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CAPITAL ADEQUACY (E) TASK FORCE Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force Nov. 19, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force Oct. 27, 2020, Minutes (Attachment One) Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force Sept. 25, 2020, Conference Call Minutes (Attachment One-A) Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Oct. 29, 2020, Minutes (Attachment Two) Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Sept. 11, 2020, Minutes (Attachment Two-A) Comments Regarding Investment Income to Underwriting Risk from UnitedHealth Group (Attachment Two-
A1) Referral Letter to the American Academy of Actuaries Regarding Request for Analysis to Incorporate
Investment Income into the Underwriting Risk Component of the Health Risk-Based Capital Formula (Attachment Two-A2)
Two- and Five-Year Bond Factors for 2020 Impact Analysis (Attachment-Two-A3) Health Care Receivable Guidance (Attachment Two-B) Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Aug. 18, 2020, Minutes (Attachment Three) 2020 Health RBC Newsletter (Attachment Three-A) Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Nov. 10, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes (Attachment Four) Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Oct. 9, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes (Attachment Four-A) Comment Letter from Illinois Department of Insurance Regarding the Mortgage Reporting Guidance Document
and Instructional Change (Attachment Four-A1) Comment Letter from the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) and Mortgage Bankers Association
(MBA) Regarding the Mortgage Reporting Guidance Document and Instructional Change (Attachment Four-A2)
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Sept. 25, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes (Attachment Four-B) Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Sept. 11, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes (Attachment Four-C) Update from the American Academy of Actuaries’ C2 Mortality Risk Work Group (Attachment Four-C1) Summary of the RBC Mortgage Reporting Guidance Proposal from the American Council of Life Insurers
(ACLI) and Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) (Attachment Four-C2) Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Aug. 21, 2020, Virtual National Meeting Minutes (Attachment Four-D) Update from the Academy C-3 Work Group (Attachment Four-D1) Revised 2020 Life RBC Newsletter (Attachment Four-D2) Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Working Agenda (Attachment Four-E) Joint Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group and Catastrophe Risk, Nov. 11, 2020, Evote
Minutes (Attachment Five) 2020 U.S. and Non-U.S. Catastrophe Risk Event Lists (Attachment Five-A) Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Oct. 27, 2020, Minutes (Attachment Six) Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup Oct. 19, 2020, Minutes (Attachment Six-A) 2019-49: Retroactive Reinsurance Exception from the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force Virtual Meeting (in lieu of meeting at the Fall National Meeting)
November 19, 2020
The Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Nov. 19, 2020. The following Task Force members participated: Tynesia Dorsey, Chair, represented by Tom Botsko (OH); Tanji J. Northrup, Vice Chair, represented by Jake Garn (UT); Lori K. Wing-Heier represented by Wally Thomas (AK); Jim L. Ridling represented by Richard Ford (AL); Alan McClain represented by Kim Johnson (AR); Ricardo Lara represented by Perry Kupferman (CA); Andrew N. Mais represented by Wanchin Chou (CT); Karima M. Woods represented by Philip Barlow (DC); David Altmaier represented by Carolyn Morgan (FL); Doug Ommen represented by Mike Yanacheak (IA); Dean L. Cameron represented by Eric Fletcher (ID); Robert H. Muriel represented by Kevin Fry and Vincent Tsang (IL); Vicki Schmidt represented by Sarah Smith (KS); Grace Arnold represented by Kathleen Orth (MN): Chlora Lindley-Myers represented by John Rehagen (MO); Mike Causey represented by Jackie Obusek (NC); Bruce R. Ramge represented Lindsay Crawford (NE); Marlene Caride represented by Diana Sherman (NJ); Glen Mulready represented by Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Elizabeth Kelleher Dwyer represented by Jack Broccoli (RI); Raymond G. Farmer represented Daniel Morris (SC); Texas represented by Mike Boerner (TX); Mike Kreidler represented by Steve Drutz (WA); and Mark Afable represented by Randy Milquet (WI). 1. Adopted its Oct. 27 Minutes The Task Force met Oct. 27 and took the following action: 1) exposed a new bond structure to include hybrid securities; and 2) received a proposal regarding asset concentration factors. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Boerner, to adopt the Task Force’s Oct. 27 minutes (Attachment One). The motion passed unanimously.
2. Adopted its Working Group Reports and Minutes
a. Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group
Mr. Drutz noted some items of interest from the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group’s Oct. 29 minutes, which included the following action: 1) referred the healthcare receivable guidance to the Blanks (E) Working Group; 2) received an update from the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) on investment income in the underwriting risk component; 3) received updates from its ad hoc groups, excessive growth charge and the Health Test; and 4) exposed a referral letter to the Academy to add investment income to the underwriting risk in the health risk-based capital (RBC) formula.
b. Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Mr. Barlow said that the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group met Nov. 10 and took the following action: 1) adopted industry-requested RBC mortgage reporting guidance and; 2) receive a memorandum from the Financial Condition (E) Committee on bond factors. He also said the Working Group will work on 2021 instructions.
c. Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup
Mr. Chou noted that the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup and the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group conducted a joint e-vote that concluded Nov. 11 and took the following action: 1) adopted the 2020 Catastrophe Event List; and 2) discussed wildfire as another catastrophe event.
d. Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group
Mr. Botsko said that the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group met Oct. 27 and took the following action: 1) discussed retroactive reinsurance exceptions and a referral received from the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group; and 2) removed operational risk from the R-cat component. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Drutz, to adopt the reports of the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group (Attachment Two and Three), the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group (Attachment Four), the joint Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup and Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Nov. 11 minutes (Attachment Five), and the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group (Attachment Six). The motion passed unanimously.
3. Adopted Proposal 2020-02-CA Mr. Drutz said proposal 2020-02-CA was drafted to delete the federal Affordable Care Act (ACA) fee sensitivity test from all three formulas due to the repeal of the ACA fee. The proposed change would be for 2021 reporting. The Task Force exposed the proposal for a 30-day comment period ending May 4. No comments were received. Mr. Drutz made a motion, seconded by Mr. Boerner, to adopt proposal 2020-02-CA (ACA Fee Sensitivity Test) (Attachment Six). The motion passed unanimously. 4. Adopted Proposal 2020-04-H Mr. Drutz said the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adopted proposal 2020-04-H based on an inquiry from a software vendor on an inconsistency between the health RBC formula within the forecasting spreadsheet and the validation for the MAX function in line 17 of the excessive growth charge. The proposal will add the MAX function to line 17 of the health RBC forecasting formula for 2021 reporting (Attachment Seven). Mr. Drutz made a motion, seconded by Mr. Chou, to adopt proposal 2020-04-H (Safe Growth/Safe Harbor Max Function). The motion passed unanimously. 5. Adopted Proposal 2020-07-H Mr. Drutz said XR007 and miscellaneous assets will be reported on page XR008, with all subsequent pages renumbered accordingly. The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adopted proposal 2020-07-H to break or separate bonds and miscellaneous assets into separate pages withing the health RBC blank. Bonds will be reported on page XR007. Mr. Drutz made a motion, seconded by Mr. Boerner, to adopt proposal 2020-07-H (Split Bonds and Misc. Assets) (Attachment Eight). The motion passed unanimously. 6. Adopted Proposal 2020-12-CR Mr. Chou said the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup and the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group jointly conducted an e-vote that concluded Nov. 9 to adopt the 2020 (January through October) Catastrophe Event List. Both groups are planning to conduct another e-vote in January 2021 to adopt any November and December catastrophe events. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Milquet, to adopt proposal 2020-12 CR (2020 Catastrophe Event List) (Attachment Nine). The motion passed unanimously. 7. Adopted its Working Agenda Mr. Barlow said that the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group removed items from its working agenda that it was not going to work on, or it rolled them up into other agenda items. The Working Group deferred the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and it rolled consideration of (CDAs) into the updates for C-3 Phase I or C-3 Phase II methodology. He said that one new item was added to develop the economic scenario generator (ESG) for implementation. Mr. Drutz said the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group added two new items to its working agenda for 2020: 1) work with the Academy to evaluate incorporating and including investment income in the Underwriting Risk component of the health RBC formula; and 2) to discuss and determine the bond factors for the 20 designations. Mr. Botsko summarized the changes to the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group’s 2020 working agenda: 1) removed “Evaluate the RBC impact on the modification of the installment fees and expenses reporting guidance” as the Ref #2019-40: Reporting of Installment Fees and Expenses was adopted by the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group on March 18; and 2) added “modify instructions to PR027 Interrogatories that clarify how insurers with no gross exposure to earthquake or hurricane should complete the interrogatories” and “remove the embedded 3% operational risk component contained in the reinsurance contingent credit risk factor of Rcat” in the new items section. He stated that both items have been exposed for a 30- and 35-day comment period, respectively. Mr. Botsko added that the Task Force received a proposal regarding the Supplementary Investment Risks Interrogatories (SIRI) to provide clarifying language for the asset concentration factor for mutual funds. Mr. Botsko said that the Task Force will
table this discussion until the bond factors are adopted and when all RBC referrals regarding assets (items 39-41) can be reviewed holistically. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Garn, to adopt its working agenda (Attachment Ten). The motion passed unanimously. Having no further business, the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\11_CapitalAdequacyTFmin
The Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Oct. 27, 2020. The following Task Force members participated: Tynesia Dorsey, Chair, represented by Tom Botsko (OH); Tanji J. Northrup, Vice Chair, represented by Jake Garn (UT); Jim L. Ridling represented by Richard Ford (AL); Alan McClain represented by Mel Heaps (AR); Ricardo Lara represented by Perry Kupferman (CA); Andrew N. Mais represented by Wanchin Chou (CT); Karima M. Woods represented by Philip Barlow (DC); David Altmaier represented by Robert Ridenour and Carolyn Morgan (FL); Doug Ommen represented by Mike Yanacheak (IA); Robert H. Muriel represented by Kevin Fry (IL); Vicki Schmidt represented by Tish Becker (KS); Grace Arnold represented by Kathleen Orth (MN): Chlora Lindley-Myers represented by John Rehagen (MO); Mike Causey represented by Jackie Obusek (NC); Marlene Caride represented by Diana Sherman (NJ); Glen Mulready represented by Diane Carter (OK); Elizabeth Kelleher Dwyer represented by Jack Broccoli (RI); Raymond G. Farmer represented Will Davis (SC); Kent Sullivan represented by Mike Boerner (TX); Mike Kreidler represented by Steve Drutz (WA); and Mark Afable represented by Randy Milquet (WI). 1. Adopted its Sept.25 Minutes The Task Force conducted an e-vote that concluded Sept. 25 to adopt its 2021 proposed charges. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Rehagen, to adopt the Task Force’s Sept. 25 minutes (Attachment One-A). The motion passed unanimously.
2. Exposed Proposal 2020-10-CA Mr. Botsko said the purpose of the new bond structure is to include hybrid securities and pull the bonds from schedules D, DA and schedule E footnotes. He suggested exposing proposal 2021-10-CA for a 45-day comment period ending Dec. 11. The Task Force agreed. 3. Received Proposal 2020-09-CA (Asset Concentration) Mr. Fry said the purpose of this proposal is to provide clarification for the asset concentration factor, for mutual funds that are classified as diversified and should be excluded from the top 10. Caroline Busby (BlackRock Solutions) added that it supports the clarifying language to exclude eligible investment from the Investment Company Act of 1940 on registered exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as align the language with recent updates made to the Supplementary Investment Risks Interrogatories (SIRI). These ETFs are diversified like many bond mutual funds and should be excluded from the asset concentration like mutual funds. Mr. Botsko asked what volume these investments have to risk-based capital (RBC) overall. Ms. Busby said according to year-end data provided by Standard & Poor’s, companies held about $31 billion in bond ETFs compared to $6.7 trillion overall in admitted assets, so relatively minimal. Mr. Barlow added that even though the percentage of assets are low, it could be very impactful to a few companies that hold many ETFs. Ms. Busby added that even though states have a limit on bond ETFs, due to COVID-19, more and more companies are investing in ETFs, and the language should align with the Statutory Accounting Principles (SAPs). Daniel Tobin (John Hancock) added that some of these assets are eligible to be treated as bonds so the proposal should cover LR010, which is where bonds are reported. Jane Barr (NAIC) said that the Task Force can accept this proposal and continue to research the additional suggestion made prior to exposing for comments. Mr. Botsko concurred and said that the Task Force can expose this proposal during its Nov. 19 meeting. Having no further business, the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\10_CapitalAdequacyTFmin
The Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force conducted an e-vote that concluded Sept. 25, 2020. The following Task Force members participated: Tynesia Dorsey represented by Tom Botsko (OH); Lori K. Wing-Heier represented by Wally Thomas (AK); Alan McClain represented by Mel Anderson (AR); Ricardo Lara represented by Perry Kupferman (CA); Andrew N. Mais represented by Wanchin Chou (CT); Karima M. Woods represented by Philip Barlow (DC); David Altmaier represented by Ray Spudeck and Carolyn Morgan (FL); Vicki Schmidt represented by Tish Becker (KS); Chlora Lindley-Myers represented by Debbie Doggett (MO); Mike Causey represented by Jackie Obusek (NC); Bruce R. Ramge represented by Lindsay Crawford (NE); Marlene Caride represented by Diana Sherman (NJ); Barbara D. Richardson represented Kelsey Barlow (NV); Glen Mulready represented by Diane Carter (OK); Elizabeth Kelleher Dwyer represented by Jack Broccoli (RI); Kent Sullivan represented by Jamie Walker (TX); Mike Kreidler represented by Steve Drutz (WA); and Mark Afable represented by Randy Milquet (WI). 1. Adopted its 2021 Proposed Charges Mr. Drutz made a motion, seconded by Mr. Thomas, to adopt the Task Force’s 2021 proposed charges with a friendly amendment to remove the duplicative reference “to make a recommendation to the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force.” The motion passed.
Having no further business, the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\09_CapitalAdequacyTFmin
Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting (in lieu of meeting at the 2020 Fall National Meeting)
October 29, 2020
The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Oct. 29, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Steve Drutz, Chair (WA); Steve Ostlund (AL); Andrew Greenhalgh (CT); Carolyn Morgan (FL); Chut Tee (KS); Rhonda Ahrens and Michael Muldoon (NE); Kelsey Barlow (NV); Tom Dudek (NY); Kimberly Rankin (PA); and Mike Arendall, Aaron Hodges and Mike Boerner (TX). 1. Adopted its Sept. 11 Minutes The Working Group met Sept. 11 and took the following action: 1) discussed its Aug. 31 regulator-to-regulator meeting; 2) received comments and referred a letter to the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) for investment income in underwriting risk; 3) discussed the two- and five-year proposed bond factors for the 2020 impact analysis; 4) adopted updates to the 2020 working agenda; and 5) exposed proposal 2020-07-H, which splits bonds and miscellaneous assets onto separate pages. Mr. Ostlund made a motion, seconded by Mr. Dudek, to adopt the Working Group’s Sept. 11 minutes (Attachment Two-A). The motion passed unanimously.
2. Referred Health Care Receivable Guidance to the Blanks (E) Working Group Mr. Drutz said the purpose of the Health Care Receivable Guidance is to provide more consistent reporting of the health care receivable data, most specifically in Exhibit 3A, and refer it to the Blanks (E) Working Group for consideration as guidance to be used in 2020 reporting. He said that the Academy uses data in Exhibit 3, Exhibit 3A, and the Underwriting and Investment Part 2B to update the risk-based capital (RBC) health care receivable factors. The proposed guidance and examples were developed in conjunction with the Academy, the Working Group, and NAIC staff support of the Blanks (E) Working Group and Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group.
Mr. Drutz noted that during the initial exposure, some questions were raised. As a result, additional modifications were made, and the guidance was re-exposed for a 10-day public comment period. No comments were received. Mr. Boerner made a motion, seconded by Ms. Barlow, to refer the Health Care Receivable Guidance to the Blanks (E) Working Group for consideration in 2020 reporting (Attachment Two-B). The motion passed unanimously. 3. Adopted Proposal 2020-07-H Mr. Drutz said that the Working Group exposed proposal 2020-07-H for a 30-day comment period ending Oct. 12, and no comments were received. He said that the purpose of the proposal is to break bonds and miscellaneous assets into separate pages within the health RBC blank. Bonds would be reported on page XR007, and miscellaneous assets would be reported on page XR008. All subsequent pages would be renumbered accordingly. Mr. Muldoon made a motion, seconded by Mr. Dudek, to adopt proposal 2020-07-H. The motion passed unanimously.
4. Received an Update from the Academy on Investment Income in the Underwriting Risk Component Mr. Drutz said the Working Group requested the Academy’s assistance in incorporating investment income in the underwriting risk component of the health RBC formula. Derek Skoog (Academy) said that the Academy has begun working on the request and noted that the analysis is complicated. However, he said the Academy plans to have an update to the Working Group in December. 5. Received an Update on the Excessive Growth Charge Ad Hoc Group Mr. Drutz said that the Excessive Growth Charge Ad Hoc Group has met several times since August. He said the ad hoc group has identified areas and data points that will be used in its analysis of the charge based on the request made to the Working
Group from the Operational Risk (E) Subgroup. Mr. Drutz said the ad hoc group’s next meeting is scheduled for Nov. 20, and it will discuss how to use the data, as well as identify which ratios and trends should be analyzed. He said the ad hoc group is continuing to move forward on its goals with this project.
6. Received an Update on the Health Test Ad Hoc Group
Mr. Drutz said the Health Test Ad hoc Group last met Sept. 1. He said since that time, the Blanks (E) Working Group has looked into developing a potential proposal that could affect the work the ad hoc group plans to perform. Mr. Drutz said that to avoid duplication, the ad hoc group will take a pause in meeting until the Blanks (E) Working Group has determined how to move forward with the potential changes.
Having no further business, the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\QA\RBC\HRBC\2020\Calls And Meetings\10-29-20 HRBC Call\10_29_20_HRBC Minutes.Docx
Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Conference Call
September 11, 2020
The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Sept. 11, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Steve Drutz, Chair (WA); Steve Ostlund (AL); Eric Unger (CO); Wanchin Chou and Andrew Greenhalgh (CT); Leean Chojnowski (FL); Tish Becker (KS); Rhonda Ahrens and Lindsay Crawford (NE); Kelsey Barlow (NV); and Aaron Hodges and Mike Boerner (TX). 1. Discussed its Aug. 31 Regulator-Only Conference Call The Working Group met Aug. 31 in regulator-to-regulator session, pursuant to paragraph 6 (consultations with NAIC staff members related to NAIC technical guidance) of the NAIC Policy Statement on Open Meetings, to hear a recap and discuss the proposed bond factors project.
2. Received Comments and Referred a Letter to the Academy for Investment Income in Underwriting Risk Mr. Drutz said the Working Group previously exposed the referral letter to the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) regarding the request for analysis in incorporating investment income in the underwriting risk component of the health risk-based capital (RBC) formula for a 15-day public comment period, and one comment letter was received from UnitedHealth Group (UHG). James Braue (UHG) summarized his comments (Attachment Two-A1) in supporting the referral letter with the caveat that if the Academy deems it infeasible to incorporate the investment income into the underwriting risk, then it would like the Working Group to revisit including investment income in the bond factors. He suggested clarifying in the letter the extent to which the Working Group would expect the Academy to review the factors, and it supports incorporating the investment income into the current factors without altering the current methodology or underlying assumptions. Mr. Drutz said clarifying language was added to the letter that clarified that the evaluation of the factors should be based on the existing underwriting risk factors, and there should be no alteration of the existing methodology or assumptions underlying those factors in any other way. Mr. Ostlund made a motion, seconded by Mr. Boerner, to approve sending the referral letter to the Academy with the clarifying language with a response date of Oct. 21 (Attachment Two-A2). The motion passed unanimously. 3. Discussed the Two- and Five-Year Proposed Bond Factors for 2020 Impact Analysis Mr. Drutz said the Working Group previously exposed the proposed two- and five-year bond factors at the Summer National Meeting, and no comments were received. He said the bond structure was added to the health formula in 2020 for the purposes of completing an impact analysis for the changes to the bond factors in the health RBC formula. Mr. Ostlund made a motion, seconded by Mr. Unger, to approve using the two- and five-year bond factors in the 2020 impact analysis (Attachment Two-A3). The motion passed unanimously. 4. Adopted Updates to its 2020 Working Agenda Mr. Drutz said “Discuss and determine the bond factors for the 20 designations” was added as a new item to the 2020 health RBC working agenda. Mr. Boerner made a motion, seconded by Ms. Becker, to adopt the updates to the 2020 health RBC working agenda. The motion passed unanimously.
5. Exposed Proposal 2020-07-H: Split Bonds and Miscellaneous Assets onto Separate Pages
Mr. Drutz said proposal 2020-07-H was developed to split the bonds and miscellaneous assets onto separate pages in the health RBC formula for 2021; the bonds would remain on page XR007, and miscellaneous assets would move to page XR008. All subsequent pages would then be renumbered accordingly within the blank and instructions. The reason for this change is due to differences in character limits in the page numbers within the NAIC system, the excel spreadsheet, and vendor software. Hearing no objections, the Working Group agreed to expose proposal 2020-07-H for a 30-day public comment period ending Oct. 12. Having no further business, the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\QA\RBC\HRBC\2020\Calls And Meetings\9-11-20 HRBC Call\09_11_20_HRBC Minutes.Docx
Mr. Steven Drutz, Chair Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group National Association of Insurance Commissioners 1100 Walnut Street, Suite 1500 Kansas City, MO 64106-2197
Via electronic mail to Crystal Brown.
Re: Referral Letter to Academy to add Investment Income to Underwriting Risk
Dear Mr. Drutz:
I am writing on behalf of UnitedHealth Group in regard to your working group’s draft referral letter to the American Academy of Actuaries (“the Academy”), exposed for comment on August 18, 2020. The draft referral letter asks the Academy to address the subject of reflecting investment income in the Risk-Based Capital (RBC) charges for health underwriting risk.
The subject of reflecting investment income in the Health RBC formula was raised in our October 4, 2018, comment letter to your working group and the Investment RBC Working Group, and addressed further in a November 13, 2018, follow-up letter to the Investment RBC Working Group. Our recommendation at the time was that investment income should be reflected in the factors being developed for bond default risk. The response from the Academy was that investment income would be more appropriately reflected in the factors for underwriting risk, similar to how investment income is treated in the property/casualty RBC formula.
We believe that such an approach would be acceptable. As we explained at the July 30, 2020, virtual meeting of your working group, there would be advantages to reflecting investment income in the bond factors as we originally proposed; however, reflecting investment income in the underwriting risk factors is an acceptable alternative. Therefore, we support the referral letter, with the caveat (also expressed at the July 30 meeting) that if the Academy ultimately deems it impractical to appropriately reflect investment income in the underwriting risk factors, we would want to return to the subject of reflecting investment income in the bond factors.
We will note one point about the referral letter as exposed. The letter does not explicitly state whether the Academy is being asked simply to revise the existing underwriting risk factors to
include investment income, not altering the methodology or assumptions underlying those factors in any other way; or whether your working group expects that the factors will be updated more broadly. While presumably the former is intended, a clarification of that point would be desirable.
We appreciate your consideration of these comments, and we would be happy to discuss this matter further with the Working Group.
James R. Braue Director, Actuarial Services UnitedHealth Group
cc: Crystal Brown, NAIC Randi Reichel, UnitedHealth Group
TO: Derek Skoog, Chair of the Health Solvency Subcommittee of the American Academy of Actuaries
FROM: Steve Drutz, Chair of the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group
Date: September 11, 2020
RE: Request for Analysis to Incorporate Investment Income into the Underwriting Risk Component of the Health Risk-Based Capital Formula
On July 30, 2020 the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group agreed to request assistance from the Health Solvency Subcommittee of the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) to evaluate incorporating and including investment income into the Underwriting Risk component of the Health RBC formula. In a letter sent to the Working Group dated March 4, 2020, the Academy responded to comments made requesting that investment income be included in the proposed bond factors for the new 20 designations. The Academy noted that they did not believe it would be appropriate to ascribe all investment income to offset default risk and suggested utilizing investment income to offset specific risk charges, such as in Underwriting Risk.
The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group requests that the Health Solvency Subcommittee evaluate including investment income in the existing Underwriting Risk factors and not alter the existing methodology or assumptions underlying those factors in any other way. Please notify the Working Group by October 21, 2020 if the Academy can move forward with this project and provide an estimated timeline for completion.
Please forward a copy of your analysis to Crystal Brown via email [email protected].
cc: Devin Boerm, Staff Support- Health Solvency Subcommittee of the American Academy of Actuaries
1850 M Street NW Suite 300 Washington, DC 20036 Telephone 202 223 8196 Facsimile 202 872 1948 www.actuary.org
June 24, 2020
Steve Drutz Chair, Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)
Re: Draft Bond Structure and Instructions
Dear Mr. Drutz:
On behalf of the American Academy of Actuaries1 Health Solvency Subcommittee, I am pleased to provide this response letter to the NAIC Health Risk-Based Capital (HRBC) Working Group. This letter is in response to the request from the HRBC Working Group to provide the health bond factors over both a two-year and five-year time horizon. The table below shows the health base risk factors over a two-year and five-year time horizon before any adjustments have been made to account for minimum risk factors.
1 The American Academy of Actuaries is a 19,500-member professional association whose mission is to serve the public and the U.S. actuarial profession. For more than 50 years, the Academy has assisted public policymakers on all levels by providing leadership, objective expertise, and actuarial advice on risk and financial security issues. The Academy also sets qualification, practice, and professionalism standards for actuaries in the United States.
No adjustments have been made to the bond risk factor model utilized to develop the original results,2 beyond adjusting the time horizon to illustrate bond factors for the two-year and five-year time horizons.
***** We appreciate the opportunity to provide this analysis and would welcome the opportunity to speak with you regarding these comments in more detail and answer any questions you might have. If you have any questions or would like to discuss further, please contact Devin Boerm ([email protected]) or Craig Hanna ([email protected]) at 202-223-8196.
Sincerely, Derek Skoog, MAAA, FSA Chairperson Health Solvency Subcommittee American Academy of Actuaries
2 See Academy report titled “An Update to the Property & Casualty and Health Risk-Based Capital Bond Factors: Report to the NAIC Investment Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group, Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group, and Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group.
TO: Jake Garn, Chair of the Blanks (E) Working Group
FROM: Steve Drutz, Chair of the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group
Date: October 29, 2020
RE: Referral of the Health Care Receivable Guidance
The health care receivable factors in the heath risk-based capital formula were revised in 2016 as a result of the report from the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) “Recommendation on Credit Risk Factors for Health Care Receivables.” The Academy utilized 2013 and 2014 Health Annual Statement Exhibit 3, Exhibit 3A and Underwriting and Investment Exhibit, Part 2B data to develop the recommended factors. They found through this analysis that there were inconsistencies in the reporting of Exhibit 3A. Since that time, the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group has worked the Academy to review the data on an annual basis.
The Academy has identified that inconsistencies in the data continue to be reported in Exhibit 3A. As a result, the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group has worked with the Academy to draft the recommended Health Care Receivable Guidance for Exhibit 3, Exhibit 3A and Underwriting and Investment Exhibit 2B reporting.
The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group requests that the Blanks (E) Working Group consider including the recommended guidance for 2020 reporting on the Blanks (E) Working Group’s webpage as well as a link to the guidance in the Health Annual Statement Instructions.
Please contact Crystal Brown (NAIC Staff Support) via email [email protected] with any questions.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables 1,000,000$ 9,700,000$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ Risk sharing receivables -$ -$ Other receivables -$ -$ Gross health care receivables 1,000,000$ 9,700,000$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables (9,500,000)$ (33,500,000)$ (9,500,000)$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ -$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) (9,500,000) (33,500,000) 0 0 (9,500,000) 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
The example the to information on the collection of that health care that collection can inthe form of or legally that to health care The format of the example for
only not of the format that it in part of the to SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured Plan Receivables for
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $10 million of Pharmaceutical Rebates Receivable. The insurer’s contract with its pharmaceutical benefits manager provides that the PBM will makequarterly payments to the insurer consisting of a minimum guaranteed amount for the prior quarter and additional amounts for older quarters based on actual rebates collected from manufacturers. During20x3 the PBM makes quarterly payments summarized for 20x3 as follows:
$500,000 Rebates paid in 1Q 20x3 for scripts with fill dates in 4Q 20x1 $9 million Rebates paid in 20x3 for scripts with fill dates in 20x2 $33.5 million Rebates paid in 20x3 for scripts with fill dates in 20x3
Based on contract values and past rebate history the valuation actuary accrues the following as of 12/31/20x3, $1 million of which is nonadmitted:
$600,000 Rebates to be collected for scripts with fill dates in 20x2 (rebates on drug claims as of 12/31/20x3) $10,000,000 Rebates to be collected for scripts with fill dates in 20x3 (rebates on drug claims as of 12/31/20x3) $100,000 Rebates to be collected for scripts with fill dates in 20x3 (rebates on drug claims as of 12/31/20x3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim Liability
December 31 of Prior Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables
in Prior Years(Columns 1 + 3)
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ 700,000$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ Risk sharing receivables -$ -$ Other receivables -$ -$ Gross health care receivables -$ 700,000$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of Current Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables (5,200,000)$ -$ (5,200,000)$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ -$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) (5,200,000) 0 0 0 (5,200,000) 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
The example the to information on the collection of that health care thatcollection can in the form of or legally that to health care The format of theexample for only not of the format that it in part of the to SSAP No. 84 Health Careand Government Insured Plan Receivables for further of current year current
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $6 million of Claim Overpayment Receivables. The overpayments had been made because the claim payment system had been payingincorrect amounts to a contracted hospital system, which affected claims incurred July 20x1 through June 20x2. ABC HMO notified the hospital system of the $6 million overpayment issue inNovember 20x2. Claims paid in December 20x2 and later month were paid correctly, but as of 12/3/20x2, no recovery had been started for claims paid in November 20x2 or prior.
During 20x3 and 20x4, the following happened: 1. There was no claim overpayment recovery for any provider other than this hospital system. 2. For claims incurred January through June 20x2, ABC HMO collected the entire $3.1 million of overpayment by legally settled offsetting against claim payments made in CY 20x3.3. For claims incurred July through December 20x1, the hospital system and the ABC HMO negotiated that the $2.9 million overpayment by ABC HMO would be fully settled by the following
schedule of payments from the hospital system, which would not run through the claim payment system. The total of these receivables is not in excess of reported claims owed to the hospital. $700,000 on 6/15/20x3$700,000 on 9/15/20x3$700,000 on 12/15/20x3$700,000 on 3/15/20x4 (which was recorded as a claim overpayment receivable as of 12/31/20x3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ Risk sharing receivables -$ -$ Other receivables -$ -$ Gross health care receivables -$ -$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers (2,999,000)$ -$ (2,999,000)$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ -$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) (2,999,000) 0 0 0 (2,999,000) 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables
in Prior Years(Columns 1 + 3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6December 31 of Current Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
The example the to information on the collection of that health care that collection canin the form of or legally that to health care The format of the example for
only not of the format that it in part of the to SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured PlanReceivables
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $3 million of Loans and Advances to Providers. The advances were made in December 20x2 because an update to the claim payment systeminadvertently blocked payments to a group of providers. The amounts loaned were based on unpaid claims received through December 20x2. In January 20x3 the claim payment system problem wasresolved. As the unpaid claims were adjudicated, the loan balances were reduced by the claim payments that would have been made. By 12/31/20x3, all loan amounts had been satisfied except $1,000 forone provider whose practice was closed. That balance was determined to be uncollectable as of 12/31/20x3 and was written off. These advances were not greater than the reported claims owed to theproviders.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables 3,000$ -$ Risk sharing receivables -$ -$ Other receivables -$ -$ Gross health care receivables 3,000$ -$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables (197,000)$ -$ (197,000)$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) (197,000) 0 0 0 (197,000) 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6December 31 of Current Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured Plan Receivables
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $200,000 of Capitation Arrangement Receivables. The capitation payments were made in December 20x2 to providers who had cancelled their capitation contract effective 11/30/20x2. The HMO requested providers to refund the capitation payments – most did, with $190,000 collected from in this manner. A few providers did not send refund payments. For these, the HMO collected $7,000 by means of legally settled offsets against fee-for-service claims during 20x3. The HMO is carrying the remaining $3,000 as a non-admitted health care receivable as of 12/31/20x3.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ Risk sharing receivables 1,600,000$ -$ Other receivables -$ -$ Gross health care receivables 1,600,000$ -$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ -$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) 0 0 0 0 0 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables
in Prior Years(Columns 1 + 3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6December 31 of Current Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured Plan Receivables
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $900,000 of Risk-Sharing Receivables. The accrual was for a contract with a multi-specialty provider group that looks at actual incurred claims compared to a target for those claims. The experience period for the agreement is the 12 months ending 3/31/20x3, so the accrual as of 12/31/20x2 was for the first nine months of the risk-sharing contract period. The contract provides that the final accounting is to be made using claims runout paid through 3/31/20x4, with nothing to be paid by the provider group until 5/31/20x4. The calculations as of 12/31/20x3 resulted in a $1.6 million accrual, of which $1.2 million was allocated to the incurred period 4/1/20x2 through 12/31/20x2 and $400,000 was allocated to the incurred period 1/1/20x3 through 3/31/20x3. For admissability amounts see SSAP No. 84.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ Risk sharing receivables -$ -$ Other receivables -$ 4,000,000$ Gross health care receivables -$ 4,000,000$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables -$ -$ -$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ -$ -$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables -$ -$ -$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7a. Medicaid before collected receivables7b. Medicaid collected receivables7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) 0 0 0 0 0 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables
in Prior Years(Columns 1 + 3)
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5 6December 31 of Current Year
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured Plan Receivables
The 12/31/20x2 annual statement had an accrual for $4 million of Other Health Care Receivables. The accrual was for an expected payment for a Medicaid contract, under which the HMO is compensated for the medical costs of ventilator-dependent members, up to a specified limit. The accrual was for the 12-month period ending 6/30/20x2. The Medicaid contract requires claims to be reported monthly, but permits claims to be reported up to 365 days after the date of service, with final settlement therefore due after 6/30/20x3. In December 20x3 the state sent the health plan a letter confirming, that based on claims reported to date, the state owes a $4 million payment. For 12/31/20x3 the health plan accrued the full $4 million as an admitted health care receivable asset, citing that the amount was undisputed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Name of Debtor 1 – 30 Days 31 – 60 Days 61 – 90 Days Over 90 Days Non-admitted Admitted
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables 1,000,000$ 9,700,000$ Claim overpayment receivables -$ 700,000$ Loans and advances to providers -$ -$ Capitation arrangement receivables 3,000$ -$ Risk sharing receivables 1,600,000$ -$ Other receivables -$ 4,000,000$ Gross health care receivables 2,603,000$ 14,400,000$
R6 R7
1 2 3 4
Line of BusinessOn Claims Incurred Prior to January 1 of
Current YearOn Claims Incurred
During the Year
On Claims Unpaid December 31 of Prior Year
On Claims Incurred During the Year
Claims Incurred in Prior Years
(Columns 1 + 3)1. Comprehensive (hospital and medical)
Pharmaceutical rebate receivables (9,500,000)$ (33,500,000)$ (9,500,000)$ Claim overpayment receivables (5,200,000)$ -$ (5,200,000)$ Loans and advances to providers (2,999,000)$ -$ (2,999,000)$ Capitation arrangement receivables (197,000)$ -$ (197,000)$ Risk-sharing receivables -$ -$ -$ Other health care receivables -$ -$ -$
2. Medicare Supplement3. Dental4. Vision5. Federal Employees Health Benefits Plan6. Title XVIII - Medicare7. Title XIX - Medicaid 8. Other health9. Health subtotal (Lines 1 to 8) (17,896,000) (33,500,000) 0 0 (17,896,000) 010. Health care receivables (a) B1 B2 B3 B4 B6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)
A3 = B1 + B3 A4 = B2 + B4 A6 = Prior Yr(R6+R7)Note that the accrued amounts in columns 3, 4, and 6 are the total health care receivables, not just the admitted portion.
Guidance on Reporting Exhibit 3A Collection and Offset Amounts
This document was developed for assistance only and has not been adopted as part of the Annual Statement instructions.
SSAP No. 84 Health Care and Government Insured Plan Receivables
6December 31 of Current Year
Estimated Claim Reserve and Claim
Liability December 31 of Prior Year
Claims Paid During the Year Claim Reserve and Claim Liability5
Estimated Health Care Receivables Accrued as of December 31
of Prior Year
Health Care Receivables
in Prior Years(Columns 1 + 3)
Health Care Receivables Collected Health Care Receivables AccruedDuring the Year as of December 31 of Current Year
Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Conference Call August 18, 2020
The Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met via conference call Aug. 18, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Steve Drutz, Chair (WA); Steve Ostlund (AL); Eric Unger (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Carolyn Morgan (FL); Tish Becker (KS); Lindsey Crawford and Michael Muldoon (NE); Tom Dudek (NY); Kimberly Rankin (PA); and Aaron Hodges and Mike Boerner (TX). 1. Adopted its July 30 Minutes The Working Group met July 30 and took the following action: 1) adopted its Dec. 17, 2019, minutes; 2) approved the 2019 health risk-based capital (RBC) statistics; 3) referred the federal Affordable Care Act (ACA) Fee Sensitivity Test Proposal (2019-02-CA) to the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force for exposure; 4) adopted Proposal 2020-04-H for the MAX function in Line 17 of the excessive growth charge; 5) received an update on the health bond factors, including investment income and the five-year time horizon; 6) adopted updates to its 2020 working agenda; 7) discussed the impact of COVID-19 and pandemic risk in the health RBC formula; 8) discussed the health care receivable guidance; and 9) received an update on the Health Test Ad Hoc Group. Mr. Boerner made a motion, seconded by Mr. Chou, to adopt the Working Group’s July 30 minutes (see NAIC Proceedings – Summer 2020, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force). The motion passed unanimously. 2. Adopted the 2020 Health RBC Newsletter Mr. Drutz said the newsletter has been updated to include a summary of the 2020 health RBC formula changes. He said these changes have been incorporated into the 2020 health RBC instructions, blanks and formula. Mr. Dudek made a motion, seconded by Ms. Rankin, to adopt the 2020 Health RBC Newsletter (Attachment Three-A). The motion passed unanimously. 3. Exposed the Referral Letter to the Academy to Add Investment Income to the Underwriting Risk of the Health RBC
Formula Mr. Drutz said the Working Group directed NAIC staff to draft a letter to the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) to request its assistance in incorporating investment income into the underwriting risk component of the health RBC formula on its July 30 call. He suggested that the Working Group expose the draft letter for a 15-day public comment period. Hearing no objections, the Working Group agreed to expose the referral letter for a 15-day public comment period ending Sept. 2. 4. Adopted Updates to its 2020 Working Agenda Mr. Drutz said the “evaluation of incorporating and including investment income in the underwriting risk component of the health RBC formula” was added as a new item to the 2020 health RBC working agenda. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Unger, to adopt the updates to the 2020 health RBC working agenda. The motion passed unanimously.
5. Exposed the Health Care Receivable Guidance Mr. Drutz said the Working Group has worked with the Academy for several years now on reviewing and updating the health care receivable factors within the health RBC formula. He said the ongoing work has been a result of inconsistent reporting in the annual statement filing on the data used to evaluate those factors, most specifically in Exhibit 3A. Because of this, the Working Group began developing guidance for more consistent reporting. Based on comments received in the initial exposure of the draft guidance and ongoing discussions, it was agreed that additional clarity and examples were needed. Mr. Drutz said
the Working Group has worked with the Academy and NAIC staff support for the Blanks (E) Working Group to develop revised guidance that will include examples. He said this proposed guidance could be used for 2020 reporting and be posted on the Blanks (E) Working Group’s webpage, as well as a possible link to the guidance within the annual statement instructions. Kevin Russell (Academy) provided a summary of each of the examples drafted in the guidance. He said the claim overpayment receivables are the receivables that have experienced the most inconsistent reporting, which is believed to be due to offsets for claims repayments. Ray Nelson (America’s Health Insurance Plans—AHIP) asked if a header and disclaimer should be added to the last page of the guidance, which is a compilation of all of the health care receivable examples. Mr. Drutz agreed that they should be added. Mr. Nelson also asked if the previously exposed version of the guidance would be included with the examples. Crystal Brown (NAIC) said the proposed examples and guidance would replace the previously exposed guidance. Mr. Drutz said in working through the guidance, other potential changes were identified to Exhibit 3A in the instructions and column headings. However, due to the timing, this would need to be a separate proposal to the Blanks (E) Working Group for possible 2021 consideration. Mr. Drutz said the Working Group will continue to work with the Academy and Blanks (E) Working Group staff support to bring this back to the Working Group for discussion on a future call. Hearing no objections, the Working Group agreed to expose the health care receivable guidance for a 30-day public comment period ending Sept. 17. 6. Discussed the Impact of COVID-19 and Pandemic Risk on the Health RBC Formula Mr. Drutz said the Working Group briefly discussed evaluating the impact of COVID-19 and pandemic risk on the health RBC formula on its July 30 call. He asked what the Working Group thinks about reincorporating the pandemic risk interrogatory questions back into the health RBC formula and if there is any value in this. Mr. Chou recommended that because there are still so many uncertainties, the Working Group continue the discussion rather than make any changes right now. Mr. Drutz agreed, and he asked the Working Group to continue thinking about this topic for discussion on future calls. Having no further business, the Health Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\QA\RBC\HRBC\2020\Calls And Meetings\8-18-20\08_18_20_HRBC Minutes.Docx
Attachment Three-A Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
11/19/20
020 NAIC Health Risk-Based Capital Report Including Overview & Instructions for Companies
2020 NAIC Health Risk-Based Capital Report Including Overview & Instructions for Com-panies
Attachment Three-A Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting (in lieu of meeting at the 2020 Fall National Meeting)
November 10, 2020 The Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Nov. 10, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Philip Barlow, Chair (DC); Steve Ostlund (AL); Wanchin Chou (CT); Sean Collins (FL); Vincent Tsang (IL); John Robinson (MN); Derek Wallman (NE); Seong-min Eom (NJ); Bill Carmello (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Mike Boerner (TX); and Tomasz Serbinowski (UT). 1. Adopted its Oct. 9, Sept. 25, Sept. 11, Aug. 21, and Summer National Meeting Minutes Mr. Ostlund made a motion, seconded by Mr. Chou, to adopt the Working Group’s Oct. 9 (Attachment Four-A), Sept. 25 (Attachment Four-B), Sept. 11 (Attachment Four-C), Aug. 21 (Attachment Four-D) and July 30 (see NAIC Proceedings – Summer 2020, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force, Attachment Four) minutes. The motion passed unanimously. 2. Received an Update on ESGs Pat Allison (NAIC) provided an update on the work being done on economic scenario generators (ESGs). She said there was a joint meeting of the Working Group and the Life Actuarial (A) Task Force on Oct. 27. During that meeting, she said the background and the deliverables that Conning will have for the ESG project were discussed, and these are posted on both groups’ websites. She said there will be a meeting of the Task Force on Dec. 3; it will discuss the timeline for the project, and Conning will provide some overview information and start discussion of the interest rate generator in particular. 3. Discussed Possible Modifications to the Life and Fraternal Statistics Mr. Barlow said the Working Group has discussed the statistics previously and the possibility of modifying them in a manner that will lend itself more to driving action on the part of the Working Group. He asked if there are Working Group members willing to review the statistics and propose possible modifications. Mr. Boerner, Mr. Tsang, Mr. Robinson and Mr. Chou said they would be willing to support that effort. Mr. Barlow said this effort will start with Working Group members, but it will clearly involve feedback from interested parties before changes are made. 4. Adopted Revisions to the Working Agenda Mr. Barlow said the Working Group made changes to the life risk-based capital (RBC) calculation for the 2018 tax reform changes; although, there were a few minor considerations that the Working Group believed might merit further consideration. After the initial work was done, he said nothing further has been undertaken, and he asked if there is interest or a need to go back and look at the work that was done for possible additional changes. Paul S. Graham (American Council of Life Insurers—ACLI) said the items that were being contemplated were from the perspective of setting it up so future changes to the tax rates would be easier to incorporate, and he suggested that it might make sense in the current environment to wait and get some clarity on what any possible changes might be since any changes would not affect the end result of the calculation but would be moving any tax adjustments from one bucket to another. The Working Group agreed to delete this item from the working agenda and consider tax rate changes as they arise. With respect to contingent deferred annuities, Mr. Barlow suggested that this item could be included in the work that the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) is doing on updating the C-3 Phase I and C-3 Phase II methodologies. Link Richardson (Academy) agreed with that approach, and he said he would suggest it to the Academy’s C3 Life & Annuities Work Group. He said if needed, the Work Group could reach out to other Academy groups as well. The Working Group agreed to delete this item and combine it with the Academy’s work on C-3. With respect to the items relating to review of the primary security and RBC shortfalls, Mr. Barlow noted that NAIC staff review this annually. He suggested that these items be removed from the working agenda and considered as part of the review of the RBC statistics. The Working Group agreed. With respect to determining if any adjustment is needed due to the changes made to the Life and Health Insurance Guaranty Association Model Act (#520), Mr. Graham said one of the changes has to do with losses on long-term care (LTC) where
previously these were included only in the health assessments, they would now be split between life and health. He said he believes the reason for this item being referred to the Working Group was concern with the fact that the C-4a risk component is based on the amount of guaranty fund assessments. He said the risk charge is tied to the maximum amount of assessments in any one year for a life company, and that is not affected by the changes to Model #520; therefore, he does not believe there is any need to change the C-4a charge. Mr. Barlow said he is inclined to agree, but he wants to ensure that the Working Group appropriately addresses the item before removing it. Dave Fleming (NAIC) said he agrees with Mr. Graham, and he suggested that a memorandum from NAIC staff noting the reasons for no change being needed was appropriate for the Working Group to consider. The Working Group agreed. Lou Felice (NAIC) said the item relating to determining if any adjustment is needed to the reinsurance credit risk in light of changes related to collateral is related to the “Bilateral Agreement Between the United States of America and the European Union on Prudential Measures Regarding Insurance and Reinsurance” (Covered Agreement). He said the issue has to do with how the life RBC formula pulls in this information for authorized and unauthorized reinsurers. He said it may only require simple changes, but the formula’s treatment must be in conformity with the Covered Agreement for those treaties subject to it. Mr. Fleming said he believes this may require only instructional changes. He said the Academy is considering a separate reinsurance proposal for the life RBC formula’s treatment of items from the liabilities page that may be tangent to this, and he believes these may be addressed in one proposal. Mr. Ostlund made a motion, seconded by Mr. Robinson, to adopt the Working Group’s working agenda (Attachment Four-E) with the modifications suggested on this call. The motion passed unanimously. Having no further business, the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\LifeRBC\11_10_20 Call
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting October 9, 2020
The Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Oct. 9, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Philip Barlow, Chair (DC); Steve Ostlund (AL); Perry Kupferman (CA); Deborah Batista (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Vincent Tsang (IL); John Robinson (MN); William Leung (MO); Rhonda Ahrens (NE); Seong-min Eom (NJ); Bill Carmello (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Mike Boerner (TX); and Tomasz Serbinowski (UT). 1. Adopted the Mortgage Reporting Guidance Document and Instructional Change Mr. Barlow said there were two comment letters received, one from the Illinois Department of Insurance (DOI) (Attachment Four-A1) and a joint one from the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) and Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) (Attachment Four-A2). Mr. Tsang summarized his comment letter and suggested that 2020 net operating income (NOI) information be reported in the risk-based capital (RBC) report to identify if it is higher, lower or indifferent from the proposed 85% of the 2019 NOI. This will allow state insurance regulators to compare and analyze the 2020 NOI to the 2019 NOI should the industry be affected in the future by additional waves of the pandemic. Mr. Tsang said he supports the industry request to replace the 2020 NOI by 85% of the 2019 NOI but wants more disclosure in the reporting. Mr. Barlow said the proposed instructions do not facilitate the capture of that additional information. Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, Nebraska and Texas supported Illinois’ suggestion. Mike Monahan (ACLI) said the ACLI is in favor of additional disclosure and requested that the Working Group move forward with the guidance. Mr. Barlow said the Working Group would need to consider how to make the change in the most minimal way possible because it would affect three years of reporting and would then need to be undone. He said the sentiment of the Working Group is to add the additional disclosure to capture the 2020 NOI in the 2021 RBC reporting. Mr. Tsang said he would like to see the number captured so it could be used in determining the impact. Dave Fleming (NAIC) said the suggested changes would not be a structural change; instead, it would be an instructional change in the company generated worksheet. He said the instructions could be modified to incorporate the changes into the 2021 instructions that would need to be exposed by April 30, 2021. Mr. Fleming said the Working Group has adopted everything in the guidance document except for the NOI portion. He said the instructions could be worked on separately. Mr. Carmello made a motion, seconded by Mr. Ostlund, to adopt the 2020 Mortgage Reporting Guidance including the NOI and direct NAIC staff to work with industry on drafting instructional changes to the company-generated worksheet to appropriately capture the actual 2020 NOI. 2. Received a Memorandum from the Financial Condition (E) Committee on Bond Factors Mr. Barlow said the Working Group received a memorandum from the Financial Condition (E) regarding the new 20designation bond factors to be put into place for year-end 2021 and consider analysis that will be prepared by the ACLI and presented to the Working Group. He said this is a good path forward to complete the work on the bond factors. He said the ACLI has done some work on the bond factors and is interested in working with interested state insurance regulators to develop the scope of work they are doing and in determining if there are any changes to the current proposal for the bond factors. Mr. Barlow said he believes the work the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) did the work the Investment Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group asked it to do. He said he is comfortable with the Academy’s work and that the factors it developed are reasonably appropriate factors for bonds. He added that he is open to new information and is happy to work with the ACLI to address its concerns. Mr. Barlow said he would be content with moving forward with the factors but would suggest an adjustment to the portfolio adjustment be made. He said that while he believes the work the Academy did is actuarially sound, it could be harsh for smaller companies and would consider making a non-actuarial adjustment to the portfolio adjustment to address the concern. Mr. Barlow noted that the factors were developed before the tax law change, so at a minimum the factors would need to be updated to reflect the tax effect. He said the new 20-designation structure is in place, so the Working Group will have a short window of time to perform analysis on the 2020 RBC filings before deciding on final factors. He said the ACLI will present
its report and findings to the Working Group, and if there is information that is needed to complete its work, then that request should be brought to the Working Group. The Working Group would then need to evaluate whether that information is useful in ultimately making a decision on the work. Mr. Robinson asked if the ACLI’s findings would be sent to the Academy for review. Mr. Barlow said the ACLI’s work will be handled in the same manner as any other work that comes to the Working Group; the proposal would be presented, and it would be exposed for public comment. Mr. Chou suggested the Working Group have more open discussion as the ACLI works through its study to address any transparency concerns rather than waiting until the conclusion of its study. Mr. Barlow said the Working Group has work that was completed by the Academy on behalf of the Investment Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group, and it is up to the state insurance regulators to determine the assumptions and procedures in determining what is done to the RBC calculation. He said that in his time as Working Group chair and as a member of the Working Group, work has been accepted as is from the Academy, and the Working Group has received work that it requested the Academy revise in some way to address state insurance regulator concerns. He said if the Working Group feels that an assumption needs to be revised, it is on the Working Group to make that decision. Steve Clayburn (ACLI) asked that the Working Group review the request for proposal (RFP) that the ACLI has drafted to make sure it addresses state insurance regulator requests as well. He said the consultant who wins the RFP will review the underlying modeling that was done for those factors because industry has some concerns. Mr. Barlow encouraged Working Group members who are interested to provide their thoughts on the RFP to the ACLI. He said the factors will need to be exposed by the end of April 2021, so the Working Group will have some time to work on this and perform the analysis after the March 1, 2021, filing deadline. Mr. Barlow said the bond factors were developed several years ago and that there has been more experience since that time. He said if new bond factors are put in place now with more current assumptions, it could result in a change in the factors because of the additional experience. He said the goal should be to work with the work that has already been done and finalize the factors. Mr. Tsang asked if the Working Group should work with the Academy and look at making an adjustment to the portfolio adjustment while the ACLI does its analysis. Mr. Barlow said the portfolio adjustment should be a relatively simple change that the Working Group could make, and it is not uncommon for there to be regulatory adjustments to the Academy recommendations. He also noted that the ACLI planned to look at the portfolio adjustment. Nancy Bennett (Academy) said that capital requirements for bonds is designed to work together in a two-step process. She said the first is the individual level, and the second is the portfolio level, which makes an adjustment for diversification of an individual insurer’s portfolio. She said if the Working Group wanted to make some kind of state insurance regulator adjustments to the portfolio adjustment so that it affects some companies differently, it can be done. However, she said that is a function of judgement, and that is the regulator’s judgement to apply. In order for the Academy to revise it, it would need additional regulatory direction. Ms. Ahrens suggested waiting for the ACLI to complete its analysis before the Academy or the Working Group performs any additional work. Mr. Tsang suggested the Working Group look at making any adjustments to the portfolio adjustment parallel to the ACLI’s work. The Working Group agreed to continue the discussion during a future meeting. Having no further business, the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\LifeRBC\10_9_20 Call
Via email:
Due to the financial hardship caused by the epidemic, I support the ACLI’s proposal of using the greater of (a) 2020 NOI and (b) 85% of 2019 NOI in the calculation of the rolling average NOI.
If an insurance entity is using 85% of the 2019 NOI as a replacement of the actual 2020 NOI for a particular mortgage, I believe it would be beneficiary for the regulators to
• Quantify the difference between the 2020 NOI and 85% of the 2019 NOI
• Keep track of the types of mortgages with depressed 2020 NOI• Evaluate whether the currently assumed 85% is reasonable.
I suggest adding a line (e.g., 16a “Actual 2020NOI”) right after line 16 in the LR 004 of the RBC Instructions and the associated RBC spreadsheet where companies can report the mortgages’ actual 2020 NOIs.
Attachment Four-A1 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
11/19/20
Paul S. Graham III Mike Flood SVP, Policy Development SVP, CMF, Policy & Member Engagement
October 6, 2020
Philip A. Barlow, FSA, MAAA;
Chair, Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group
National Association of Insurance Commissioners
1100 Walnut Street, Suite 1500
Kansas City, MO 64106-2197
Re: Exposure Draft Notice: Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group (ending 10/7/20)
Dear Mr. Barlow:
The Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA)1 and the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI),2 on
behalf of our respective member insurers, submit these comments in support of the exposure drafts
“Guidance on Mortgage Reporting for 2020” and “Instructional Changes for 2021” that the Life Risk-
Based Capital Working Group of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)
released on September 30, 2020.
We support the guidance on Construction Loans; Origination Date, Valuation Date, Property Value,
and 90 Days Past Due; and Contemporaneous Property Values, which accurately reflects the
guidance the Working Group adopted in its June 30 and July 10, 2020 meetings.
We also support the proposed Net Operating Income (NOI) guidance and instructions on 2020 NOI
inputs for 2021, 2022, and 2023 risk-based capital reporting. We appreciate the engagement of
Working Group members discussing this proposal over a series of Working Group meetings. In fact,
regulator feedback from those discussions led industry to modify its initial NOI proposal (i.e., industry
lowered the 2020 NOI floor from 100% of 2019 NOI to 85% of 2019 NOI). Importantly, the proposal
will not provide risk-based capital relief to any loan that becomes delinquent as a result of the impacts
of COVID-19 or otherwise. We believe the resulting proposed adjustments to 2020 NOI inputs, where
applicable, will result in risk-based capital requirements that more reasonably reflect credit risk for
loans that continue to perform after the underlying properties experience a drop in NOI in 2020.
1 The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is the national association representing the real estate finance industry, an industry that employs more than 280,000 people in virtually every community in the country. Its membership of over 2,300 companies includes all elements of real estate finance: mortgage companies, mortgage brokers, commercial banks, credit unions, thrifts, REITs, Wall Street conduits, 70 life insurance companies engaged in real estate finance, and others in the mortgage lending field. For additional information, visit MBA’s website: www.mba.org
2 The American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) is the leading trade association driving public policy and advocacy on behalf of the life insurance industry. 90 million American families rely on the life insurance industry for financial protection and retirement security. ACLI’s member companies are dedicated to protecting consumers’ financial wellbeing through life insurance, annuities, retirement plans, long-term care insurance, disability income insurance, reinsurance, and dental, vision and other supplemental benefits. ACLI’s 280 member companies represent 94 percent of industry assets in the United States. Learn more at www.acli.com
Attachment Four-A2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting
September 25, 2020 The Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Sept. 25, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Philip Barlow, Chair (DC); Steve Ostlund (AL); Perry Kupferman (CA); Eric Unger (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Gilbert Moreau (FL); Vincent Tsang (IL); John Robinson (MN); William Leung (MO); Rhonda Ahrens (NE); Seong-min Eom (NJ); Bill Carmello (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); and Mike Boerner (TX). 1. Exposed the Proposed RBC Mortgage Reporting Guidance Mr. Barlow said the request for risk-based capital (RBC) mortgage reporting guidance from the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and specifically net operating income (NOI), was discussed briefly during the Working Group’s Sept. 11 meeting and asked if there is additional information that the industry would like to provide. John Waldeck (Pacific Life Insurance) said Pacific Life Insurance has talked to several of the state insurance regulators about outstanding concerns and would like to continue answering questions to clear up past confusion. Mr Waldeck said the proposal is for an NOI statistic that is 85% of the 2019 NOI or the greater of that and the actual 2020 NOI. He said the expectation is that many of the properties will be reporting the actual 2020 NOI. However, due to COVID-19 repressing the economy, he said he anticipates some properties will use the adjusted statistic of 85% of 2019 NOI. He said the 15% drop in NOI in a given year is historically almost three times as large as what was seen in 2001 and several times larger than that seen during 2008’seconomic recession. NOI is also a very common statistic used as a risk drop measure in the credit risk assessments on a property, and he said it is consistent with other agencies. He said it is also a very large impact that Pacific Life Insurance believes is appropriate as a floor rate for impacts for this year. The unique events of 2020 and the closure of the economy affects the design of RBC and the use of the RBC calculations for determining the risk category for each individual mortgage. Mr. Waldeck said Pacific Life Insurance surveyed a number of companies and found that applying a 15% drop in NOI in a single year would increase the RBC charge on commercial mortgages by 8%, which they believe is a reasonable increase given a one-time impact. He underscored the point that properties that continue to struggle or become non-performing loans are not affected by the proposed approach. Mr. Barlow said it sounds like assuming a 15% drop in NOI in a normal year, and assuming things return to normal, would result in an 8% increase in the RBC requirement and if the proposal is not put in place, that increase would be larger, which would mean the actual NOI would be less than 85%. Mr. Waldeck said that is correct. He said Pacific Life Insurance surveyed several companies that represent about 25% of the total outstanding balance of mortgages for life companies and applied a 15% drop to their 2019 NOI to understand what would happen across the entire portfolio. He said not every property is going to have an increase in RBC but, over the entire portfolio, the increase would be 8%. With respect to the concept of a 15% drop in NOI in a global financial crisis, he said the largest one-year drop in NOI was 3.15%, and in the 2001 recession, the largest drop was 5.91%, with the overall decline of 11.5% over multiple years. While an average NOI drop of 15% is large he said it is due to the financial crisis caused by the pandemic, and Pacific Life Insurance does not believe that represents the normal economic cycle intended in the RBC calculation. Curt Dawson (Metropolitan Life) said the expectation is for most companies to report their 2020 NOI in the RBC categorization. He said the properties that are most affected are the retail and hotel properties that were temporarily shut down. He said without this mitigation, properties that were closed could move significantly within RBC categories even though the fundamental credit profile of the property has not changed. These properties with low NOI were closed due to the pandemic and the geographic area it is in and not because it became uncompetitive. He said there are going to be changes in the commercial real estate space as a result of the pandemic. There are properties that are not going to come back while others are going to perform better than they did before. The performances of both will come through in the RBC categorization. He said the proposed change would only be to the 2020 NOI to be used in future years and would not affect the 2020 RBC calculation. However, he said there is an immediate impact, and it involves the investment decisions that companies are making today and the allocation of capital. Mr. Robinson asked if the actual 2020 NOI would be collected even though it is not used. Mr. Dawson said the intention is to expand the data collection to capture both the actual 2020 NOI and, if it is not used, the modified amount for review. Mr. Chou suggested instead of using a modified amount for the 2020 NOI, adjusting the weighting factors applied to each year used in the calculation as a way to ensure the integrity of the data. Mr. Dawson reiterated that Metropolitan Life believes that integrity
can be maintained by capturing both in the workpapers that are available for examination. With respect to adjusting the weighting factors, he said this was considered, but the preference was to leave the structure in place as much as possible and changing those factors from one year to the next does not achieve the objective of trying to mitigate the RBC impact on properties that did not have a change in their credit profile. Ms. Eom asked for confirmation that the proposal keeps the 2020 NOI constant for the three years the 2020 value is used and asked if this value could be changed after the 2021 RBC calculation depending upon what happens. Mr. Dawson said this was considered and one of the challenges with doing that is determining the threshold for when a property has come back and that is dependent upon how quickly the economy reopens. Mr. Waldeck reiterated the fact that if a property does not perform going forward it will fall into the non-performing category and will not be using any of the NOI statistics. Mr. Chou asked about the new normal as a result of the pandemic where a hotel, for example, is only coming back at 75%. Mr. Dawson said there will be properties that do not come back and do not generate the NOI that was underwritten or that they had in previous years but this will be reflected in the RBC calculation because they will migrate to the higher categorizations. He said the properties that do come back will maintain their categorization with this proposal. Even though a property comes back and is only at 75% of where it used to be, Mr. Waldeck said it will still be performing, which will be reflected going forward. He added that what the proposal is doing is removing from the calculation the period where it was not allowed to operate. Mr. Tsang asked about the rationale for using 85% and whether using 80% or 90% would be better. Mr. Waldeck said Pacific Life Insurance looked at what other industry groups such as the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) are using in their risk assessments, and a 15% drop in NOI was used to test whether a property will survive during a very large economic impact. He said they also looked at historical drops in the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) data during past recessions and took a multiple of that to reflect both an extremely large reduction, as well as what is used as a stress test for making new investments. He said 80% would be more than double the decline over a multi-year period that occurred in the 2001 recession, which actually had a larger impact on properties than the 2008 recession. The Working Group agreed to expose the industry’s proposed changes to be incorporated into the 2021 instructions for a public comment period ending Oct. 7. 2. Discussed the Working Agenda Dave Fleming (NAIC) said he discussed with both the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) and the ACLI potential changes needed due to the changes made to Life and Health Insurance Guaranty Association Model Act (#520). He said the life RBC charges based on guaranty funds are based on the maximum assessment, which has not changed, so it is not apparent that any change is needed. With respect to potential changes needed for credit risk and collateral, he said the Academy is working on a proposal for reinsurance that may be able to combine with this. He said he believes any changes needed can be done via the instructions or by line description changes. Mr. Barlow reminded the Working Group that items were added to the working agenda.These items come from the Investment Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group to discuss both the bond factors and the real estate factors. He said he believes the ACLI is working on a proposal to bring to the Working Group on the bond factors. Paul Graham (ACLI) said the ACLI will be reaching out to the Working Group in the next week or so for its input on the selection of a third-party consultant to review the factors that the Academy has proposed, as well as to get input from the Working Group on what the state insurance regulators feel would be helpful to them. Mr. Barlow said he will assist in whatever way he can but would like to get this moved forward as it has been debated for quite some time. He said he wants to get this complete so the new bond factors, as well as the real estate factors, can be in place for 2021.. Having no further business, the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\Cap Adequacy\LifeRBC\9_25_20 Call
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting
September 11, 2020 The Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Sept. 11, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Philip Barlow, Chair (DC); Steve Ostlund (AL); Deborah Batista (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Vincent Tsang (IL); Fred Andersen (MN); Rhonda Ahrens (NE); Seong-min Eom (NJ); Bill Carmello (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Mike Boerner (TX); and Tomasz Serbinowski (UT). 1. Heard an Update from the American Academy of Actuaries’ C2 Mortality Risk Work Group Chris Trost (American Academy of Actuaries—Academy), chair of the Academy’s C2 Mortality Work Group, said the Work Group is looking for additional feedback from the presentation in March on a proposed additional component for unknown or emerging mortality risk and how it should be incorporated into the proposed modeling along with the possibility of developing separate factors by product. After getting this feedback and incorporating into the Work Group’s work, he said the Work Group would like to present a preliminary set of factors. Ryan Fleming (Academy) provided the update (Attachment Four-C1). He discussed the overall approach to C-2 mortality risk, which has additional details in the appendix slides. Mr. Tsang asked if the catastrophe risk component would be focused on a section of the population or across all populations. Mr. Fleming said that the catastrophe risk event the Work Group is using is applied as a mortality add-on for all ages, which is the type of event that would have the most material impact for most life insurance companies. He discussed the current risk-based capital (RBC) factors, which were developed in the early 1990s and vary by individual, group life and net amount at risk. These factors decrease as net amount at risk increases, which relates to the volatility and level risk, with smaller companies being more subject to these. Mr. Fleming then discussed in more detail the new catastrophe component as presented in slides five through eight. With respect to the 5% assumption for increased mortality in the second bullet point on slide seven, Mr. Ostlund asked why the modeling would use that assumption based on one event when two events are presented and neither of the events equated to that percentage. Mr. Fleming said both events were used in the calibration, but these were events affecting the U.S. general population as opposed to the insured population. Mr. Trost said the way that the events affected mortality is different at different age groups. He said the 5% represents the worst age group, and the assumption used is that this is the same across all age groups. He said the actual impacts to population mortality to date indicate that it is more likely half that amount. Mr. Fleming said the selection of 5% is based on what represents a meaningful impact to life insurers and incorporating what would be a worst-case event. Mr. Ostlund said he is still concerned with the mortality for all ages being at 2% and the use of 5% for the modeling. In building this unknown event, Mr. Trost said how the event will emerge is also an unknown and that includes whether there will be a significant difference between the general population and the insured population. The proposal incorporates an additional element of conservatism. Mr. Ostlund said his concern is more with the frequency of events, which might be increasing, and whether they can be underwritten. Mr. Trost said those are fair points and ones the Work Group can consider as it continues its work. Mr. Boerner asked about the time period, or the length of events, and the factor applied. Mr. Fleming said the assumption is that it lasts for the projection period but, generally, within 10 years. He discussed the proposed differentiation for individual life products. Mr. Trost said the data is not readily available and the categorization by companies of different products may be an issue in how to approach this aspect. Mr. Barlow said it sounds like there could be a high degree of subjectivity involved. Mr. Trost agreed and said this is an issue that the Work Group may be able to provide alternative approaches to. Mr. Tsang said it would be good to have this type of differentiation, but it may be premature at this point and suggested deferring this aspect. Mr. Barlow concurred and suggested it would be good if differentiations in the proposed approach could be focused on those that can be pulled directly from the annual statement if that is possible. Mr. Carmello asked about the time horizon and how it fit in with the other components of RBC. Mr. Trost said he believes RBC tends to be calibrated between five and 10 years, but the point of the projection is to ensure that the full risk cycle is covered. Mr. Carmello noted that the work on bonds is looking at 10 years and suggested that may be a good number. Mr. Fleming discussed the next steps and, with the feedback from the Working Group, the goal of finalizing the proposed approach on preliminary factors for the next presentation to the Working Group. 2. Continued Discussion of Industry’s Request for RBC Mortgage Reporting Guidance
Mr. Barlow said this was briefly discussed during the Working Group’s Aug. 21 meeting and can be continued at the beginning of its next meeting. Curt Dawson (Metropolitan Life) said he is speaking on behalf of the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) and the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA). He provided a brief summary of the proposal (Attachment Four-C2) and said for net operating income (NOI) coming from properties for 2020, the proposal would use the 2020 NOI in the RBC classification formula unless it is lower than 85% of the 2019 NOI, in which case, the 2019 NOI would be used. He said the reason for this is that the classification method treats drops in NOI resulting from temporary closures relating to the COVID-19 pandemic the same way it treats drops in NOI related to changes in the fundamental property performance even though the impacts on credit risk could be different. He said the state insurance regulator feedback was that even though the drop may be due to a temporary shutdown, it could have an impact on future credit risk. However, he noted that loans that are near the limits of a classification may move between categories even with the proposal in place. He said the proposal is not designed to mask properties that have suffered a longer-term reduction in their competitiveness or their ability to generate revenue, and if a property will truly be performing at a lower level due to impacts from the pandemic, this will be reflected in the calculation over time. He also noted that the proposal does nothing to change the current treatment of properties that become delinquent or go into foreclosure. He said they have been meeting with state insurance regulators individually to discuss the proposal and solicit feedback on areas of concern. Mr. Barlow said the Working Group will continue this discussion during its next meeting. Having no further business, the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\LifeRBC\9_11_20 Call
C-2 Mortality Overall ApproachC-2 requirement covers mortality risk up to the 95th percentile covering risk in excess of the riskcovered in statutory reserves
C-2 requirement includes mortality risks related to:Volatility Risk—natural statistical deviations in experienced mortalityLevel Risk—error in base mortality assumptionTrend Risk—adverse mortality trendCatastrophe Risk
Large temporary mortality increase from a severe event such as a pandemic or terrorismNew: sustained mortality increase from an unknown risk
Evaluate mortality risks using Monte Carlo simulation of projected statutory losses
Discount pre-tax cash flows (current assumption is 5%)
Express capital requirement using a factor-based approach(e.g., factor applied to Net Amount at Risk)
As shared at the LRBCWG meeting during the December 2019 NAIC NationalMeeting, preliminary modeling indicates an estimated decline in factors versuscurrentFeedback from that meeting was that the C-2 Mortality Work Group shouldconsider an additional catastrophe component for an unknown riskC-2 Mortality Work Group developed a new catastrophe component informed byhistorical health events impacting the U.S. population
Component is intended to cover unknown risks that could materialize in the insured populationConceptually, the component assumes a low annual probability of a sustained severe mortality increase
New Catastrophe Component for an Unknown Risk—Historical Events
HIV and opioid abuse are twohistorical events impacting theU.S. population that can informthe development of acatastrophic unknown riskeventThe impact of these events toinsured population mortalityhas been lower than generalpopulation mortality
Probability: assumed to be a 2.5% annual likelihood of the event occurringProvides for the likelihood of 1 sustained event over a 40-year periodWhile the impact of HIV and opioids abuse have occurred in the US population in the last 40 years, neither of these translated to an increase in insured population mortality at the magnitude assumed.
Magnitude: if the event occurs, assumed to be a 5% immediate and sustained mortality increaseHIV (1995) and opioids (2017) both increased U.S. population mortality by 2% across all ages.However, life insurers would most be affected by an increase in mortality at younger ages. The ages 35-44 data became the basis, representing the most severe impact to insurers.
Description (source: CDC mortality statistics for US) % Incr. to US Population Mortality Death rate per 100K
HIV mortality in peak year—1995, all ages +1.9% 16.4
HIV mortality in peak year—1995, ages 35-44 +5.0% 44.4
Estimated opioids mortality in highest year—2017, all ages +1.8% 15.8
Drug-induced mortality in highest year —2017, ages 35-44 +4.7% 40.6
Individual Life Product DifferentiationThe C-2 Mortality Work Group is considering differentiating factors betweenproducts with near-term inforce pricing flexibility and those with minimalinforce pricing flexibilityThe impact on surplus is higher for products that have less inforce pricingflexibility
Products with less inforce pricing flexibility (e.g., longer level term and ULSG products)Modeled with a 10-year projection period
Products with more inforce pricing flexibility (e.g., permanent whole life, current assumption universal life, and annually renewable term)
Modeled with a 5-year projection period
Setting separate factors would require product specific data (e.g., faceamount and reserves to derive net amount at risk) not currentlyreported at this level of detail in the annual statements
Next Steps for the C-2 Mortality Work GroupReceive regulator feedback
Adding the unknown risk catastrophe componentDifferentiating factors by individual life products
Finalize model and assumptionsReview group life premium stabilization reserve creditReview mortality capital requirements in other solvency regimesReview aggregate model output, complete documentation, and peer reviewRecommend updated factors to Life RBC
General Method Monte Carlo Model – (Present Value (PV) of Death Benefits Monte Carlo Model – PV of Statutory Losses• Loss defined as death benefits minus reserves released
Capital Quantification PV[95th] – 105%*PV[Expected]105% represents assumed margin available to offset losses in excessof expected
GPVAD[95th] • Greatest present value of accumulated deficiencies (GPVAD)• 5% margin/load assumed in reserve mortality
Projection Period 5 years (3 years for Group)Assumed exposure past 5 years could be offset through managementactions (raise premium, etc.)
5-10 years for Individual Life3 years for Group Life
Discount rate 6% after tax 5% pre-tax (3.95% after tax)
Base Mortality 88% of 1975-1980 Male Basic Table15Y Select & Ultimate StructureMale/Female not explicitly modelledUnderwriting adjustments applied based on generation
2017 Unloaded Commissioners’ Standard Ordinary Table (CSO) for Individual Life
Level Implicit from Discrete Scenarios:7 Competitive Pressures scenarios – risk ofoveroptimistic pricing assumptions15 AIDS scenarios – early 90’s estimates of the impact ofAIDS on insured mortality (could fit in level, trend, orcatastrophe)
3 Discrete DistributionsPandemic – calibrated from multiple sourcesTerrorism – 5% probability of additional 0.05 / 1KUnknown Risk – calibrated from historic US population events
Attachment Four-C1 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
11/19/20
August 18, 2020
Philip A. Barlow, FSA, MAAA Chair, Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group National Association of Insurance Commissioners 1100 Walnut Street, Suite 1500 Kansas City, MO 64106-2197
Re: Industry Recommendation for RBC Reporting of 2020 NOI
Dear Mr. Barlow:
The Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA)1 and the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI),2on behalf of our respective member insurers, respectfully submit to the Life Risk-Based Capital Working Group of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) the attached materials for upcoming August 21, 2020 call, in support of the Working Group’s consideration of industry’s proposal for RBC reporting of 2020 Net Operating Income (NOI).
We want to thank you and other regulators, and NAIC staff, for your considerable time and attention to this request. Please feel free to contact Bruce Oliver at [email protected] or 202-557-2840 or Mike Monahan at [email protected] or 202-624-2324 for any additionalinformation.
Sincerely,
Mike Flood Paul Graham
Attachment: Industry Recommendation for RBC Reporting of 2020 NOI
cc: Dave Fleming, NAIC Senior Insurance Reporting Analyst
1 The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is the national association representing the real estate finance industry, an industry that employs more than 280,000 people in virtually every community in the country. Its membership of over 2,300 companies includes all elements of real estate finance: mortgage companies, mortgage brokers, commercial banks, credit unions, thrifts, REITs, Wall Street conduits, 70 life insurance companies engaged in real estate finance, and others in the mortgage lending field. For additional information, visit MBA’s website: www.mba.org
2 The American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) is the leading trade association driving public policy and advocacy on behalf of the life insurance industry. 90 million American families rely on the life insurance industry for financial protection and retirement security. ACLI’s member companies are dedicated to protecting consumers’ financial wellbeing through life insurance, annuities, retirement plans, long-term care insurance, disability income insurance, reinsurance, and dental, vision and other supplemental benefits. ACLI’s 280 member companies represent 94 percent of industry assets in the United States. Learn more at www.acli.com
Attachment Four-C2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Owners of certain properties that secure mortgage loans are experiencing decreases in 2020 income, including rent income, from mandatory shutdowns and other governmental actions taken to flatten the pandemic curve, and other impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is especially the case for properties in the retail and hospitality sectors. As a result, their 2020 Net Operating Income (NOI) may be substantially lower than their 2019 NOI.
For at least some of those properties, however, that drop in income and NOI willprove to be temporary. As a result, loans secured by those properties will be performing loans in 2021, despite the 2020 drop in NOI.
The current treatment of 2020 NOI in life company RBC calculations for commercial mortgage loans (CMLs) does not contemplate such recovery and so it would generate an increase in RBC for loans that have recovered from 2020 that is not commensurate with their credit risk. Industry developed a proposed adjustment to the RBC reporting of 2020 NOI to better align RBC requirements for this set of loans with their credit risk in 2021, 2022, and 2023.
Notably, the proposal is intended to provide relief only to loans that were performing loans prior to the pandemic and that both (1) suffer a drop in NOI in 2020, and (2) are performing loans in 2021. The proposal is intended not to mask or shelter the increased riskiness of loans that suffer a severe drop in 2020 NOI that are not performing loans in 2021 or later years (e.g., loans that have become delinquent).
The proposal is designed to provide meaningful benefit only loans that suffer from reduced NOI for 2020 and are performing loans in 2021, 2022, and 2023.
II. DECISION ITEM: INDUSTRY RECOMMENDATION
To achieve the objectives described above, industry proposes the followingadjustment to the RBC reporting of 2020 NOI:
Where RBC Reporting Instructions specify 2020 NOI as an input into thecalculation of Rolling Average NOI for 2021, 2022, and 2023 RBCreporting, use the greater of—
o 2020 NOI; or
o 85% of 2019 NOI.
All loans with reduced 2020 NOI
Subset of those loans that are
performing loans in 2021
Attachment Four-C2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
NOI is the net of all operating income from a property, less all operating expenses. Operating expenses excludes principal and interest payments on loans.
For performing loans, the CM category is based on a matrix of Debt Service Coverage (DSC) and Loan to Value (LTV). NOI affects RBC reporting because NOI is an element of DSC.
DSC =Net Operating Income (NOI)
RBC Debt Service
In 2013, regulators determined to dampen the direct impact of changes in NOI on RBC reporting by adopting a weighted rolling-average approach to applying NOI values, as follows:
50% of preceding year NOI30% of next preceding year NOI; and20% of next preceding year NOI.
IV. SUPPORT
A. The proposal would not shelter bad loans.
Regulators have raised concerns about whether the proposal would shelter or mask bad loans. The hypothetical scenarios below illustrate that the proposal would provide limited relief to loans that have recovered from 2020 – and that it also would not shelter loans that have not recovered from 2020.1 That is, loans that are delinquent would receive no benefit from the proposed adjustment to 2020 NOI.
Scenario 1: $10 million CM1 loan with 25% reduction in 2020 NOI
2021 loan status 2021 RBC without adjustment
2021 RBC with adjustment
Performing loan 1.75% 0.90%
Delinquent – not in foreclosure 18.00% 18.00%
Delinquent – in foreclosure 23.00% 23.00%
Assumes 60% LTV loan with 1.70x starting debt service ratio falling to 1.44x with adjustment and 1.27x without adjustment.
Scenario 2: $10 million CM2 loan with 50% reduction in 2020 NOI
2021 loan status 2021 RBC without adjustment
2021 RBC with adjustment
Performing loan 3.00% 1.75%
Delinquent – not in foreclosure 18.00% 18.00%
Delinquent – in foreclosure 23.00% 23.00%
Assumes 60% LTV loan with 1.25x starting debt service ratio falling to 1.06x with adjustment and 0.62x without adjustment.
1 These are simplified hypothetical scenarios. Other factors, e.g., 2018 and 2019 NOI amounts,would affect results.
Attachment Four-C2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
B. The proposal would increase aggregate RBC requirements.
Regulators have expressed a concern that the proposal might ignore the impacts of reduced 2020 NOI. While the scenarios above illustrate how the proposed adjustment can provide a benefit to individual loans, not all loans will necessarily benefit in this way. That is, while in many cases, the adjustment would result in no increase in RBC, in other cases, loans would be subject to a large increase in RBC despite the adjustment. The difference in impacts across loans would be a function of how close any loan is to the threshold to the next CM category (e.g., a CM1 loan (0.9%) that is close to the threshold for CM2 may become a CM2 loan (1.75%) despite the NOI adjustment).
To determine the aggregate RBC impact of the impacts across individual loans,industry asked companies to apply a hypothetical 15 percent reduction in NOI across their entire respective portfolio. One way to think about this exercise is to view it as a rough estimate of the RBC impact of a 15% reduction in NOI to an “average” life company commercial mortgage.
Specifically, companies were asked to apply a hypothetical 15 percent NOI shock across their entire mortgage portfolios. Companies were asked to provide their best estimates of actual 2020 RBC levels, and of hypothetical 2020 RBC levels if all property 2020 NOIs declined 15% from their 2019 levels.
Based on reporting representing nearly 25 percent of CML outstanding, for the average loan for which NOI is reduced by 15 percent, the average RBC capital charge would increase an average of about 8 percent. This indicates that the proposal to limit the 2020 NOI shock to 15 percent NOI for loans would still generally result in an aggregate increase in CML RBC in the range of about 8 percent, for loans subject to the proposed 85 percent floor, and so would effectively impose an additional RBC charge for the 2020 reduction in NOI.
C. Quarterly NOI data is not readily available for RBC purposes.
In response to regulator questions in the Working Group call of July 30 about the feasibility of developing a proposed treatment of 2020 NOI based on quarterly NOI data, industry conducted a survey to determine the ready availability of such data.
The survey asked for the number of loans each insurer held in portfolio and approximately how many of those loans require the borrower to provide, and the company routinely collects, quarterly operating statements.
Responses by 27 companies, with a total of approximately 23,000 loans, showed that quarterly operational information is both required and routinely collected on only about 7 percent of loans outstanding. Accordingly, any approach that relied on the use of quarterly NOI would not be operationally feasible for the industry.
IV. CONCLUSION
Industry believes the proposed adjustment to 2020 NOI is necessary to strike the right balance of preventing RBC from overstating the credit risk of a loan that has recovered from a reduced NOI in 2020, and recognizing the increased credit risk of the loans that have not recovered from a reduced NOI in 2020.
If large numbers of properties recover strongly and remain financially strong in 2021, the adjustment may apply to a relatively large pool of loans. Alternatively, ifsmaller numbers of those properties recover, the adjustment would apply to asmaller pool of loans.
Attachment Four-C2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting August 21, 2020
The Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Aug. 21, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Philip Barlow, Chair (DC); Steve Ostlund (AL); Perry Kupferman (CA); Deborah Batista (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Sean Collins (FL); Vincent Tsang (IL); John Robinson (MN); William Leung (MO); Rhonda Ahrens (NE); Seong-min Eom (NJ); Bill Carmello (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Mike Boerner (TX); and Tomasz Serbinowski (UT). 1. Heard an Update from the Academy C-3 Work Group Mr. Barlow said the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) has been working on C-3 issues while the Working Group has been addressing other items, and the Academy is looking for feedback from the Working Group on how best to proceed. Link Richardson (Academy) provided a high-level review of the presentation, which he said is similar to one that was briefly given on the March 23 call, but more has been added with respect to specific steps to be taken in the course of field testing. He reminded the Working Group that the specific charge to the Academy was to update C-3 Phase I or C-3 Phase II to include indexed annuities. Originally, it was to be C-3 Phase I, but he said the Academy is suggesting that C-3 Phase II may make more sense, as it has equity scenarios defined, hedging guidance, and other items. Mr. Richardson said since the 2015 field test, C-3 Phase II has been updated, and the Academy is suggesting that the testing be done in the updated C-3 Phase II methodology. He presented the Academy’s update (Attachment Four-D1). The 2015 field test used the September 2014 models and scenarios, and it was included in the instructions for the March 2015 risk-based capital (RBC) filing. Mr. Richardson said the Academy suggested, if that route is chosen, using the June supplemental update due to year-end time constraints. He said the analysis that was done on the results was not extensive, and the Academy is asking for a clearer analysis and basis for drawing conclusions. He highlighted the changes that have occurred since 2015 and the key differences that still exist between C-3 Phase I and C-3 Phase II. Mr. Tsang asked about the first bullet point on slide six on the key differences and the prescribed use of default costs in VM-20, Requirements for Principle-Based Reserves for Life Products, included on the previous page. Instead of C-1 charges, Mr. Richardson said the first bullet under key differences should refer to the assumed default costs instead. He discussed the scenario considerations; the Academy’s high-level recommendations; and the Academy’s suggested steps for a field test, as outlined on slide nine where one major framework change or assumption at a time could be considered to see what the effects are. He said the Academy has created a field test vision subgroup of VM-22, Statutory Maximum Valuation Interest Rates for Income Annuities, and it suggested coordination with that subgroup. Mr. Robinson asked if there would need to be another round of field testing done after VM-22 is done and, if so, when that would be scheduled for. Mr. Richardson said this is something that will need to be considered, as it determines what business VM-22 applies to. He said one of the things the Academy’s C3 Life and Annuities Work Group envisions doing next, if this high-level recommendation is acceptable, is to proceed with developing more specifics but, along with that, they suggest specific results analysis consideration, as outlined on slide ten. Mr. Barlow asked about the VM-22 field testing timeline. Mr. Tsang said the VM-22 field test is targeted for the middle of 2021, which would likely involve iterations, so it would likely be expected to be done sometime in 2022 with an implementation date of Jan. 1, 2023. Although, he suggested that a 2024 implementation may be more realistic. Mr. Barlow asked if the consensus is that the only way to get the necessary data is through the use of a field test. Mr. Richardson said it would be helpful to see the effects of the major changes in order to make those apparent and gather comments. He also noted that the RBC requirement of including an impact study for significant changes and a field test would seem to be the best way to gather meaningful information that would come from actual models and products. Mr. Barlow suggested that perhaps a more specific proposal from the Academy, depending on the work burden and its coordination, would be a goal of the Working Group. Mr. Richardson said the C3 Life and Annuities Work Group would continue its coordination, and it will take its 2014 report and update it to incorporate the specifics in this presentation.
2. Adopted a Revised 2020 Life RBC Newsletter Mr. Barlow said the newsletter (Attachment Four-D2) was revised due to changes made to the 2019 C-3 instructions and C-3 guidance that were omitted. Mr. Boerner made a motion, seconded by Mr. Kupferman, to adopt the revised newsletter. The motion passed unanimously. 3. Discussed Other Matters Mr. Barlow said another call will be scheduled to continue discussion of the industry’s request for mortgage reporting guidance. Having no further business, the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\LifeRBC\8_21_20 Call
The Academy C-3 Life and Annuities Work Group (C-3 WG) has a requestfrom the NAIC Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group (LRBC) to“Update the current C-3 Phase I or C-3 Phase II methodology to includeIndexed Annuities.”
The C-3 WG has developed high-level conceptual recommendations withrespect to this request and would like to discuss them with the Life Risk-Based Capital Working Group (LRBC) before proceeding to develop thespecifics of the recommendations.
C-3 Phase 1 Versus Updated Phase 2—Key Differences
C-1 charges at expected levels vs. CTE 70
Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) Mean Reversion Point (MRP) 6.55%vs. formulaic currently 3.50%
Capital requirement based on approximately CTE 90 vs. 25% of(CTE 98 minus CTE 70)
Surplus in projections based on reserves vs. WR of zero
Minimum RBC is 50% of factor-based amount vs. implicit floor. As apractical matter, C3P2 = 25% of (CTE 98 minus CTE 70) will always bepositive, because the values come from the same distribution.
The 2015 Field Test specified 200 identical interest rate scenarios for all companies. Most companies run 1,000 scenarios for C-3 P2. A two-dimensional stratification (interest rates and equity returns) was developed for the 2015 Field Test, but not used because Indexed Annuities were excluded, which eliminated the need for equity scenarios.
Use of the two-dimensional 200-scenario framework is recommended, and would allow for comparisons to both the current 50-scenario C-3 P1 framework and the typical 1,000 scenarios for C-3 P2.
High-Level Recommendations Repeat the 2015 C-3 Phase 1 Field Test, in 2021 for 9/30/2020 models, but using the updated C-3 Phase 2 framework and including Indexed Annuities along with all products currently inscope for C-3 P1.
Continue mandatory participation, but change the timing to occur after year-end work is largely complete. Results could be due with the June RBC filing instead of February.
Model hedging as it is modeled for cash flow testing (CFT), until VM 22 hedging guidance is available.
Develop specific recommendation for treatment of reserves not equal to a CTE 70 basis. The Total Asset Requirement (TAR) framework is suited to handling differing levels of reserve conservatism but is complicated by the change to 25% of (CTE 98 minus CTE 70).
Consider a more comprehensive PBR and C-3 Field Test including all products, once a new ESG is available.
Attachment Four-D1 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Results Analysis Considerations Regulators and the Academy WG should develop a useful set of filing requirements and questions tofacilitate and elicit participants’ comments on their own results. For example:
Results by model or product group would be helpful to analysis efforts.
Present values of ending surplus can be a useful indicator of the potential margin beforedeficiencies would develop, for scenarios where there is no deficiency.
Results with projected reserves, and with working reserves equal zero, can help with analysis of the significance of this choice.
Confidentiality was provided via the RBC filing approach in 2015, and would likely be suitable again,if NAIC staff and regulators can perform work on summarization and aggregation of results.
If the High-Level Recommendations and Analysis Considerations are acceptable, the Academy C-3WG can begin drafting of proposed Instructions.
NAIC Life Risk Based Capital Newsle er August 2020 Volume 26
What RBC Pages Should Be Submitted?
For year-end 2020 life and fraternal risk-based capital (RBC), submit hard copies of pages LR001 through LR049 to any state that requests a hard copy in addition to the electronic filing. Starting with year-end 2007 RBC, a hardcopy was not required to be submitted to the NAIC. However, a portable document format (PDF) file repre-senting the hard copy filing is part of the electronic filing.
If any actuarial certifications are required per the RBC instructions, those should be included as part of the hard copy filing. Starting with year-end 2008 RBC, the actuar-ial certifications were also part of the electronic RBC filing as PDF files, similar to the financial annual state-ment actuarial opinion.
Other pages, such as the mortgage and real estate work-sheets, do not need to be submitted. However, they still need to be retained by the company as documentation.
Bond Designation Structure The Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force adopted proposal 2019-16-CA to incorporate the 20 designation catego-ries for bonds into the life and fraternal RBC formula to be used in conducting an impact analysis study for year-end 2020 reporting during its April 30, 2020 conference call. The 20 bond designation categories were incorpo-rated into the Bonds page (LR002), Asset Concentration page (LR010) and Off Balance Sheet Collateral page (LR017),.
Longevity Risk As a result of the adoption of proposal 2019-13-L by the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force on its April 30, 2020 conference call, changes developed by the Longevity Risk (E/A) Subgroup and recommended to the Life Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group to implement the structure for a longevity risk charge were incorporated into the life RBC formula. On it’s June 30, 2020 conference call, the Task Force adopted the instructions with proposal 2020-06-L, which includes factors of zero for 2020. The structure adopted will provide information to be used in the ultimate determination of factors for 2021 reporting.
Capitation Tables The Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force adopted proposal 2018-17-CA to capture the Capitation Tables electronically through the file submission of the life RBC formula during its June 28, 2019 conference call.
RBC Preamble As a result of the adoption of proposal 2019-07-CA by the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force at the 2019 Fall Nation-al Meeting, the Risk-Based Capital Preamble was added to the RBC instructions to provide a clear understanding of the purpose of RBC and goals of RBC as the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force and RBC Working Groups re-view referrals and proposals.
Overview and Table of Contents As a result of the adoption of proposal 2020-05-CA by the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force during its June 30, 2020 conference call, the page iv instructions were modified to insert the word “Overview” in the page heading and the Table of Contents were modified to include only the page heading and delete references to the individual sections of the Overview.
C-3 Instructions and C-3 GuidanceAs a result of the adoption of proposal 2020-03-L by the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force during its 2020 Summer National Meeting, C-3 instructions specific to the yearend 2019 RBC filing were deleted and the associated guidance adopted.
In This Issue: What RBC Pages to Submit .......................................... 1 Bond Designation Structure .......................................... 1 Longevity Risk .............................................................. 1 Capitation Tables .......................................................... 1 RBC Preamble ............................................................... 1 Overview and Table of Contents ................................... 1 RBC Forecasting & Instructions ................................... 2 Contact Information ...................................................... 2
Attachment Four-D2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Life Risk-Based Capital Newsletter Volume 26. Published annually or whenever needed by the NAIC for insurance regulators, professionals and consumers.
Direct correspondence to: Dave Fleming, RBC Newslet-ters, NAIC, 1100 Walnut Street, Suite 1500, Kansas City, MO 64106-2197. Phone: (816) 783-8121. Email: [email protected]. Address corrections requested. Please mail the old address label with the correction to: NAIC Publications Department, 1100 Walnut Street, Suite 1500, Kansas City, MO 64106-2197. Phone: (816) 783-8300. Email: [email protected].
RBC Forecasting and Instructions The Life and Fraternal RBC forecasting spreadsheet calculates RBC using the same formula presented in the 2020 NAIC Life and Fraternal Risk-Based Capital Forecasting & Instructions for Companies, and is available to download from NAIC Account Manager. The 2020 Life and Fraternal Risk-Based Capital Forecasting & Instructions for Com-panies publication is available for purchase in hardcopy or electronic format through the NAIC Publications Depart-ment. This publication is available on or about Nov. 1 each year. The User Guide is no longer included in the Fore-casting & Instructions. WARNING: The RBC Forecasting Spreadsheet CANNOT be used to meet the year-end RBC electronic filing re-quirement. RBC filing software from an annual statement software vendor should be used to create the electronic fil-ing. If the forecasting worksheet is sent instead of an electronic filing, it will not be accepted and the RBC will not have been filed.
Attachment Four-D2 Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force
Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group and Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup E-Vote
November 11, 2020 The Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force conducted an e-vote with the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup of the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force that concluded Nov. 11, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Tom Botsko, Chair (OH); Mitchell Bronson (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Judy Mottar (IL); Anna Krylova (NM); Sak-man Luk (NY); Will Davis (SC); Miriam Fisk (TX); and Randy Milquet (WI). The following Subgroup members participated: Wanchin Chou, Chair (CT); Mitchell Bronson (CO); Judy Mottar (IL); Gordon Hay (NE); Anna Krylova (NM); Sak-man Luk (NY); Tom Botsko (OH); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); Will Davis (SC); and Miriam Fisk (TX). 1. Adopted the 2020 U.S. and Non-U.S. Catastrophe Risk Event Lists The Working Group and the Subgroup conducted an e-vote to consider adoption of the updated 2020 U.S. and non-U.S. catastrophe risk event lists. Mr. Bronson made a motion, seconded by Mr. Schallhorn, to adopt the 2020 U.S. and non-U.S. catastrophe risk event lists. (Attachment Five-A) The motion passed unanimously. Having no further business, the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group and the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\PCRBC\Att01_11-11propertycatsg.doc
Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group Virtual Meeting (in lieu of meeting at the 2020 Fall National Meeting)
October 27, 2020 The Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Oct. 27, 2020. The following Working Group members participated: Tom Botsko, Chair, and Dale Bruggeman (OH); Richard Ford (AL); Mitchell Bronson, Rolf Kaumann and Eric Unger (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Robert Ridenour (FL); Judy Mottar (IL); Anna Krylova (NM); Sak-man Luk (NY); Miriam Fisk (TX); and Randy Milquet (WI). 1 Adopted the Report of the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup Mr. Chou said the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup met Oct. 19 and took the following action: 1) adopted its Summer National Meeting minutes; 2) exposed proposal 2020-08-CR (Clarification to PR027 Interrogatories); 3) discussed the possibility of adding wildfire peril to the Rcat component; 4) discussed the internal catastrophe model evaluation process; and 5) discussed the additional internal and commercial models evaluation process. He stated that the Subgroup also met July 29 and took the following action: 1) adopted its Feb. 3 joint minutes with the Working Group; 2) heard a presentation from Karen Clark & Company (KCC) on its catastrophe model; 3) discussed the possibility of allowing additional third-party commercial vendor models; and 4) discussed the internal catastrophe model evaluation process. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Ms. Krylova, to adopt the report of the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup (Attachment Six-A). The motion passed unanimously. 2. Adopted its Summer National Meeting Minutes Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Ms. Krylova, to adopt the Working Group’s July 30 minutes (see NAIC Proceedings – Summer 2020, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force). The motion passed unanimously. 2. Exposed Proposal 2020-11-CR (Remove Operational Risk Factor from Rcat) Mr. Botsko said the operational risk is now separately addressed in the risk-based capital (RBC) formula as a stand-alone capital add-on. The purpose of this proposal is to remove the embedded 3% operational risk charge in the Rcat component to avoid double counting of the charge. Scott Williamson (Reinsurance Association of America—RAA) said the RAA supports this proposal. He also stated that the embedded operational risk is duplicative and is inadvertently being applied to the Rcat component. The Working Group agreed to expose proposal 2020-11-CR for a 35-day public comment period ending Dec. 1. 3. Discussed Ref #2019-49: Retroactive Reinsurance Exception from the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group Mr. Botsko said the Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force has organized a small group tasked with responding to the referral from the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group regarding Ref #2019-49: Retroactive Reinsurance Exceptions (Attachment Six-B) to clarify the accounting and reporting for retroactive reinsurance that meets the Statement of Statutory Accounting Principles (SSAP) No. 62R—Property Casualty Reinsurance exceptions to be accounted for as prospective reinsurance. He said the small group is receiving assistance from the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group staff. In addition, Mr. Botsko summarized an update by Gordon Hay (NE) at the last Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force meeting. It was stated that the small group is currently reviewing SSAP No. 62R holistically, with emphasis on retroactive agreements that receive prospective accounting treatment. It was also stated that the small group intends to expand SSAP No. 62R, clarifying Annual Statement, Schedule P expectations when retroactive agreements receive prospective accounting treatment. This work may imply some change to prospective reinsurance accounting prescriptions in SSAP No. 62R paragraphs 30–32 and 49–54 (cedants’ accounting and credit taken) and/or paragraphs 42–48 (reinsurers’ accounting).
4. Discussed a Referral from the Restructuring Mechanisms (E) Subgroup Mr. Botsko said a response from the Restructuring Mechanisms (E) Subgroup to request for extension was received earlier. He stated that the Subgroup requests a response by the 2021 Summer National Meeting to allow the Subgroup adequate time to review and incorporate the Working Group’s response into its work product. Mr. Botsko also indicated that the Subgroup requests a short progress update at the 2021 Spring National Meeting. He said that the completion date for the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group would need to be updated to the 2021 Summer National Meeting to accommodate the Subgroup’s deadline. Mr. Milquet said he is concerned about who should be the one to identify whether a company is in runoff status or not. Mr. Williamson said he thinks state insurance regulators may consider using the Annual Statement Jurat page and the Schedule F to identify those companies. Mr. Chou said asking NAIC staff to provide data to assist the discussion will be a good starting point. Ralph Blanchard (Travelers) asked the Working Group to consider dividing the runoff companies into voluntary basis versus involuntary basis. Mr. Botsko said he believes that creating an ad hoc group to discuss this issue would speed up the entire process. The Working Group agreed with Mr. Botsko. He encouraged interested parties to join the ad hoc group so this project will be completed in time. 5. Discussed its 2020 Working Agenda Mr. Botsko summarized the changes to the Working Group’s 2020 working agenda: 1) removed “Evaluate the RBC impact on the modification of the installment fees and expenses reporting guidance” as the Ref #2019-40: Reporting of Installment Fees and Expenses was adopted by the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group on March 18; and 2) added “modify instructions to PR027 Interrogatories that clarify how insurers with no gross exposure to earthquake or hurricane should complete the interrogatories” and “remove the embedded 3% operational risk component contained in the reinsurance contingent credit risk factor of Rcat” in the new items section. He stated that both items have been exposed for a 30- and 35-day comment period, respectively. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Luk, to adopt the Working Group’s 2020 working agenda. The motion passed unanimously. 6. Discussed Line 1 Underwriting Risk Reserves and Premiums Methodology Mr. Botsko said as the Working Group discussed during the Summer National Meeting, some state insurance regulators asked the Working Group to determine the impact to the industry RBC result if the weighted average approach calculation were used across all lines. He said some industry parties are concerned that using a weighted average approach could distort the industry experience adjustment if a large entity did a retroactive with prospective reinsurance treatment. He recommended the Working Group consider using the weighted average approach across all lines and monitoring the result closely on any material distortion. Mr. Botsko asked the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) to determine the impact on line 4 by using the consistent approach with line 1 and share comments with the Working Group during its upcoming meeting. Lauren Cavanaugh (Academy) recommended the Working Group consider using other alternatives, such as filtering based on the company sizes or pools. She said the Academy will be able to provide the necessary information to accomplish this project. 7. Discussed Other Matters Mr. Botsko said the Working Group is still reviewing the possibility of adding an equivalent reinsurer designation column in the NAIC Listing of Companies. Currently, the NAIC Legal Division and the Securities Valuation Office (SVO) are investigating different issues regarding this matter. Thoughts and findings will be provided during the Working Group’s upcoming meetings. Having no further business, the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2020\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\PCRBC\Att01_10_27propertyrbcwg.doc
Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup Virtual Meeting (in lieu of meeting at the 2020 Fall National Meeting)
October 19, 2020 The Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup of the Property and Casualty Risk-Based Capital (E) Working Group of the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force met Oct. 19, 2020. The following Subgroup members participated: Tom Botsko, Chair (OH); Robert Ridenour, Vice Chair, and Robert X. Lee (FL); Susan Bernard (CA); Eric Unger (CO); Wanchin Chou (CT); Anna Krylova (NM); Sak-man Luk (NY); Andrew Schallhorn (OK); and Miriam Fisk (TX). 1. Adopted its Summer National Meeting Minutes Mr. Botsko said the Subgroup met July 29 and took the following action: 1) adopted its Feb. 3 minutes; 2) heard a presentation from Karen Clark & Company (KCC) on its catastrophe model; 3) discussed the possibility of allowing additional third-party commercial vendor models; and 4) discussed the internal catastrophe model evaluation process. Mr. Chou made a motion, seconded by Mr. Ridenour, to adopt the Subgroup’s July 29 minutes (see NAIC Proceedings – Summer 2020, Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force). The motion passed unanimously. 2. Exposed Proposal 2020-08-CR (Clarification to PR027 Interrogatories) Mr. Botsko said some insurers with minimal or no gross earthquake and/or hurricane exposure did not file PR027A or PR027B, and the Interrogatories on PR027 will create some validation issues in the catastrophe risk component. He said the purpose of this proposal is to add instructions to PR027 Interrogatories that clarify how insurers with minimal or no gross exposure to the catastrophe risk should complete the interrogatories. The Subgroup agreed to expose proposal 2020-08-CR for a 30-day public comment period ending Nov. 18. 3. Discussed the Possibility of Adding Wildfire Peril to Rcat Component Mr. Chou said he developed an outline to lay out the approach to develop charges for additional perils. With some minor modifications in the document, Mr. Chou believed that the outline could serve as a roadmap to develop a new peril or perils in the Rcat component. He encouraged the interested parties to review the outline and provide suggestions during an upcoming conference call. Ralph Blanchard (Travelers) asked the Subgroup to consider including the distinction between the use of average annual loss versus tail analysis in the evaluation process. Mr. Chou agreed that the Subgroup should consider including Mr. Blanchard’s suggestion in the outline. Mr. Lee said the Florida Modeling Commission is currently in the process of reviewing the KCC hurricane model. He stated that Florida is willing to share the document in terms of the reviewing standard with the Subgroup. Mr. Botsko said the document recommended that the Subgroup consider flood and/or wildfire to be the next possible candidates for developing charges. He suggested that the Subgroup focus on wildfire for now and evaluate flood upon completion of the wildfire peril. The Subgroup agreed to the approach. 4. Discussed the Internal Catastrophe Model Evaluation Process Mr. Chou said he believes that the definition of the internal catastrophe model should include: 1) internal catastrophe models for different natural perils; 2) vendor catastrophe models with certain adjustments; and 3) derivative models based on vendors’ catastrophe models. However, he said he believes that the current NAIC risk-based capital (RBC) instructions do not cover the entire definition of the internal catastrophe model. He recommended that the Subgroup consider modifying the RBC instructions to cover the definition he mentioned. He also suggested that the Subgroup use the following as some of the possible references on modifying the current RBC instructions: 1) the Actuarial Standard of Practice (ASOP) No.56—Modeling, which provides guidance to actuaries when performing actuarial services with respect to designing, developing, selecting, modifying, using, reviewing and evaluating models; 2) model validation from the company’s state of domicile; and 3) field exams. Glen Daraskevich (KCC) believed that this is an important subject to discuss in this Subgroup. He said KCC is willing to provide educational materials regarding this matter to the Subgroup in the near future. Scott Williamson (Reinsurance
Association of America—RAA) said having industry-funded third parties to review the catastrophe models will be one of the alternatives to resolve this issue. Mr. Botsko recommended that the Subgroup consider seeking assistance from other NAIC groups regarding this issue. He also welcomed comments and thoughts from the interested parties prior to the next Subgroup meeting. 5. Discussed the Additional Internal and Commercial Models Evaluation Process Jeff Czajkowski (NAIC) said as underlying wildfire risk increases, the cost of insurance increases, but the availability of coverage decreases. He stated that the American Academy of Actuaries (Academy) Extreme Events and Property Lines Committee released a paper on wildfires earlier, “Wildfire: An Issue Paper – Lessons Learned from the 2017–2018 California Events.” It indicated that: 1) no regulatory body has thoroughly reviewed any of the wildfire models; 2) vendors are critical partners in educating the insurance industry and state insurance regulators on wildfire models; and 3) state insurance regulators should be encouraged to become more familiar with and consider the benefits of wildfire models. Mr. Czajkowski said the goals for the research project are to: 1) provide an educational summary of the latest wildfire science and catastrophe modeling approach, including mitigation techniques; and 2) evaluate models in a regulatory setting. Eli Russo (NAIC) said the NAIC Center for Insurance Policy and Research (CIPR) will be able to assist the Subgroup on: 1) educating and validating the wildfire models and methodology; 2) engaging with catastrophe modeling vendors and insurers that have internally developed wildfire models to understand individual models; 3) advising on the design of the Rcat charge; and 4) drafting review questions and the process to permit the use of wildfire models for Rcat purposes. She also stated that the Climate & Resiliency (EX) Task Force was set up after the NAIC Summer National Meeting. She believed that the work of the Subgroup will be influenced by the recommendations provided by this Task Force. She also indicated that the Task Force will discuss its 2021 workplan on its Nov. 3 meeting. Mr. Botsko asked the Subgroup to review the materials and provide thoughts in the next conference call. 6. Discussed Other Matters Mr. Botsko said the Subgroup plans to expose the 2020 Catastrophe Event Lists for a seven-day public comment period on Nov. 1. An email vote to adopt the list will be conducted on Nov. 9. Lastly, Mr. Botsko said he will step down as chairman and resume his member role in the Subgroup after this meeting. He was pleased to announce that Mr. Chou will assume the chairman responsibility of the Subgroup. Having no further business, the Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup adjourned. W:\National Meetings\2029\Fall\TF\CapAdequacy\PCRBC\Att01_10-19propertycatsg.doc
TO: Phil Vigliaturo, chair representative of Steve Kelley, Chair, (MN), of the Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force Tom Botsko, OH), Chair of the Property and Casualty Risk Based Capital Working Group
FROM: Dale Bruggeman (OH), Chair of the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group
This referral has been provided to notify the Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force of a current Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group agenda item to allow for ongoing coordination. This agenda item is to address a request from the Committee on Property and Liability Financial Reporting (COPLFR) of the American Academy of Actuaries Working Group. The request, which was also received by the Task Force, was to clarify the accounting and reporting for retroactive reinsurance which meets the SSAP No. 62R—Property and Casualty Reinsurance exceptions to be accounted for as prospective reinsurance. The comment deadline for the public exposure is January 31, 2020, but the Working Group is primarily notifying the Task Force of the project and requesting volunteers.
During the 2019 Fall National Meeting, the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group exposed agenda item 2019-49: Retroactive Reinsurance Exception which includes a request for comments and for industry and regulator volunteers to assist with developing guidance. The goal is to clarify both the accounting and reporting for retroactive contracts which are accounted for prospectively, including:
• Both the ceding entity and assuming entity, where both are members of the same group and areconsolidated in the same Combined Annual Statement.
• The reporting method to be used if the ceding entity and assuming entity are not in the same group.
Comments are specially requested regarding the preferred approaches to reporting and the advantages and disadvantages to each approach being used, including both the Schedule P (and related loss analysis) and risk-based capital impacts.
Because the items under discussion can have impact on information reported in Schedule P, the Working Group directed notification of the exposure to seek your input. Please contact, Robin Marcotte, NAIC staff [email protected] of the Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group with any questions or volunteers.
Cc: Julie Gann, Robin Marcotte, Fatima Sediqzad, Jake Stultz, Jim Pinegar, Kris DeFrain, Eva Yeung; Jane Barr
G:\FRS\DATA\Stat Acctg\1. Statutory\E. Referrals\2019\2019-49 SAPWG to Castf pcrbc.doc
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February 27, 2020
Dale Bruggeman, Chair Statutory Accounting Principles (E) Working Group National Association of Insurance Commissioners
Via email
Dear Mr. Bruggeman:
I am writing on behalf of the American Academy of Actuaries1 Committee on Property and Liability Financial Reporting (COPLFR). We are following up on previous correspondence regarding Schedule P Instructions for Retroactive Reinsurance between Affiliates and Non-Affiliates.
COPLFR appreciates that the Statutory Accounting Principles Working Group (SAPWG) is looking into certain inconsistencies that were identified in our May 21, 2019, letter to you. In July, Julie Lederer, acting in her capacity as a member of the Casualty Actuarial and Statistical (C) Task Force, posed several questions about specific details in our initial comment letter. Her comments and COPLFR’s replies are presented here.
Julie Lederer’s Comment
1. I’m not sure what Allianz/Allianz Re agreement the letter is referring to. The letter suggests thatthis agreement was enacted in 2015 and that the accounting changed between year-ends 2015and 2016, but Allianz Re’s 2018 MD&A (which is said to be included as an attachment toCOPLFR’s letter but is not) suggests that the agreements between Allianz and Allianz Reweren’t enacted until 2016. Allianz Re did assume retroactive business from a different entity,Fireman’s Fund, in 2015:
1 The American Academy of Actuaries is a 19,500-member professional association whose mission is to serve the public and the U.S. actuarial profession. For more than 50 years, the Academy has assisted public policymakers on all levels by providing leadership, objective expertise, and actuarial advice on risk and financial security issues. The Academy also sets qualification, practice, and professionalism standards for actuaries in the United States.
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a. There’s hardly any workers comp data in Allianz’s 2015 Schedule P. There’s a lot of WCdata at year-end 2016, which appears to be due to the addition of Firemen’s Fund to thepooling agreement.
b. When I compare Allianz Re’s 2015 and 2016 Schedule Ps, I don’t see major changes.There is significant assumed premium reported in CY 2015 in both statements, and bothstatements show assumed reserves only for AYs 2012 and prior. I think this is related toAllianz Re’s transaction with FFIC (as mentioned in the MD&A above), not withAllianz.
COPLFR’s Response
The May 21, 2019, COPLFR letter is referring to the July 1, 2015, reinsurance agreement between FFIC and Allianz Reinsurance America (“Allianz Re”), where Allianz Re agreed to reinsure certain workers’ compensation (WC) and construction defect liabilities. The 2015 Schedule P, Part 1 of Allianz Re (page 4 of the May 21 letter PDF) shows $1.1 billion of 2015 accident year direct and assumed WC earned premium, presumably this Loss Portfolio Transfer. The 2016 Schedule P of Allianz Global Risk US Ins Co. (“Allianz or FFIC”) (page 7 of the May 21 letter PDF) shows $1.1 billion of 2015 accident year WC ceded earned premium, about equal to the assumptions of the Allianz Re premium discussed in the prior sentence. Allianz Global Risk US is synonymous with FFIC, as we understand it.
In our May 21, 2019, letter, we did state that “Initially, as of December 31, 2015, Allianz included all of the ceded losses in accident year (‘AY’) 2015.” We did only include the 2016 Allianz Schedule P; it would have been clearer to include the 2015 Allianz Schedule P as well, which we have attached as page 15 of the May 21 letter PDF (Attachment A). We agree with the comment in a. above that the additional data is due to the addition of Fireman’s Fund in the pooling agreement. Similarly, for b., we only show Allianz Re’s 2015 Schedule P.; we should additionally obtain Allianz Re’s 2016 Schedule P. We would not expect much change from the 2015 to 2016 Schedule P. Finally, our comments were not intended to suggest that the agreement between Allianz and Allianz Re was not enacted until 2016. We did, however, want to point out that as of Dec. 31, 2015, Allianz included all of the ceded losses in AY 2015, and in the following year, as of Dec. 31, 2016, Allianz recorded the ceded losses across the subject AYs 2012 and prior, as shown in Schedule P, Part 2 of Allianz (see page 8 of the PDF).
Julie Lederer’s Comment
2. I believe some of the attachments noted in the letter are missing:
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a. The letter includes Allianz Re’s 2015 Schedule P and Allianz’s 2016 Schedule P, but thetext of the letter suggests that Allianz’s 2015 and 2016 Schedule Ps are included.
i. Regardless, it’s pretty hard to compare Allianz’s 2015 and 2016 Schedule Psanyway, since Fireman’s Fund was added to the intercompany pool in 2016 andthe historical AYs in Allianz’s 2016 Schedule P were adjusted accordingly.
ii. When I compare Allianz Re’s 2015 and 2016 Schedule Ps, I don’t see majorchanges. The assumed premium is reported in CY 2015 in both statements, andboth statements show assumed reserves only for AYs 2012 and prior.
b. Attachment A1SAO (Allianz Re’s 2018 SAO) is missing. I looked up the SAO myselfand found this passage, which is rather vague, doesn’t name the counterparties, anddoesn’t discuss the accounting for the agreements:
c. Attachment A2MDA (Allianz Re’s 2018 MD&A) is missing. I looked this up myself andincluded a relevant passage above in item #1.
COPLFR’s Response The attachments were in the Academy’s submission to the CASTF and were in the CASTF materials for a call in June, but apparently were omitted by NAIC staff in materials provided for subsequent calls and referrals.
We too consider the excerpt you provided to be vague. To help clarify the issue, we are attaching MD&As from 2015 and 2016 that include Fireman’s Fund Insurance Company in their scope (attachments B and C). One of the difficulties in tracking this issue is the series of actions taken by Allianz since 2015.
Julie Lederer’s Comment
3. GEICO’s Note 21, included as an attachment, is useful, but it’s not clear what we should takeaway from GEICO’s 2014 Schedule P alone. It might have been useful to attach the 2013Schedule P as well. By comparing the 2013 and 2014 Schedule Ps, it’s clear that GEICO madesignificant cessions in 2014 and that these were spread among older AYs.
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Our takeaway from GEICO’s 2014 Schedule P alone is that Schedule P, Part 2 (page 13 of the PDF) shows $3.3 billion of decreased development. This is a distortion as we understand it and is supported by the 2013 and 2014 comparison noted above. That distortion would carry over to the RBC filings of the respective entities (based on our understanding of the RBC formula and related instructions). Industry Schedule P data can also be distorted based on what is and is not included in industry totals based on the data scrubbing performed.
We believe that this additional information clarifies our original comments and will help SAPWG to move forward with its own analysis. If you have additional questions, contact Marc Rosenberg, the Academy’s senior casualty policy analyst, at 202-785-7865 or [email protected].
Sincerely,
Kathy Odomirok, MAAA, FCAS Chairperson, COPLFR American Academy of Actuaries
[ x ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup
IDENTIFICATION OF SOURCE AND FORM(S)/INSTRUCTIONS TO BE CHANGED
[ x ] Health RBC Blanks [ x ] Health RBC Instructions [ ] Other ___________________
[ x ] Life and Fraternal RBC Blanks [ x ] Life and Fraternal RBC Instructions
[ x ] Property/Casualty RBC Blanks [ x ] Property/Casualty RBC Instructions
DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Delete the ACA Fee Sensitivity Test from each formula.
REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE ** The purpose of the proposal is to delete the ACA Fee Sensitivity test from each formula as a result of the repeal of the ACA HIT tax for 2021. The SAP Working Group is also drafting a Form A to remove the disclosures of the ACA fee in 2021.
Additional Staff Comments: 07-30-20 cgb HRBCWG referred proposal 2020-02-CA to the Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force for 30-day exposure withcomments to come back to the Working Group.08-05-20 cgb The Capital Adequacy Task Force exposed the proposal for a 30-day public comment period ending on Sept. 4,2020 with comments to come back to the Health RBC (E) Working Group.11-11-20 cgb No comments were received. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________** This section must be completed on all forms. Revised 11-2013
[ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ x ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup
DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Add a MAX function to the calculation of Line 17 – RBC Safe Growth Safe Harbor on Page XR021 to match the validation and start the calculation at 0.
REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE **
NAIC staff received an inquiry from a software vendor on an inconsistency between the HRBC formula within the forecasting file and the validation for the MAX function in the validation of line 17 of the excessive growth charge. The attachment shows how the current calculation in the formula of the forecasting file is working without the MAX function while the validation includes the MAX function which will convert a negative amount to 0. The last screen shot shows the difference in the charge if the MAX function were incorporated into the formula within the forecasting file. The MAX function is included within other parts of the HRBC formula, while it is specifically excluded from the Underwriting portion on page XR012.
Additional Staff Comments: 4-3-2020 – cgb – exposed for comment until 5-4-20207-8-2020 – cgb – no comments received during comment period.7-30-2020 – cgb – The Health RBC Working Group adopted the proposal the Virtual Summer National Meeting. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________** This section must be completed on all forms. Revised 11-2013
[ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ x ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup
DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Split the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets into separate pages (Page XR007 and XR008).
REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE **
Currently the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets are included on page XR007 of the Health RBC formula. With the implementation of the 20 bond designations and the electronic only tables, the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets were split between two tabs in the excel file for use of the electronic only tables and ease of printing. However, for increased transparency and system requirements, it is suggested that these pages be split into separate page numbers beginning with year-2021. Bonds would remain on page XR007 and Misc. Fixed Income Assets would move to page XR008. All remaining page numbers and references to the page numbers would be incorporated into the Blank an instructions.
Additional Staff Comments: 9-11-20 cgb The Health RBC WG exposed the proposal for 30 days with comments due back on Oct. 12.
10-12-20 cgb No comments received.10-29-20 cgb The Health RBC WG adopted the proposal on it 10/29/20 call. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________** This section must be completed on all forms. Revised 11-2013
[ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ x ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Op Risk RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup
IDENTIFICATION OF SOURCE AND FORM(S)/INSTRUCTIONS TO BE CHANGED
[ ] Health RBC Blanks [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Blanks [ ] Life RBC Instructions
[ ] Fraternal RBC Blanks [ ] Health RBC Instructions [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Instructions [ ] Life RBC Blanks [ ] Fraternal RBC Instructions [ x ] OTHER __Cat Event Lists___
DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) 2020 U.S. and non-U.S. Catastrophe Event Lists
REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE ** New events were determined based on the sources from Swiss Re and Aon Benfield.
Additional Staff Comments:
11/3/20 – The Cat Risk SG and the PCRBC WG exposed the 2020 Cat Event Lists for 7 days ending 11/9/20. 11/11/20 – The Cat Risk SG and the PCRBC WG adopted the 2020 Cat Event Lists.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________ ** This section must be completed on all forms. Revised 11-2013