CASC2D Input Data CASC2D Input Data Elevation Land Use Soils Channels Cave Creek Hassyampa River
CASC2D Input Data Elevation Land Use Soils Channels Cave Creek Hassyampa River.
Dec 19, 2015
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CASC2D Input DataCASC2D Input Data
Elevation Land Use Soils Channels
Cave Creek
Hassyampa River
Radar ImagesRadar Images
Time = 1:00
Radar ImagesRadar Images
Time = 2:00
Radar ImagesRadar Images
Time = 3:00
Radar ImagesRadar Images
Time = 4:00
Analysis of Moving Storm CellsAnalysis of Moving Storm Cells
Selected 100 Storm Cells and Analyzed
• Average Velocity
• Average Intensity
• Average Size
• Life Span
Calibration ResultsCalibration Results
Precipitation Surface Depth Infiltration
Time = 10 hr.
Precipitation Surface Depth Infiltration
Time = 16 hr.
Precipitation Surface Depth Infiltration
Time = 22 hr. Time = 28 hr.
Precipitation Surface Depth Infiltration
Calibration ResultsCalibration Results
Cave Creek
Hassyampa River
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2500 2800 3100 3400 3700 4000 4300
Time (min)
Dis
char
ge (c
fs)
OBSERVED CASC2D
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
Time (min)
Dis
cha
rge
(ft3/s
)
Observed CASC2D
Verification ResultsVerification Results
Cave CreekHassyampa River
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
Time (min)
Dis
char
ge (
cfs)
OBSERVED CASC2D
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 2500
Time (min)
Dis
char
ge (
ft3/s
)
Observed CASC2D
Forecasting ConceptForecasting Concept
V1
V2
V3
Time = t1
Time = t2
Time = t3
Forecast HydrographsForecast Hydrographs
With Precipitation Forecasts
Without Precipitation Forecasts
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
-16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Forecast Lead Time (hr)
Dis
char
ge (
m3 /s
)
Lead = -13 hr Lead = -11 hr Lead = -9 hr
Lead = -7 hr Lead = -5 hr Observed Hydrograph
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
-16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Forecast Lead Time (hr)
Dis
char
ge (
m3 /s
)
Lead = -13 hr Lead = -11 hr Lead = -9 hr
Lead = -7 hr Lead = -5 hr Observed Hydrograph
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