11/14/2017 Gaston Fall 2017 1 FRST 547, Fall 2017 Canadian wood products and advanced building systems— revolution or evolution? Chris Gaston, PhD TM 2 Chris Gaston Fall 2017 Overview • Canadian fibre supply – land base, production and trade • End-use markets – Lumber, wood based panels and engineered wood products / composites • Residential, R&R, non-residential and industrial – Bio-energy and bio-chemicals • The renaissance of our industry! – Product and system evolution / revolution • The Green Economy (?)
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11/14/2017
Gaston Fall 2017 1
FRST 547, Fall 2017
Canadian wood products and advanced building systems—revolution or evolution?
Chris Gaston, PhD
TM
2Chris Gaston Fall 2017
Overview
• Canadian fibre supply
– land base, production and trade
• End-use markets
– Lumber, wood based panels and engineered wood products / composites
• Residential, R&R, non-residential and industrial
– Bio-energy and bio-chemicals
• The renaissance of our industry!
– Product and system evolution / revolution
• The Green Economy (?)
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Overview of the Canadian forest sector
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Forests of Canada
• 396.4 M hectares– 166.2 M certified
– 37.3 M national parks
• 2016 (hectares):– 0.78 M harvest (153 M m3)
– 17.6 M lost to insects
– 1.4 M lost to fires
• 67% coniferous, 16% mixed wood and 11% hardwood
• 94% publicly owned
• 30% of the world’s boreal forest
Source: The State of Canada’s Forests, 2016 Annual Report
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Forests of Canada
Source: BC Archives
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Forest industry in Canada—key facts
• Forest Sector Revenues (2014)
– Forestry and logging $ 9.3 Billion
– Pulp & paper $24.5
– Wood products $26.5
$60.3
• Contribution to GDP: $20.3 Billion
• Balance of Trade (2015): $22 Billion
• Average Wage per Employee (2011): $52,673
– 16% above the national average
• Jobs (2015): 296,691
Jobs (2013): 361,564
• Research and development (2011)
– Wood Products Manufacturing: $95 Million
– Pulp and Paper: $56
– Forestry and Logging: $ 6
Source: FPAC; The State of Canada’s Forests, 2016 Annual Report
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Structural changes in (or affecting) supply
• US housing collapse
• Drop in newsprint consumption
• Rise in lower grade demand (China, bioenergy)
• Rise in CDN $ value against US currency
• Annual allowable cut drops
– Recently Ontario and Quebec; pending in BC with the MPB)
• Increasing fiber costs
• Decreasing fiber quality
• Increasing natural
disturbances
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Wood supply cost in Canada
Source: Wood Resources International, February 2007
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Global fibre supply changes
Source: Pöyry
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Canada forest products exports
Source: Global Trade Atlas
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BC / rest of Canada lumber production
Source: Statistics Canada
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Canada lumber exports
Source: Global Trade Atlas
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Canada lumber exports
Source: Global Trade Atlas
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Some context: wood-use in the U.S.
Source: RISI, Boston, Massachusetts
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U.S. housing starts
Source: US Bureau of the Census
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‘Stick-built’ platform frame construction
The average cost of rough framing, sheathing, soffit, and door / window installation is as low as $8 per sq. ft.($16,000 for a 2,000 sq. ft. home)
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‘Pre-fab’ platform frame construction
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Move to 6-story multi-family
Source: WoodWorks
Library Square, Kamloops, BC, 2010
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Move to 6-story multi-family
Source: FPInnovations
Testing of 6-storey 2x4 construction in Japan
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Source: Adera, Vancouver, BC
Residential, University of BC
Move to 6-story multi-family
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Six story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: FPI, Quebec
Quebec, QC2010
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Six story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: FPI, Quebec
Concrete cores/walls to
resist lateral loads
Glulam post & beam
+ Three levels of parking (concrete)
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Five story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: Perkins + Will
Earth Sciences Building, UBC
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Five story hybrid wood-concrete
Source: Perkins + Will
Earth Sciences Building, UBC
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Consumer reaction to Canadian softwoods
Source: FPInnovations
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‘Tall Buildings’
Source: Michael Green Architecture
Wood Innovation Design Centre, Prince George, BC
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‘Tall buildings’
Source: Michael Green Architecture
“We are in a unique moment in architectural and building engineering history when shifting world needs has asked us to question some of the fundamentals of how we have built for the last century and how we will build in the next.”
Michael Green
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Tall wood structures
18-story student residence at UBC (expected completion Fall, 2017)
Source: https://www.naturallywood.com
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Tall wood structures
UBC Brock Commons (18-story student residence)
Source: https://www.naturallywood.com
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Wood Works design awards
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/wda/recipients/
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Wood Works design awards
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/wda/recipients/
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Wood Works design awards
Source: http://wood-works.ca/bc/wda/recipients/
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Wood pellets
Source: www.pellet.org
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Bio-pathways
Source: http://fpac.ca/
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Bio-pathways
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BC Central Interior ROCE – Normalized
Source: FPInnovations
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Life cycle assessments
Source: Athena Sustainable Materials Institute
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Bio-pathways II—value pathways in construction
• Market Leader Interviews
– Architects feel very strong social / environmental responsibility
• Survey state of market-ready and emerging technologies / products
• Address business models of innovation
– How to foster new product development
Source: http://fpac.ca/
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Value pathways in construction
Forest Industry Transformation (IFIT) program provided$190 million in 2010/2014 to help with the “valley of death”.