Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP) Penelope Weinberger CTPP Program Manager - AASHTO

Census Transportation Planning Products (CTPP)

Penelope Weinberger CTPP Program Manager - AASHTO

Oregon SDC Meeting(November 4, 2010)

1

What is the CTPP Program Today?

The CTPP is an umbrella program of data products, custom tabulations, training, technical assistance, and research for the transportation community. 

CTPP uses American Community Survey (ACS) data from U.S. Census Bureau.  

WARNING!

Decennial Census has no Long Form – No JTW data in Decennial Census!

2

History of CTPP

Buyers/Users Direct Cost Tables

1960 OMB ??? ???

1970 Individual contracts (112)

$0.6 M 43

1980 Individual contracts (152)

$2.0 M 82

1990Nationwide

covering all States and MPOs

$2.5 M 120

2000 $3.0 M 203

today $5.8 M 200*

CTPP Then and Now

CTPPackage CTPProducts Program

The CTPP program now includes:

– Data products

– Training and technical assistance• On-call user support• Training classes and web seminars

– Research• Integration of data sources• Disclosure avoidance

4

CTPP Program Activities and Costs

Develop specialized data products 63%

Conduct research, training and outreach 21%

Manage the program 3%

Unallocated balance 12%

Total Program Costs $5,844,332

5-Year Program: 2008 ~ 20125

CTPP Basics

• Planning Support for over 20 federal planning requirements• Data for supporting a wide variety of transportation

planning tasks – Policy studies– Travel demand modeling– Congestion management– Emergency preparedness– Corridor and project studies– Transit new start and service planning– Environmental justice studies– Air quality conformity – Environmental justice reviews– Trends analyses

CTPP Accomplishments To Date

• State, Local and County Profiles for 2005-2007 are completed and posted at the AASHTO website

• CTPP based on 3-Year ACS list finalized and Special Tabulations delivered to FHWA and AASHTO in late June/early July, with web-based delivery to practitioners expected October/November 2010

• Data access software development underway – Beta testing in November– Final in December

• Plans for a TRB Census Conference in fall 2011 are underway

• CTPP based on 5-Year ACS (2006 – 2010) table list developed as part of NCHRP 8-79 Disclosure Proofing Research Project

Products and Things

3-year CTPP Data Product

CTPP 3-Year

September 2010

Oct/Nov 2010

2006, 2007, 2008

20,000 Pop. Areas

(County, Place, PUMAs)

Actual Flows

http://trbcensus.com/products

_______________

The 3-year Product Design

2000 Geography

MSA – EACH Principal City

Metropolitan Statistical Area

State-POW PUMA

State-PUMA

State-Place

State-County-MCD

State-County

Nation (US Total)

Product Structure

3-Parts

Part 1- Place of Residence

Part 2- Place of Work

Part 3- Flows between Home and Work

with On-Line Extraction Software

State

http://ctpp.transportation.org/Documents/CTPP_custom_tabulations_based_on_3yracs2006_2008.xls

3-year CTPP Product Summary

Highlights Low LightsBased on CTPP2000 Tables

Many NEW Univariate Tables

More Age Tables

Streamlined Race Tables

More HH and HH Lifecycle Tables

More English Proficiency Tables

Way more Flows Tables

Incomplete Coverage

RoundedReduced Number of Crosstabs with Mode

-- Travel time-- Household income-- Vehicle availability-- Age-- Time leaving home

Tables will have Suppression

-- Means based on 3 values -- 3 records in Flow

MOEs

Some Issues to be aware of

What year is the data? Period Estimate brought forward to year of releaseWhat Data to use? Reliability vs. Currency

3-year ACS (2006, 2007, 2008)

Significance Testing--Why do it?

MOE, MOE, MOE

http://www.edthefed.com/presentations/significance%20testing.ppt

Source: CTPP Data Profiles http://ctpp.transportation.org/Pages/overview.aspx

A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data

Set of user-specific handbooks

Train-the trainer materials

E-learning ACS Tutorial

http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html

Working with ACS

Quick Overview of ACS

• Period Estimate, not Point in Time• ~ 1 in 9 sample for 5-year data• Household based• Collected monthly and accumulated• One year

– Data released for areas 65,000 or greater• Three Year

– Data released for areas 20,000 or greater• Five Year

– Data released for All Geographies• Subject to Disclosure Rules, of course

Collapsing

3 unweighted records for each Mode

A word about Collapsing

CTPP products collapsing schema

Accessing the 3-year data

• All available on a single easy-to-use free website– Free to use, but you do need to register– Online help and tutorials help users along the way

• Create “sessions”, which are groups of tables with a common geography selection– Select geography using a map and/or drill down

through the geographic hierarchy

• Search for tables by dimension name or any relevant word– Either within one of the parts or across all parts

Viewing the data

• Open any table, either in your “session” or from the public view.

• From there, you can customize your view of the data:– Rearrange dimensions– Make selections on any dimension– View charts– View the data on a thematic map– Aggregate items using standard functions or provide a formula

(margin of error will be recalculated for you for simpler formulas)– Save your report for future use– Save your selections and aggregations for use in other tables

Exporting the Data

• Once you have set up the table you want to see, you can export it:

– Export the data in CSV, XLS or Beyond 20/20 (IVT) format for use in your own analysis tools

– Export SHP files for viewing maps in your own GIS engine

• Entire “sessions” can be exported in a single operation.

Products and Things

TAZ

• Software being developed by Caliper at CB

• TAZ Delineation Business Rules

TAZ Size

• The Census Bureau recommends – approximately 600 persons

• This minimum corresponds to the minimum threshold allowable for 2010 Census block groups.

– threshold is guideline not a requirement. – Base TAZ may be defined with fewer than 600

residents or workers – as a general rule, data reliability and availability

improves as population size or number of workers increases.

“NEW” TAZs Traffic Analysis Zones

http://download.ctpp.transportation.org/TAZ_Rules/TAZ%20Delineation%20Business%20Rules_CTPP%20Final.pdf

• Developed in Summer 2011

• TAZs will nest with TADs

• GIS equivalency process

• Funded under Consolidated Purchase

• FHWA is contacting state DOTs to set up contacts

TAZTraffic Analysis Zone

Traditional Size

TADTraffic Analysis

District

20,000 population

Products and Things

Why are PUMAs Important?

Let’s Look at Annual Data

● Annual Data

● 65K+

● Note the areas in gray

● We call this Swiss Cheese

NE Illinois (2008 pop estimate)

Chicago

Why are PUMAs Important?

NE Illinois (PUMAs)

Tabulation Area for ACS

● Represent 100K

● Complete Coverage

● Smaller than Counties

● NO Swiss Cheese

How many PUMAs should this area have?

http://www.census.gov/geo/www/maps/puma5pct.htm

City of Chicago 2000 PUMAs

2,896,016 (2000 Pop)

Why are PUMAs Important?

- Defines areas for analysis - Tabulation Area for ACS

Who Defines Them? - The Community - Led by State Data Center

When are They Defined? - Summer 2011 - Criteria out Spring 2010

Products and Things

New

Geography

Requires implementation of new disclosure avoidance (“masking”) techniques

5-year CTPP Data Product

• Cell Means and aggregates require 3 unweighted records

DRB rules for the CTPP 5-year tab

• For Pt 3 Flow Tables: 3 unweighted records for each table, each cell, with the exception of the 1-way Means of Trans. table

• 3 unweighted records for the marginal's in any cross-tabulation with Means of Trans.

5-year CTPP Data Product

NCHRP 08-79 ($550K) Producing Transportation Data Products from the ACS that Comply With Disclosure Rules

NCHRP is funded by State DOTs SP&R

Project schedule: Jan 2010-July 2011Fast-track with final report due in July 2011

Need results to be applied to 2006-2010 ACS for the 5-year CTPP (delivery to software vendor in summer 2012)

http://rip.trb.org/browse/dproject.asp?n=22349

CTPP Oversight Board17 Voting Members – 9 States, 8 MPOs

10 Ex-Officio Members

• Jennifer Finch, Chair, CO

• Jonette Kreideweis, Vice Chair, MN

• Laine Heltebridle, PA • Nathan Erlbaum, NY• Hui Wei Shen, FL• Paul Agnello, VA • Phillip Mescher, IA• Ahmad Jaber, UT• Ayalew Adamu, CA

• Kuo-Ann Chiao, NYMTC• Mell Henderson, MARC• Arash Mirzaei, NCTCOG• Guy Rousseau, ARC• Clara Reschovsky,

MWCOG• Pete Swensson, TRPC• Vacancy*• Penelope Weinberger,

AASHTO, CTPP Program Manager

33

CTPP Oversight BoardEx-Officio Members

• Ed Christopher, FHWA• Alison Fields, Census

Bureau• Rich Denbow, AMPO• Elaine Murakami, FHWA• Melanie Rapino, Census

Bureau

• Erika Young, NARC• Alan Pisarski,

Consultant• Steven Polzin, USF.

CUTR • Nanda Srinivasan, TRB• Ken Cervenka, FTA

AASHTO Census Data Work Group With 30+ MembersCTPP Federal Technical Advisory Group

TRB Subcommittees– List Serve (830 Members) & Quarterly Newsletters

34

CTPP Key Contacts

• Penelope WeinbergerAASHTO CTPP Program [email protected]

• Brian McKenzieCensus BureauJTW & Migration [email protected]

http://ctpp.transportation.org

35