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Capital Structure and Leverage • Business vs. financial risk • Optimal capital structure • Operating leverage • Capital structure theory
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Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Dec 18, 2015

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Page 1: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Capital Structure and Leverage

• Business vs. financial risk• Optimal capital structure• Operating leverage• Capital structure theory

Page 2: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• The use of debt increases the risk borne by shareholders

• However, using debt leads to higher expected rates of return by shareholders.

• The firm’s optimal capital structure is the one that balances the influence of risk and return and thus maximizes the firm’s stock price.

Page 3: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

1. Business risk Uncertainty about future operating income

(EBIT) if it used on debt The greater the firm’s business risk, the

lower its optimal debt ratio

2. The firm’s tax positionA major reason for using debt is that interest is

deductible, which lowers the effective cost of debt.

Four factors influence the firm’s capital structure decision

Page 4: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

3. Financial flexibility

This is the firm’s ability to raise capital with reasonable terms under adverse conditions.

The greater the probable future need for capital, and the worse the consequences of a capital shortage, the stronger the balance sheet should be.

4. The conservatism or aggressiveness of management

Firms with aggressive managers are more inclined to use debt in an effort to boost profits.

Page 5: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Business risk is affected primarily by:

• Uncertainty about demand (sales).

• Uncertainty about output prices.

• Uncertainty about costs.

• Ability to adjust output prices for changes in input prices.

• Operating leverage (the extent to which costs are fixed).

Page 6: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

What is operating leverage, and how does it affect a firm’s business risk?

• Operating leverage is the use of fixed costs rather than variable costs.

• If most costs are fixed, hence do not decline when demand falls, then the firm has high operating

leverage.• A high degree of operating leverage implies that a

relatively small change in sales results in a large change in ROE.

Page 7: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Operating breakpoint

The amount quantity at which Sales = Costs, hence when EBIT = 0.

Sales = Costs

P*Q = V*Q + F

Where P is average sales price per unit of output, Q is units of output, V is variable cost per unit

EBIT = PQ – VQ- F = 0

Breakeven Q = F/(P-V)

Page 8: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

EX)

Plan A :F = $40,000, P =$4, V=$3, Assets = $ 400,000

Plan B: F = $120,000, P =$4, V=$2 Assets = $ 400,000

BE for A = 40,000 units

BE for B = 60,000 units

Page 9: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• More operating leverage leads to more business risk, for then a small sales decline causes a big profit decline.

Sales

$ Rev.TC

FC

QBE Sales

$ Rev.

TC

FC

QBE

} Profit

Page 10: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Plan B has a higher expected EBIT (and hence ROE), but this plan also entails a much higher probability of losses.

• In general, holding other factors constant, the higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the firm’s business risk.

Page 11: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Probability

EBITA

Low operating leverage

High operating leverage

EBITB

Page 12: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Degree of operating leverage (DOL)

The degree of operating leverage is defined as the percentage change in operating income (EBIT) that results from a given percentage change in sales.

DOL = % change in EBIT / % change in sales

Page 13: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Another way to estimate DOL is:

DOLQ = Q (P-V) / [Q (P-V) – F] based on output units Q

DOLS = S -VC / [S -VC – F] based on dollar sales

Page 14: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Assume the quantity produced in the previous example is 100,000 units.

For Plan A:

DOLQ = Q (P-V) / [Q (P-V) – F]

= 100,000 (4-3) / [100,000 (4-3) – 40,000]

= 1.67

For Plan B:

DOLQ = 100,000 (4-2) /[100,000 (4-2)– 120,000]

= 2.5

Page 15: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• The results suggest that if Plan A has 1% increase in sales, it’s EBIT will increase by 1.67%, while for Project B the increase in EBIT will be 2.5%.

Page 16: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

What is financial leverage?Financial risk?

• Financial leverage is the extent to which fixed-income securities (debt and preferred stock) are used in a firm’s capital structure

• Financial risk is an increase in stockholder’s risk over and above the firm’s basic business risk, resulting from the use of financial leverage.

• The use of debt (financial leverage) concentrates the firm’s business risk on its stockholders. This concentration occurs because debtholders who receive fixed interest payments bear none of the business risk.

Page 17: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Business Risk vs. Financial Risk

• Business risk depends on business factors such as competition, product liability, and operating leverage.

• Financial risk depends only on the types of securities issued: More debt, more financial risk.

Page 18: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Firm U Firm L

No debt $10,000 of 12% debt

$20,000 in assets $20,000 in assets

40% tax rate 40% tax rate

Consider 2 Hypothetical Firms

Both firms have the same operating leverage, business risk, and probability distribution of EBIT. Differ only with respect to use of debt (capital structure).

Page 19: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Firm U: Unleveraged

Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25EBIT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000Interest 0 0 0EBT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000Taxes (40%) 800 1,200 1,600NI $1,200 $1,800 $2,400

Economy Bad Avg. Good

Page 20: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Firm L: Leveraged

Prob.* 0.25 0.50 0.25EBIT* $2,000 $3,000 $4,000Interest 1,200 1,200 1,200EBT $ 800 $1,800 $2,800Taxes (40%) 320 720 1,120NI $ 480 $1,080 $1,680

*Same as for Firm U.

Economy Bad Avg. Good

Page 21: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Basic Earning Power (BEP)BEP = EBIT / Total AssetsThis ratio shows the raw earning power of the

firm’s assets, before the influence of taxes and leverage.

It is useful for comparing firms with different tax situations and different degrees of financial leverage.

Page 22: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio =

EBIT / Interest charges

A measure of the firm’s ability to meet its annual interest payments.

Page 23: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Coefficient of variation

= standard deviation / expected return

CV shows standard measure of the risk per unit of return, and it provides a more meaningful basis for comparison when the expected returns on two alternatives are not the same.

Page 24: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Firm U Bad Avg. GoodBEP* 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%ROE 6.0% 9.0% 12.0%TIE

Firm L Bad Avg. GoodBEP* 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%ROE 4.8% 10.8% 16.8%TIE 1.67 2.5 3.3*BEP same for Firms U and L.

8 8 8

Page 25: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Expected Values:

E(BEP) 15.0% 15.0%E(ROE) 9.0% 10.8%

E(TIE) 2.5

Risk Measures:ROE 2.12% 4.24%

CVROE 0.24 0.39

U L

8

Page 26: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

For leverage to raise expected ROE, must have BEP > kd.

Why? If kd > BEP, then the interest expense will be higher than the operating income produced by debt-financed assets, so leverage will depress income.

Page 27: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Conclusions

• Basic earning power = BEP = EBIT/Total assets is unaffected by financial leverage.

• L has higher expected ROE because BEP > kd.

• L has much wider ROE (and EPS) swings because of fixed interest charges. Its higher expected return is accompanied by higher risk.

Page 28: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Degree of financial leverage (DFL)

Financial leverage takes over where operating leverage leaves off, magnifying the effect of changes in sales on EPS.

For this reason, operating leverage is sometimes referred to as first-stage leverage and financial leverage as second-stage leverage.

Page 29: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• The degree of financial degree is defined as the percentage change in EPS that results from a given percentage change in EBIT.

DFL = % change in EPS / % change in EBIT.

or

= EBIT / [EBIT – I]

Page 30: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• Jayco has $2 million in sales, variable costs of 70% of sales, fixed costs of $100,000 and annual interest expense of $50,000. If Jayco’s EBIT increases by 10% how much % will its EPS increase?

Page 31: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

Combining operating and financial leverage

So far, we know that:

The greater the use of fixed operating costs as measured by DOL, the more sensitive EBIT will be to change in sales

The greater the use of debt as measured by DFL, the more sensitive EPS will be to changes in EBIT

Page 32: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

If a firm uses a considerable amount of both operating leverage and financial leverage then a slight change in sales will lead to wide fluctuations in EPS.

The degree of total leverage, which combines the degree of operating leverage and financial leverage, shows how a given change in sales will affect EPS.

Page 33: Capital Structure and Leverage Business vs. financial risk Optimal capital structure Operating leverage Capital structure theory.

• DTL = DOL* DFL

= (% EBIT/ % sales) * (% EPS/ % EBIT)

= % EPS/ % sales

DTL = [Q (P-C)] / [Q(P-V)-F-I]

DTL = [S-VC] / [ S-VC-F-I ]

Ex) How much will Jayco’s EPS increase if the company’s sales increase by 10%?