Top Banner

of 43

Chapter 13x

May 30, 2018

Download

Documents

alfasel
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    1/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 1

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    CHAPTER 13

    BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS

    Mc

    GrawHill

    ENGINEERING ECONOMYSixthEdition Blank and

    Tarquin

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    2/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 2

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    Chapter 13 Learning Objectives

    1. The Breakeven Point.2. Breakeven Analysis Between Two

    Alternatives.

    3. Spreadsheet Application UsingExcels Solver for BreakevenAnalysis.

    4. Chapter Summary.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    3/43

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    4/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 4

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Understanding Breakeven

    Given P, F, A, i, n;If all of the parameters shownabove are known except one, then

    the unknown parameter can becalculated or approximated;

    A breakeven value can bedetermined by setting PW, FW, or

    AW = 0 and solve or approximatefor the unknown parameter.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    5/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 5

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Solving for a Breakeven Value

    Two approaches for solving for anunknown parameter: 1. Direct Solution manually if only one

    interest factor is involved in the setup;

    2. Trial and Error manually if multiplefactors are present in the formulation;

    3. Spreadsheet model where the Excelfinancial functions { PV, FV, RATE, IRR,

    NPV, PMT, and NPER are part of themodeling process: (use Goal Seek orSolver).

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    6/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 6

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 A Cost Revenue Model Approach

    A popular application of Breakeven (BE)

    is where cost revenue volume

    relationships are studied;

    We define cost and revenue functionsand assume some linear or non-linear

    cost or revenue relationships to model;

    One objective: Find a parameter that

    will minimize costs or maximize profits

    termed QBE .

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    7/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 7

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Cost Models Fixed Costs

    Fixed Costs Cost that do not varywith production or activity levels Costs of buildings;

    Insurance;

    Fixed Overhead;

    Equipment capital recovery;

    etc.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    8/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 8

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Variable Costs

    Costs that vary with the level ofactivity; Direct Labor wages;

    Materials;

    Indirect costs;

    Marketing;

    Advertising;

    Warranty; Etc.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    9/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 9

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Fixed Costs

    Essentially constant for all valuesof the variable in question;

    If no level of activity, fixed costs

    continue;Must shut down the activity beforefixed costs can be altereddownward;

    To buffer fixed costs one mustwork on improved efficiencies ofoperations.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    10/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 10

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Variable Costs

    Variable Costs change with thelevel of activity;

    More activity greater variable

    costs;Less activity lover variable costs;

    Variable costs are impacted byefficiency of operation, improved

    designs, quality, safety, and highersales volume.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    11/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 11

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Total Costs

    Total Cost = Fixed Costs + VariableCosts;

    TC = FC + VC;

    Profit Relationships;Profit = Revenue Total Cost

    P = R TC

    P = R {FC + VC}.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    12/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 12

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Cost Revenue Relationships

    Linear Models;Non-linear models;

    Linear and non-linear models are

    used as approximations to reality;A basic linear Cost Relationship isshown on the next slide.

    C i ht Th M G Hill C i I P i i i d f d ti di l

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    13/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 13

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    The McGraw-Hill Companies,WCB/McGraw-

    Figure 16-1 Linear and nonlinear revenue and cost relations used in breakeven analysis.

    C i ht Th M G Hill C i I P i i i d f d ti di l

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    14/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 14

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Basic Cost Relationship (Linear)

    Q Level of Activity per time unit

    C

    O

    S

    T

    Fixed Costs ( level)

    Variable Costs

    Total Costs

    C i ht Th M G Hill C i I P i i i d f d ti di l

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    15/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 15

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Non-linear Models

    Non-linear Models; One or more of the relationships is

    (are) non-linear;

    Example Follows:

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    16/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 16

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Basic Cost Relationship (Linear)

    Q Level of Activity per time unit

    C

    O

    S

    T

    Fixed Costs ( level)

    Variable Costs

    Total Costs

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    17/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 17

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Breakeven

    The breakeven point, QBE

    is the

    point where the revenue and total

    cost relationships intersect:

    For non-linear forms, it is possible

    to have more than one QBE

    point.

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    18/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 18

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Breakeven

    Revenue and Total cost

    relationships tend to be static in

    nature;

    May not truly reflect reality of the

    dynamic firm;

    However, the breakeven point(s)

    can be useful for planning

    purposes.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    19/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 19

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Reduction of Variable costs

    Figure 16-2 Effect on the breakeven point when the variable cost per unit is reduced.

    BE point

    ChangesWhen the

    VCs are

    Lowered.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    20/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 20

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Non-linear BE illustration

    For non-linear analysis the point of

    maximum profit is of interest;

    And, multiple BEs may exist;

    See the next slide!

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc Permission required for reproduction or display

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    21/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 21

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.1 Non-linear Analysis

    Figure 16-3 Breakeven points and maximum-prof i t point for a nonlinear analysis.

    Breakeven Points

    And ProfitMaximization for

    A Non-linear Model

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    22/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 22

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    CHAPTER 13

    Section 13.2

    Breakeven Analysis Between

    Two Alternatives

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    23/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 23

    Copyright The McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

    13.2 Two Alternative Analysis

    Given two alternatives (assumemutually exclusive)

    Need to determine a commonvariable or economic parametercommon to both alternatives;

    Could be: Interest rate,

    First cost (investment), Annual operating cost,

    Etc.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    24/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 24

    py g p , q p p y

    13.2 Breakeven for two alternatives

    Common analysis considers: Revenue or

    Costs

    Common to both options.

    Assume a linear revenue-costrelationship

    See figure 13-7 (next slide).

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    25/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 25

    py g p , q p p y

    13.2 Breakeven for two alternatives

    Total Cost

    Relationships forTwo alternatives.

    Note the intersection

    Of the two TC

    Plots. Both alternatives

    Are equal.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    26/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 26

    y g y

    13.2 Two Alternative Analysis

    The preferred approach is to

    define either a:

    Present worth relationships or,

    Annual worth relationships and,

    Set to two expressions equal and solve

    for the parameter or variable of

    interest.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    27/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 27

    13.2 Three Alternative Analysis

    If three alternatives are presentCompare the alternatives pair-wiseor,

    Use a spreadsheet model to plotthe present worth or annual worthover a specified range of values.

    A typical three alternative plot

    might look like .

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    28/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 28

    Breakeven for Three Alternatives

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    29/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 29

    13. 2 Non-linear Breakeven

    When variable cost relationshipsare non-linear, the analysisbecomes more complicated;

    Use of spreadsheet models andplotting aids are suggested.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    30/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 30

    CHAPTER 13

    Section 13.3

    Spreadsheet Application UsingExcels Solver for Breakeven

    Analysis

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    31/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 31

    13.3 Use of Excels Solver Tool

    SOLVER is one of many built-inExcel analysis tools;

    Solverhas been designed to aid inmore complex forms of goalseeking and performing what-ifevaluations of properly constructedmodels.

    See Appendix A, Section A.4 of thetext.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    32/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 32

    13.3 SOLVER

    For a properly constructed modelsolver will require that the analyst: Specifies a target cell (the objective);

    One or more cell(s) that will have to

    change in order to achieve the desiredtarget cell value.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    33/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 33

    13.3 Target Cell

    The target cellMUST contain avalid Excel formula or function;

    One can: Maximize the target cellvalue or,

    Minimize the cell value 0r,

    Set to some predetermined cell value(like 0, etc.);

    The target cellcannot be a cellreference;

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    34/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 34

    13.3 Changing Cell(s)

    Solver requires the analyst toidentify one or more cells that mustchange to achieve the desiredresult in the target cell;

    Changing cells are, in reality, thedecision variables in the model;

    One or more cells are identified

    that directly or indirectly impactthe target cell.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    35/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 35

    13.3 Achieving the Target CellObjective

    If the model is properlyconstructed and the cellformulas/functions are logicallylinked then: Solverwill iterate the designated

    change cells until the target cellvalue is achieved as close as possible.

    Solverwill generate either exact

    decision variable values or closelyapproximated decision cell values.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    36/43

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    37/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 37

    13.3 See Example 13.5

    Example 13.5 page 436.

    Note the application of the

    financial functions PMT and PV in

    this model.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    38/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 38

    13.3 Figure 13-10 Example 13.5

    Target Cell

    Cell to change first

    Cost of Machine 1

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    39/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 39

    13.3 Changing Cell for Ex. 13.5

    The objective here is to find thebreakeven value of Machine 1sinitial first cost so that the twomachines are economically

    identical at the 10% interest rate.

    The analysis shows that if Machine1 could be purchased for $6564

    then the two alternatives will havethe same annual worth at 10%.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    40/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 40

    13.3 Additional Analysis

    The example also shows what thenet cash flow for machine 1 mustbe to equate to Machine 2.

    Choice of what parameters tostudy are left up to the analyist.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    41/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 41

    Chapter 13 Summary

    Breakeven point for a variable X is

    normally expressed as:

    Units per time period;

    Hours per month; Etc.

    At breakeven, QBEone is indifferent

    regarding a project.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    42/43

    Blank & Tarquin: 5th edition. Ch.13 Authored by Dr. Don Smith, Texas A&M University 42

    Chapter 13 Summary cont.

    Typical models are: Linear or,

    Non-linear.

    Two or more alternatives can becompared using breakevenanalysis;

    BE analysis can be a form of

    sensitivity analysis;Complex models can be evaluatedusing Excels Solverfeature.

    Copyright The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display.

  • 8/14/2019 Chapter 13x

    43/43

    End of Slide Set

    Mc

    GrawHill

    ENGINEERING ECONOMYSixthEdition

    Blank and

    Tarquin