Challenges of Micro-Weather Forecasting for UAS Skyways Dr James Pinto Deputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory NCAR, Boulder 29 April 2019 1 With key contributions from: Sean Bailey and Suzanne Weaver Smith (UKY) Pedro Jimenez, Anders Jensen Tracy Hertneky (RAL) Gijs De boer (University of Colorado)
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Challenges of Micro-Weather Forecasting for UAS Skyways · 2019-04-29 · Challenges of Micro-Weather Forecasting for UAS Skyways Dr James Pinto Deputy Director, Research Applications
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Challenges of Micro-Weather Forecasting for UAS Skyways
Dr James PintoDeputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory
NCAR, Boulder29 April 2019
1
With key contributions from: Sean Bailey and Suzanne Weaver Smith (UKY)Pedro Jimenez, Anders Jensen Tracy Hertneky (RAL)Gijs De boer (University of Colorado)
Challenge
• Small UAS very susceptible to finescale weather variability• Smaller scale phenomena are inherently more
uncertain to predict.
2
UncertaintyPredictive Scale
What are the requirements for a particular UAS operation?
How do we translate uncertain wx info into decisions?
3
FinescalePrediction
Impacts Translation
UAS Sensor Calibration
Gap Analysis
Partnerships
User Interactions
NCAR UAS/UAM Wx Program
Improve Guidance/ UAS Wx Integration
Realtime Finescale Prediction for LAPSE-RATE
4
100 m grid spacing
3km grid spacing
NOAA/NCEP High Resolution Rapid Refresh
100 km
Meso-to-microscale coupling research ongoing at NCAR (Munoz-Esparza et al. 2018)
LAPSE-RATE Field Experiment• Period: 15-21 July 2018• Location: San Luis Valley,