Changing Demographics and Growth Patterns in Nebraska Jerry Deichert UNO Center for Public Affairs Research [email protected]402-554-2134 www.unomaha.edu/cpar www.facebook.com/unocpar Nebraska Chamber of Commerce & Industry 2014 Legislative Caucus/Annual Meeting January 30, 2014 Lincoln, NE
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Changing Demographics and Growth Patterns in Nebraska Jerry Deichert UNO Center for Public Affairs Research [email protected][email protected].
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Changing Demographics and Growth Patternsin Nebraska
Jerry DeichertUNO Center for Public Affairs Research
Nebraska Net Migration Rate by Decade: 1920s to 2000s
Decade
Mig
rati
on
Rat
e (a
s a
per
cen
t o
f to
tal
po
pu
lati
on
at
star
t o
f d
ecad
e)
Sources: Decennial Censuses, U.S. Census Bureau; Vital Statistics Reports, Nebraska Department of Health and Human ServicesPrepared by: Center for Public Affairs Research, UNO
1925
1927
1929
1931
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
-60,000
-50,000
-40,000
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Nebraska Components of Population Change, 1930-2013
Net Migration Natural Change
Per
son
s
1991-1999
Source: Annual Population Estimates, U.S. Census BureauVital Statistics Reports, Nebraska Department of Health and Human Services
2010 Nebraska Population by Sex and Five-Year Age Group
Percent of Total Population
FemaleMale
Age Group
Source: 2010 Census, U.S. Census BureauGreen lines depict the depression cohort; red checker shows the "baby boom"; pink represents the "baby boom echo"; pink crosshatch shows the "3rd wave"
21
All ages
Under 5
5 to 9
10 to 14
15 to 19
20 to 24
25 to 29
30 to 34
35 to 39
40 to 44
45 to 49
50 to 54
55 to 59
60 to 64
65 to 69
70 to 74
75 to 79
80 to 84
85+
-20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
6.7
12.7
4.4
-4.8
-4.4
7.4
15.2
4.4
-15.1
-17.4
4.7
26.4
51.7
49.3
15.9
-3.6
-3.2
9.4
15.8
Percentage Change for 5-Year Age Groups in Nebraska: 2000 to 2010
Percent ChangeSources: 2000 and 2010 Censuses, U.S. Census Bureau Prepared by: Center for Public Affairs Research, UNO
Percentage Change in Nebraska Population by 5-year Age Group: 2010-20
Percent
Age
grou
p
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Censuses;Projections by Center for Public Affairs Research, UNO, Aug. 2013
Race and Hispanic/Latino Origin
• Nebraska’s population growth is predominately in minority racial and ethnic groups
– Hispanic or Latino (of any race) grew by 77 percent
• Accounted for nearly two-thirds of state’s overall growth
– The White, non Hispanic population barely increased (0.4%)
• In 2010, Minority population was 17.9 percent of total
– Up from 12.7 in 2000 and 7.4 percent in 1990
• Minority population is much younger
– Relatively more under 40
– Relatively fewer 40+ 27
Race and Hispanic/Latino Origin Change 2000-2010
• Total population 6.7 percent• Not Hispanic/Latino Origin 2.6 percent
– White alone 0.4 percent– African American or Black alone 19.9 percent– American Indian & Alaska Native alone 9.9 percent– Asian alone 47.2 percent– Nat. Hawaiian, Pac. Islander alone 49.3 percent– Some other race alone 59.5 percent– Two or more races 60.6 percent