Chapte r The Global Capital Market 11
Dec 19, 2015
Chapter
The Global Capital Market
11
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Case: China Mobile
Largest provider of wireless telephone service in the world
In 2000 China was wrapping up negotiations to join the World Trade organization Direct consequence: China will have to open up its
telecommunication market to foreign service providers As a preemptive strategy China mobile Increased geographic coverage Raised capital through
Issuance of new shares Selling 2% stake in company to Vodafone Selling ADRs
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Functions of a generic capital market
Brings together: Those who want to invest:
Corporations, individuals, non bank financial institutions
Those who want to borrow: Individuals, companies, governments
Market makers: Commercial and investment banks that connect
investors with borrowers
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The main players in a generic capital market
Fig 11.1
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Attractions of the global capital market
Increases the supply of funds available Benefits both borrowers and investors
Borrower’s perspective Lowers the cost of capital
Investor’s perspective Provides a wider range of investment
opportunities
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Market liquidity and the cost of capital
Fig 11.2
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Risk reduction through portfolio diversification
Fig 11.3
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International portfolio risk reduction
Some common perceptions Global capital market has increased the correlation between
different stock markets reducing the benefit of international diversification
In fact, movements of stock prices across countries are not perfectly correlated Reflects two factors: Countries pursue different macroeconomic policies and face
different economic conditions Different stock markets are segmented by capital controls.
Perception that markets are integrating, but not as rapidly as thought
Home bias puzzle
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Growth of the global capital market
Information technology Diminishing costs of sharing information
Internet Computer power
Deregulation Response to:
Eurocurrency market Increasing acceptance a ‘free market’ concept
Dismantling of national capital controls Less restrictions on inward/outward capital flows
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Global capital market risks
Global capital market risks Nations more vulnerable to speculative capital
flows because of lack of knowledge Potential destabilization of economies (Mexico)
Capital pursuing short term gains Hot money Long term patient money
Lack of quality information Investors react to quickly to news events Differing accounting conventions
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The Eurocurrency market
Euro-currency is any currency banked outside its country of origin Eurodollars are dollars banked outside the United States
Growth 1950s. Eastern Europeans, afraid US would seize
deposits to reimburse claims for business losses as a result of Communist takeover of Eastern Europe
Other events: Britain – 1957 U.S. – 1960s Failure of Bretton Woods Oil crisis – 1970s
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The Eurocurrency market
Attractions Gave opportunity to those who wanted to deposit
or borrow dollars (later, other currencies, as well).
Lack of government regulations makes the Eurocurrency attractive
Banks offer higher interest rates Drawbacks
Unregulated system could result in loss of deposits
Borrowing funds internationally can expose a company to foreign exchange risk
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Interest rate spreads in domestic and Eurocurrency markets
Fig 11.4
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The global bond market
Attractions of the Eurobonds market Bonds tend to be fixed rate Foreign bonds
Sold outside the borrower’s country and in currency of country where issued
Eurobonds Underwritten by an international syndicate Issued by large corporations, international
institutions and governments Placed in country other than country of currency and
its residents
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Global equity markets
Where investors can buy/sell stocks
Made up of many
Stock exchanges
around the world
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Who uses these markets?
Investors seeking to diversify their portfolios. Companies seeking to
Issue stock in the country Use stock and options as a form of employee
incentives Satisfy local ownership requirements Create funding for future acquisitions Increase the visibility of the company
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Foreign exchange risk and the cost of capital
When a firm borrows from the global capital market it must Weigh benefits of lower interest rates against risks
of an increase in the real cost of capital due to adverse exchange rate movements
Unpredictable movements in exchange rates, inject risk into foreign currency borrowing, making something less expensive more expensive Borrower can hedge by entering into a forward
contract
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Managerial implications
Growth of Global capital markets provide opportunities for firms wishing to borrow or invest money.
Firms can borrow funds at lower costs Perhaps the emergence of a unified capital
market in the EU? Opportunities to diversify investments FX risk is a complicating factor