47
3536
-7-15
10
(%)
2005
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
2004 2001 2002 2003
80
-60
2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Exports (Y-o-Y % Change)
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), IMF
Abu Dhabi’s Foreign Trade Compared to Selected Countries
Abu Dhabi
China
Qatar
USA
Japan
Germany
UAE
KSA
Norway
30
Trade to GDP Ratio 2008-2010 (In %)
Note: Total trade of goods and commercial services (exports + imports, balance of payments basis) divided by gross domestic product (GDP). Calculated on the basis of data for the three latest years available.
Qatar : 83.9
Norway : 73.3
KSA : 95
Singapore : 420.1
UAE : 145.1 Abu Dhabi : 60.9
China : 55.2
Japan : 30.9 USA : 27.8
Trade Per Capita 2008-2010 (In US$)
Qatar :57,425
Norway : 62,165
KSA : 15,162
Singapore : 162,076
UAE : 61,995 Abu Dhabi : 56,174
China : 2,135
Japan : 12,418 USA : 12,958
Note: Total trade of goods and commercial services (exports + imports, balance of payments basis) divided by the population size. Calculated on the basis of data for the three latest years available.
Source: Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi (SCAD), WTO, ADCED
Abu Dhabi’s Trade Indicators Compared to Selected Countries