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Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah
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Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Dec 23, 2015

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Page 1: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty

Anuj Shah

Page 2: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Disparities

Missed appointmentsPoor medical adherenceFewer words spoken/less reading to kidsHarsher, less consistent disciplineLess productive at workMarital instabilityBorrow too much, save too littleMore vulnerable to fraudGet less sleepLower self-esteemGreater stress

Page 3: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Poverty impedes cognitive function

Page 4: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.
Page 5: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

A beer on the beach

Resort Grocery0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3 Chart Title

WTP (

$)

Thaler (1985)

Page 6: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Poor decisions

Our decisions are often swayed by normatively irrelevant factors.

+

Page 7: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

N = 578

Study 1: A beer on the beach

Low Income High Income0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8Resort

Grocery

WTP (

$)

Page 8: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Replication

N = 1898

Low Income High Income0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8Resort

Grocery

WTP (

$)

Page 9: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Replication

N = 145

Low Income High Income0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Bar People

WTP (

$)

Page 10: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.
Page 11: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.
Page 12: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.
Page 13: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

This is insight guides the use of “framing effects” in policy.

Page 14: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Having more means…

Page 15: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Having more means…

Page 16: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Having less means…

Page 17: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Scarcity and context

Abundance: Scarcity:

Page 18: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

N = 578

Study 1: A beer on the beach

Low Income High Income0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8Resort

Grocery

WTP (

$)

Page 19: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 2: Reasons

Location Tradeoffs0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

Low Income

High Income

N = 102

Page 20: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 3a: Proportional thinking

$50 $50 $50

$300 $500 $1000

Tversky & Kahneman(1981)

Page 21: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 3a: Proportional thinking

Percentage Tradeoffs0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Low Income

High Income

N = 238

Page 22: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 3b: Proportional thinking

Low Income High Income0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100$300 $500 $1,000

Perc

enta

ge T

raveling f

or

Dis

count

N = 702

Page 23: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 4: Mental accounts

“that’s expensive!” “that’s not so bad.”

Morewedge et al. (2007)

Page 24: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 4: Mental accounts

N = 259

Low Income High Income1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Small Account

Large Account

Expensi

veness

Page 25: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 5: Caloric scarcity

Page 26: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 5: Caloric scarcity

N = 259

Dieters Non-dieters1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Small Account

Large Account

Fatt

enin

g

Page 27: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 6: The feud

Page 28: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 6: Expensiveness

Poor Rich123456789

1011

Small

Large

Expensi

veness

N = 73

Page 29: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Implications

Certain policy levers may not be as useful in nudging the poor

Reconciling economic and psychological views of decision making

A possible reason for diminished bandwidth

Some capacities are honed, rather than diminished

Page 30: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Honed capacities

Tradeoff thinkingPreference stability

Price knowledge

Alertness

Careful spending

Page 31: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Honed capacities

Tradeoff thinkingPreference stability

Price knowledge

Alertness

Careful spending

Page 32: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Please don’t fall asleep.

bed

rest

tired

dream

wake

snooze

blanket

doze

slumber

awake

SLEEP

snore

nap

lady

male

strong

woman

beard

handsome

muscle

doze

father

uncle

MAN

person

son

Page 33: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

The fabric of thoughts

bed

rest

tired

dream

wake

snooze

blanket

doze

slumber

awake

SLEEP

snore

nap

lady

male

strong

woman

beard

handsome

muscle

doze

father

uncle

MAN

person

son

Page 34: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 7: Seeing what isn’t there

pay

rent

cash

dollar

coin

utilities

grocery

gas

expense

loan

MONEY

bills

phonelady

male

strong

woman

beard

handsome

muscle

doze

father

uncle

MAN

person

son

Man Money0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2Low IncomeHigh Income

N = 125

Page 35: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

$

Page 36: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Three questions

Do the poor spontaneously think about money?

Are these thoughts hard to suppress?

Do these thoughts interfere with how we enjoy experiences?

Page 37: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 8: A visit to the doctorImagine that you have been feeling sick lately and finally decide to go see a doctor about it…The doctor explains that you have a serious condition that requires immediate attention. The good news, however, is…you are virtually guaranteed to make a full recovery...The doctor writes several prescriptions…You will also need to make several appointments…

What would be on your mind or how would you feel as you hear this news… What are three things you would think about or feel?

“wife son coworker”“scared afraid worried”

“relief hope joy”

“cost family work”

Page 38: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 8: A visit to the doctor

Low Income High Income0

0.020.040.060.080.1

0.120.140.160.180.2

Proportion mentioning money-related thoughts

N = 198

Page 39: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 9: Distracted driving

Try not to think about how much you drive each month.

Try not to think about how much you spend on driving each month.

Page 40: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 9: Distracted driving

Driving Spending0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Low Income

High Income

# o

f in

tru

sio

ns

N = 568

Page 41: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 10: Hedonic interference

Page 42: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

Study 10: Hedonic interference

Poor Rich1

2

3

4

5

6

7up front

paygo

En

joym

en

t

N = 297

Page 43: Changes in preferences and everyday thinking in the context of poverty Anuj Shah.

A cognitive psychologist’s view of poverty

Less susceptibility to framing effects

Money-related thoughts are highly accessible or top of mind