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Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice 2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

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Page 1: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Chapter 9

Page 2: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital BudgetingTechniques and

Practice

2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Page 3: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital Budgeting: the process of planning for purchases of long-term assets.

exampleexample: :

Suppose our firm must decide whether to Suppose our firm must decide whether to purchase a new plastic molding machine purchase a new plastic molding machine for $125,000. How do we decide?for $125,000. How do we decide?

Will the machine be Will the machine be profitableprofitable?? Will our firm earn a Will our firm earn a high rate of returnhigh rate of return

on the investment?on the investment?

Page 4: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Decision-making Criteria in Capital Budgeting

How do we decide if a capital How do we decide if a capital investment project should be investment project should be

accepted or rejected?accepted or rejected?

Page 5: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

The Ideal Evaluation Method The Ideal Evaluation Method should:should:

a) include a) include all cash flowsall cash flows that occur that occur during the life of the project,during the life of the project,

b) consider the b) consider the time value of moneytime value of money,,

c) incorporate the c) incorporate the required rate of required rate of returnreturn on the project. on the project.

Decision-making Criteria in Capital Budgeting

Page 6: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Three Basic Methods of Evaluating Projects

1.1. Payback MethodPayback Method

2.2. Net Present Value (NPV)Net Present Value (NPV)

3.3. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Page 7: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Payback Period

How long will it take for the project How long will it take for the project to generate enough cash to pay for to generate enough cash to pay for itself?itself?

00 11 22 33 44 55 8866 77

(500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 (500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150

Payback period = Payback period = 3.33 years3.33 years..

Page 8: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Is a Is a 3.33 year3.33 year payback period good? payback period good? Is it acceptable?Is it acceptable? Firms that use this method will compare Firms that use this method will compare

the payback calculation to some the payback calculation to some standard set by the firm.standard set by the firm.

If our senior management had set a cut-If our senior management had set a cut-off of off of 5 years5 years for projects like ours, for projects like ours, what would be our decision?what would be our decision?

Accept the projectAccept the project..

Payback Period

Page 9: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Drawbacks of Payback Period

Firm cutoffs are Firm cutoffs are subjectivesubjective.. Does not consider Does not consider time value of time value of

moneymoney.. Does not consider any Does not consider any required required

rate of returnrate of return.. Does not consider all of the Does not consider all of the

project’s project’s cash flowscash flows..

Page 10: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Drawbacks of Payback Period

Does not consider all of the Does not consider all of the project’s cash flows.project’s cash flows.

This project is clearly unprofitable, but This project is clearly unprofitable, but we would we would acceptaccept it based on a 4-year it based on a 4-year payback criterion!payback criterion!

00 11 22 33 44 55 8866 77

(500) 150 150 150 150 150 (300) 0 0 (500) 150 150 150 150 150 (300) 0 0

Page 11: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Other Methods

1) 1) Net Present ValueNet Present Value (NPV) (NPV)

2) 2) Internal Rate of ReturnInternal Rate of Return (IRR) (IRR)

Each of these decision-making criteria:Each of these decision-making criteria: Examines all net cash flows,Examines all net cash flows, Considers the time value of money, andConsiders the time value of money, and Considers the required rate of return.Considers the required rate of return.

Page 12: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Net Present ValueNet Present Value

NPV = the total PV of the annual net NPV = the total PV of the annual net cash flows - the initial outlay.cash flows - the initial outlay.

NPVNPV = - IO = - IO ACFACFtt

(1 + k)(1 + k) tt

nn

t=1t=1

Page 13: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Net Present Value

Decision RuleDecision Rule::

If NPV is positive, If NPV is positive, acceptaccept.. If NPV is negative, If NPV is negative, rejectreject..

Page 14: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

NPV ExampleNPV Example

0 1 2 3 4 5

250,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000

Suppose we are considering a capital Suppose we are considering a capital investment that costs investment that costs $250,000$250,000 and and provides annual net cash flows of provides annual net cash flows of $100,000$100,000 for five years. The firm’s for five years. The firm’s required rate of return is required rate of return is 15%15%..

Page 15: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Net Present Value (NPV)

NPV is just the PV of the annual cash NPV is just the PV of the annual cash flows minus the initial outflow.flows minus the initial outflow.

Using TVM:Using TVM:

P/Y = 1 N = 5 I = 15 P/Y = 1 N = 5 I = 15

PMT = 100,000PMT = 100,000

PV of cash flows =PV of cash flows = $335,216$335,216

- Initial outflow:- Initial outflow: ($250,000)($250,000)

= Net PV= Net PV $85,216$85,216

Page 16: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

NPV with the TI BAII Plus:

Select CF mode.Select CF mode. CFo=? CFo=? -250,000 -250,000 ENTERENTER C01=? C01=? 100,000 100,000 ENTERENTER F01= 1 F01= 1 5 5 ENTERENTER NPV NPV I= I= 15 15 ENTERENTER

CPTCPT You should get You should get NPV = 85,215.51NPV = 85,215.51

Page 17: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

IRRIRR:: the return on the firm’s the return on the firm’s invested capital. IRR is simply the invested capital. IRR is simply the rate of returnrate of return that the firm earns on that the firm earns on its capital budgeting projects.its capital budgeting projects.

Page 18: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

NPVNPV = - IO = - IO ACFACFtt

(1 + k)(1 + k) tt

nn

t=1t=1

Page 19: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

NPVNPV = - IO = - IO ACFACFtt

(1 + k)(1 + k) tt

nn

t=1t=1

n

t=1IRR: = IO

ACFt

(1 + IRR) t

Page 20: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

IRR is the IRR is the rate of returnrate of return that makes the that makes the PV PV of the cash flowsof the cash flows equalequal to the to the initial outlayinitial outlay..

This looks very similar to our Yield to This looks very similar to our Yield to Maturity formula for bonds. In fact, YTM Maturity formula for bonds. In fact, YTM isis the IRR of a bond. the IRR of a bond.

n

t=1IRR: = IO

ACFt

(1 + IRR) t

Page 21: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Calculating IRR

Looking again at our problem:Looking again at our problem: The IRR is the discount rate that The IRR is the discount rate that

makes the PV of the projected cash makes the PV of the projected cash flows flows equalequal to the initial outlay. to the initial outlay.

0 1 2 3 4 5

250,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000

Page 22: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

IRR with your Calculator

IRR is easy to find with your IRR is easy to find with your financial calculator.financial calculator.

Just enter the cash flows as you did Just enter the cash flows as you did with the NPV problem and solve for with the NPV problem and solve for IRR.IRR.

You should get You should get IRR = 28.65%!IRR = 28.65%!

Page 23: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

IRR

Decision RuleDecision Rule::

If IRR is greater than or equal to If IRR is greater than or equal to the required rate of return, the required rate of return, acceptaccept..

If IRR is less than the required If IRR is less than the required rate of return, rate of return, rejectreject..

Page 24: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Summary Problem

Enter the cash flows only once.Enter the cash flows only once. Find the Find the IRRIRR.. Using a discount rate of Using a discount rate of 15%,15%, find find NPVNPV..

0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 5

(900) 300 400 400 500 600(900) 300 400 400 500 600

Page 25: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Summary Problem

IRR = 34.37%.IRR = 34.37%. Using a discount rate of 15%, Using a discount rate of 15%,

NPV = $510.52.NPV = $510.52.

0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 5

(900) 300 400 400 500 600(900) 300 400 400 500 600

Page 26: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital RationingCapital Rationing

Suppose that you have evaluated Suppose that you have evaluated 5 capital investment projects5 capital investment projects for for your company.your company.

Suppose that the VP of Finance Suppose that the VP of Finance has given you a has given you a limited capital limited capital budgetbudget..

How do you decide which How do you decide which projects to select?projects to select?

Page 27: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital RationingCapital Rationing

You could rank the projects by IRR:You could rank the projects by IRR:IRRIRR

5%5%

10%10%

15%15%

20%20%

25%25%

$$

11 22 33 44 55

Page 28: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital RationingCapital Rationing

You could rank the projects by IRR:You could rank the projects by IRR:IRRIRR

5%5%

10%10%

15%15%

20%20%

25%25%

$$

11 22 33 44 55

$X

Our budget is limitedOur budget is limitedso we accept only so we accept only projects 1, 2, and 3.projects 1, 2, and 3.

Page 29: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Capital RationingCapital Rationing

You could rank the projects by IRR:You could rank the projects by IRR:IRRIRR

5%5%

10%10%

15%15%

20%20%

25%25%

$$

11 22 33

$X

Our budget is limitedOur budget is limitedso we accept only so we accept only projects 1, 2, and 3.projects 1, 2, and 3.

Page 30: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Problems with Project RankingProblems with Project Ranking

1) Mutually exclusive projects of 1) Mutually exclusive projects of unequal unequal sizesize (the (the size disparitysize disparity problem) problem)

The NPV decision may not agree with The NPV decision may not agree with IRR.IRR.

Solution:Solution: select the project with the select the project with the largest largest NPVNPV..

Page 31: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Size Disparity exampleSize Disparity example

Project AProject A yearyear cash flowcash flow 00 (135,000)(135,000) 11 60,000 60,000 22 60,000 60,000 33 60,000 60,000required return = 12%required return = 12%IRR = 15.89%IRR = 15.89%NPV = $9,110NPV = $9,110

Page 32: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Size Disparity exampleSize Disparity example

Project BProject B

yearyear cash flowcash flow

00 (30,000) (30,000)

11 15,000 15,000

22 15,000 15,000

33 15,000 15,000

required return = 12%required return = 12%

IRR = 23.38%IRR = 23.38%

NPV = $6,027NPV = $6,027

Project AProject A

yearyear cash flowcash flow

00 (135,000)(135,000)

11 60,000 60,000

22 60,000 60,000

33 60,000 60,000

required return = 12%required return = 12%

IRR = 15.89%IRR = 15.89%

NPV = $9,110NPV = $9,110

Page 33: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Problems with Project RankingProblems with Project Ranking

2) The 2) The time disparitytime disparity problem with mutually problem with mutually exclusive projects.exclusive projects.

NPV assumes cash flows are NPV assumes cash flows are reinvested at reinvested at the required rate of returnthe required rate of return for the project. for the project.

IRR assumes cash flows are IRR assumes cash flows are reinvested at reinvested at the IRR.the IRR.

The NPV decision may not agree with the The NPV decision may not agree with the IRR. IRR.

Solution:Solution: select the largest select the largest NPVNPV..

Page 34: Chapter 9. Capital Budgeting Techniques and Practice  2000, Prentice Hall, Inc.

Time Disparity exampleTime Disparity example

Project BProject B yearyear cash flowcash flow

00 (46,500) (46,500)

11 36,500 36,500

22 24,000 24,000

33 2,400 2,400

44 2,400 2,400

required return = 12%required return = 12%

IRR = 25.51%IRR = 25.51%

NPV = $8,455NPV = $8,455

Project AProject A yearyear cash flowcash flow

00 (48,000) (48,000)

11 1,200 1,200

22 2,400 2,400

33 39,000 39,000

44 42,000 42,000

required return = 12%required return = 12%

IRR = 18.10%IRR = 18.10%

NPV = $9,436NPV = $9,436