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    http://cnc.sagepub.com/ Cap ital & Class

    http://cnc.sagepub.com/content/26/3/9

    The online version of this article can be foun d at:

    DOI: 10.1177/030981680207800102 2002 26: 9Capital & Class

    Daniel AnkarlooNew Institutional Economics and economic history

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    Conference of Socialist Economists

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    9 New Institutional Economics

    New Institutional Economics ( NIE ) has been celebratedas a path-breaking approach to the understanding of capitalism. This article advances a conceptual critiqueof NIE approaches to economic history. The authorsuggests that NIE cannot solve the underlying tension,that its economics remains ahistorical, and that whenhistory, social relations and realism are invoked, theeconomics disappears, being replaced by variouscultural and state-centred explanations. Therefore NIEis not so much a research programme in progress,

    but rather an indication of the degeneration of thetools of neo-classical economics.

    Introduction

    I nstitutions has become a keyword within recent politicaland scienti c discussion. It re ects the widespreadrealisation that a well-functioning market economypresupposes an e ff ective institutional framework to work itswonders. In the light of global turbulence, nancial unrest,the developments in the former Eastern Bloc, continuedunderdevelopment in the Third World, etc., more and morebusinessmen, economists, and politicians (from neo-conservatives to the New Left) are converging on the ideathat economic development without good institutions andan e ff ective state is impossible.

    New Institutional Economicsand economic history Daniel Ankarloo

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    This focus on institutions raises interesting questions.First, it implies that a capitalist market economy cannot beleft to itself, but is a social system in need of design andsupport (e.g. law and order, state governance, scalregulation...). From the political right to the left theemphasis on the scope and aims of governance of coursediff ers somewhat, but the underlying premise that marketsneed institutional support and an e ff ective state is becomingcommon ground. 1 Secondly, it has focused attention on thehistory of capitalist development.

    However, there are also other issues that presentthemselves, which are seldom spelled out: For example, if the market is not the invisible hand which integratesindividuals in society but rather something in need of institutional integrative support from society, what good isthe market? If capitalist markets do not support society, i.e.form the basis on which society rests, but rather need supportfrom the institutions of society to work, why should theinstitutions of society support markets, rather than, say,community or provision based on need? Such analyses mayvery well lead us to question the very basics of capitalism.

    In economics the defence for market capitalism isgrounded foremost in neoclassical theory, which maintainsthat markets equalise supply and demand spontaneously inequilibrium, traits of the market that provide for both co-ordination, freedom and e fficiency (in the sense of optimumresource allocation). 2 Charges have, however, been madeagainst this theory for its lack of realism (regarding its basicassumptions), for its asocial character (in theorising utilityfunctions and factors of production, rather than actual livingindividuals with social relations, cultures, values etc.) andfor its ahistorical approach to the economy.

    In this light, it is of speci c interest to focus on NewInstitutional Economics ( ). Recognising the limits inneoclassical theory, has gained substantial in uence (mostspeci cally in e.g. questions on policymaking and develop-ment economics) exactly because it attempts to makeneoclassical economic theory more realistic, more social,and historical in its approach. 3 This is attempted by movingbeyond neoclassical economics with an institutional analysisyet at the same time sticking to its basics. Furthermore due mainly to the works of Douglass C. North hasbecome an established tradition in economic history inexplaining the rise and evolution of market capitalism.

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    11 New Institutional Economics

    can hence be de ned as a neoclassical institutionalism, whichpolitically comes close to the positions of classical liberalism.

    The rst section of this article describes the conceptualframework of , and how it di ff ers from neoclassicaleconomics. The second section outlines a theoretical critiqueof . The initial focus is on the concept of transactioncosts, which I argue is deeply problematic. Thereafter, Ipoint to an underlying assumption of why not markets? in

    , which I argue rests on ideological rather than historicalgrounds. I also argue that the emphasis on institutions,ideology, and the state within makes the economic spheredisappear in explanation or makes uncertain the place of that sphere in explanation.

    The third section focuses on the economic history ofwith emphasis on the work of Douglass North. Here I arguethat writers like North treat previous historical economicsystems as if some key institutions of market capitalism werealready present. Such a position is unwarranted if we aresupposed to explain the historical evolution to capitalism.

    The fourth section criticises the possibility of conductingsuch as-if economic history by critiquing the instrumentalistargument within economics, mostly associated with MiltonFriedman (who, of course, is not a theorist).

    In the concluding remarks, the reasons for regardinga failure are summarised. The underlying contradictionbetween the institutional analyses and the neoclassicaleconomic basis of indicates not so much the success orregeneration of the neoclassical research programme butrather the degeneration of neoclassical theoretical tools.

    1. The basics of New Institutional Economics

    N IE as a school of thought is in uenced by rather diverseideas from liberal social thought. On the one handevolutionary arguments, ideas of selection, of survival of the ttest, of the invisible hand etc. are in various waysdeveloped and elaborated upon by .4 On the other hand,the concepts of markets, supply and demand, marginalism,factors of production, etc., are inherited from neoclassicalorthodoxy. As two new institutionalists claim:

    ...[T]he exponents of modern institutional economicsapply the analytical apparatus of neoclassical theory (and

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    newer techniques) to explain the workings and evolutionof institutional arrangements and thus to expand the scopeand predictive power of microeconomics. (Furubotn andRichter, : )

    Although this is true, the conceptual framework of doesdeviate from neoclassical theory in various ways. Let us turnto these concepts that are distinctive in .

    Bounded rationality

    Firstly, more and more new institutionalists reject theunrealistic assumption of perfect information and hencethe concept of full rationality in favour of the concept of bounded rationality. This conceptoriginating fromHerbert Simonis a disputed one. 5 In the hands of it istaken to mean that in the presence of uncertainty, informationproblems, and transaction costs, economic agents cannotgather all the information necessary to calculate, case-by-case, the optimal solution on the market. Individuals aretherefore intendedly [sic!] rational but only limitedly so(Williamson, : ). For writers, the maximisingequilibrium of neoclassical economics is as a rule not attainable.

    To minimise the problem of uncertainty economic agentsdevise rules of thought and action to base their decisionson. They become rule followers (Vanberg, ). Theserules are rather xed and do not change with case-by-casecalculation. As one observer puts it: A boundedly rationalindividual intends to maximise, but nds it costly to do so. 6

    Transaction costs

    The main theoretical achievement of is the concept of transaction cost. It originates from Ronald Coasesarticle on the rm, where he poses the question in this vein:

    But in view of the fact that it is usually argued that co-ordination will be done by the price mechanism, whyis...organisation necessary? Why are there these islandsof conscious power? ... Yet, having regard to the fact thatif production is regulated by price movements, productioncould be carried on without any organisation at all, wellmight we ask, why is there any organisation? (Coase, :

    )

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    13 New Institutional Economics

    His historic answer is the following:

    The main reason why it is pro table to establish a rmwould seem to be that there is a cost of using the pricemechanism. (Coase, : )

    This cost of using the price mechanism is a transactioncost. The concept is far from easily understood, and it remainscontested since de nitions vary (see Ankarloo, : -

    ). Douglass North ( : ) de nes transaction costs asthe costs of de ning, protecting and enforcing propertyrights. Oliver Williamson ( : - ) quotes KennethArrow who talks of the costs of running the system, as theanalogy to friction in physics. Steven Cheung ( : )writes The determination of the piece-ratea price illustrates the costs of discovering prices. Tharinn Eggert-sson ( : ) claims that transaction costs are opportunitycosts just like any other costs in economic theory... Dahlmansuggests that a rst approximation to a workable conceptis search and information costs, bargaining and decisioncosts, policing and enforcement costs. (Dahlman, : -

    ) 7

    A theoretical linkage can now be seen. In the presence of transaction costs, markets and prices are not su fficient tocreate neoclassical equilibrium (e fficiency). Furthermore,new institutionalists argue transaction costs are pervasive inall economies, in every economic system. The developmentof transaction costs is the key to the institutional structureof a society and economy. One cannot, therefore, over-stressthe importance of the concept in . As two proponentsexplain:

    The concept of transaction costs is crucial to anyacceptable interpretation of how a capitalist marketeconomy actually functions. To see the truth of thisjudgement it is only necessary to consider a world wheretransaction costs are zero. In such a frictionless worldeven basic institutions as e.g. money, the rm, publicregulation become irrelevant . (Furubotn and Richter,

    : )

    The operation of the market economy is in based on athird condition, the distribution and protection of propertyrights.

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    Property rights

    The focus on property rights in capitalism is, of course,very welcome. In the state of general equilibrium, propertyrights distribution is immaterial to the equilibrium solutionof the market, but in the light of bounded rationality andtransaction costs, the original property rights distributionis decisive for economic e fficiency, in this neoclassical sense(Coase, ). With the property rights theory of , thingshave changed for neoclassical orthodoxy. 8

    Property rights are mainly de ned as the right to use,derive an income from and sell an asset (Furubotn andRichter, : ). s de nition of property rights is muchwider than the one of political economy. (For example, YoramBarzel ( : ) contends that human rights are simply apart of peoples property rights. In such a de nitioneverything from buying a tomato to committing suicide ordriving a car too fast is an exercise in private property rights.Obviously, this runs the risk of stretching the property rightsconcept to the point where it explains everything andtherefore nothing.)

    The economic problem now becomes how and when areproperty rights exchanged in the economy. This is not asimple a ff air, since property rights over assets have to bespeci ed in a contract , and hence enforced by law. Questionsarise: What rights are bought and sold? Under whatconditions? What happens if some party breaks a contract?What constitutes a breach of contract?, etc. Depending uponthe answers to such questions and the exclusiveness of theproperty right (Is it only mine, or can someone else use ittoo?) the value of the asset for particular owners will vary.In order to ensure the exclusiveness of private property rights,they must be well delineated and enforced. The vehicle forthis enforcement is the state. If property rights are easilydelineated, well protected, and enforced by the state, thenthe transaction costs will be low, and the gains from tradeinherent in the neoclassical market argument will be realised.If not, exchange will not occur and the market will not beput to work. Here is a noteworthy twist to the argument.North summarises:

    A theory of the state is essential because it is the statethat speci es the property right structure. Ultimately it isthe state that is responsible for the e fficiency of the

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    15 New Institutional Economics

    property right structure, which causes growth or stagnationand economic decline. (North, : )

    Like with classical liberal economics, trade in the marketremains the cause of growth in , but this is now madedependent upon the workings of the state, and the way inwhich property rights and institutions work to lowertransaction costs.

    Institutions

    Institutions are the humanly devised constraints that shapehuman action (North, : ). With this concept, canarguably become more realistic in its approach. In the wordsof the founding father: Modern institutional economicsshould study man as he is, acting within the constraintsimposed by real institutions (Coase, : ). Institutionsare both informal constraints (custom, culture, incentives,taboos etc.) and formal constraints (law, property rightsetc.). Institutions are the rules of the game in the economy, andorganisations (the players of the game) arise in response tothe institutional structure. North ( : ) explains: It is theinteraction between institutions and organisations whichshapes the institutional evolution of the economy.

    Acknowledging that neoclassical equilibrium does notcome about in the real world, and that the property rightstructure, the state and the institutional evolution of societydetermine economic performance, North comes to thefollowing conclusion:

    History matters. It matters not just because we can learnfrom the past, but because the present and future areconnected to the past by the continuity of a societysinstitutions. Todays and tomorrows choices are shapedby the past. And the past can only be made intelligible asa story of institutional evolution. (North, : vii)

    The distinctiveness of NIE

    With its conceptual and theoretical innovations, attemptsto make neoclassical economics more realistic . The primeexample of this is the revision of the assumption of humanbehaviour into a conception of bounded rationality, whichis perceived to be more in line with actual human behaviour.

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    With the introduction of transaction costs, in combinationwith the focus on property rights, also takes economicsin a more social direction, allowing for and explaining bothhistorical evolution and di ff erent economic systems than themarket, as well as pointing to the necessity of institutionaland state support for the market to work. Having opened upthese avenues of theoretical elaboration, institutions hasbecome the key concept in indicating the need for a morerealistic, social, historical approach to economics.

    2. Theoretical problems in NIE

    The overriding question is, however, Do the concepts ofcontribute to economic history? What is the realisation thathistory matters and what is the focus on social and economicinstitutions really worth? 9

    Theoretical problems with transaction costs

    Let me for clarity emphasise that the initial assumption of the Coaseian procedure is the idea that production andexchange at least in principle could be carried out solely bythe use of the price mechanism. If the distribution of resourcesin principle could be conducted through the price mechanismon the market, why does the non-market of the rm ariseand allocate resources through internal planning and co-ordination by entrepreneurs? Underlying this line of reasoning is the question, Why are there not markets? Note,therefore, that transaction costs cannot explain the origin of markets. Rather, in the theory, markets are assumed andfrom this assumption all other institutions are explained. Insome versions their explanation, in turn, is dependent uponwhich institutional arrangement is the more e fficient. 10

    I want to point out two problems here: (i) the concept of transaction cost is problematic in relation to the basics of the neoclassical theory, which it was supposed to supplement,and (ii) the concept is not a very helpful tool in explainingthe origins and evolution of the institutions of capitalism.

    (i) Transaction costs and neoclassical economicsTransaction costs are the cost or price of using the pricemechanism. Such a formulation of transaction costs runsinto an in nite regress of markets and prices. If there is a

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    17 New Institutional Economics

    price to knowing the price (and if all prices entail transactioncosts), then there has to be a price to knowing the price of knowing the price as well, etc., etc. So every market musthave a meta-market in which the price of the transactioncost to the price at the lower market level is determined.There is a hierarchy of markets, each one nested inside theother, all of which have transaction costs. 11

    A possible solution to this problem would be to say thattransaction costs are costs, which are not re ected or seen asprices on the market. They are the underlying costs of exchange (North, : ). But then they are not bona de prices. Hence the regress stops. This route, however,presents problems in relation to neoclassical theory, in whichindividuals adapt to price information. In institutionalanalyses, these important costs ultimately determine theevolution and structure of institutions and organisations.However, if these are not re ected in prices at all, the allegedlyintegrating capacities of the price mechanism and themarketas argued by neo-liberal free marketeersare putinto question. So, contrary to that argument, prices do notconvey all the information necessary for the individual tomake rational economic calculations.

    There is a basic problem for any theory that poses thequestion of the e fficiency of institutions and organisationbased on the neoclassical assumptions of choice andcalculation and which at the same time claims to haveexplained the origin of those institutions and organisations.How could the economic actors have interacted to create anefficient outcome, when they either did not have theinformation to do so (assuming that transaction costs werenot visible as prices), or they were acting in the sphere wherethis information was not to be had (assuming that transactioncosts were not on the market)? 12 This question applies nomatter whether the theory uses the full or the boundedconception of rationality.

    This realisation has some further consequences. It seemswe would have to admit that there are costs, which are notsolely subjective and dependent upon the choice of individualactors, but are ruled by some other underlying non-subjectivelogic. In short, this calls for a theory of objective cost,which, again, is neither decided on nor re ected on themarket. 13 If we follow the de nition of transaction costs,they must be conceptualised as being costs and underlyingmechanisms that are governed by other forces than the

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    Capital & Class #78 18

    calculations of individual economic actors. This leads ustowards the conclusion thatgiven transaction costs institutions in uence choice.

    If, then, underlying costs and institutions play thisfundamental role it seems reasonable, indeed even necessary,to investigate the structure of these costs and institutionsinstead, rather than starting from consumers choice, andeconomic calculation or prices on the market. 14 If so, anyconception of rationality and choice outside the giveninstitutional framework seems unwarranted. In aninstitutional analysis we cannot, then, start from the givenindividual of the neoclassical model in order to explaininstitutions, we must start from the individuals as they appearwithin the institutional framework itself. Accordingly, thewhole underpinning conceptual structure of consumerschoice and methodological individualism is in danger.

    The limits of the price mechanism are in e ff ect recognisedby the transaction cost theorists of . If we choose to goalong this line, we confront another major challenge to theorthodox theory of market and individual choice. The onlyway to escape the problem of the limits of the pricemechanism seems to be to argue that economic actors indeedcan make cost-bene t calculations without knowing theprices, yes, even in the absence of prices. This route, however,presents somewhat of a no-win-situation for the transactioncost theory notion of just widening or complementingorthodox price theory. N acknowledges that prices are nota su fficient condition for conveying all the information neededfor economic actors to make rational calculation (the caseof positive transaction costs). The only way to save the ideathat economic actors can, and do, make rational choices onthe cost and bene ts of institutional arrangements andproperty rights structures is to depict these individuals asmaking these choices without the use of the pricemechanism. 15 This, however, means that the price mechan-ism is not a necessary condition for rational economiccalculation. Well might we ask: If prices are neither a su fficient nor a necessary condition for economic calculation and institutional choice, what is left for them to do? And, what istheir explanatory value ?16

    We can sum up the problem in the following dilemma: If transaction costs are visible as prices on the market, thenthey too must have a transaction cost. If on the other theyare not visible as prices on the market, then economic actors

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    19 New Institutional Economics

    can gain no information of them and base their choices andresource allocation on themat least, not the standard wayof calculation on price information. The existence of thisdilemma makes di fficult the integration of transaction costswithin the conceptual boundaries of neoclassical economics.

    (ii) Transaction costs and institutional historical changeN builds upon the realisation that the world is full of transaction costs, information problems, non-equilibrium etc.Yet, the explanation of these phenomena starts from orthodoxequilibrium: a zero transaction cost world, where institutionsdo not exist (Coase, ). But how can transaction costs arisefrom an institution-free and frictionless framework? How,from a position where there are no institutions, do institutionsarise and change? And, how do real individuals act and createinstitutions when institutions are lacking? These are indeedrelevant questions for historical investigation.

    We could relax these strict conditions and say that thezero transaction cost world indeed is a world whereinstitutions and organisations exist, but that it does not matterwhich ones as far as e fficiency is concerned. But, then thefollowing problem arises: If we conceptualise a world without transaction costs as one encompassing institutions and organisations, then we have to admit that transaction costscannot in general be the cause of institutions and organisations .It may then, at best, be true that in a zero transaction costworld with institutions, the question of which institutionsthat exist, is irrelevant from an e fficiency point of view theso-called Coase Theorem (Coase, ). But the structureof these institutions cannot be irrelevant if we want to explain

    from this zero transaction cost worldthe direction of change of these institutions in history. In general, this wasthe challenge set before itself to explain, the directionof institutional change, and its e ff ect on economic growth,decline and e fficiency.

    Transaction costs were supposed to help explaininstitutions in history, but instead they are dependent uponthem. The concept seems, therefore, rather ill-equipped toexplain institutional changes in economic history.

    Why not markets?

    It seems that cannot explain the origins of the market.Rather, the market is assumed, and from the pre-existence

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    of markets the question is why other institutions andorganisations exist. This procedure is most clearly shown inOliver Williamsons treatment of the institutions of capital-ism (Williamson, ; ), which simply starts from theassumption that in the beginning there were markets. Theideological content of this assumption is apparent. Fromsuch an assertion, all other allocation systems are to be explained(away) as ine fficient, as deviations or constraints to the market,or at best only introduced where the market fails.

    On the face of it, the property rights theorists of arediff erent. For example, Dahlman ( ), McCloskey ( ;

    ; ), Fenoaltea ( ; ) and North and Thomas( ) provide particular analyses, which argue thatcommunal property rights, the manor system, the open- eldsystem etc., under given constraints, can be viewed as rationaland e fficient in the neoclassical sense, e.g. in avoiding andspreading risk (McCloskey, ). The basis of the explan-ation is, again, that a prevailing property rights structureexists because it is more e fficient than its alternatives.

    Although these arguments take some historical facts intoaccount, there are two problems.

    The rst is that the argument assumes cost-bene tcalculation on structures of property rights, and subsequentchoice. The underlying premise remains that the market isalways a possible structure of property rights to choose. If economic actors have not chosen it, it is because givenconstraints, transaction costs etc, make another propertyright structure more e fficient. However, it is hard to seethat there was a historically independent choice available of diff erent structures of property rights for economic agents,the way property rights theorists describe it. (In theory, wecould at best choose to buy di ff erent amounts of commoditieson the market, but not choose to buy more or less marketorganisation itself.) 17 It is not as though feudal lords andserfs initially made a calculation on whether to chooseserfdom over a labour market and feudalism over capitalism.But it is exactly this analytical leap property rights theoristsmake when they explain why one institution exists ratherthan another and why institutions change. Take, for instance,this argument from Demsetz (which, in passing, managesto confuse slavery, wages and serfdom):

    For example it might be thought that a rm which usesslave labour will not recognise all the costs of its activities,

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    since it can have its slave labour by paying subsistencewages only. This will not be true if negotiations arepermitted, for the slaves can o ff er to the rm a paymentfor their freedom based on the expected return to themof being free men. The cost of slavery can thus be inter-nalised in the calculations of the rm. The transition fromserf to free man in feudal Europe is an example of thisprocess (Demsetz, : ).

    In short, in markets have to be described as present evenin their absence. (I return to this as a criticism of Northsinstitutionalism.)

    The second problem is that, once we admit thatinstitutions and structures of property rights in uence choice,then these institutions and the structure of property rightscannot be explained by those very same calculations andchoices. If the same rationality and e fficiency argument isinvoked to explain both the persistence of an institution (e.g.serfdom) as well as its change (into e.g. wage labour) thenit is di fficult to specify the explanatory capacities of theefficiency argument underlying the theory. It boils down tothis vacuous truism: If the market is there, it is because it isefficient, and if it is not there it is because that is e fficienttoo.

    For the existence of neoclassical economics remainsan ideological blockage. The underlying premise of whynot markets e ff ectively dismisses the very question economichistory puts on the agenda: why markets? Markets are, afterall, results of historical evolution not its primordial condition.

    The disappearance of the economic

    N is wide-ranging. North ( ; ), in particular, has,in recent years, tried to widen his institutionalism toincorporate everything from ideology, mental models tolaw and the state. North has come to see economic growthor decline as determined by informal constraints and thestate, and therefore not in and by the traditionallyconceptualised economic sphere of exchange and market.However, the further he goes along this road, the more thiseconomic sphere disappears in his model. The economiclogic of a system is no longer the cause of development andgrowth, development and growth become rather theconsequence of non-economic constraints. 18 It is other

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    relationsideology, mental models and the statethatexplain di ff erent economic systems and their performance.

    North, as well as in general, can only succeed in savingthe core of neoclassical economics by making it almostsuper uous to the explanations in the model. The economicvirtually disappears. There is no mystery to this as North( : ) has conceded that neoclassical economics is notsuitable for explaining how economies develop. If neoclassi-cal economics is the only conception of the economic sphere

    has, then the economic sphere will ultimately have littlevalue in s explanations. Once it is admitted thatneoclassical economics is a static framework, the dynamicfor social change in history must come from somewhereelse. This is, it appears, the main theoretical function of theinstitution concept of , even what necessitates it (Ankarloo,

    : - ). N does, therefore, not so much enhanceor move beyond neoclassical economics with its focus oninstitutions. Rather, the more realistic, social and historical

    tries to be, the more it also moves away from neoclassicaleconomics. In doing so, indicates not how fruitful its basiceconomic approach is, but rather the opposite.

    This pressing dilemma is becoming clear to North inparticular. And, although he repeats throughout his workthat transaction cost concepts are only complements thatprovide explanatory variables alongside the traditionalconcepts of neoclassical economics, these traditionalvariables, prices, markets, technology and production, aremore and more pushed aside. In come instead culture,mental models, ideology, law and the state, as the mainexplanatory variables. (This tension in Norths work isdiscussed at greater length in Ankarloo, : - .)

    Consequently, in Norths version of , the problem of understanding the economy and its institutions is reversedinto the one of giving these institutions a microeconomicexplanation. The economic conceptual apparatus, whichcalled for supplementation and revision, is now invoked toexplain the revision itself. N , therefore, tries to explainthe state and policy in economic terms. There is talk of thestate as political markets, of political entrepreneurs of voting and ideology as the cost of expressing your convic-tion (see North, : - ; : - ).

    The hope to escape by bringing the economic back inagain in this fashion is illusory. Even if one could agree toconceptualise politics, state, culture and ideology as markets,

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    one would at least have to concede that these sorts of marketshave a very di ff erent logic than economic ones. There is ingeneral no voluntary contracting, no exchange of propertyrights (not to mention the absence of commodity produc-tion), no economic calculation on price information etc. inpolitical markets. If there is any exchange here, it is of avery di ff erent kind than market exchange. N suff ers fromthe tendency to over-extend the idea of property rights.Similarly, by extending the concepts of market and exchangeto these other spheres, runs the risk of losing any particularexplanatory value that the concepts have. Indeed, it is hardto see how neoclassical theory, which on its own is incapableof explaining e.g. money, distribution, markets and e fficiency,suddenly could explain ideology, culture and the state.Conceptual imperialism, does not provide salvation for ;it is its dying breath. Even North, perhaps the must unorthodoxand original new institutionalist to date, cannot do awayfully with the barren burden of his original economicparadigm (North and Wallis, ; Ankarloo, : -

    ). N is caught in the middle: paying the double price of both abandoning and clinging on to concepts of neoclassicaleconomics at the same time.

    3. N IE and economic history: The work of DouglassNorth

    With its theoretical apparatus enters into the big debatesof economic history: transition debates, the origins of capitalist rm hierarchies etc. Yet examples abound of howhistorical investigation is not the driving force of theargument. Rather history is invoked to illustrate theoreticalpreconceptions. As an example, take explanations of hierarchical capitalist rm relations.

    Workers voluntarily undertake to be supervised... Theysubmit to being compelled to work harder than directincentives provide for, because the consequence is a higherexpected utility. (Stiglitz, : )

    Or, in a similar vein, there is this explanation.

    My favourite example is riverboat pulling before thecommunist regime, when a large group of workers

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    marched along the shore, towing a good sized woodenboat. The unique interest of this example is that thecollaborators agreed to the hiring of a monitor to whipthem. (Cheung, : ) 19

    If this were all that had to o ff er, a real historical problemwould be to explain the in uence of in economic history.So it is through the consistent application of the tools ofby Douglass North that has gained its in uence in thiseld. His rst path-breaking analysis of economic transfor-mation concerns the transition from feudalism to capitalism(co-authored with Robert Thomas). Here he contends thatthe manor system was e fficient and therefore chosen by theeconomic agents. He says:

    [T]he contractual arrangement of the manor can nowbe seen as an e fficient arrangement for its day. Theobligation of the serf to provide labour services to hislord and protector, an input-sharing arrangement, waschosen because given the constraint of high transactioncosts involved in trading goods, it was the most e fficient.The almost total absence of a market for goods, plus theexistence of a rudimentary market for labour, ensuredthat inputs could be shared with lower transaction coststhan would be involved in other contractualarrangements The quaint organisation of the classicmanor is therefore understandable as an appropriateresponse in the general absence of a market economy.(North and Thomas, : ) 20

    The transformation of the manor system and feudalism isexplained by population growth and decline which changesthe market and the land-to-labour ratio in the economy.Thereby both prices and the transaction costs of serfdom vs.wage labour eventually changed (North and Thomas, ;

    ).

    From handicraft to putting out system to the factorysystem spans more than three centuries: the key toexplaining the transformation is growth in the size of themarket and problems of quality control (that is,measurement of the characteristics of the good). In thecourse of the transformation in economic organisationwage labour developed (North, : - )

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    We cannot have it both ways: either capitalism came fromsome di ff erent economic system, or else it is ubiquitous. Inthe rst case, we have to describe the economic logic of thepreceding system in its own righti.e. as non-capitalist. Inthe second case, this economic history does not explaincapitalism. Rather it assumes it from the start. If this secondcase is true, then economic history must be totally revisedfrom being the history that leads to capitalism, into a historyof capitalism. 25

    North and Thomas ( ; ) try to solve this dilemmaby using words like implicit contracts implying, one mustsuppose, implicit prices. Unfortunately, North thenencounters the challenge found in the analysis of transactioncosts: How could the people of the feudal era, who suppo-sedly chose the most e fficient property rights, make thesecalculations on implicit information? If there was no market,how could they visualise it, and economise on it? Consideringthe persistence of serfdom, even if individuals could calculateon a non-existent market, how could they act upon thisknowledge? Labour mobility was heavily restricted by theserfs bondage to his or her lord, which means that even if market opportunities indeed were present, individuals couldnot take advantage of them.

    The ahistorical assumptions and explanations constitutea consistent luminous thread in Norths work. North endsup, willy-nilly, in maintaining that all institutionalframeworks work as if capitalist micro-rational principlesare in place, even when he knows the principles are not(Mirowski, : - . cf. Brenner, ). He paintshimself into a corner because theoretically, in order to makehis explanations work, he has to accept, through thebackdoor, historical assumptions which he knows arefalsehoods. 26 This is what I call a position of as-if-economichistory.

    4. A critique of as-if methodology in economic history

    Granted that the use of unrealistic assumptions, i.e. knownfalsehoods, is at the basis of , is there a possible defencefor them? Well, historically, within the subject of economics,yes. Because an escape from realismat times conductedby economists, although not yet explicitly by exponents of

    is to adopt an instrumentalist, as-if strategy. Here one

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    subscribes to the view, that theoretical concepts are merelyinstruments for the understanding and prediction of occurrences in reality. The concepts and theories themselveshowever are not realistic or non-realistic at all. Hence, theymake no ontological commitments, and have no truth-value.Criticism of them is futile. Within economics this line of reasoning is principally associated with Friedman ( ).North himself describes the economists attitude:

    Although I know of very few economists who really believethat the behavioural assumptions of economics accuratelyre ect human behaviour, they do (mostly) believe thatsuch assumptions are useful for building models of marketbehaviour in economics... (North, : )

    The main point in Friedmans methodology is the statementthat although the assumptions are decidedly false, thepredictions that follow from the theory work as if theassumptions were correct. His most famous example is thatleaves on trees of course do not calculate to maximise expo-sure to sunlight but if we investigate the position of leaveson trees it works as if they did. Another example is the skilledpool player, whoalthough he does not calculate using thelaws of Newtonian physicsplays as if he did so.

    But could the problems of in relation to economichistory be solved by adherence to something like the Fried-man argument? Two decisive problems of the methodologysuggest a negative answer.

    Firstly, following Friedmans own argument, the as-ifmethod can at best show the irrelevance of assumptions,

    given the fact that the aim and test of science is to predict .27

    The actual motives and actions of social actors are irrelevant(only the result matters). In order to uphold this method forhistory, we would have to maintain that the aim of historicalresearch is to describe what happened in history irrespectiveof peoples motives and irrespective of how they actually behaved and acted . This is surely absurd.

    Secondly, in contrast, by de nition the aim and test of historical research cannot be prediction, even if we grantedthat it could be the aim for research in other sciences. Amain aspect of historical investigation is the aim of obtainingknowledge of the past, not prediction of the future. Ashistorians we do not want to predict what happened in humanhistory, by some invented behavioural assumptions, or even

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    known falsehoods. Rather we want to explain past historicaldevelopments, or at least describe them. In relation to ,which brings known falsehoods into its economic history,the following contradiction arises: If prediction is the onlyvalid test for science then, by de nition, contrary to its promise,history does not matter. If on the other hand history does matter,then prediction cannot be the aim of the science, and it cannot validate the falsehoods of the theory .

    If history does matter to the discipline of economics, andif institutions matter to our understanding of economies inhistory and the present, as above all North contends, thenany version of the as-if methodincluding the home-madeinstrumentalism of Friedmanis not viable. As Fleetwood( : ) has put it:

    One only has to re ect upon this for a moment to see thisconclusion is self-evidently correct: if known falsehoodsare allowed into explanations imagine the bizarreexplanations that could be advanced.

    5. Conclusion

    There is an underlying contradiction in in its attempt tocreate a form of neoclassical economics which is morerealistic, more social and more historical in its approach.The concept of institutions is invoked in in recognitionof the problems of neoclassical economics. What has emergedfrom this analysis is a picture of , in which, inasmuch as

    tries to retain the basic elements of neoclassical theory,the acknowledged non-realistic, asocial and ahistoricalfoundations re-emerge as major obstacles to the success of the project. When, on the other hand, , via its institutionalanalyses, does try to move in a realistic, social and historicaldirection, its neoclassical economic foundation is renderedincreasingly super uous, or even contradicted. This dilemmais then solved by bringing in, through the backdoor,historically known falsehoods and false historical startingpoints such as in the beginning there were markets and byviewing history as if it were like the theory assumes, ratherthan developing theoretical formulations which incorporatehistorical research. History is understood in light of thepresent, rather than the present understood in the light of history. To put it succinctly: where there is economics in

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    29 New Institutional Economics

    there is very little history, and where there is history there isvery little economics. Thus, the problems of economicorthodoxy are not solved but inherited. What is highlightedis the inadequacy of its explanation of how capitalist economieshave historically developed. N is not so much a thrivingresearch programme in progress, but rather a demonstrationof the degeneration of the tools of neoclassical economics.

    In the end, were we to accept the premises of the as-ifapproach to economic history underlying , we would riskmoving from a scienti cally informed theory based onrational argument to theoretical formulations in whichanything goes, the basis of which would lie in trust andfaith, if not pure ideology. Any demarcation line betweenhistory and ction would disappear. As for politics, the aboveconclusions suggest that inasmuch as neoclassical economicsfails to adequately provide theoretical grounds for the allegedblessings of the capitalist market economy, so does .Behind the theoretical niceties lurks the same capitalistapologetics that the ahistorical neoclassical approach toeconomics and economic history has fostered all along.is not the solution to this problem but a testament to thefact that the problem remains.

    * Daniel Ankarloo nished his PhD thesis on New Institutio-nal Economics on January at the Department of Economic History, Lund University, Sweden.

    Notes

    The author would like to thank Steve Fleetwood for his constructiveand incisive comments to a previous draft of the paper, as well as AlanFreeman for appreciative comments along the road to nishing thearticle.

    1. The intellectual developments of former Hayekian John Gray andformer Marxist Geo ff rey Hodgson are interesting examples of thisfact. All other disagreements aside, they both now converge on thisidea that institutions must support the market to work. See e.g.Gray ( ) and Hodgson ( )

    2. All references to e fficiency below refer to this neoclassicalconception of e fficiency as optimum recourse allocation on thebasis of given constraints.

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    3. On the di ff erent de nitions and descriptions of , see Langlois( ), Eggertsson ( ), Vromen ( ), Furubotn and Richter( ).

    4. On this matter see Hodgson ( a) and Vromen ( ).5. See Langlois ( ) and Hodgson ( b).6. Kreps, quoted from Furubotn and Richter ( : ). For critical

    expositions of the rationality assumptions of , see Hodgson ( :chs. - ), Mki and Gustavsson and Knudsen ( ) and Ankarloo( : - ).

    7. In the light of the widespread usage of transaction cost conceptstoday, it seems appropriate to stress that in Coases theory prices arethe cause of transaction costs . His original idea was that the onlyplausible economy without transaction costs would be a fully plannedeconomy, with no direction of the price mechanism. He says: If Iwere asked to imagine an economic system in which transactioncosts did not exist, it would be a completely communist society.(Coase : )

    8. The property rights theory has its origin in in Coase ( ) andhas subsequently been developed by Demsetz ( ; ), Furubotnand Pejovich ( ; ), Alchain and Demsetz ( ), De Alessi( ), Barzel ( ) and North and Thomas ( ) to name a few.

    9. What follows below is a summary of ideas more elaborately presentedin Ankarloo ( ).

    10.See e.g. Alchian ( ) and Williamsson ( ). North ( )however does not subscribe to this view.

    11.Mirowski ( : ) in a di ff erent vein points to the problem of meta-markets. He says: ...what structures organise this meta-market, to allow us to buy more or less market organisation...Who sets the price of the market? Who sets the price of the price of the market?

    12.The fact that transaction costs are not visible or measurable to theeconomic actors is mentioned in Magnusson and Ottosson ( :

    - ) and Samuels and Medema ( : - ).13.Objective cost here is used only in contrast to the cost and price

    formation of the market that neoclassical production functionanalysis and market analysis account for. Relating transaction coststo neoclassical economics does not entail that one should accept it.A disturbing critique against its subjective cost and price theory isthe argument that it is not possible for individuals to form andrevise their utility functions and relative demand functions without rst knowing the relative prices of the goods and services which theycan choose from. Hence costs and prices are presupposed in theargument and not explained by utility functions, and cost-bene tcalculation. What Marx called the illusion of competition (Marx,

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    it is not the slaves who hire monitors to whip them, but the slaveowners, who do so!

    20.North has later conceded that this view is over-simpli ed, because:carrying over the modern-day notion of contract to the serf-lordrelationship is imposing a modern-day concept which is misleading.The serf was bound by his lord and his actions and movements wereseverely constrained by his status; no voluntary agreement wasinvolved. Nevertheless, it is crucial to re-emphasise a key point of our analysis; namely, that it was the changing opportunity cost of lords and serfs at the margin which changed manorialism andeventually led to its demise. (North, : )

    However, Norths correction is only half-hearted and misses theimportant point, In general, each individual lord only protected theserf from other lords or bandits etc. not from other serfs. So lordprotection is not a general explanation of the lord-serf relation assuch.

    21.Phrases like the absence of the market and the consistent view of institutions as constraints to the market, despite their sensitivityto history betray ideological residues in Norths thought. Why notjust describe the presence of serfdom rather than the absence of amarket?

    22.There are numerous critics of these conceptions in Norths work.See Mirowski ( : - ), Field ( ) and Brenner ( ), whicheven today remains one of the most revealing critiques of theSmithian legacy to economicsand which, although not speci callyaddressed to North, applies to him as well.

    23.There are examples of this analytical procedure in Norths writings,even to the prehistory of man. Here are some most telling quotes:Prehistoric man employed his labour in conjunction with naturalresources to produce his living. The natural resources whether animalsto be hunted or vegetation to be gathered, were initially held ascommon property. This type of property right implies free access byall to the resource. Economists are familiar with the propositionthat unconstrained access to a resource base will lead to its ine fficientutilisation. This ine fficiency as the demand for the resource increaseseventually leads to the depletion of the resource This instance isan example of incentive failure caused by cultural or institutional(property rights) inadequacies. (North, : ) See also: Let usexamine the situation where several bands compete for the samecommonly held migratory animalsThe band then has the incentiveto exploit the resource to the point where the value of the lastanimal killed is equal to the private costs of killing it. The collectionwill continue until all of the income the scarce resource would haveearned under private property is dissipated. That is, in a competitive

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    situation no band has any incentive to conserve the resource, sincethe animals left to reproduce probably would be taken by the rivals.The stock of animals thus could be placed in danger of extinction.The crucial element causing this ine fficiency is the lack of any barrierto the exploitation of the commonly owned resource base Theresult is too many hunters. (North, : )

    24.On the rate of proletarianisation see e.g. Tilly ( ) who estimatesthat the proletariat between to grew eightfold, bymillion people, almost equivalent to the total population growth of Europe at the time.

    25.On this matter see e.g. Wood ( ).26.It is for instance di fficult to see why North clings on to transaction

    cost theory in light of his own concession: All the modernneoclassical literature discusses the rm as a substitute for market.[This] ignores a crucial fact of history: hierarchical organisationforms predate the price-making market. (North, : )

    27.The close relationship between Friedmans instrumentalism and hispreoccupation for policy prediction is stressed by even his mostardent followers. See Frazer and Boland ( : ): Friedman ismore concerned with the immediate practical problems of policymaking than with the philosophical problems that havetroubled those who have been searching for centuries for the onetrue method of nding the one true or acceptable theory.

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