Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Statistics Netherlands Return migration rates of recent immigrants compared to flows in the previous century UNECE/Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics, Geneva 17-19 October 2012 Han Nicolaas Statistics Netherlands
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands Return migration rates of recent immigrants compared to flows in the previous century UNECE/Eurostat.
Mar 31, 2015
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Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Return migration rates of recent immigrants compared to flows in
the previous century
UNECE/Eurostat Work Session on Migration Statistics, Geneva
17-19 October 2012
Han Nicolaas
Statistics Netherlands
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Overview
• Introduction
• History
• Migration from Poland
• Comparison of EU-countries
• Conclusions
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Introduction
• Poland: main country of origin of immigrants who came to the Netherlands in 2011
• Immigration behaviour of Polish: comparable to Turks/Moroccans or more to Spaniards/Italians?
• Will Polish labour migrants generate a new phase of family migration?
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Immigration and emigration: the Netherlands
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
x 1,000
Immigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Immigration and emigration: the Netherlands
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
x 1,000
Immigration
Emigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Migration: foreign born persons, 2011
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Poland
Germany
former Soviet Union
China
Bulgaria
Neth. Antilles + Aruba
USA
United Kingdom
Turkey
India
immigration emigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share of women in immigration
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
Turks Moroccans
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share of women in immigration
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
Turks Moroccans Spaniards Italians
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Return migration of migrants from Mediterranean countries, 1964-1973
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
< 1 yr < 2 yr < 3 yr < 4 yr < 5 yr < 6 yr < 7 yr < 8 yr < 9 yr < 10 yr
duration of stay
%
Spaniards
Italians
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Return migration of migrants from Mediterranean countries, 1964-1973
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
< 1 yr < 2 yr < 3 yr < 4 yr < 5 yr < 6 yr < 7 yr < 8 yr < 9 yr < 10 yr
duration of stay
%
Spaniards
Italians
Turks
Moroccans
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share by age group of Turkish and Italian immigrants
Turks
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
0 - 19 years 20 - 29 years 30 years or older
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share by age group of Turkish and Italian immigrants
Turks Italians
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
0 - 19 years 20 - 29 years 30 years or older
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
0 - 19 years 20 - 29 years 30 years or older
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Migration from Poland
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
x 1,000
Immigraton Emigration Net migration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share of women in immigration
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
%
Turks Italians
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
Turks Italians Poles (1999-2009)
Share of women in immigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Polish immigrants by household position
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2009
%
single person child in couple w ith children in couple w ithout children other
year of immigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Share by age group of Polish immigrants
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
%
0 - 19 years 20 - 29 years 30 years or older
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
< 1 yr < 2 yr < 3 yr < 4 yr < 5 yr < 6 yr < 7 yr < 8 yr < 9 yr < 10 yr
duration of stay
%
Spaniards
Italians
Return migration of migrants from Mediterranean countries (1964-1973)
and from Poland (2000-2009)
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
< 1 yr < 2 yr < 3 yr < 4 yr < 5 yr < 6 yr < 7 yr < 8 yr < 9 yr < 10 yr
duration of stay
%
Spaniards
Italians
Turks
Moroccans
Return migration of migrants from Mediterranean countries (1964-1973)
and from Poland (2000-2009)
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Return migration of migrants from Mediterranean countries (1964-1973)
and from Poland (2000-2009)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
< 1 yr < 2 yr < 3 yr < 4 yr < 5 yr < 6 yr < 7 yr < 8 yr < 9 yr < 10 yr
duration of stay
%
Spaniards
Italians
Turks
Moroccans
Poles
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1996-2002 2003-2009
%
Single In couple w ith child In couple w ithout child Other Totalyear of immigration
Return migration of Poles within 7 years after immigration, by household position
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Return migration of EU-citizens within 7 years after immigration
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
EU-14 EU-10 Bulgaria & Romania
%
1996-2002 2003-2009
Year of immigration
Centraal Bureau voor de StatistiekStatistics Netherlands
Conclusions
• Mediterranean immigrants in the previous century are different from recent labour migrants in terms of age, sex and household position
• Labour migrants from Turkey/Morocco generated family migrants. As yet, Poles do not
• Based on actual high return emigration rates, recent high EU-immigration will lead to high emigration in time
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