Simple yet sophisticated approach to optimizing financial performance [Date] [Location] [NAM or Trader] Risk Management Solutions
Simple yet sophisticated approach to optimizing financial performance
[Date][Location][NAM or Trader]
Risk Management Solutions
22
ECB DOUBTS PRESSURE EURO
Are we heading to a deflationary recession?
MARKET REGAINS FOOTING, NOT FAITH
EURO ZONE IN FULL BLOWN SOVEREIGN DEBT CHAOS
The Great False Choice
Stimulus or Austerity?
3
FX Risk Management
Income Statements
Balance Sheets
Cash Flow Statements
Liquidity
Earnings Volatility
Financial Strength
“
”
As a global boutique brokerage of risk solutions, we provide an institutional level of service to each of our 32K corporate customers.
We deliver sophistication and simplicity, seamlessly working to minimize the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the health of your enterprise.
Overview | Process | Common Myths on Hedging | Hedging Ratios
FX Risk Management
4
The Foreign Exchange Hedging Process
Overview | Process | Common Myths on Hedging | Hedging Ratios
FX Risk Management
Overview | Process | Common Myths on Hedging | Hedging Ratios
Trading on the spot market is conservative
Hedging limits flexibility and available choices
Hedging is complicated
Hedging rationale should be consistent with reducing the overall level of risk within your organization and shouldn’t just transfer one form of risk for another. Hedging is Risk Management.
Common Myths About Hedging
5
Options are inherently risky and expensive
Hedging requires the implementation of hedge accounting and complicates financial statements
6
FX Risk Management
Overview | Process | Common Myths on Hedging | Hedging Ratios
Optimal Hedge Ratios
Never hedge 100% - over-hedging limits flexibility and available choices
Psychologically optimal ratio is 50%
Typical Risk Averse Corporates hedge 70 to 85% of known requirements
The narrower the margins, the higher the ratio
The wider the margins, the lower the ratio
Known and contracted requirements vs. forecasted requirements
7
FX Risk Management
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
Think of these products not as tools themselves but simply as a means of execution for deploying your chosen strategy
Market Orders
Working with a risk management specialist… Will help you identify market levels of support and resistance, thereby
improving the performance of your orders
Can be employed to execute spot, forward, vanilla options and zero cost options
Take Profit Limit Order (Bid) Stop Limit OCO – Order Cancels Order Trailing Stop Limit
8
FX Risk Management
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
Forward ContractsProvide one with the ability to set an exchange rate today and settle in the future
Benefits Deliverable and non-deliverable
Any date – any amount
Extremely liquid
Multiple types with variant drawdown alternatives available
No upfront costs or fees
9
FX Risk Management
Forward Contract Types
Open
Closed
Window
Par
Non Deliverable (NDF)
• The most flexible of all in terms of cash flow. Access your funds at any point at the same exchange rate.
• The most efficient in terms of pricing, though the rate may change slightly if you deliver cash flow prior to expiry.
• The flexibility of open with the price efficiency of closed.
• One rate across multiple expiries and contracts. True fixed rate and date pricing.
• A pure hedging vehicle that allows you to hedge currency risk without being required to make a payment at expiry.
Can be deployed in emerging markets with currency controls or in situations related to risks of an ongoing nature
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
10
FX Risk Management
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
The FX Swap:Allows you to convert available cash into the currency you require today, while eliminating the currency risk inherent in transferring it back at a later date
Involves the simultaneous execution of a spot and forward trade in opposite directions (one buying and one selling)
Eliminates the bid-ask spread of booking two trades at the same time
The Challenge: Natural hedging comes with risks that cash flows and dates don’t always coincide, exposing your firm to liquidity and interest rate risk
11
FX Risk Management
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
Forwards and Swaps, Regardless of Their Type, Are ObligationsIf you execute one of these “hedges,” and the market moves in your favor, there is no ability to participate in that market movement.
Hedging is too risky
I never know when I will need my funds…
Whenever I book a forward, the market
goes the other way…
I don’t like being stuck with one rate…
I don’t like to put all my eggs in one
basket…
If you’ve ever said…
12
FX Risk Management
Market Orders | Forward Contracts | Forward Contract Types | Natural Hedge Solution | Limitations of Traditional Hedging
What you’re really saying is:
You need flexibility, choice, market participation and a
hedge that actually works for your business model.
13
Hedging Foundation | Hedging Intelligence | Zero Cost Options
Vanilla Options
Fundamentally different from forward contracts
Bestow a right for which you pay a fee or premium
Unlimited ability to participate in a favorable market movement
The Foundation of Options Hedging
Can be rolled into a forward contract at expiry (premium management)
Analogous to purchasing home insurance
Can be combined to create a more intelligent hedge
14
Hedging
The More Intelligent Hedge
Zero Cost OptionsProtect against downside risks, participate in favorable market movements with no fee or premium
Really just combinations of bought and sold vanilla options
Bought options bestow protection
Sold options limit upside participation in some way
The premiums are netted (and must balance) in order to create a zero cost structure
Can be uniquely tailored to your organization’s business and financial requirements
Foundation | Hedging Intelligence | Zero Cost Options
15
Hedging
Zero cost options vary in four main ways:
1. Efficiency of protection2. Level of upside participation3. Sensitivity to volatility4. Risk vs. reward
Protect against downside risks, participate in favorable market movements with no fee or premium
Can be uniquely tailored to your organization’s business and financial requirements
Can still achieve full cash flow flexibility around the timing of your cash flow while protecting your budget without compromising your ability to participate in favorable market movements
Value of Zero Cost Options
Foundation | Hedging Intelligence | Zero Cost Options
Customized Strategy
Zero cost options are completely customizable, uniquely tailored to fit one’s specific needs
Customized Strategy | Supporting Your Risk Management
Allows for a best case and worst case price level at which to exchange foreign currency
Allows for full downside protection from an unfavorable market movement and 50% upside participation in a favorable market movement
Provides a better-than-market initial hedge rate and 50% protection from an unfavorable market movement
Allows for full downside protection from an unfavorable market movement via an initial forward, which converts to a vanilla option if certain market conditions are met
Customized Strategy
Zero cost options are completely customizable, uniquely tailored to fit one’s specific needs
Customized Strategy | Supporting Your Risk Management
Is a pre-funded product that allows you to buy or sell foreign currency at a targeted level and receive an additional enhanced interest-based cash payment at a pre-determined date.
Allows for full downside protection from an unfavorable market movement via an initial forward, participation to a certain pre-set exchange level in a favorable market movement and an improved forward rate if certain market conditions are met
Allows for full downside protection from an unfavorable market movement via an initial forward and participation in a favorable market movement to a certain pre-set exchange level
Allows for a better-than-market downside protection rate that ceases to exist if certain market conditions are met
18
Hedging Strategy
Accounting Ease
Hedging Policy and Strategy Consultation
Collateral Flexibility
Leading Market
Forecasting and Analysis
We provide flexible trading and credit terms to facilitate trading and settlement of transactions without impairing working capital
We provide full transactional reporting, marked-to-market valuations and verbiage for presentation in financial statements
We work to develop a framework that is aligned with your organization’s financials goals and planning
We conduct forecasting and analysis to help you make effective business decisions. While no-one can peg the market, we can manage volatility and allow for probabilities
Supporting Your Risk Management
Customized Strategy | Supporting Your Risk Management
18
19Thank you for your time.
Superior service, FX product availability and pricing
Online trading and payment system integration with best in class security and multiple approval levels
Market leading consultative strategy and ongoing support with hedging strategy development and execution
Flexible credit terms that reflect your business needs
Organizational culture and expertise to achieve superior business results
Cambridge’s Commitment