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    Strategic CapacityManagement

    Chapter 5

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    Strategic Capacity Management

    Capacity

    The maximum level ofoutput

    The amount of resource inputs availablerelative to output requirements at a particular

    time

    Capacity is the upper limit or ceiling on theload that an operating unit can handle. (often,

    this is characterized as output)

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    Examples of Capacity Measures

    Type of Measures of Capacity

    Organization Inputs Outputs

    Manufacturer Machine hours

    per shift

    Number of units

    per shiftHospital Number of beds Number of

    patients treated

    Airline Number of planes

    or seats

    Number of

    seat-miles flownRestaurant Number of seats Customers/time

    Retailer Area of store Sales dollars

    Theater Number of seats Customers/time

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    Capacity Planning

    The basic questions in capacity planning

    are:

    What type of capacity is needed? [5Ms/5Ps]

    How much is needed? [opportunity cost]

    When is it needed? [opportunity cost]

    How does productivity relate to capacity?

    What is the basic Capacity Strategy?

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    Two Capacity Strategies

    Time between

    increments

    Forecast of

    capacity needed

    Forecast of

    capacity needed

    Planned unused

    capacity Planned use of

    short-term options

    Expansionist Strategy Wait-and-See Strategy

    Capacity

    Capacity

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    Some Short-Term Capacity Options

    lease extra space temporarily

    authorize overtime

    staff second or third shift with temporary workers add weekend shifts

    schedule longer runs to minimize

    capacity losses

    postpone preventive maintenance (risky)

    allow backorders to increase, extend due datepromises, or have stock-outs.

    subcontract work

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    Advantages/Disadvantages of each strategy

    Expansionist ahead of competition risky if demand no lost sales changes

    Idle Capacity

    Wait-and-See no unused capacity rely on short-

    easier to adapt to term optionsnew technologies

    lost opportunity

    Advantages Disadvantages

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    Capacity Utilization

    Capacity used [1350]

    rate of output actually achieved

    Best operating level [40x16x3=1920]capacity for which the process was designed

    (effective or maximum capacity)

    Utilization = _______________Capacity Used

    Best Operating Level

    1350/1920=70%

    1100/1680=65%

    1100/1920=57%

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    Capacity Utilization &

    Service Quality

    Best operating point is near 70% of

    capacity

    From 70% to 100% of service capacity,

    what do you think happens to servicequality? Why?

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    Utilization--Example

    Best operating level = 120 units/week

    Actual Scheduled output = 83 units/week

    Utilization = ?.692

    units/wk120units/wk83=

    leveloperatingBestusedCapacitynUtilizatio ==

    Hair Salon

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    Best Operating Level

    Underutilization

    Best OperatingLevel (120 Hairdos)

    Average

    unit cost

    of output

    Volume

    Overutilization

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    Economies & Diseconomies of Scale

    100-unitplant

    200-unit

    plant 300-unit

    plant

    400-unit

    plant

    Volume

    Average

    unit cost

    of output

    Long Run Average Cost Curve

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    Capacity Cushion

    Capacity Cushion = level of capacity in excess of the average

    utilization rate or level of capacity in excess of the expected

    demand.

    Cushion = Best Operating Level

    Capacity Used

    - 1

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    Large capacity cushion

    Required to handle uncertainty in demand service industries

    high level of uncertainty in demand (in terms ofboth volume and product-mix)

    Fashion/Fads/Electronics to permit allowances for vacations,

    holidays, supply of materials delays, equipmentbreakdowns, etc.

    if subcontracting, overtime, or the cost ofmissed demand is very high (i.e. penalty cost)Construction of Retail Space

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    Small capacitycushion

    Given that: Unused capacity still incurs the fixed

    costs

    highly capital intensive businesses

    (Utilities requesting customers to conserve during peak)

    time perishable capacity (Airline, movie theater)

    (Conversion of large theaters to multi-cinema)

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    Capacity Cushion Example

    An automobile equipment supplier wishes to install a

    sufficient number of ovens to produce 400,000 good

    castings per year. The baking operation takes 2.0

    minutes per casting, and management requires acapacity cushion of 5%. How many ovens will be

    required if each one is available for 1800 hours (of

    capacity) per year?

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    Example: Target 5% Cushion

    - 1cushion = Best Operating LevelCapacity Used

    .05 = (1800/x) - 1

    1.05 = (1800/x) 1714.3/1800 = .9524

    1.05x = 1800x = 1714.3

    85.7/1714.3=.049991

    85.7/1800=.047611

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    Solution

    Required system capacity =400,000 good units per year

    Number of oven minutes required =400,000 x 2 min/unit = 800,000

    Number of oven minutes available/oven =(1800 hrs/oven) x(60 minutes/hour) (.9524)

    = 102,859minutes/oven

    Number of ovens required= 800,000 min /102,859 mins per oven

    = 7.8 or 8 ovens

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    Quantity

    Step fixed costs and variable costs.

    1 machine

    2 machines

    3 machines

    A Way to Gain Capacitybuy resource

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    The Experience Curve

    Total accumulated production of units

    Cost or

    price

    per unit

    As plants produce more products, or

    services deliver more of a service, they

    gain experience in the best production

    methods and inherently or naturallyreduce their costs per unit.

    Other Ways to Gain Capacity

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    Capacity Flexibility: Having the ability

    to respond rapidly to demand volume

    changes and product mix changes.

    Flexible plantsShare processes

    Flexible processesGroup equipment

    around productfamilies

    Flexible workersCross-train

    Cell

    Manuf.

    Other Ways to Gain Capacity

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    Capacity Bottlenecks

    Rawmaterial

    200/hour 75/hour 200/hour

    Operation 1 Operation 2 Operation 3

    Bottleneck

    Operation

    Other Ways to Gain Capacity

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    Capacity Planning

    Maintaining System Balance

    Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3

    Unitsper

    month

    6,000 7,000 4,500

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    Determining Capacity

    Requirements [1] Forecast sales within each individual

    product line

    [2] Calculate equipment and laborrequirements to meet the forecasts

    [3] Project equipment and laboravailability over the planning horizon

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    Example--Capacity

    RequirementsA manufacturer produces two lines of ketchup,FancyFine and a generic line. Each is sold in

    small and family-size plastic bottles.

    The following table shows forecast demand for

    the next four years.

    Year: 1 2 3 4

    FancyFine

    Small (000s) 50 60 80 100

    Family (000s) 35 50 70 90

    Generic

    Small (000s) 100 110 120 140

    Family (000s) 80 90 100 110

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    Example of Capacity Requirements:

    The Product from a Capacity Viewpoint

    Question: Are we really producing

    two different types of ketchup from

    the standpoint of capacity

    requirements?

    Answer: No, its the same product just

    packaged differently (and water added)

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    Example of Capacity Requirements:

    Equipment and Labor Requirements

    Year: 1 2 3 4

    Small (000s) 150 170 200 240

    Family (000s) 115 140 170 200

    Three 100,000 units-per-year machines are available

    for small-bottle production. Two operators required

    per machine.

    Two 120,000 units-per-year machines are available

    for family-sized-bottle production. Three operators

    required per machine.

    39

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    Year: 1 2 3 4

    Small (000s) 150 170 200 240

    Family (000s) 115 140 170 200

    Small Mach. Cap. 300,000 Labor 6

    Family-size Mach. Cap. 240,000 Labor 6

    Small

    Percent capacity used 50.00%

    Machine requirement 1.50

    Labor requirement 3.00Family-size

    Percent capacity used 47.92%

    Machine requirement 0.96

    Labor requirement 2.88

    Question: Identify the Year 1 values for capacity, machine, and labor?

    150,000/300,000=50% At 1 machine for 100,000, ittakes 1.5 machines for 150,000

    At 2 operators for100,000, it takes 3

    operators for 150,000

    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2001

    40

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    Year: 1 2 3 4

    Small (000s) 150 170 200 240

    Family (000s) 115 140 170 200

    Small Mach. Cap. 300,000 Labor 6

    Family-size Mach. Cap. 240,000 Labor 6

    Small

    Percent capacity used 50.00%

    Machine requirement 1.50

    Labor requirement 3.00Family-size

    Percent capacity used 47.92%

    Machine requirement 0.96

    Labor requirement 2.88

    Question: What are the values for columns 2, 3 and 4 in the table below?

    56.67%

    1.70

    3.40

    58.33%

    1.17

    3.50

    66.67%

    2.00

    4.00

    70.83%

    1.42

    4.25

    80.00%

    2.40

    4.80

    83.33%

    1.67

    5.00

    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2001

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    How does Quality affect

    capacity?

    Suppose a three operation process is

    followed by an inspection. If the averageproportion of defectives produced at

    operations 1, 2, and 3 are .04, .01, and

    .02 respectively, and if the demand is 200units, then what is the required capacity

    for this operation? [i.e. material inputs]

    C it i t ith

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    Capacity requirements with

    Yield Loss

    Notation:

    di = avg. proportion of defective units at operation i

    n = number of operations in the production process

    M = order quantity (good units only or desired yield)

    B = avg. number of units at the start of the

    production process

    B =M

    [(1-d1)(1-d2).(1-dn)]

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    Solution

    Desired yield = 200Operation Defective rate

    1 .04

    2 .01

    3 .02(1) What is the capacity required?

    B = = 215200

    (1-.04)(1-.01)(1-.02)

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    Capacity and Quality

    Suppose we have a 6 process assembly

    line that must produce 1000 good

    products. Each process produces only

    1% defects. How is capacity affected?

    Capacity required =

    = 1062 units

    1000(.99)6

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    Decision TreesA glass factory specializing in crystal is experiencing a

    substantial backlog, and the firm's management is

    considering three courses of action:

    A) Arrange for subcontracting,

    B) Construct new facilities.C) Do nothing (no change)

    The correct choice depends largely upon demand, which

    may be low, medium, or high. By consensus,management ranks the respective probabilities as .10,

    .50, and .40. A cost analysis that reveals the effects

    upon costs is shown in the following table.

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    Payoff Table

    0.1 0.5 0.4

    Low Medium HighA 10 50 90

    B -120 25 200

    C 20 40 60

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    We start with our decisions...

    AB

    C

    Subcontracting

    Do nothing

    Construct new facilities

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    Then add our possible states of

    nature, probabilities, and payoffs

    A

    B

    C

    High demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    $90k

    $50k

    $10k

    High demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    $200k

    $25k

    -$120k

    High demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    $60k

    $40k

    $20k

    D t i th t d l

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    Determine the expected value

    of each decision

    High demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    A

    $90k

    $50k

    $10k

    EVA=.4(90)+.5(50)+.1(10)=$62k

    $62k

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    Solution

    High demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    High demand (.4)Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    AB

    CHigh demand (.4)

    Medium demand (.5)

    Low demand (.1)

    $90k$50k

    $10k

    $200k$25k

    -$120k

    $60k

    $40k

    $20k

    $62k

    $80.5k

    $46k