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    Shipbuilding MarketOverviewCargotec Capital Markets Day,

    Helsinki, 17th November 2011.

    Steve Gordon,

    Clarkson Research Services Limited (CRSL)

    The information supplied herewith is believed to be correct but the accuracy thereof is not guaranteed and the Company andits employees cannot accept liability for loss suffered in consequence of reliance on the information provided. Provision of

    this data does not obviate the need to make further appropriate enquiries and inspections. The information is for the use ofthe recipient only and is not to be used in any document for the purposes of raising finance without the written permission of

    Clarkson Research Services.

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    Agenda

    1. Market Position, Seaborne Trade, World Fleet

    2. Regional Shipbuilding Capacity

    3. Ship Type Investment & Outlook

    4. Summary

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    Market Position: Clarksea Index

    Three very differentdecades!

    Between the end of May2008 and mid-April 2009,the Index fell from almost$50,000/day to a low of$7,350/day.

    2009 & 2010 proved betterthan expected and lowinterest rates helped.

    Sentiment now weaker -as of 11th November 2011,$11,142 / day

    TheThe ClarkseaClarksea Index (tankers,Index (tankers, bulkersbulkers, containers,, containers,

    gas) Source: Clarkson Researchgas) Source: Clarkson Research

    ClarkSea Index

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    1980

    1983

    1986

    1989

    1992

    1995

    1998

    2001

    2004

    2007

    2010

    Sour ce: Clarkson Res earch, Apr il 2011

    '000 $/day

    The Clarksea Index is an average

    weighted index of earnings across

    the major sectors of tankers,bulkers, containers and gas

    Average 1980s - $9,461/day

    Avergae 1990s - $11,924/day

    Average 2000s - $21,720/day

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    Cycle Position November 2011

    This chart shows

    average earnings

    today for the ship

    type, as a % of

    the average

    earnings during

    the last 10 years

    -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

    VLCCSuezmaxAframax

    Clean Products

    CapesizePanamax

    HandymaxHandy

    Container 3,500 teuContainer 1,700 teu

    OffshoreLPGLNG

    % deviation from 10 year trend

    Tankersdepressed

    QuarterlyUpturn but lots

    of supply tocome

    Gas &Offshore

    better

    Rates have continued todecline since the summer

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    The World Economy - Sea trade cycles generallyfollow cycles in world GNP but not precisely.

    World Seaborne Trade & GDP

    -6.0%

    -4.0%

    -2.0%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    -1.0

    %

    0.0

    %

    1.0

    %

    2.0

    %

    3.0

    %

    4.0

    %

    5.0

    %

    6.0

    %

    Source: C larkson Research S ervices. IMF

    Trade Growth

    World GDP

    Growth %

    2009

    2008

    2007

    linear

    trendline

    2010

    Seaborne Trade 2011, m.tonnes

    Other Dry

    27%

    Minor Bulks

    13%

    Major

    Bulks

    25%

    Crude Oil

    21%

    Oil Products9% Gas

    3%

    Source: Clarkson Research Services

    1990-2008: tradealmost doubledto 8.2bn tonnes that is overone tonne for

    every person onthe planet

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    Global Seaborne Trade

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    10.0

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    2010

    (e)

    Sour ce: Clarkson Res earch, Apr il 2011

    Major Bulk Minor BulkContainer Trade Crude OilOil Products GasOther

    Billion Tonnes

    2000-2010 Trade Grow th

    1.7%

    2.5%

    2.9%

    4.3%

    4.9%

    5.3%

    5.7%

    6.5%

    -1.9%

    7.9%

    8.2%

    -3.7%

    3.9%

    2.7%

    -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0%

    Phos.RockOther

    CrudeOil

    MinorBu

    lkGrainLPG

    Baux./Alum.

    OilProductsCarsCruiseCoalLNG

    Container

    IronOre

    Sour ce: Clark s on Res earch,

    Apr il 2011

    % Grow th Per

    World Seaborne Trade

    4%average

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    Seaborne Trade Scenarios

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    1950

    1955

    1960

    1965

    1970

    1975

    1980

    1985

    1990

    1995

    2000

    2005

    2010

    2015

    2020

    Sour ce: Clarkson Res earch, Apr il 2011

    Chinese Imports

    World Less China

    7% scenario4% scenario

    3% scenario

    1% scenario

    Per iod % p.a.

    1951-60 6.3%

    1961-70 9.1%

    1971-80 3.5%

    1981-90 2.3%

    1991-00 3.9%

    2001-10 3.7%

    Billion Tonnes

    We expect trade to grow byaround 5% in 2011 but thereare lots of risks given economicdevelopments / uncertainty andthere is a lag on trade data.

    For planning purposes, 4%growth in trade over the nextdecade does not seemunreasonable.

    Seaborne Trade Outlook

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    Age Profile 11% of fleet above 25 years

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1971 1981 1991 2001 2011

    Million

    GTD

    eliveries

    Relatively few vessels buil t inthe 1980s so l imited

    replacement requirement

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    World Fleet 1986 - 2012

    Growth Rates:

    This year the fleet movedpast the billion GT mark

    Fleet growth has moved upto 7-8% in recent years and

    this is also forecast for 2011and 2012.

    This is roughly double longterm trade growth and more

    than the 5% trade growthexpected this year.

    Graph in GT-4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1986

    1988

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    2010

    2012(f)

    Source: Clarkson Research, April 2011

    World Fleet Development

    World Fleet Development

    % Growth

    Million

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    Agenda

    1. Market Position, Seaborne Trade, World Fleet

    2. Regional Shipbuilding Capacity

    3. Ship Type Investment & Outlook

    4. Summary

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    World Shipbuilding & Scenario

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021

    MillionGTD

    eliverie

    The last shipbuilding peak wasin 1975 when output reached 36

    million GT 35 year cycle

    Market Peak 2010 or 2011?

    Surplus

    Capacity

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    Shipbuilding Output by Country & CGT

    0

    20

    40

    60

    1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    M

    illion

    CGT

    Deliveries Europe Japan

    S. Ko rea Ch in a

    Others

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    010

    20

    3040

    50

    6070

    80

    90100

    1902

    1907

    1912

    1917

    1922

    1927

    1932

    1937

    1942

    1947

    1952

    1957

    1962

    1967

    1972

    1977

    1982

    1987

    1992

    1997

    2002

    2007

    %

    totals

    hipslaunc

    he

    Korea

    Japan

    Europe

    Britain

    Other

    Scandinavia

    USA China

    Shipbuilding Waves of Competition

    Source: Maritime Economics (2009)

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    China takes the lead..Global Shipbuilding Share (2011 YTD Delivery

    in Dwt)

    Japan

    20%

    S. Korea

    33%

    China

    41%

    Europe

    2%

    Others

    4%

    Global Shipbuilding Share - Delivery

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    1975

    1977

    1979

    1981

    1983

    1985

    1987

    1989

    1991

    1993

    1995

    1997

    1999

    2001

    2003

    2005

    2007

    2009

    201

    1YTD

    Source: Clarkson Research Services

    % DWT Deliveries China EuropeJ apan South KoreaOthers

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    South Korean success in high value ordersGlobal Shipbuilding Share (2011 YTD

    contrac ting in CGT)

    S. Kore a

    50%

    China

    32%

    Japan

    5%

    Others

    7%

    Europe

    6%

    Global Shipbuilding Share - Contract ing

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2

    011YTD

    Source: Clarkson Research Services

    % CGT Deliveries China EuropeJ apan South KoreaOthers

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    World Shipbuilding by Country 2010

    19.0

    16.0

    9.7

    0.8

    0.7

    0.6

    0.5

    0.5

    0.4

    0.3

    3.6

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    China

    S. Korea

    Japan

    Germany

    Italy

    Philippines

    Norway

    TurkeySpain

    Netherlands

    Others

    Mil lion CGT Output 2010

    Source: Clarkson Research

    223 yards

    30 yards

    78 yards

    What is CGT?CGT is the Gross Tonnage (GT)of the ship weighted to reflect its

    work content per GT. For

    example the weight for acontainership might be 1.0 andthe weight for a big tanker 0.25)

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    World Shipbuilding by Country 2011 YTD

    14.7

    13.1

    7.0

    0.40.4

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    0.2

    2.4

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    China

    S. Ko rea

    Japan

    GermanyItaly

    Norway

    Turkey

    Spain

    Netherlands

    Others

    Mil lion CGT Outpu t in 2011

    Source: Clarkson Research

    232 yards

    31 yards

    68yards

    What is CGT?CGT is the Gross Tonnage (GT)of the ship weighted to reflect its

    work content per GT. For

    example the weight for acontainership might be 1.0 andthe weight for a big tanker 0.25)

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    World Shipbuilding Production by Country

    COUNTRY her Total Output

    M CGT M CGT M CGT M CGT M CGT M CGT

    China 3.9 10.3 1.7 0.1 3.0 19.0

    S. Korea 4.6 3.0 4.8 2.2 1.4 16.0

    Japan 2.3 4.7 0.8 0.6 1.3 9.7

    Germany 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.8

    Italy 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7Philippines 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6

    Norway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5

    Turkey 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5

    Spain 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4

    Netherlands 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3All Others 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 2.2 3.6

    Total 11.6 18.8 8.1 3.0 10.5 52.0

    Tankers Bulkers Containers Gas

    World Shipbuilding Capacity 2010 - CGT

    Indicates market leader for each ship type

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    World Shipbuilding Capacity 2011 YTD - CGT

    Indicates market leader for each ship type

    World Shipbuilding Production by Country

    COUNTRY Tanker Bulk Carrier Containership Gas Others Total

    China P.R. 2.6 9.3 0.7 0.1 2.1 14.7

    South Korea 3.3 3.6 4.2 0.7 1.4 13.1

    Japan 1.6 4.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 7.0

    Philippines 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6

    Italy 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4

    Germany 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4

    Taiwan 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3

    Vietnam 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3

    Norway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2

    Turkey 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2

    All Others 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.6

    Total 7.8 18.1 5.6 1.0 6.3 38.8

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    Top Builders 2010

    COUNTRY BUILDER Bulkers Container Gas Other Tankers Total Cont % tot

    1 South Korea Daewoo 217 1,468 606 235 612 3,138 47%

    2 South Korea Hyundai H.I. 467 1,304 263 446 488 2,968 44%

    3 South Korea Samsung H.I. - 961 998 356 299 2,614 37%

    4 South Korea Hyundai Samho 249 408 88 - 539 1,284 32%5 China P.R. J iangnan Changxing 50 377 - - - 427 88%

    6 Taiwan CSBC - 325 - - - 325 100%

    7 South Korea Hanjin H.I. - 312 81 13 52 459 68%

    8 China P.R. J iangsu New YZJ 391 309 - - - 700 44%

    9 J apan Mitsubishi H.I. - 289 233 244 - 766 38%

    10 Philippines HHIC-Phil. Inc. - 207 - - 52 260 80%

    11 China P.R. Guangzhou Wenchon - 207 - 58 - 264 78%12 J apan Koyo Dock K.K. 246 190 81 - - 517 37%

    13 China P.R. Dalian Shipbuilding 409 168 - - 554 1,131 15%

    14 South Korea Sungdong S.B. 709 154 - - 156 1,020 15%

    15 J apan Naikai S.B. - 118 - - 17 135 88%

    16 China P.R. J iangsu Yangzijiang - 113 - 156 - 269 42%

    17 J apan Imabari S.B. 752 101 - 233 44 1,131 9%

    18 China P.R. Shanghai S.Y. 248 96 - - - 344 28%

    19 J apan I.H.I. 194 95 - - 178 466 20%

    20 China P.R. Zhejiang S.B. 33 78 - 15 - 126 62%

    2010 Output - 000 CGT

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    Top Builders 2011 YTDCOUNTRY BUILDER Bulk Carrier Containership Gas Others Tanker Total Cont % tot

    1 South Korea Hyundai H.I. 513 1,173 83 363 641 2774 42%

    2 South Korea Samsung H.I. - 1,104 162 294 840 2400 46%

    3 South Korea Daewoo 219 742 410 341 153 1866 40%

    4 South Korea Hyundai Samho 271 898 - 114 305 1587 57%

    5 South Korea Hyundai Mipo 438 21 17 223 493 1192 2%6 South Korea STX Shipbuild. 558 120 34 - 275 987 12%

    7 China P.R. Dalian Shipbuilding 346 49 - - 545 941 5%

    8 South Korea Sungdong S.B. 660 - - - 128 788 0%

    9J apan Imabari S.B. 595 - - 99 - 694 0%

    10 China P.R. Shanghai Waigaoqiao 403 - - - 181 583 0%

    11 South Korea SPP Shipbuilding 472 - - - 104 575 0%12J apan Oshima S.B. Co. 566 - - - - 566 0%

    13 China P.R. J iangsu New YZJ 492 26 - - - 517 5%

    14J apan Mitsubishi H.I. - 248 - 174 89 511 49%

    15 China P.R. Dayang S.B. 440 - - 47 - 487 0%

    16J apan Universal S.B. 352 - - - 133 485 0%

    17 China P.R. New Times S.B. 333 - - - 114 447 0%

    18J apan Mitsui SB 390 - - - 44 435 0%

    19J apan I.H.I. 209 47 - - 177 433 11%

    20 China P.R. Hudong Zhonghua 183 90 - 75 51 399 23%

    2011 YTD Output - 000 CGT

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    Non-Delivery Trends

    In recent years around aquarter to a third of expecteddeliveries at the start of theyear have not delivered.

    Slippage and Cancellation by Shiptype, 2011

    GAS

    TANKERS

    BULKERS

    TOTAL

    CONTAINERS

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Cancellation Slippage

    Unit : Dwt

    % Differ ence of Forecas t vs . Actual Deliveries into t he

    Global Fleet

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Sour ce: Clark s on Res earch, October 2011

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    Investor Behavioura ornvestors 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*

    Greece 655 257 67 292 118 37.7 21.2 3.0 13.3 11.5 STEADY. 4%Norway 259 104 19 119 67 19.9 10.2 0.5 5.8 7.5 UP BY. 55%Denmark 103 143 14 15 37 4.1 8.6 0.4 0.3 6.7 UP BY. 2222%Germany 667 366 35 75 42 35.2 19.3 1.7 3.0 3.4 UP BY. 35%France 103 38 11 68 27 4.4 1.8 0.1 3.1 0.9 DOWN BY.. -63%Italy 165 102 30 18 13 8.9 6.0 1.1 2.4 0.8 DOWN BY.. -59%

    Netherlands 165 99 55 43 28 4.6 2.1 1.0 2.4 0.7 DOWN BY.. -64%Turkey 242 108 12 43 22 9.0 5.0 0.1 1.5 0.7 DOWN BY.. -49%Russia 40 63 28 30 22 1.1 1.6 0.4 1.2 0.6 DOWN BY.. -37%Sweden 7 10 4 14 5 1.1 1.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 UP BY. 20%United Kingdom 79 35 9 26 7 1.7 2.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 DOWN BY.. -75%Monaco 0 3 0 5 5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 UP BY. 28%Other Europe 246 107 41 58 19 11.0 6.0 1.2 2.1 0.3 DOWN BY.. -81%TOTAL EUROPE 2,731 1,435 325 806 412 138.7 85.7 10.0 36.9 34.2 UP BY. 11%China P.R. 391 273 230 444 136 18.5 13.8 6.9 14.5 4.4 DOWN BY.. -64%Singapore 234 149 91 111 76 6.0 6.2 1.5 4.3 3.2 DOWN BY.. -13%Hong Kong 157 63 32 81 36 6.9 3.0 1.6 2.6 2.5 UP BY. 13%Japan 423 326 84 100 39 24.4 17.8 2.8 3.7 2.3 DOWN BY.. -25%South Korea 253 141 43 89 43 12.8 8.3 2.1 4.2 2.1 DOWN BY.. -41%Taiwan 103 44 12 63 24 8.6 3.1 0.4 3.4 1.4 DOWN BY.. -50%Malaysia 85 61 31 35 24 1.8 0.8 0.5 3.3 0.4 DOWN BY.. -86%India 94 31 18 47 11 3.9 1.6 0.4 1.9 0.3 DOWN BY.. -80%Other Asia 84 60 30 21 17 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 DOWN BY.. -13%

    TOTAL ASIA 1,824 1,148 571 991 406 84.9 56.1 16.5 38.4 16.7 DOWN BY.. -48%Israel 49 19 2 21 28 4.5 1.8 0.1 1.2 1.5 UP BY. 49%Saudi Arabia 33 7 3 3 6 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.4 UP BY. 76%U.A.E. 81 77 51 22 4 2.5 3.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 DOWN BY.. -66%Other Mid. East 37 63 13 10 4 3.5 5.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 DOWN BY.. -24%TOTAL MID. EAST 200 166 69 56 42 11.7 10.7 1.4 2.6 2.3 UP BY. 8%United States 178 61 43 67 53 19.4 6.1 1.8 5.7 14.3 UP BY. 200%Brazil 28 32 30 21 28 1.1 7.4 5.2 1.4 5.3 UP BY. 355%Canada 52 13 5 40 16 4.2 0.2 0.1 1.3 2.1 UP BY. 98%

    Other 100 69 56 56 8 4.1 3.6 2.5 2.8 0.2 DOWN BY.. -91%TOTAL OTHER 358 175 134 184 105 28.8 17.4 9.7 11.1 21.8 UP BY. 135%

    GLOBAL TOTAL 5,113 2,924 1,099 2,037 965 264.1 169.9 37.5 88.9 75.0 STEADY. 1%

    No. of Vessels Investment TrendsThis Year

    Value $ billion

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    Chinese Owned Fleet & ContractsChinese Owned Fleet & Contracts

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Jan-05

    Apr-05

    Jul-05

    Oct-05

    Jan-06

    Apr-06

    Jul-06

    Oct-06

    Jan-07

    Apr-07

    Jul-07

    Oct-07

    Jan-08

    Apr-08

    Jul-08

    Oct-08

    Jan-09

    Apr-09

    Jul-09

    Oct-09

    Jan-10

    Apr-10

    Jul-10

    Oct-10

    Jan-11

    Apr-11

    Jul-11

    Source: Clarks on Research Services

    m. GT

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6m. GT

    China P.R. Owned Fleet (LHS)

    China P.R. Owned Contracts (RHS)

    Strong Chinese ownedcontracts before the financialcrisis leads to strong growthrate after financial crisis.

    About 9% (in GT) yoy growth

    rate pre-financial crisis. Over 20% (in GT) yoy growth

    rate post-financial crisis.

    Global fleet growth rate consistat about 7% yoyduring the

    same period.

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    Agenda

    1. Market Position, Seaborne Trade, World Fleet

    2. Regional Shipbuilding Capacity

    3. Ship Type Investment & Outlook

    4. Summary

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    Massive Investment In New Ships1. Between 2003 and 2008 the

    industry ordered over $800billion of new ships. 50% ofthe orders were placed in2007/8 when prices were ata peak

    2. Majority of investment

    related to standard designsand technology

    3. In 2011, 40% of investmenthas been offshore relatedand 15% gas.

    4. Today, the contract valueof the marine orderbook isover $300 billion andoffshore is nearly $150

    billion.

    0

    2040

    60

    80

    100120

    140

    160

    180

    200220

    240

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    Bill $

    Orders

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    New Cape

    $MMOthers

    ContainerLPG

    LNGBulk

    TankersNew Cape $MM

    Source: Clarkson Research Services Ltd

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    Shipbuilding Output by Type & CGT

    0

    20

    40

    60

    1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    M

    illion

    CG

    T

    Deliveries Others

    Containership

    Bulkercarrier

    Tanker

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    2010 Activity & 2011 Potential

    Tankers,

    301, 15%

    Gas, 56, 3%

    Container,

    125, 6%

    Others,

    374, 19%

    Bu lk , 1117,

    57%

    2010

    1,973 1,177 (f)

    an ers,

    153, 13%

    Gas, 82,

    7%

    Container,

    289, 25%

    Bu lk, 325,

    27%

    Others,328, 28%

    2011

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    2011 . Winners & Losers

    We expect the relative shareof orders by sector to changein 2011.

    We expected Offshore,Container and Gas to dobetter.

    We expect bulkers and tankersto be down year on year.

    Overall volumes expected tobe slightly down on 2010.

    2011 versus 2010

    Bulk

    Ferry

    Tanker

    Offshore

    Gas

    Container

    -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%

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    Newbuilding RequirementScenario Relatively low ordering expected in the short

    term. Surplus capacity may put pressure on pricing.

    Gradual pick up later in the decade but withrelatively more gas, container, ferry, Ro Ro,

    PCC and Offshore.

    Bulkers remains a volume market but not atthe same levels as the boom.

    Counter cyclical ordering possible. New designs and technology provide

    marketing opportunities.

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    Offshore Oil Production & Forecast

    Following a decade ofstagnation, offshore oil is

    expected to growstrongly.

    Step change in oil priceexpectation and offshore

    oil is getting deeper Projection based on over

    178 oil fields currentlyunder development

    1,125 potentialdevelopment oil fieldsand 1,038 gas fields

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    1980

    1985

    1990

    1995

    2000

    2005

    2010

    2015

    2020

    MillionBPD

    Caspian B lack Sea West Africa

    As ia Pacif ic Sth America

    M East & ISC NW Europe

    Nth America

    Offshore oil production and forecast

    forecast

    Growth

    Stagnation

    ?

    Grow

    th

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    Offshore Discoveries Getting Deeper

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

    Water Depth (M)

    Shengli , China

    3.8 bn bblsSafaniya,

    S.Arabia 3.5 bn

    bbls

    Akal & Cantarel l,

    Mexico 6.7 bn bbls

    combined

    Deepwater Gulf of

    Mexico Fields

    Brazilian Pre-Salt

    Discoveries

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    Offshore & Marine Orderbook-Value by Type

    Offshore

    $137 bn $291 bn

    Tankers

    12.8%

    Gas

    5.0%

    Container

    19.9%

    Others

    20.1%

    Bulk

    42.2%

    Marine

    AHTS

    7%

    Supply

    6%

    Survey

    3%

    Mobile

    Offshore

    Drilling

    46%

    Mobile

    Production

    20%

    Logistics

    3%

    Construct& Platform

    13.9%

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    Offshore Contracting Forecast Significant Requirement

    Long Term Project IntelligenceForecast is based on theprojected construction and start-

    up of future offshore fields. Thecontracting forecast is based onthe units required for each of thefields in the projection start-up.

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1999

    2001

    2003

    2005

    2007

    2009

    2011

    2013

    2015

    2017

    NoofContractsPlaced

    Support

    Productionand Logistics

    Survey andDevelopment

    Project Intelligence Methodology Contracting Forecast

    Forecast

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    Agenda

    1. Market Position, Seaborne Trade, World Fleet

    2. Regional Shipbuilding Capacity

    3. Ship Type Investment & Outlook

    4. Summary

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    Conclusions We have entered a market trough following a decade of exceptional earnings. The

    big three volume sectors tankers, bulkers, containers all face difficult issues.

    World trade averages under 4% growth but there is currently shipbuilding capacity togrow the fleet at 7%. Suggests prices may ease back and a return towards boomordering levels is unlikely.

    Shipbuilding output is at a record high and marks the peak of a 35 year cycle. Chinatook the shipbuilding crown last year but is having a tough 2011 in contracting terms.

    In 2011, Gas, Container and Offshore have been more active. Securing finance at themoment is difficult.

    We expect dry bulk to remain a volume newbuild market but for Gas, Ro Ro, Ferryand Offshore to do relatively better over the coming decade

    It is a buyers market and yards are being far more flexible with new designs.Solutions that reduce fuel consumption and have a green angle are very attractive.Lower newbuild prices may encourage counter cyclical ordering.

    Clarksons Research

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    18/11/2011

    Disclaimer

    The information supplied herewith is believed to be correct but the accuracy thereof is not guaranteed and the Company and itsemployees cannot accept liability for loss suffered in consequence of reliance on the information provided. Provision of this data does notobviate the need to make further appropriate enquiries and inspections. The information is for the use of the recipient only and is not tobe used in any document for the purposes of raising finance without the written permission of Clarkson Research Services.

    The statistical and graphical information contained under the heading is drawn from the Clarkson Research Services Limited ("CRSL")database and other sources. CRSL has advised that: (i) some information in CRSL's database is derived from estimates or subjectivejudgments; and (ii) the information in the databases of other maritime data collection agencies may differ from the information in CRSL'sdatabase; and (iii) whilst CRSL has taken reasonable care in the compilation of the statistical and graphical information and believes it tobe accurate and correct, data compilation is subject to limited audit and validation procedures and may accordingly contain errors; and(iv) CRSL, its agents, officers and employees do not accept liability for any loss suffered in consequence of reliance on such information orin any other manner; and (v) the provision of such information does not obviate any need to make appropriate further enquiries; (vi) theprovision of such information is not an endorsement of any commercial policies and/or any conclusions by CRSL; and (vii) shipping is avariable and cyclical business and any forecasting concerning it cannot be very accurate