Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 1 Society for Social Studies of Science Conference, Paris, August 2004 Session: Drugs and Regulation CHANGING RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY AND ITS SELECTION ENVIRONMENT Vivien Walsh Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester UK +44 16 12 00 34 34 email [email protected]Abstract Markets are presented as the best, or even the only efficient, means of organising and governing an economic system, though in practice, regulations and other non-market elements may be necessary to make market governance work, and other modes of organisation may be more efficient or equitable. Much of the innovation literature, however, focuses on supply side issues, and so this paper addresses some issues on the demand side. It analyses recent changes in discovery, appropriation and commercialisation of drugs, using the neo-Schumpeterian concept of the Selection Environment into which innovations diffuse, and which determine whether they succeed or fail. Creating a market is a social-shaping as well as an economic activity, and the selection environment is a wider and more complex idea than a market. We draw on sociology and anthropology as well as evolutionary economics in our analysis. Consumers and patient organisations are part of the selection environment, as are the public & private health insurance cos which pay for the drugs and apply price controls or limit reimbursable drugs. So is the regulatory régime which determines whether or not a market can exist , while doctors who test and prescribe new drugs, are intermediaries influencing the innovation’s success. Intellectual property rights are normally associated with the supply side, by encouraging invention, but also affect the demand side: by allowing a firm a monopoly, the establishment of a market for the invention or the IP is encouraged; and discoveries in the public sector may not be implemented at all, if a firm cannot turn it into private property via IPR. Even the behaviour of innovating firms impacts on the demand side via market-creation activity. Drug firms face many changes in its selection environment, from increased regulatory controls in toxicity, efficacy and pricing, to decreased patent life & the intervention of users, and respond by lobbying governments (on regulations, healthcare provision or the definition of “property”); advertising directly to patients (enlisting them in persuading doctors to prescribe); and buying up prescription management firms. The paper analyses changes in the way in which firms, government agencies and
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Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 1
Society for Social Studies of Science Conference, Paris, August 2004 Session: Drugs and Regulation
CHANGING RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY AND ITS
SELECTION ENVIRONMENT Vivien Walsh
Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester
Markets are presented as the best, or even the only efficient, means of organising and governing an economic system, though in practice, regulations and other non-market elements may be necessary to make market governance work, and other modes of organisation may be more efficient or equitable.
Much of the innovation literature, however, focuses on supply side issues, and so this paper addresses some issues on the demand side. It analyses recent changes in discovery, appropriation and commercialisation of drugs, using the neo-Schumpeterian concept of the Selection Environment into which innovations diffuse, and which determine whether they succeed or fail. Creating a market is a social-shaping as well as an economic activity, and the selection environment is a wider and more complex idea than a market. We draw on sociology and anthropology as well as evolutionary economics in our analysis.
Consumers and patient organisations are part of the selection environment, as are the public & private health insurance cos which pay for the drugs and apply price controls or limit reimbursable drugs. So is the regulatory régime which determines whether or not a market can exist , while doctors who test and prescribe new drugs, are intermediaries influencing the innovation’s success. Intellectual property rights are normally associated with the supply side, by encouraging invention, but also affect the demand side: by allowing a firm a monopoly, the establishment of a market for the invention or the IP is encouraged; and discoveries in the public sector may not be implemented at all, if a firm cannot turn it into private property via IPR.
Even the behaviour of innovating firms impacts on the demand side via market-creation activity. Drug firms face many changes in its selection environment, from increased regulatory controls in toxicity, efficacy and pricing, to decreased patent life & the intervention of users, and respond by lobbying governments (on regulations, healthcare provision or the definition of “property”); advertising directly to patients (enlisting them in persuading doctors to prescribe); and buying up prescription management firms. The paper analyses changes in the way in which firms, government agencies and
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 2
the public interact with each other and attempt to gain some control over the innovation process.
Keywords HEALTH, GENETICS, BIOTECHNOLOGY, INNOVATION, BUILDING MARKETS, CONSUMERS, USERS
Introduction
In the ideology of early 21st century capitalism, markets are normally presented as the
best, or even the only efficient, means of organising and governing an economic system,
even though, in practice, the market is not always very satisfactory for governing and
co-ordinating behaviour or allocating resources1. Regulations and other non-market
elements may be necessary to make market governance work, while for many activities
it is socially more desirable or economically more efficient to use other modes of
organisation and governance. This paper examines some of the features of the demand
side in the case of the pharmaceutical industry, although I shall also argue that there is
an important interaction between the demand and supply sides.
Much writing in the innovation literature focuses on the supply side, on firms’
development and exploitation of technological opportunities and on the changes in the
organisational forms in which innovation takes place. This is particularly so in
pharmaceuticals, which are an important example of a science-based sector in Pavitt’s
taxonomy2, with more than 15% of sales typically spent on R&D, and may therefore be
seen as not only a science based but a “science-push” sector, highly dependent on basic
and public sector research. This is especially true of developments based on
biotechnology, which appeared long before a market existed for them: indeed the firms
concerned could be said to have created markets for them3. For this reason, and also
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 3
because I have focused on the supply side of the pharmaceutical industry in another
recent paper4, this paper examines the demand side of innovation in the pharmaceutical
industry.
While neo-classical or standard economics places its emphasis on markets and market
signals and the way in which they govern the allocation of resources or decisions about
technological change, neo-Schumpeterian or evolutionary economics tends to focus on
entrepreneurship, firm capabilities and other supply side factors. In the latter
framework, the role of the firm is stressed as an actor which takes risks, which
undergoes a learning process, and which develops strategies which are influenced by its
own culture, ethos and guiding philosophy as well as by “objective” knowledge. It is not
just an actor which makes decisions on the basis of profit maximisation, given known
prices of inputs and outputs.
In focusing on the demand side in this paper, I am hoping to redress the balance in
evolutionary economics which tends to neglect markets and demand. I am not
embracing a neo-classical perspective. Evolutionary economics does have the concept
of the selection environment5, which captures the idea of the environment into which an
innovation is launched, and which determines whether or not it will be a success, but
this tends to be neglected relative to the emphasis on firm strategies, structures and
behaviour. The selection environment includes the market, but is a broader concept,
comprising in addition a variety of institutions which determine whether or not a market
can exist or its extent. It is rather complex in the case of pharmaceuticals. It includes
professionals such as doctors who carry out clinical trials and recommend products by
prescribing medicines, and the regulatory system which requires compliance (on safety,
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 4
prices and environmental protection) in order for an innovation to be sold. Clearly it
includes the patients who consume the drugs, but also patients’ organisations and
pressure groups which may shape the innovation in various ways, campaign for the
availability of certain drugs, and intervene in the regulatory process.
The analysis in this paper is also intended to explore a rapprochement between
economics and other social science disciplines, especially sociology and anthropology.
The idea of the selection environment is a starting point for this, in that it includes both
the market and the influence of non-market factors such as those mentioned, and thus in
some senses may be said to incorporate ideas about behaviour and culture (the province
of sociology and anthropology) and motivation (the province of psychology) into
economic thinking. Furthermore, the act of market creation is not only an economic but
also a social shaping activity. This paper intends to develop such an interdisciplinary
perspective further.
Demand for medicines
In the 1970s and 1980s, debate about the relative importance of market demand-pull
forces and technology- or discovery-push forces in stimulating innovation6 appeared to
have resolved itself around a consensus that innovation is in fact a coupling process
between technical possibilities or opportunities and market demands or opportunities7,
although at different times in the life cycle of a technology or industry one or other
might be the prime-mover. Radical innovation, for example, is particularly likely to be
initiated by the supply rather than the demand side. But for an innovation to be a
commercial as well as a technical success8, there must be customers who want to buy it
and who have the means to do so.
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 5
This suggests that the rational innovator would seek to find out who were likely to be
customers of the innovation, what their needs were, and how the innovation might best
be adapted to meeting those needs. Research in the social sciences, however, shows us
that managers and innovators often believe they “just know” what their customers
want9, while – especially in the case of radical innovations – it may not be immediately
obvious to potential customers that they have needs which might be met by the
innovation. Neither might the innovator know which are likely to turn out to be the most
promising markets or market segments. Innovators may have to take “situated actions”,
actions which have to be adapted to the unforeseeable contingencies of particular
situations, or those which are taken in the context of circumstances which are constantly
changing and can never be fully anticipated10. Where an innovation departs radically
from what is reasonably familiar to potential customers, traditional market research is
not very useful, and markets often have to be created. Innovators do not just introduce
new artefacts into a pre-existing environment on which they then have some impact.
They have to create both inventions and the social and economic environments in which
they can be successful: and then continuously try and mould those environments
accordingly11.
The existence of various illnesses and medical conditions might be considered to
represent a potential demand for drugs to treat them. But the solution may not be a drug
at all, but a reduction in pollution or the provision of clean water. The major part of the
steady drop over most of the 20th century, in infant mortality rates in England and
Wales, for example, was due to improved public health, housing and other living
conditions. Only about a third of the overall decline (important though it was) can be
attributed to new medicines and vaccines12. In any case, a potential demand is not the
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 6
same as a market signal, though it may be a motivation for key actors. The gap between
the belief that the existence of a medical condition is an indication of a potential
demand for treatment, and the actual demand that materialises when a product or service
becomes available, was illustrated by Ken Green in the creation of markets for
diagnostics by the active intervention by the innovators13. When biotechnology first
appeared as a potential new technology for the pharmaceutical (and later, other,
industries), the entrepreneurs and investors who first tried to commercialise it
discovered that they had enormously misjudged how long it would take to make profits,
and the conditions that would allow demand to be great enough for products to be
commercially viable.
Users and consumers
According to Eric von Hippel14, users can be prime movers in the innovation process,
while Lundvall writes about the importance of collaboration between users and
innovators15. Customer loyalty, market creation and “lock-in” can all be achieved by
providing technical services or training when a radical innovation is first introduced. In
the case of pharmaceuticals, end users appear at first sight to play little role in the
innovation process. Indeed, they are even divorced from the decision to buy, since it is
the doctor who decisively determines the market for drugs by writing a prescription
specifying a particular product.
However, two recent developments have begun to change this situation. First, sales of
over the counter medicines are of course determined by end users, and drugs are
increasingly becoming available over the counter if they have had a trouble-free period
available on prescription only. Glaxo SmithKline’s Zantac is an example. Second,
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 7
manufacturers have begun to promote prescription medicines direct to the public,
especially in the USA where the FDA relaxed broadcast advertising regulations in 1997.
This encourages patients to ask their doctors for branded medicines by name. In the two
years after this change in regulation, 33 products were advertised on US radio or TV (17
of which violated the Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, typically by inadequate
communication of risks. Just under 20% of 320 advertisements analysed offered a
monetary incentive to the reader for using the promoted drug)16.
Until this latter development in the USA it was common for the very high level of
promotional activity carried out by pharmaceutical firms to be largely invisible to the
general public, and this is still the case in other countries. Pharmaceutical advertising is
aimed mainly at doctors, in the form of ads in medical journals, regular visits by
company representatives, (literally) tons of promotional material sent through the post,
and a huge array of products bearing company logos and product brand names offered
as gifts for doctors to use in their surgeries where they will constantly be reminded of
the drugs’ brand names. In the 1960s, the UK Sainsbury Report17 found that the industry
spent more on marketing than it did on research, while in the USA the Kefauver
hearings reported spending on marketing well over 20% of sales and four times as much
as R&D18. By the 1990s, marketing represented 25% of sales for the industry as a
whole19.
Not only do patients rarely decide which drug to buy, they typically do not pay for their
medicines, either. In most countries, private or public health insurance schemes, or a
mixture of both, reimburse patients for the cost of their medicines. Of course, where
insurance is partially or wholly private, there may be substantial sections of the public
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 8
not covered by insurance, typically the poorest. The pattern of separating payment from
consumption, as well as the removal of product choice from the consumer, has been
widespread enough to affect the pattern of competitiveness in the sector decisively.
Price competition has traditionally been rather unimportant in pharmaceuticals, and
firms have tended to compete almost entirely on the basis of new and improved
products.
While the mature period in most engineering and electronics goods sectors is
characterised by cost reduction, minor product variation, design changes and
customisation20, this has not been not the case in pharmaceuticals. Although drug firms
have always produced minor variations on existing medicines both in terms of chemical
variants of active ingredients, and different formulations of dosage forms, a focus on
price reduction through process innovation has not characterised the competitive
strategy of firms in this industry. The strong emphasis on product innovation has been
one of the reasons why the industry was always heavily dependent upon its R&D
activity – to keep the flow of new products arriving – and on its marketing activity to
persuade doctors to prescribe the new brands. In order to keep their profits high and
recoup the costs of R&D, firms have been under pressure to introduce new products
onto the market regularly. High prices are charged for patented and branded drugs, but
once the patent has expired, other firms may make the drugs and sell them under their
generic name at a much lower price.
This, too, is an aspect of the selection environment (and supply side) for drugs which
may be changing. Pisano (1997)21 has argued that radical changes in the market and
technological environments of the pharmaceutical industry since the 1980s have now
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 9
begun to emphasise the important strategic role of process development and
manufacturing capabilities for an industry which had traditionally competed on the basis
of introducing new products alone.
Given that public or private insurance pays for most drugs, the structure of the market is
oligopsonistic or even monopsonistic. This is increasingly the case even in the USA,
where health care and health insurance is largely in the private sector, as a result of the
increased importance since the mid 1990s of Health Management Organisations, which
are linked to the health insurance firms and provide healthcare for about half the US
population (70% of employer health plans). Many of them have generated prescription
management firms as subsidiaries, and these are in a strong position to negotiate
discounts from pharmaceutical firms competing for their products to be included in the
prescription management firms’ formulary lists22. Some pharmaceutical firms attempted
to redress this balance of power in the 1990s, by buying prescription management firms:
for example Merck bought Medco Containment Services in 1993, Smith Kline Beecham
bought Diversified Pharmaceutical Services in 1994, and Eli Lilly bought PCS Health
Systems in 199523.
The price of drugs is strongly controlled or even set by national authorities in most
OECD countries. The economically advanced countries, apart from the USA, all have
some kind of national healthcare system which is partially or wholly publicly funded.
This means that the public sector is a major customer, directly or indirectly, of the
pharmaceutical industry. In the years following World War II when these systems were
established, the guarantee, to some extent, of a market for drugs was an important factor
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 10
in stimulating innovation24, somewhat like the support given to the early
microelectronics industry by defence procurement.
Public policy and public opinion
Any technology which has or is seen to have moral or ethical implications can generate
public concern, and public opinion and political pressure are very important in matters
concerning health. The result is that aspects of the demand side of pharmaceuticals can
be highly politicised. Firms in the pharmaceutical industry have tried to participate in
the political process through the influence and lobbying of their various industry
associations. The major European pharmaceutical and chemical firms, for example,
allocate resources to lobby governments and the European Commission concerning
regulatory matters. This has been particularly important in relation to intellectual
property rights in areas involving living material, and regulations concerning
biotechnology-based products. The Senior Advisory Group on Biotechnology (SAGB),
for example, was established by the Council of the Chemical Industries in Europe
(CEFIC) and made up of representatives of all the large firms in the industry with
biotechnology interests25, with the remit of producing information and lobbying
decision makers to encourage them to take decisions that were as close to the interests
of the industry as possible, especially concerning environmental, product safety,
intellectual property and other regulations governing biotechnology based products,
processes and services.
Campaigning and pressure groups such as Greenpeace, Friends of the Earth, consumer
organisations, “right to life” and “right to choice” groups, are in a position to play a
significant role, while the media not only reflect but also influence public opinion, and
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 11
hence play a part in market shaping. Even though (or perhaps because) consumers rarely
make the decision about which drug they will use or pay for it, they have managed to
play an increasing role in shaping innovation. They are increasingly active in patients’
organisations which not only provide support for others with similar conditions, but
fund – and therefore shape the direction of – research, and they lobby public authorities
over ethical aspects of health care or access to treatment, in some cases achieving
changes in evaluation protocols. In an extreme example of consumer intervention in
innovation, the father of a boy suffering from the fatal genetic disease
adrenoleukodystrophy, himself invented a treatment which became known as
“Lorenzo’s Oil”26
Steven Epstein27 shows that lay AIDS activists challenged the clinical trial as a “black
box”, and by insisting on their rights and claims as patients, were able to change a
central feature of biomedical practice. Eveleen Richards28, has also analysed non-
experts’ participation in biomedical assessment and decision-making, in this case in the
controversy over vitamin C as an anti-cancer agent. Michel Callon and Vololona
Rabeharisoa29 studied AFM, the French Muscular Dystrophy Association which plays
an active role in the co-production of knowledge. Patients and their families have not
only retained control over the association since it was set up in 1958, but also over the
direction of research. They identify three different kinds of organisation, classified by
their relationship with medical and other professionals and their attitude to expertise.
Stuart Blume30 writes about patients who reject the scientific or medical community’s
definition of their state as a threat to their identity, citing the case of deaf people who
refuse cochlear implants.
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 12
One of the pioneers in developing the oral contraceptive, biologist Gregory Pincus31,
was strongly influenced by the birth control movement in America. It was more of a
political or pressure group than a patients’ organisation, but it claimed to represent the
interests of potential users. Its campaigners urged Pincus to seek a biological means of
avoiding pregnancy, and funded his research32. One of these, Katherine McCormack,
was more than an absentee benefactor but became actively involved in management of
the project33.
Table 1 gives the percentage of R&D funding coming from sources that were neither
government nor industry. This was as much as 23.6% in the UK, and was 8.8% in
France, 8.5% in Japan, 5.0% in Italy, 4.8% in the USA and 2.5% in Germany in 2001.
This is the category which includes charitable trusts and patients’ organisations, and
indicates that the level of funding, and therefore of innovation shaping, from such
organisations is not trivial.
The regulatory environment
Pharmaceuticals are an important group of products whose market cannot exist without
the approval of regulatory authorities. Firms have to prove their products’ safety and
efficacy, and sometimes that they represent a significant improvement over products
already available, in order to get a license to sell them from a national licensing
authority such as the Food and Drug Administration in the USA, or the European
Medicines Evaluation Agency which approves drugs throughout the EU. In some
countries drug firms are able to build up relationships over long periods of time with the
regulatory authorities, which has the advantage of enabling them to know what tests are
required and how to manage the whole process of steering a new product through
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 13
toxicity evaluation and clinical trials; and the disadvantage of reducing objectivity in the
event of a crisis. The UK Department of Health, and the Committee on Safety of
Medicines, were criticised in the 1980s for a too “cosy partnership” with the drug
industry which lead to “complete paralysis of action” in a crisis. The crisis in question
was that concerning the drug opren, which was withdrawn after being found to cause
serious side effects34. There have been some heated debates in the literature about
regulations and their implementation, and whether regulations are too strict, delaying
patients’ access to drugs which might prevent suffering and death, or too lax, enabling
drugs with severe side effects to reach the market. The scandal in the 1950s around the
drug thalidomide, which was intended to prevent nausea in pregnancy but caused foetal
malformation, was the event which gave the impetus to a series of government reports
or hearings followed by new legislation tightening up the requirements for drug firms to
test their new products (such as the 1959 Kefauver-Harris amendment to the US Food
Drug and Cosmetic Act (1938), or the Medicines Act (1968) in the UK).
The profitability of the pharmaceutical industry is normally justified in terms of the high
cost of bringing a new drug to market, the number of new products that have to be made
for every drug that successfully meets all the requirements of the regulatory system and
is approved for marketing, and the fact that the pharmaceutical industry funds most of
its own research, in contrast to some other high tech sectors (electronics, aerospace)
which receive substantial amounts of government funding. However, many of the new
chemical entities made in the search for new drugs are rejected before going through the
whole range of animal and clinical tests, that is, before the highest development costs
will have been incurred. In addition, Nader and Love (1993)35 calculated that if the
number of new drugs are classified according to novelty and therapeutic value,
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 14
governments pay for a much higher proportion of the R&D costs of the most significant
drugs.
“Good Citizens”
The building of inter-firm and inter-organisational alliances has been motivated by
firms’ needing to tap into and embed themselves in the different national systems of
innovation, not only for supply side reasons (eg to make the best use of the science and
technology infrastructure, tax-breaks and other favourable government policies) but also
for demand-side reasons. By becoming recognised as an established part, and “good
citizens” of the countries in which they sell their products, firms may shape and
influence their selection environment, notably by influencing the policies of
governments that affect markets, prices and regulatory régimes, as well as carry out the
more traditional activities of establishing links with lead users and compliance with
regulatory requirements necessitating local trials36.
Intellectual Property Rights
An efficient intellectual property system is intended to encourage innovators by
ensuring that they can make a profit from their discoveries and their investments. But it
has an impact on the market, too, since patenting a technology establishes a market, or
the possibility of a market, in what is patented, or in the patents themselves (eg via
licensing or cross-licensing agreements). Strong patent protection allows a firm to have
a monopoly, and therefore to charge monopoly prices for a limited period, while freely
available technology may not be implemented at all, if a firm cannot protect its ability to
generate a revenue from its discoveries. Andrew Tylecote and Paulina Ramirez argue37
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 15
that appropriability, or the ability of intellectual property and other frameworks to
ensure that the profit from innovation accrues mainly to the shareholders of the firm, is
one of three major challenges for financial and corporate governance systems. They
suggest that patenting is an effective means of intellectual property protection in
pharmaceuticals. Other research suggests, however, that pharmaceutical firms have had
to rely on a variety of other means of appropriating knowledge.
In recent years there has been a considerable expansion of what can be considered
intellectual property, and therefore subject to protection via patents, trademarks and
copyrights. Of particular relevance to pharmaceuticals are the rapid changes over the
past 25 years in what the public expects and accepts in IPRs, especially covering
biotechnology38. These have been extended to cover life forms such as novel plants,
genetically modified organisms and genetic sequences, despite opposition especially to
the latter. In addition, trademark law has evolved from an emphasis on protecting
consumers from ‘fakes’ to the protection of manufacturers from competition39, while
new methods of appropriation of resources or knowledge have been adopted, including
exclusive-use contracts, private databases covered by the terms of commercial
confidentiality, and the Co-operative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA)
introduced in the USA under the Federal Transfer of Technology Act (1986). The first
two have been used to appropriate collections of genealogical and medical data, then
used to add value to gene sequence information in the development of diagnostics and
therapies40. CRADAs and trademarks have been invoked in commercialising public
sector research, as in the case of the anticancer drug taxol41. Elsewhere I have discussed
the problems of IPR where the innovation process is cumulative over time and/or
distributed over multiple actors42. Establishing intellectual property rights and extending
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Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 16
their scope (both geographically and in terms of what constitutes ‘property’), is one way
of privatising what was once in the public domain, or the property of a community, and
of creating markets in those areas. Legal and policy changes designed to encourage the
commercialisation of the output of public sector research (eg the Bayh-Dole (1980) and
Federal Transfer of Technology (1986) Acts in the USA) has not only encouraged the
collaboration of academics with existing firms, but also the establishment of new firms
by academics.
Barriers to Market Entry
Alice Sapienza (1989)43 talks about the barriers to entry for new firms in
pharmaceuticals markets. One of the major barriers is the regulatory procedure a drug
must go through in order to undergo clinical trials and then to reach the market. Only
the major firms can afford the sort of investment necessary to demonstrate that its
products meet safety and efficacy regulations, or will have built up the networks of
relationships with the doctors who carry out trials and subsequently recommend
products, or with the regulatory authorities and licensing bodies with whom they
negotiate the tests required for approval, or the prices to be charged and the conditions
under which the product may be used.
Another barrier to entry is the patenting procedure firms follow. The cost and
expertise required in taking out patent protection in all the countries where the new
product might be sold is beyond the means of smaller firms. Meanwhile, patents are
taken out before starting the procedure of trial and compliance with regulations, leaving
only a short time in which to recoup their investment, by marketing the product as
widely as possible in international markets, another activity requiring accumulated
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 17
experience and investment of resources usually limited to the largest firms. The third
barrier to entry is the marketing and distribution network (see above for costs relative to
R&D), and the fourth barrier to entry is the creation or acquisition of new knowledge
necessary for a competitive strategy based on product innovation: the level of
investment in R&D to generate new products and to enable knowledge to be acquired
from outside the firm. The drug firms with the best in-house scientific research are the
best able both to make efficient use of internal R&D and successfully exploit external
knowledge (Gambardella 1992) 44.
Interaction with the supply side
Managers and R&D staff in the innovating firm, normally considered as part of the
supply side, make selections and choices based on their experience and assessment of
what is likely to work or to be accepted by customers. In this way a degree of
interaction or a blurring of boundaries exists between the supply and the demand sides.
Sociologists working in the framework of actor-network theory have developed this
point by discussing the simultaneous construction of a product or a technology and the
market for it. Lead users, for example, may adapt the prototype of an innovative product
to meet their own needs better, or provide feedback to the innovators who will make
adjustments, while at the same time adapting their own practices, relationships and
related products to make better use of the prototype, and enlisting new potential users
by means of a demonstration effect. The market is created and shaped at the same time
as the technology is modified, and there is a blurring of the distinction between “early
adopters” and “late designers”45.
This kind of adjustment between the supply and the demand sides, however, works
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 18
better with an innovative project or system where the lead users can actually get their
hands on and adjust the prototype – such as a road guidance or telecommunications
system or something else which is “designed”. The pharmaceutical industry, which
bases its discovery processes on chemical technology and biotechnology, tends to have
a different relationship to the innovation and the innovator than is the case with
mechanical and electronic example, and do not modify the product to suit their needs in
quite the same way, (except where they may be concerned with innovation in
instruments, equipment, control systems, or chemical plant).
Instead, various users and stakeholders along the supply chain (such as doctors, health
care services, insurance companies, patients’ organisations, pharmacists, public interest
campaign groups and regulatory bodies) play a role in shaping products and services
typically by making demands of the supplier - the innovating firm - rather than playing
the part of “lead users” in the way that users of IT products and services (for example)
might do. They also shape markets by their own acceptance, recommendation,
opposition, reassurance, raising of concerns or campaigning, as the case may be. The
nearest to a conventional lead user is the medical consultant who carries out clinical
trials, provides feedback to the innovator, and may modify dosages or methods of
delivery.
Conclusions
Clearly consumers, potential consumers and consumer organisation are part of the
selection environment, as are the public and private healthcare organisations which pay
for treatment and which try to reduce the drugs bill via direct price controls or limits to
the range of drugs that may be reimbursed. In addition the regulatory régime is a part of
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 19
the selection environment, since it determines whether or not a market can exist in the
first place, while doctors test new drugs, write prescriptions, inform consumers and
raise areas of concern, thereby acting as intermediaries who influence the success or
otherwise of the innovation both directly and indirectly. The intellectual property
régime is normally associated with the supply side, since it is intended to encourage
inventors to invent, but I have argued that it also affects the demand side in an important
way, by enabling the creation of markets for drugs. The behaviour of innovating firms is
a major part of the supply side, but one which interacts significantly with the demand
side through the firms’ market-creating activities.
The pharmaceutical industry has experienced changes in all aspects of its selection
environment, from increased regulatory controls in toxicity, efficacy and pricing,
decreased patent life, and the intervention of users in various ways, to which it has
responded by actively lobbying governments (on regulatory requirements, healthcare
provision, or what may be covered by intellectual property protection); bu advertising
directly to patients (who are enlisted into persuading doctors to prescribe); and (in the
USA) by the acquisition of prescription management firms. The paper has begun a
process of analysing all these changes in the way in which firms, government agencies
and the public interact with each other and attempt to gain some control over the
innovation process, in which moves by one are both cause and consequence of changes
in direction by each of the others.
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 20
Table 1 R&D Resources by Source of Funds. 1985 and 2001
Country Year Government Industry Other Total
USA 1985 48.3 50.0 1.7 100%
2001 30.2 68.3 4.8 100%
UK 1985 43.4 46.0 10.5 100%
2001 30.2 46.2 23.6 100%
Japan 1985 19.1 74.0 6.9 100%
2001 18.5 73.0 8.5 100%
France 1985 52.9 41.4 5.6 100%
2001 38.7 52.5 8.8 100%
Germany 1985 36.7 61.8 1.5 100%
2001 31.5 66.0 2.5 100%
Italy 1985 44.7 51.7 3.6 100%
2001 51.1 43.9 5.0 100%
Source: OECD, 2003: Main Science and Technology Indicators, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 21
NOTES
1 Richard Nelson, 2000: On the complexities and limits of market organisation. Paper presented at the CRIC Workshop on Market Relations and the Competitive Process, Manchester-UMIST Centre for Research on Innovation and Competition, Manchester May 4-5. To be published in a book edited by J. Stanley Metcalfe & Alan Warde, by Manchester University Press.
2 Keith Pavitt, 1984: Sectoral Patterns of Technical Change: Towards a Taxonomy and a Theory, Research Policy, 13 (6) , pp. 343-373.
3 Ken Green, 1992 : Creating demand for biotechnology : shaping technologies and markets. In Rod Coombs, Paolo Saviotti & Vivien Walsh (eds) Technological Change and Company Strategies. London: Academic Press.
4 Vivien Walsh, 2004 : Paradigms in the evolution of life sciences research, and the changing structure of the innovative organisation. To be published in Karl Grandin (ed) Science and Industry in the Twentieth Century, Science History Publications, Canton, MA. 5 For example, Richard Nelson & Sidney Winter, 1982: An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change, Harvard University Press. 6 eg Vivien Walsh 1984 : Invention and Innovation in the Chemical Industry: Demand-Pull or Discovery-Push, Research Policy, 13, pp. 211-234. 7 eg Wendy Faulkner and Jacqueline Senker, 1995 : Knowledge Frontiers: public sector research and industrial innovation in biotechnology, engineering ceramics and parallel computing. Clarendon Press, Oxford, pp 206-211.
8 Christopher Freeman, following Joseph Schumpeter, defines innovation so as to capture two notions : technological novelty and commercial transaction, contributions of both the supply and the demand sides. Freeman 1982: The Economics of Industrial Innovation, London: Frances Pinter p 7.
9 Madeleine Akrich, 1995: User representations, practices, methods and sociology. Pp 167-184 in Managing Technology in Society: the approach of constructive technology assessment, edited by Arie Rip, Thomas Misa and Johan Schot. London: Pinter Publishers.
10 Lucy Suchman, 1987 : Plans and Situated Actions : the problem of human-machine communication, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
11 Michel Callon calls such innovators « engineer-sociologists ». Callon 1987: Society in the making: the study of technology as a tool for sociological analysis. In W. Bijker, T. Hughes and T. Pinch (eds) The Social Construction of Technological Systems. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 22
12 Bryan Reuben and Mike Burstall, 1973 : The Chemical Economy, London: Longman, p 340
13 Ken Green, 1992 : Op Cit note 3.
14 Eric von Hippel, 1988 : The Sources of Innovation. New York: Oxford University Press.
15 Bengt-Åke Lundvall, 1995 : The social dimensions of the the learning economy, Inaugural Lecture, Department of Business Studies, Ålborg University, November 10th.
16 Lexchin, J. & Mintzes, B., 2002: Comments to the Food and Drug Administration on Direct-to-Consumer Advertising of Prescription Drugs. www.fda.gov/ohrms/ dockets/dailys/02/Sep02/091302/02N-0209_emc-000108-01.DOC. 17 The Sainsbury Report, 1967: Report of the Committee of Inquiry into the relationship of the pharmaceutical industry with the National Health Service. Cmnd 3410. London: HMSO. 18 Jordan Goodman, 2000 : Pharmaceutical industry. In J. Pickstone & R. Cooter (eds) Medicine in the Twentieth Century. Harwood Academic Publishers, London, 143-156.
19 Tarabusi and Vickery 1998 : Globalisation in the Pharmaceutical Industry. International Journal of Health Services, 28 (2) 281-303
20 Utterback, J.M., 1994: Mastering the Dynamics of Technological Change, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA, p xvii
21 Pisano, G., 1997: The Development Factory: Unlocking the Potential of Process Innovation. Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
22 Scrip Magazine, May 1996, 36-37.
23 G.M. Taber, 1995: Remaking an industry: Drug makers have an urge to merge as they try to get their profits back up. TIME Magazine, 146 (10), 4 September, p 1. 24 Vivien Walsh, Paulina Ramirez and Gindo Tampubolon, 2000 : La mondialisation de l’activité innovatrice dans l’industrie pharmaceutique. In M. Delapierre, P. Moati & E. Mouhoud (eds) Connaissance et Mondialisation, Economica, Paris. English version available as mimeo (‘Globalisation of innovation in the pharmaceutical industry’).
25 Eg SAGB 1990: Economic Benefits and European Competitiveness, CEFIC, Brussels.
26 David Concar, 2002: Lorenzo’s Oil finally proven to work. New Scientist.com news service 26th September. Accessed 18.8.04.
27 Epstein, S., 1995: The construction of lay expertise: AIDS activism and the forging of credibility in the reform of clinical trials. Science, Technology & Human Values, 20 208-437; Ibid, 1996: Impure Science: AIDS, Activism and the Politics of Knowledge. University of California Press, Berkeley; Ibid, 1997: Activism, drug regulation, and the
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 23
politics of therapeutic evaluation in the AIDS era: a case study of the ddC and the “surrogate markers” debate. Social Studies of Science, 27, 691-726.
28 Eveleen Richards, 1988: The politics of therapeutic evaluation: the vitamin C and cancer controversy. Social Studies of Science, 18, 653-701; Ibid, 1991: Vitamin C and Cancer: Medicine or Politics. Macmillan, Basingstoke.
29 Michel Callon, & Vololona Rabeharisoa, 2003: Research “in the wild” and the shaping of new social identities, Technology in Society, 25, 193-204. See also Rabeharisoa, V. & Callon, M., 2001: The involvement of patients in research activities supported by the French Muscular Dystrophy Association. In S. Jasanoff (ed) States of Knowledge: Science, Power and Political Culture. Chicago University Press, Chicago, IL.
30 Stuart Blume, 1997: The rhetorics and counter rhetorics of a “bionic” technology. Science, Technology and Human Values, 32, 51-6.
31 Gregory Pincus, 1965: The Control of Fertility, London, Academic Press.
32 Pincus first received a grant from the Planned Parenthood Federation of America (Reed 1984) and then Katherine McCormack funded his work to the tune of over $2 million altogether (Marks 2001: 56), from her farm machinery business (Seaman & Seaman 1978). B. Seaman & G. Seaman, 1978: Women and the Crisis in Sex Hormones, Harvester Press, New York. Lara Marks, 2001 (see next ref). James Reed, 1984: The Birth Control Movement and American Society: From Private Vice to Public Virtue. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
33 Lara Marks 2001: Sexual Chemistry, Yale University Press, New Haven pp 53-59
34 F. Lesser, 1983 : Drugs monitor needs sharper teeth. New Scientist, March 17th. 35 Nader, R., and Love, J., 1993: Federally Funded Pharmaceutical Inventions. Testimony before the Special Committee on Aging, United States Senate, February 24.
36 Vivien Walsh, Paulina Ramirez and Gindo Tampubolon, 2000 : La mondialisation de l’activité innovatrice dans l’industrie pharmaceutique. In M. Delapierre, P. Moati & E. Mouhoud (eds) Connaissance et Mondialisation, Economica, Paris. English version available as mimeo (‘Globalisation of innovation in the pharmaceutical industry’).
37 Tylecote and Ramirez 2004: Hybrid corporate governance and its effects on innovation: a case study of AstraZeneca. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 16 (1) 97-119.
38 Maurice Cassier 2002: Private Property, collective property and public property in the age of genomics, International Social Science Journal, n° 171, p 83-98; Cori Hayden, 1998: A biodiversity sampler for the millennium. In Franklin, Sarah & Ragoné, Helena (eds) Reproducing Reproduction: Kinship, Power and Technological Innovation. Philadelphia, PA: The University of Pennsylvania Press.
Vivien Walsh 4S paper 2-Sep-04 page 24
39 Rosemary Coombe,1998: The Cultural Life of Intellectual Properties: Authorship, appropriation and the law. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, p 53
40 Gísli Pálsson and Kristín Har�ardottir, 2002: For Whom the Cell Tolls: Debates About Biomedicine Current Anthropology, April. Hilary Rose, 2001: The Commodification of Bioinformation: the Icelandic Health Database. London: The Wellcome Trust.
41 Walsh, V., & Goodman, J., 2002: From taxol to Taxol�: the changing identities and ownership of an anticancer drug. Medical Anthropology, 21, 307-336.
42 Vivien Walsh, 2004 : see ref 4.
43 Sapienza, A., 1989: R&D Collaboration as a Global Competitive Tactic: Biotechnology and the Ethical Pharmaceutical Industry. R&D Management, 19 (4) 285-295.
44 Gambardella, A., 1992: Competitive advantages from in-house basic research, Research Policy, 21, 391-407.
45 Eg Vincent Mangematin and Michel Callon, 1995 : Technological competition, strategies of firms and the choice of the first users : the case of road guidance technologies. Research Policy, 24, 441-458. Madeleine Akrich, ref 9.