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Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand
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Page 1: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4Individual and

Market Demand

Individual and

Market Demand

Page 2: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 2

Topics to be Discussed

Individual Demand

Income and Substitution Effects

Market Demand

Consumer Surplus

Page 3: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 3

Topics to be Discussed

Network Externalities

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Page 4: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 4

Individual Demand

Price ChangesUsing the figures developed in the

previous chapter, the impact of a change in the price of food can be illustrated using indifference curves.

Page 5: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 5

Effect of a Price Change

Food (units per month)

Clothing(units per

month)

4

5

6

U2

U3

A

BDU1

4 12 20

Three separateindifference curves

are tangent toeach budget line.

Assume: •I = $20•PC = $2•PF = $2, $1, $.50

10

Page 6: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 6

Price-Consumption Curve

Effect of a Price Change

Food (units per month)

Clothing(units per

month)

4

5

6

U2

U3

A

BDU1

4 12 20

The price-consumptioncurve traces out theutility maximizing

market basket for thevarious prices for food.

Page 7: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 7

Effect of a Price Change

Demand Curve

Individual Demand relatesthe quantity of a good thata consumer will buy to theprice of that good.

Food (units per month)

Priceof Food

H

E

G

$2.00

4 12 20

$1.00

$.50

Page 8: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 8

Individual Demand

Two Important Properties of Demand Curves

1) The level of utility that can be attained changes as we move

along the curve.

The Individual Demand CurveThe Individual Demand Curve

Page 9: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 9

Individual Demand

Two Important Properties of Demand Curves

2) At every point on the demand curve, the consumer is maximizing utility by satisfying the condition that the MRS of food for clothing equals the ratio of the prices of food andclothing.

The Individual Demand CurveThe Individual Demand Curve

Page 10: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 10

Effect of a Price Change

Food (units per month)

Priceof Food

H

E

G

$2.00

4 12 20

$1.00

$.50

Demand Curve

•E: Pf/Pc = 2/2 = 1 = MRS•G: Pf/Pc = 1/2 = .5 = MRS•H:Pf/Pc = .5/2 = .25 = MRS

When the price falls: Pf/Pc & MRS also fall

Page 11: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 11

Individual Demand

Income ChangesUsing the figures developed in the

previous chapter, the impact of a change in the income can be illustrated using indifference curves.

Page 12: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 12

Effects of Income Changes

Food (units per month)

Clothing(units per

month)

An increase in income,with the prices fixed,

causes consumers to altertheir choice ofmarket basket.

Income-Consumption Curve

3

4

A U1

5

10

B

U2

D7

16

U3

Assume: Pf = $1 Pc = $2

I = $10, $20, $30

Page 13: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 13

Effects of Income Changes

Food (units per month)

Priceof

food

An increase in income,from $10 to $20 to $30,with the prices fixed,shifts the consumer’sdemand curve to the right.

$1.00

4

D1

E

10

D2

G

16

D3

H

Page 14: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 14

Individual Demand

Income ChangesThe income-consumption curve traces

out the utility-maximizing combinations of food and clothing associated with every income level.

Page 15: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 15

Individual Demand

Income ChangesAn increase in income shifts the budget

line to the right, increasing consumption along the income-consumption curve.

Simultaneously, the increase in income shifts the demand curve to the right.

Page 16: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 16

Individual Demand

Income ChangesWhen the income-consumption curve

has a positive slope:The quantity demanded increases

with income.The income elasticity of demand is

positive.The good is a normal good.

Normal Good vs. Inferior GoodNormal Good vs. Inferior Good

Page 17: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 17

Individual Demand

Income ChangesWhen the income-consumption curve

has a negative slope:The quantity demanded decreases

with income.The income elasticity of demand is

negative.The good is an inferior good.

Normal Good vs. Inferior GoodNormal Good vs. Inferior Good

Page 18: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 18

An Inferior Good

Hamburger (units per month)

Steak(units per

month)

15

30

U3

C

Income-ConsumptionCurve

…but hamburgerbecomes an inferior

good when the incomeconsumption curvebends backward between B and C.

105 20

5

10

AU1

B

U2

Both hamburgerand steak behaveas a normal good, between A and B...

Page 19: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 19

Individual Demand

Engel CurvesEngel curves relate the quantity of good

consumed to income.

If the good is a normal good, the Engel curve is upward sloping.

If the good is an inferior good, the Engel curve is downward sloping.

Page 20: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 20

Engel Curves

Food (unitsper month)

30

4 8 12

10

Income($ per

month)

20

160

Engel curves slopeupward for

normal goods.

Page 21: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 21

Engel Curves

Engel curves slopebackward bending for inferior goods.

Inferior

Normal

Food (unitsper month)

30

4 8 12

10

Income($ per

month)

20

160

Page 22: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Consumer Expendituresin the United States

Entertainment 700 947 1274 1514 2054 2654 4300

Owned Dwellings1116 1725 2253 3243 4454 5793 9898

Rented Dwellings1957 2170 2371 2536 2137 1540 1266

Health Care 1031 1697 1918 1820 2052 2214 2642

Food 2656 3385 4109 4888 5429 6220 8279

Clothing 859 978 1363 1772 1778 2614 3442

Expenditure Less than 1,000- 20,000- 30,000- 40,000- 50,000- 70,000-($) on: $10,000 19,000 29,000 39,000 49,000 69,000 and above

Income Group (1997 $)

Page 23: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 23

Individual Demand

1) Two goods are considered substitutes if an increase (decrease) in the price of one leads to an increase (decrease) in the quantity demanded of the other. e.g. movie tickets and video rentals

Substitutes and ComplementsSubstitutes and Complements

Page 24: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 24

Individual Demand

2) Two goods are considered complements if an increase (decrease) in the price of one leads to a decrease (increase) in the quantity demanded of the other.e.g. gasoline and motor oil

Substitutes and ComplementsSubstitutes and Complements

Page 25: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 25

Individual Demand

3) Two goods are independent when a change in the price of one good has no effect on the quantity demanded of the other

Substitutes and ComplementsSubstitutes and Complements

Page 26: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 26

Individual Demand

Substitutes and ComplementsIf the price consumption curve is

downward-sloping, the two goods are considered substitutes.

If the price consumption curve is upward-sloping, the two goods are considered complements.

They could be both!

Page 27: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 27

Income and Substitution Effects

A fall in the price of a good has two effects: Substitution & IncomeSubstitution Effect

Consumers will tend to buy more of the good that has become relatively cheaper, and less of the good that is now relatively more expensive.

Page 28: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 28

Income and Substitution Effects

A fall in the price of a good has two effects: Substitution & IncomeIncome Effect

Consumers experience an increase in real purchasing power when the price of one good falls.

Page 29: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 29

Income and Substitution Effects

Substitution EffectThe substitution effect is the change in

an item’s consumption associated with a change in the price of the item, with the level of utility held constant.

When the price of an item declines, the substitution effect always leads to an increase in the quantity of the item demanded.

Page 30: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 30

Income and Substitution Effects

Income EffectThe income effect is the change in an

item’s consumption brought about by the increase in purchasing power, with the price of the item held constant.

When a person’s income increases, the quantity demanded for the product may increase or decrease.

Page 31: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 31

Income and Substitution Effects

Income EffectEven with inferior goods, the income

effect is rarely large enough to outweigh the substitution effect.

Page 32: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 32

Income and SubstitutionEffects: Normal Good

Food (units per month)O

Clothing(units per

month) R

F1 S

C1 A

U1

The income effect, EF2, ( from D to B) keeps relativeprices constant but increases purchasing power.

Income Effect

C2

F2 T

U2

B

When the price of food falls, consumption increases by F1F2 as the consumer moves from A to B.

ETotal Effect

SubstitutionEffect

D

The substitution effect,F1E, (from point A to D), changes the relative prices but keeps real income(satisfaction) constant.

Page 33: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 33

Food (units per month)O

R

Clothing(units per

month)

F1 S F2 T

A

U1

E

SubstitutionEffect

D

Total Effect

Since food is an inferior good, theincome effect is

negative. However,the substitution effect

is larger than the income effect.

B

Income Effect

U2

Income and SubstitutionEffects: Inferior Good

Page 34: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 34

Income and Substitution Effects

A Special Case--The Giffen GoodThe income effect may theoretically be

large enough to cause the demand curve for a good to slope upward.

This rarely occurs and is of little practical interest.

Page 35: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 35

Effect of a Gasoline Tax With a Rebate

Assume

Ped = -0.5

Income = $9,000

Price of gasoline = $1

Page 36: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 36

Effect of a Gasoline Tax With a Rebate

Gasoline Consumption (gallons/year)

ExpendituresOn Other

Goods ($)

A

C •Gasoline = 1200 gallons•Other expenditures = $7800

U2

1200

Original BudgetLine

BD

U1

900

AfterGasoline

Tax

E

•$.50 Excise Tax•Gasoline = 900 gallons

J

F

H

913.5

After Gasoline TaxPlus Rebate

U3

•$450 REBATE•New budget line•Consumer is worse off

Page 37: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 37

Market Demand

Market Demand Curves

A curve that relates the quantity of a good that all consumers in a market buy to the price of that good.

From Individual to Market DemandFrom Individual to Market Demand

Page 38: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 38

Determining the Market Demand Curve

1 6 10 16 32

2 4 8 13 25

3 2 6 10 18

4 0 4 7 11

5 0 2 4 6

Price Individual A Individual B Individual C Market($) (units) (units) (units) (units)

Page 39: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 39

Summing to Obtain aMarket Demand Curve

Quantity

1

2

3

4

Price

0

5

5 10 15 20 25 30

DB DC

Market Demand

DA

The market demandcurve is obtained by

summing the consumer’s demand curves

Page 40: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 40

Market Demand

Two Important Points

1) The market demand will shift to the right as more consumers

enter the market.

2) Factors that influence the demands of many consumers will

also affect the market demand.

Page 41: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 41

Market Demand

Elasticity of Demand

Recall: Price elasticity of demand measures the percentage change in the quantity demanded resulting from a 1-percent change in price.

PQ

PQ

P/P

Q/Q EP

/

/

Page 42: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 42

Price Elasticity andConsumer Expenditure

Demand If Price Increases, If Price Decreases,

Expenditures: Expenditures:Inelastic (Ep <1) Increase Decrease

Unit Elastic (Ep = 1) Are unchanged Are unchanged

Elastic (Ep >1) Decrease Increase

Page 43: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 43

Market Demand

Point Elasticity of DemandFor large price changes (e.g. 20%), the

value of elasticity will depend upon where the price and quantity lie on the demand curve.

Page 44: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 44

Market Demand

Point Elasticity of DemandPoint elasticity measures elasticity at a

point on the demand curve.

Its formula is:

ope)(P/Q)(1/sl E P

Page 45: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 45

Market Demand

Problems Using Point ElasticityWe may need to calculate price

elasticity over portion of the demand curve rather than at a single point.

The price and quantity used as the base will alter the price elasticity of demand.

Page 46: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 46

Market Demand

Assume

Price increases from 8$ to $10 quantity demanded falls from 6 to 4

Percent change in price equals: $2/$8 = 25% or $2/$10 = 20%

Percent change in quantity equals: -2/6 = -33.33% or -2/4 = -50%

Point Elasticity of Demand (An Example)Point Elasticity of Demand (An Example)

Page 47: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 47

Market Demand

Elasticity equals:

-33.33/.25 = -1.33 or -.50/.20 = -2.54

Which one is correct?

Point Elasticity of Demand (An Example)Point Elasticity of Demand (An Example)

Page 48: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 48

Market Demand

Arc Elasticity of DemandArc elasticity calculates elasticity over a

range of prices

Its formula is:

e quantitythe averagQ

e pricethe averagP

QPP)(Q/( E P

)/

Page 49: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 49

Market Demand

Arc Elasticity of Demand (An Example)

8.1)5/9)($2$/2(52/10&92/184,6,10,8

)/2121

pEQP

QQPPQPP)(Q/( E P

Page 50: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 50

The Aggregate Demand For Wheat

The demand for U.S. wheat is comprised of domestic demand and export demand.

An Example:

Page 51: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 51

The Aggregate Demand For Wheat

The domestic demand for wheat is given by the equation:

QDD = 1700 - 107P

The export demand for wheat is given by the equation:

QDE = 1544 - 176P

Page 52: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 52

The Aggregate Demand For Wheat

Domestic demand is relatively price inelastic (-0.2), while export demand is more price elastic (-0.4).

Page 53: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 53

C

D

ExportDemand

A

B

DomesticDemand

Total world demand is the horizontal sum of the domestic demand AB and

export demand CD.

F

Total Demand

E

The Aggregate Demand For Wheat

Wheat(million bushels/yr.)

Price ($/bushel)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1000 2000 3000 4000

Page 54: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 54

Consumer Surplus

Consumer Surplus

The difference between the maximum amount a consumer is willing to pay for a good and the amount actually paid.

Page 55: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 55

The consumer surplusof purchasing 6 concerttickets is the sum of the

surplus derived from each one individually.

Consumer Surplus 6 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 21

Consumer Surplus

Rock Concert Tickets

Price ($ perticket)

2 3 4 5 6

13

0 1

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

Market Price

Page 56: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 56

Consumer Surplus

The stepladder demand curve can be converted into a straight-line demand curve by making the units of the good smaller.

Page 57: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 57

Demand Curve

ConsumerSurplus

ActualExpenditure

$19,50014)x6,5001/2x(20

Consumer Surplusfor the Market Demand

Consumer Surplus

Rock Concert Tickets

Price ($ perticket)

2 3 4 5 6

13

0 1

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

Market Price

Page 58: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 58

Consumer Surplus

Combining consumer surplus with the aggregate profits that producers obtain we can evaluate:

1) Costs and benefits of different market structures

2) Public policies that alter the behavior of consumers and firms

Page 59: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 59

The Value of Clean Air Air is free in the sense that we don’t

pay to breathe it.

The Clean Air Act was amended in 1970.

Question: Were the benefits of cleaning up the air worth the costs?

An Example:

Page 60: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 60

The Value of Clean Air

People pay more to buy houses where the air is clean.

Data for house prices among neighborhoods of Boston and Los Angeles were compared with the various air pollutants.

Page 61: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 61

The shaded area gives theconsumer surplus generated

when air pollution is reduced by 5 parts per 100million of nitrous oxide at

a cost of $1000 per part reduced.

Valuing Cleaner Air

2000

100

1000

5

A

NOX (pphm)Pollution Reduction

Value($ per pphm

of reduction)

Page 62: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 62

Network Externalities

Up to this point we have assumed that people’s demands for a good are independent of one another.

If fact, a person’s demand may be affected by the number of other people who have purchased the good.

Page 63: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 63

Network Externalities

If this is the case, a network externality exists.

Network externalities can be positive or negative.

Page 64: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 64

Network Externalities

A positive network externality exists if the quantity of a good demanded by a consumer increases in response to an increase in purchases by other consumers.

Negative network externalities are just the opposite.

Page 65: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 65

Network Externalities

The Bandwagon EffectThis is the desire to be in style, to have

a good because almost everyone else has it, or to indulge in a fad.

This is the major objective of marketing and advertising campaigns (e.g. toys, clothing).

Page 66: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 66

Positive NetworkExternality: Bandwagon Effect

Quantity (thousands per month)

Price($ per

unit)

D20

20 40

When consumers believe more people have purchased theproduct, the demand curve shifts further to the the right .

D40

60

D60

80

D80

100

D100

Page 67: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 67

Demand

Positive NetworkExternality: Bandwagon Effect

Quantity (thousands per month)

Price($ per

unit)

D20

20 40 60 80 100

D40 D60 D80 D100 The market demandcurve is found by joining

the points on the individual demand curves. It is relatively

more elastic.

Page 68: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 68

Demand

Positive NetworkExternality: Bandwagon Effect

Quantity (thousands per month)

Price($ per

unit)

D20

20 40 60 80 100

D40 D60 D80 D100

Pure PriceEffect

48

Suppose the price fallsfrom $30 to $20. If there

were no bandwagon effect,quantity demanded would

only increase to 48,000

$20

$30

Page 69: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 69

Demand

Positive NetworkExternality: Bandwagon Effect

Quantity (thousands per month)

Price($ per

unit)

D20

20 40 60 80 100

D40 D60 D80 D100

Pure PriceEffect

$20

48

BandwagonEffect

But as more people buythe good, it becomes stylish to own it and

the quantity demandedincreases further.$30

Page 70: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 70

Network Externalities

The Snob EffectIf the network externality is negative, a

snob effect exists.

The snob effect refers to the desire to own exclusive or unique goods.

The quantity demanded of a “snob” good is higher the fewer the people who own it.

Page 71: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 71

Negative NetworkExternality: Snob Effect

Quantity (thousandsper month)

Price($ per

unit) Demand

2

D2

$30,000

$15,000

14

Pure Price Effect

Originally demand is D2,when consumers think 2000

people have bought a good.

4 6 8

D4

D6D8

However, if consumers think 4,000 people have bought the good,

demand shifts from D2 to D6 and its snob value has been reduced.

Page 72: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 72

Negative NetworkExternality: Snob Effect

Quantity (thousandsper month)2 4 6 8

The demand is less elastic and as a snob good its value is greatly

reduced if more people ownit. Sales decrease as a result.

Examples: Rolex watches and long lines at the ski lift.

Price($ per

unit)

D2

$30,000

$15,000

14

D4

D6D8

Demand

Pure Price Effect

Snob EffectNet Effect

Page 73: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 73

Network Externalities and the Demands for Computers and Fax Machines

Examples of Positive Feedback Externalities

Mainframe computers: 1954 - 1965

Microsoft Windows PC operating system

Fax-machines and e-mail

Page 74: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 74

Empirical Estimation of Demand

The most direct way to obtain information about demand is through interviews where consumers are asked how much of a product they would be willing to buy at a given price.

Page 75: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 75

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Problem

Consumers may lack information or interest, or be mislead by the interviewer.

Page 76: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 76

In direct marketing experiments, actual sales offers are posed to potential customers and the responses of customers are observed.

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Page 77: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 77

The Statistical Approach to Demand EstimationProperly applied, the statistical

approach to demand estimation can enable one to sort out the effects of variables on the quantity demanded of a product.

“Least-squares” regression is one approach.

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Page 78: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 78

Year Quantity (Q) Price (P) Income(I)

Demand Data for Raspberries

1988 4 24 10

1989 7 20 10

1990 8 17 10

1991 13 17 17

1992 16 10 17

1993 15 15 17

1994 19 12 20

1995 20 9 20

1996 22 5 20

Page 79: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 79

Assuming only price determines demand:

Q = a - bP

Q = 28.2 -1.00P

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Page 80: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 80

Estimating Demand

Quantity

Price

0 5 10 15 20 25

15

10

5

25

20

d1

d2

d3

D

D represents demandif only P determinesdemand and then from the data: Q=28.2-1.00P

Page 81: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 81

Estimating Demand

Quantity

Price

0 5 10 15 20 25

15

10

5

25

20

D

d1

d2

d3

d1, d2, d3 represent the demand for each income level. Including income in the demand equation: Q = a - bP + cI orQ = 8.08 - .49P + .81I

Adjusting for changes in income

Page 82: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 82

For the demand equation: Q = a - bP

Elasticity:

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Estimating ElasticitiesEstimating Elasticities

)/()/)(/( QPbQPPQEP

Page 83: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 83

Assuming: Price & income elasticity are constant

The isoelastic demand =

The slope, -b = price elasticity of demandConstant, c = income elasticity

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Estimating ElasticitiesEstimating Elasticities

)log()log()log( IcPbaQ

Page 84: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 84

Using the Raspberry data:

Price elasticity = -0.24 (Inelastic)

Income elasticity = 1.46

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Estimating ElasticitiesEstimating Elasticities

)log(46.1)log(4.281.0)log( IPQ

Page 85: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 85

Substitutes: b2 is positive

Complements: b2 is negative

Empirical Estimation of Demand

Estimating Complements and SubstitutesEstimating Complements and Substitutes

)log(log)log()log( 22 IcPbPbaQ

Page 86: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 86

What Do You Think?

Are Grape Nuts & Spoon Size Shredded Wheat good substitutes?

The Demand for Ready-to-Eat Cereal

Page 87: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 87

Answer

Estimated demand for Grape Nuts (GN)

Price elasticity = -2.0

Income elasticity = 0.62

Cross elasticity = 0.14

The Demand for Ready-to-Eat Cereal

) log( 014 . ) log( 62 . 0 ) log( 085 . 2 998 . 1 ) log(SW GN GNP I P a Q

Page 88: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 88

Summary

Individual consumers’ demand curves for a commodity can be derived from information about their tastes for all goods and services and from their budget constraints.

Engel curves describe the relationship between the quantity of a good consumed and income.

Page 89: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 89

Summary

Two goods are substitutes if an increase in the price of one good leads to an increase in the quantity demanded of the other. They are complements if the quantity demanded of the other declines.

Page 90: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 90

Summary

Two goods are substitutes if an increase in the price of one good leads to an increase in the quantity demanded of the other. They are complements if the quantity demanded of the other declines.

The effect of a price change on the quantity demanded can be broken into a substitution effect and an income effect.

Page 91: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 91

Summary

The market demand curve is the horizontal summation of the individual demand curves for all consumers.

The percent change in quantity demanded that results from a one percent change in price determines elasticity of demand.

Page 92: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

Chapter 4 Slide 92

Summary

There is a network externality when one person’s demand is affected directly by the purchasing decisions of other consumers.

A number of methods can be used to obtain information about consumer demand.

Page 93: Chapter 4 Individual and Market Demand Individual and Market Demand.

End of Chapter 4

Individual and

Market Demand

Individual and

Market Demand