California High-Speed Rail: Operations Report FY14-15, FY15-16, FY16-17, FY17-18 and Program Metrics August 2018 Finance & Audit Committee Meeting
California High-Speed Rail:
Operations Report
FY14-15, FY15-16, FY16-17, FY17-18 and Program Metrics
August 2018
Finance & Audit Committee Meeting
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 2
Executive Summary
ROW Acquisition
Priority Parcels by Construction Package
– CP1ABC priority parcel acquisition forecast is driven by pending design changes, legal settlements/agreements, and timing and
complexity of relocations.
– CP1D forecast has one priority parcel with offer pending owner acceptance.
– CP2-3 forecast depends on phase in acquisition process (such as hearing scheduled, suit filed, DGS contract approval, or
parcels certified for delivery) or status of the design process.
– CP4 forecast is driven by factors such as design refinement, owner suit, and phase in the acquisition process (OP
hearing/settlement, DGS contract approval, or certification for delivery).
The current report presents ROW acquisition progress relative to CP1 thru CP4 through June 30, 2018. As of that date, the
Authority has secured legal possession of 1,360 parcels with 1,334 delivered to the Design-Builders (DB). There were three
parcels delivered in CP1ABC, one parcel delivered in CP1D, one parcel delivered in CP2-3, and zero parcels delivered in CP4, for a
total delivery of five parcels during the month of June. The total percent of parcels delivered to the DB remained at 70%.The total
parcels and percentage delivered to date are as follows:
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
Section # of ParcelsDelivered to
DB
% Delivered to
DB
Remaining
Parcels
Remaining
Parcels on
DB Hold
Remaining
DB Identified
Critical
Parcels
Remaining
Railroad
Parcels
CP1ABC 795 684 86% 111 2 20 72
CP1D 95 88 93% 7 1 1 3
CP2-3 849 437 51% 412 92 14 43
CP4A 172 125 73% 47 5 19 9
Total 1911 1334 70% 577 100 54 127
3
Executive Summary
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
ROW Acquisition
With the remaining parcels, the ROW/Third Party division executes all parcels necessary for the delivery of the Program with urgency. For
the purposes of this summary, “DB Critical Parcels” are parcels which have been identified by the DB as having precedence over any other
DB acquisition request but have not been verified by the Authority. “Priority Parcels” are parcels which have been identified by the
ROW/Third Party division as acquisitions requiring long lead construction, relocations, and/or acquisitions for the purposes of workload
management. “DB hold” are parcels which have been placed on a temporary hold by the DB either due to design refinements, environmental
reviews, etc. Parcels which have been placed on “hold” by the DB are deemed inactive until the DB releases the hold. In accordance with the
DB contract, a “Critical Path” parcel is a parcel identified by the DB and approved by the Authority based on a resource loaded schedule. No
parcel has been identified by the DB as “Critical Path”.
Acquisition of ROW for Railroad parcels is contingent upon the completion of 100% design by the DB and approval by the railroads before
the Authority can commence the acquisition process (mapping, appraisals, etc.). As of the date of this report, design for railroad parcels is
pending.
In CP1, through partnering with the DB and use of settlement teams, the majority of the ROW acquisition is no longer on the critical path
except for remaining parcels for Avenue 10 and Jenson Trench. Partnering efforts continue to identify key parcels needed for meaningful
construction. Four priority parcels were delivered in June. There are 21 priority parcels remaining. 10 of the remaining priority parcels are
either public agency parcels or railroad parcels, one of the parcels require a long-lead time for relocation, and the other 10 parcels are private
parcels where three are heading toward condemnation, one pending certification, three with signed contracts pending approval and three
pending first written offers.
In CP2-3, 0 priority parcels were delivered in June. There are 14 priority parcels remaining. One parcel with signed contract pending, one
certified pending delivery and twelve are proceeding toward condemnation.
In CP4, approximately 70% of the parcels are impacted by DB requested design changes that have required different ROW acquisitions.
Delivery dates for the affected parcels have been reestablished based upon the contract terms for parcels requiring changed ROW
requirements. In June, no priority parcels were delivered. Eight of the remaining 19 priority parcels are either public agency parcels or
railroad parcels, seven have Orders of Possession with a future date for vacancy, two with signed Order of Possession pending legal
possession, and one is pending updated appraisal.
4
Executive SummaryProject Development – Key Issues1
For the Authority’s Baseline Delivery program, completed work to update project development schedules and costs to
complete through RODs and permitting. The Baseline program was adopted by the Board at its June meeting.
Resolved 54 of 62 programmatic decisions on which the FRA and Authority need to reach agreement to help achieve
delivery of the administrative draft Environmental Impact Reports/Environmental Impact Statements;
For the San Francisco to San Jose project section, received comments from Caltrain for the review of the Preliminary
Engineering for Project Definition (PEPD) engineering drawings. Developed a plan to distribute PEPD to cities and
municipalities;
Prepared revised draft Initial Study/Environmental Assessment needed for geotechnical investigation activities between
Gilroy and the Pacheco Pass. The document is now undergoing Authority review;
FRA completed its back-check review of the Merced to Fresno, Central Valley Wye Administrative Draft Supplemental
EIR/EIS incorporating cooperating agencies’ comments;
Submitted Fresno to Bakersfield Locally Generated Alternative Draft Final Supplemental EIR/EIS to the FRA for review.
For the Bakersfield to Palmdale project section, continued follow-up activities regarding the National Chavez Center.
Held consultation meeting with Chavez Center Foundation and National Park Service staff on June 25, 2018;
For the Palmdale to Burbank project section, met with the US Forest Service on June 12 , 2018 to continue discussions
regarding biological and hydrogeological issues;
Advanced PEPD design work for the Burbank Station; and,
For the Burbank to Los Angeles and Los Angeles to Anaheim project sections, continued to review initial draft versions
of the administrative draft EIR/EIS. A fully compiled version of the Los Angeles to Anaheim Administrative Draft EIR/EIS
is to be submitted to the Authority July 10 , 2018.1 Text identified in red indicate change from previous month.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 5
Executive Summary
Third Party Agreement Execution
The current report presents agreement execution progress relative to the Central Valley, North, South, and Valley to Valley through
June 30, 2018.
All Provisional Sum work has been released for design for CP1, CP2-3 and CP4.
16 of the 19 AT&T design packages have been approved for construction in CP1.
– 11 of the 16 approved design packages are in construction.
– 4 of the 16 approved design packages have completed the construction.
Provisional Sum work is progressing as planned for CP2-3 and CP4.
The team is continuously assessing lessons learned from all CPs for improvements in current construction, as well as improved
management practices for future construction.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 6
Executive Summary
Contract Management
CP1 – The project consumed approximately 80.1% of the contract time through the end of June 2018. About 53.9% of the
current contract amount has been spent during that time for the Design Builder. The CP1 team is actively managing the few
remaining right-of-way approvals plus ongoing third party agreements and is also engaging with the contractor to mitigate delays.
Construction is well advanced on 17 work-fronts throughout the 32 mile long project and close to 200 construction activities are
currently being tracked. The primary focus to date has been on bridges with current activities ranging from planning & design
through to completion of construction. Review of design packages continues. Placement of beams for the San Joaquin River
Pergola was completed and work continues at several fronts for the San Joaquin River Viaduct. Precast girders have been set on
Avenue 11 OC and Avenue 12 OC. Work continues on the Downtown Fresno Viaduct which will include the start of work for the
arch bridge over SR 99. Caltrans State Route 99 Realignment project has completed the Clinton Overcrossing and work is
progressing on the Ashlan Overcrossing replacement. Excluded third party PG&E and AT&T work at multiple location throughout
the project are being progressed. Resolution of a few remaining ROW issues is well advanced and engagement with key
stakeholders and third parties is ongoing. Assessment of Change Orders and Task Orders continues.
CP2-3 - Based on the revised completion date of May 22, 2020, the project consumed approximately 60.7% of the contract time
through the end of June 2018. About 35.9% of the current contract amount has been spent during that time. Delays have
contributed to an extended design phase and it is anticipated that much of the design will complete by the end of 2018. The field
operations to date have included primarily clearing and grubbing, and earthwork, including embankment for the first 2.5 miles of
guideway, embankment for the overhead structures at Kent and Kansas Avenues, embankment for the guideway between Floral
and Nebraska Avenues, embankment for the guideway between Mountain View Avenue and Willow Avenue, and embankment for
the guideway between Davis Avenue and State Route 43. The Authority staff and DFJV are working collaboratively to resolve
issues that are associated with the commencement of construction for up to five overhead structures, which would make for
significant progress. DFJV submitted a revised baseline schedule, as required by the Change Order #45, however it has been
rejected by the Authority as the submittal did not meet the contract requirements. CHSRA is working with DFJV in establishing a
proposed revised schedule.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 7
Executive Summary
Contract Management
CP4 – The project consumed approximately 70.4% of the contract time through the end of June 2018. About 20.24% of the
current contract amount has been spent during that time. The CP4 Design-Build contract contractual completion date currently
remains at the original contract date. There are several significant issues and identified potential changes that may affect the
contractual completion date or require contractor mitigation to achieve the contractual completion date. These issues include
challenges in third party coordination with both utilities and water districts, slow design progression by the Design-Builder which
directly impacts acquisition of right-of-way and environmental clearance, and the potential additional scope of work due to the
widening of SR-46 underpass. In addition to potential delays to project completion, a number of the identified issues also include
significant potential cost impacts, such as the potential additional scope of work at SR-46, and the impacts of Authority revisions to
Intrusion Protection Barrier (IPB) requirements. Neither the potential SR-46 additional scope nor the changes to IPB were
considered in the original determination of contingency amount for the CP4 contract.
SR-99 Realignment - The project consumed 91.4% of the contract time as of the end of June 2018 and 81% of the current
contract amount has been spent during that time. Caltrans continues to work on the Main Package, which includes; grading and
paving operations, construction of retaining walls, drainage systems, electrical work and demolition. Work is ongoing at the
Clinton Ave interchange; the northbound off-ramp is scheduled to open in August 2018. Structure construction is ongoing for the
new eastbound span of the Ashlan Ave OH. Work continues to progress on the construction of the ultimate northbound lanes
along the mainline.The switching of the Northbound traffic is scheduled for July 2018.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 8
Executive Summary
Finance/Budget
FY2017-18 Capital Outlay expenditures totaled $150.7M for June 2018 compared to $94.8M for May 2018, a 59% increase. The
increase is primarily attributed to accruals for the close of FY2017-18.
The FY2017-18 budget supports activities reflected within the 2016 Business Plan and is based on a prioritization of executed
contracts necessary for Central Valley development and construction, Silicon Valley to Central Valley segment planning, and
Bookend Corridor project construction. In addition, the FY2017-18 budget prioritizes work related to completing the scope
within the ARRA and FY10 grants.
The FY2017-18 expenditures ($1.144B) are less than budget ($1.638B) primarily due to updated schedules for Design-Build
Contract Work and Local Assistance.
The FY2017-18 budget remains $1.638B.
The Total Program budget remains $9.678B.
The Total Program forecast remains $9.750B.
As a result of the Authority’s focus on State Match to ARRA Grant funds, information on State Match expenditures are now in the
ARRA State Match Schedule section.
The FY2018-19 Capital Outlay Budget is $1.787B, a $149.2M or 9.1% increase over FY2017-18. Total Program Budget increased
from $9.678B to $13.665B due to higher budgets for some existing scope and the inclusion of additional scope (such as
communications and electric traction).
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 9
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 10
ROW Metrics - Context
The following slides track parcels delivered to design-builder (DB), which is the last step of the ROW process
– Four metrics related to “delivered to DB” are tracked:
• Plan: For CP1, the negotiated schedule of parcel delivery as of December 2014 plus additional public parcels and design
changes; for CP2-3 and CP4, a rebaselining has been implemented to reflect “contractual delivery dates” for each parcel
resulting from design changes.
• Actual: Actual parcels delivered each month.
• Early Forecast: Refined every month based on future expected delivery.
• Alternative Forecast (CP1 only): Forecast that anticipates additional delays for elements outside the control of the
Authority, and reflects rates more in line with historic delivery. Forecast is locked as of September 2015, except when
new parcels are added due to design changes.
Forecasts are based on inputs from the ROW Consultants and the Authority.
The total number of parcels needed for delivery has changed over time for two main reasons:
– The number of public property parcels was based upon 15% designs; as the ROW Transfer Agreements were completed with
the local agencies, the number of parcels has been refined.
– As the DB develops their design, the ROW needs may also be changed. The number of parcels to be acquired can fluctuate
up or down. In some cases, additional ROW may be required from previously completed acquisitions.
The DB is responsible for design (hence Design-Build), and only as the DB develops their design does the need for additional right
of way become apparent.
For ROW expenditure analysis, this report presents:
– Actual expenditures: reported each month.
– Forecast: adjusted quarterly based on the Funding Contribution Plan.
ROW
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 11
ROW Metrics - Context
What are Critical Parcels?
– Critical Parcel: As stated in the contract, “the exact sequence and dates identified in the ROW Acquisition Plan will be
regularly revised and updated based on actual progress achieved in ROW acquisition.” DB Critcal parcels are determined:
• CP1
▪ TPZP holds weekly ROW meetings to discuss parcels of concern.
▪ TPZP and HSR communicate and work collaboratively to identify priority parcels.
▪ Task managers collaborate with TPZP staff at weekly ROW meetings and identify parcels needed to start
construction or continue construction at specific locations.
• CP2-3
▪ HSR staff identified priority parcels, primarily structure locations at road overcrossings.
• CP4
▪ PCM and HSR communicate and work collaboratively to identify priority parcels.
▪ HSR staff identified priority parcels, primarily structure locations at road overcrossings.
ROW
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 12
Notes:
1. “Plan”: Negotiated schedule as of December 2014 plus public parcels, and new parcels added for design developments and utility relocations. Addition of new parcels
extends full Plan delivery to later date.
2. “Forecast” and “Alternative Forecast”: Forecast is continually refined based on expected delivery schedule. The Alternative Forecast reflects potential delays.
3. CP1ABC total parcels are continually updated as design changes are approved.
4. “Addendum 9” refers to original contract schedule. The “Plan” superseded Addendum 9, thus it has not been updated to reflect the additional public parcels.
5. Does not include CP1D (North Extension) parcels.
ROW – CP1ABC Parcels Delivered to DB by MonthPlan vs. Actual vs. Forecast
769 795
684
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
150
50
100
300
J FNA AF OA
Parcels Delivered
(cumulative)
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
FPre-
FY14
-15
J S MON DJan
2015
Jan
2018
OA JJan
2016
O AM J S D JAM DM J MJan
2017
J A S O N MMF S N
524
M SJ J A N DJan
2019
FD A M J J A S O NA M
Alternative Forecast
Plan
Actual Forecast
Addendum 9 Actual - Cumulative
Plan - Cumulative
Forecast - Cumulative
Alternative Forecast - Cumulative
Addendum 9 - Cumulative
CP1ABC - Delivered to DB
(number of parcels)
CP1ABC ROW
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 13
ROW – CP1ABC Priority Parcels Delivered to Design-Build by
MonthPlanned vs. Actual vs. Forecast
88
108104
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Pre
June-
15
A A
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
J
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
AFO DJ JS AA N D FJan
2016
M M J NMS Jan
2019
OJO N Jan
2017
AM J S O N D AJan
2018
F M SA FM J J D M
CP1ABC –Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
Notes:
1. “Plan”: Negotiated schedule as of December 2014 plus public parcels, and new parcels added for design developments and utility relocations. Addition of new parcels
extend Plan full delivery to later date.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery (driven by pending design changes, legal settlements/agreements, and timing and complexity of relocations).
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as priority parcels are approved.
CP1ABC ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
PlanActual
Forecast Actual - Cumulative
Forecast - Cumulative
Plan - Cumulative
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 14
Notes:
1. “Plan”: Negotiated schedule as of December 2014.
2. Design developments and lag in data entry can cause slight changes to plan and actual counts.
ROW – CP1ABC Historic Performance
4
1
6
35
4
9
2
6
0
3
2
64
11
7
10
2
0 0
4
0
3
11
10
0
15
5
Jul
2017
Nov
2017
Aug
2018
Jun
2017
May
2018
13
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Mar
2018
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Apr
2018
3
Jun
2018
Jul
2018
00
Sep
2018
1
Oct
2017
Actual Plan Forecast
CP1ABC Performance
(in number of parcels)
33
65
53
3
5
3
7
68
7
3
0
6
2
9
4
53
61
13
4
0
5
10
15
Jun
2018
Jun
2017
Jul
2017
Apr
2018
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
1
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
May
2018
3-Month Rolling Avg (3-month average)
Actual
CP1ABC ROW
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (positive)
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (negative)#
#
Data through June 30, 2018
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
77 -3 5 22 -2 4 2
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
0 6 0 2
15
100
110
2
011
6
5
2
000
2
4
6
PipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutIn
1
0
1
0
11
0
1
0
1
5
6
0
3
00
2
4
6
PipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutIn
ROW – CP1ABC Pipeline by Process (1 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1ABC ROW
Appraisal
Just
Compensation
Completion
800
400
0Total
795
To Date
783
0
400
800
Total
795
To Date
783
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
• Parcels in pipeline are a function of pending design refinement submittals, reviews
and approvals.
• Parcels in pipeline pending DGS setting Just Compensation.
Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline.
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 16
88
2
14
31
16
02
14
68
12
25
0
10
20
30
PipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutIn
ROW – CP1ABC Pipeline by Process (2 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1ABC ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
8
20
10
11
10
11
107
5
12
03
0
10
20
30
PipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutIn
First Written
Offer
800
400
0Total
795
To Date
775
Negotiation
Acquisition 0
400
800
Total
795
To Date
504
Completion
• Pipeline consists of railroad parcels and non-railroad parcels.
• Pipeline consists of signed agreements being processed through escrow, pending
offers at property owners’ decision to sign or enter condemnation and pending
revised First Written Offer (FWO).Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
17
50
50
31210
300
300
0
10
20
30
PipelineOutInOut PipelinePipeline InOut PipelineIn In OutOut InPipeline
0000000000101100
10
20
30
InIn PipelineOutInOutPipelineOutIn In OutPipeline PipelinePipelineOut
ROW – CP1ABC Pipeline by Process (3 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1ABC ROW
Condemnation
Eminent
Domain
200
0
400
Total
232
To Date
200
0
400
TotalTo Date
120
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Pipeline comprised of Resolution of Necessities (RONs) being processed by the
Authority and ROW consultants and awaiting adoption by the Public Works Board
(PWB). Also includes parcels being prepared by the Authority to transfer to
Caltrans Legal.
• Pipeline illustrates total number of parcels in the Eminent Domain process with
Caltrans legal with lawsuits filed. An Order of Possession (OP) is the next step if a
settlement is not reached.
1
1
Notes:
1. Total number of parcels that may take the condemnation route is unknown.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
18
0
400
800
To Date
182
Total
ROW – CP1ABC Pipeline by Process (4 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1ABC ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
73
02
71
00
71
00
71
00
71
000
50
100
OutIn PipelineOutInOutIn PipelinePipelineOutOut Pipeline InInPipeline
Public Agency
/ Railroad
230503260
826492
0
50
100
OutIn InPipelineIn OutPipeline PipelineOutOut PipelinePipeline OutInIn
Delivery
800
400
0Total
684
To Date
795
Completion
• Comprised of railroad parcels and public parcels. Public parcels are being processed
with Master Agreements before proceeding to individual utility relocations and
acquisitions. Most railroad parcels are dependent on the DB completing designs so
the railroad issues a construction and maintenance agreement.
• Pipeline consists of parcels requiring relocation and parcels available to be
transferred to DB.
1
1
Notes:
1. Total number of public parcels to be identified.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
19
ROW – CP1D Parcels Delivered to DB by MonthPlan vs. Actual vs. Forecast
8895 95
0
20
40
60
80
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
DNOSAJJMAMFJan
2018
DNOSAJJMAMFJan
2017
DNOSAJJMay
2016
CP1D - Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
Notes:
1. The “Plan” numbers have been developed as a placeholder until acquisition plan with DB is finalized.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery.
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as design developments are approved.
CP1D ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
Forecast - Cumulative
Plan - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
Forecast
Plan
Actual
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 20
ROW – CP1D Priority Parcels Delivered to Design-Build by
MonthPlanned vs. Actual vs. Forecast
18 1919
0
5
10
15
20
0
5
10
15
20
J OS M
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
JJ
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
May
2016
JOA N MD Jan
2017
DF M A M A S FO N SD Jan
2018
AA J NJ
CP1D – Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
Notes:
1. “Plan”: Negotiated schedule as of December 2014 plus public parcels, and new parcels added for design developments and utility relocations. Addition of new parcels
extend Plan full delivery to later date.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery. Status of two total CP2-3 Priority Parcels: one is pending final design, the other is pending legal settlement.
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as priority parcels are approved.
CP1D ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Forecast - CumulativeActual
Plan - CumulativeForecast
Plan
Actual - Cumulative
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 21
Notes:
1. Per contract, “planned” to be rebaselined.
2. Contract executed in June 2015; 31 parcels delivered after contract execution.
3. Design developments and lag in data entry can cause slight changes to plan and actual counts.
ROW – CP1D Historic Performance
2 2
1 2
00 1
1 11
1
0 0 0 0 0
1 0 2 0
0
45
50
40
5
Jun
2017
47
6
Aug
2018
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
0
Sep
2017
39
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Sep
2018
Jun
2018
Apr
2018
0
May
2018
0
Feb
2018
Jul
2018
0
Mar
2018
0 0
ForecastActual Plan
CP1D Performance
(in number of parcels)
5 32
21 1
0 0 0 1
1
1 0 01
0 01 1
10
10
20
Jul
2017
Apr
2018
22
Jun
2017
Aug
2017
May
2018
2
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Jun
2018
CP1D ROW
3-Month Rolling Avg (3-month average)
Actual
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (positive)
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (negative)#
#
Data through June 30, 2018
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
0 0-45 1 2 -39-4 -1 00
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
1 1 1
22
0000000000000000
2
4
6
OutIn OutPipeline In OutOutPipelinePipelineOut PipelineInIn PipelineIn
0000000000000000
2
4
6
InOutInPipeline Pipeline PipelineOutPipeline InPipelineOut OutIn OutIn
ROW – CP1D Pipeline by Process (1 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1D ROW
Appraisal
Just
Compensation
95 95
200
0
100
TotalTo Date
95 95
200
0
100
To Date Total
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Parcels in pipeline a function of pending design refinement submittals, reviews and
approvals.
• Parcels in pipeline pending DGS setting Just Compensation.
Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
23
033
0000110101000
10
20
30
InPipelinePipeline OutIn PipelinePipelineOut OutInInPipelineOutIn Out
ROW – CP1D Pipeline by Process (2 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1D ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
120
300
300
310
400
0
10
20
30
In Out PipelineInPipelinePipelineOutInPipelineInOut OutIn Pipeline Out
First Written
Offer
93 95
0
100
200
TotalTo Date
Negotiation
Acquisition
87 95
200
100
0TotalTo Date
Completion
• Pipeline consists of railroad parcels and non-railroad parcels.
• Pipeline consists of signed agreements being processed through escrow, pending
offers at property owners’ decision to sign or enter condemnation and pending
revised First Written Offer (FWO).Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
24
0000000000000000
10
20
30
In Out In PipelineInOut InInPipeline Out Pipeline OutPipeline Out Pipeline
2103
003
10
410
5
000
10
20
30
PipelineIn OutInOutInOut OutIn InPipeline Pipeline PipelinePipelineOut
ROW – CP1D Pipeline by Process (3 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1D ROW
Condemnation
Eminent
Domain
23
0
20
40
TotalTo Date
4
0
2
4
6
8
10
TotalTo Date
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Pipeline comprised of RONs being processed by the Authority and ROW
consultants and awaiting adoption by PWB.
• Pipeline comprised of suits (parcels) at Caltrans legal pending filing with the courts
seeking Court Orders of Possession.
1
1
Notes:
1. Total number of parcels that may take the condemnation route is unknown.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
25
0
2
4
6
1
TotalTo Date
ROW – CP1D Pipeline by Process (4 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP1D ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
3
0
2
1
00
1
00
1
00
1
000
1
2
3
OutPipelinePipelineOut InPipeline PipelineOutInInOutOut InPipelineIn
Public Agency
/ Railroad
0
11
0
1
0
1111
0
1
0000
2
4
6
PipelineIn InOut PipelineOutIn OutPipelinePipelineOut In OutPipelineIn
Delivery
88
200
0
100
TotalTo Date
95
Completion
• Current parcel count only includes public parcels with APNs and value. Public
Roadway parcels will be defined to add to the total number of distinct parcels.
• Pipeline consists of parcels requiring relocation and parcels available to be
transferred to DB.
1
Notes:
1. Total number of public parcels to be identified.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
26
ROW – CP2-3 Parcels Delivered to DB by MonthPlan vs. Actual vs. Forecast
117
526
437
849
697
849
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
MPre-
FY15
-16
DOJA M
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
J OAJN JS O Jan
2019
D Jan
2016
F M A DM A S O N SDJan
2017
F JM A J A MS Jan
2018
N MF A M J O JN D F A J A S N
CP2-3 - Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
Notes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with the “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on design developments.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery.
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as new parcels added for design developments and utility relocations are approved.
CP2-3 ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
ROW ACQ Plan
Actual Actual - Cumulative
Rebaseline ROW ACQ Plan - Cumulative
Forecast Forecast - Cumulative
Rebaseline - Cumulative
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 27
ROW – CP2-3 Priority Parcels Delivered to Design-Build by
MonthPlanned vs. Actual vs. Forecast
26
4040
0
5
10
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
M A
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
SO
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
D MJan
2016
AF JM Jan
2019
J MJ A JS DO N Jan
2017
NF FM MA S D Jan
2018
MA NJ FJA D M A JO
CP2-3 - Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
Notes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with the “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on design developments.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery depending on phase in acquisition process (such as hearing scheduled, suit filed, DGS contract approval, or
parcels certified for delivery) or stage in the design process.
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as priority parcels are approved.
CP2-3 ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Actual
Forecast
Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
Rebaseline
Rebaseline - Cumulative
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 28
Notes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with the “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on design developments.
2. Contract executed in June 2015; 31 parcels delivered after contract execution
3. Design developments and lag in data entry can cause slight changes to plan and actual counts.
ROW – CP2-3 Historic Performance
815
9 7 9 10 133 2
1
10 76
0 0
47
23
0
7
52
9 61
8
0
40
20
140
33
Oct
2017
Sep
2018
Mar
2018
Jul
2017
Jun
2017
1
Aug
2017
135
Aug
2018
Nov
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Apr
2018
Jul
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
5 7
Sep
2017
Dec
2017
5 4
CP2-3 Performance
(in number of parcels)
79
9
9
68 9
11
9
6
2 2
8
15
3
97
9 10
13
3 2
5
0
5
10
15
1
Jan
2018
Mar
2018
Jun
2017
Jul
2017
Nov
2017
Aug
2017
Oct
2017
Sep
2017
Dec
2017
Feb
2018
1
Apr
2018
3
May
2018
June
2018
CP2-3 ROW
3-Month Rolling Avg (3-month average)
Actual
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (positive)
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (negative)#
#
Data through June 30, 2018
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
-448 -3 9 78 -126 7 12 -21
Actual ForecastRebaseline
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
1 -2 -51
29
2619
0
45
55
45
61
50
176
61
920
0
20
40
60
80
InOutIn PipelinePipelineOut InPipelineOut PipelineOutIn InOut Pipeline
1211
20
3416
19
6
1910
20
91210
0
20
40
60
OutInOut PipelinePipelinePipelineInOut Out PipelinePipelineIn InOut In
ROW – CP2-3 Pipeline by Process (1 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP2-3 ROW
Appraisal
Just
Compensation
800
0
400
1,200
849
Total
707
To Date
1,200
800
400
0
849694
TotalTo Date
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Parcels in pipeline a function of pending design refinement submittals, reviews and
approvals.
• Parcels in pipeline pending DGS setting Just Compensation.
Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
30
38
1016
3228
3
57
1722
52
84
56
2
12
0
20
40
60
OutPipelineOut In PipelineInPipeline OutOut InInIn PipelineOutPipeline
ROW – CP2-3 Pipeline by Process (2 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP2-3 ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
3
181110
51
1422
1422
410
161112
0
20
40
60
In InPipelineOutInPipeline PipelineOut PipelineOut In Out PipelineOutIn
First Written
Offer
800
1,200
0
400 849
TotalTo Date
682
Negotiation
Acquisition
800
400
0
1,200
430849
To Date Total
Completion
• Pipeline consists of railroad parcels and non-railroad parcels.
• Pipeline consists of signed agreements being processed through escrow, pending
offers at property owners’ decision to sign or enter condemnation and pending
revised First Written Offer (FWO).Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
31
35
58
32
514
231812
29
106
33
04
0
50
100
PipelinePipelineIn In OutInPipelineOutIn OutOut PipelinePipelineOutIn
74
03
71
44
71
02
69
78
68
000
50
100
InOutIn Pipeline Out In OutPipeline Out OutIn In PipelinePipeline Pipeline
ROW – CP2-3 Pipeline by Process (3 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP2-3 ROW
Condemnation
Eminent
Domain
400
200
0To Date Total
315
400
200
0TotalTo Date
133
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Pipeline comprised of RONs being processed by the Authority and ROW
consultants and awaiting adoption by PWB.
• Pipeline comprised of suits (parcels) at Caltrans legal pending filing with the courts
seeking Court Orders of Possession.
1
1
Notes:
1. Total number of parcels that may take the condemnation route is unknown.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
32
20
0
20
To Date Total
ROW – CP2-3 Pipeline by Process (4 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP2-3 ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
42
04
38
00
38
00
38
00
38
100
20
40
60
Pipeline Out InPipeline PipelineOut InOutInIn Pipeline OutIn PipelineOut
Public Agency
/ Railroad
13
10
14
54
15
13
13
22
13
32
0
20
40
60
PipelineOutOut Pipeline InIn Out PipelinePipeline InPipelineOut OutIn In
Delivery
1,200
800
0
400
Total
437
To Date
849
Completion
• Current parcel count only includes public parcels with APNs and value. Public
Roadway parcels will be defined to add to the total number of distinct parcels.
• Pipeline consists of parcels requiring relocation and parcels available to be
transferred to DB.
1
Notes:
1. Total number of public parcels to be identified.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
33
ROW – CP4 Parcels Delivered to DB by MonthPlan vs. Actual vs. Forecast
152
125
172
110
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Jan
2018
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
A
2016
A
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
FJ JM FJ A MS O SN D Jan
2017
AF M M JJ A OS N JD A MOM J N D Jan
2019
M A J
CP4 - Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
CP4 ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Actual
ROW ACQ Plan Rebaseline
Forecast Actual - Cumulative
ROW ACQ Plan - Cumulative
Forecast - Cumulative
Rebaseline - Cumulative
Notes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on new parcels added for
design developments and utility relocations.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery.
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as new parcels added for design developments and utility relocations are approved.
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 34
ROW – CP4 Priority Parcels Delivered to Design-Build by
MonthPlanned vs. Actual vs. Forecast
51
54
70
0
10
20
30
0
20
40
60
80
MJan
2017
M
Parcels Delivered
(Cumulative)
Parcels Delivered
(Monthly)
MA Jan
2019
OA
2016
JM AJ S O N D F A J J S N D SJan
2018
F M A M J J A O N D F M A
CP4 - Delivered to DB
(in number of parcels)
CP4 ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - CumulativeForecast
RebaselineActual
Rebaseline - CumulativeNotes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with the “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on new parcels added
for design developments and utility relocations.
2. “Forecast”: Continually refined based on expected delivery which is driven by factors such as design developments, owner suit, and phase in the acquisition process
(OP hearing/settlement, DGS contract approval, or certification for delivery).
3. Total number of parcels will be updated as priority parcels are approved.
4. Planned delivery spike in delivery September 2017 is due to major design change (ATC 11).
5. Planned delivery spike in August 2018 is due to major change (Sunny Gem and Wasco Viaduct). Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
Data through June 30, 2018
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 35
Notes:
1. The “Plan” schedule shown previously has been replaced with the “Rebaseline” schedule that reflects current contractual delivery schedule based on design developments.
2. Design developments and lag in data entry can cause slight changes to plan and actual counts.
ROW – CP4 Historic Performance
510
58 4
1
8 7 9
18
2 2
0
15
1 0
3
06
1
60
50
0
100
Sep
2018
0
Dec
2017
Aug
2017
Apr
2018
Jun
2017
Jul
2017
Mar
2018
4
42
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
30
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
May
2018
0
Jun
2018
7
Aug
2018
1
52
Nov
2017
1
Jul
2018
RebaselineActual Forecast
CP4 Performance
(in number of parcels)
5
7 86
4
58
11
107
15
10
58
4
8 79
18
2 2
0
5
10
15
20
Jan
2018
Jun
2017
Aug
2017
2
Jul
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Feb
2018
1
Nov
2017
4
May
2018
Dec
2017
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
0
Jun
2018
CP4 ROW
3-Month Rolling Avg (3-month average)
Actual
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (positive)
Actual parcels delivered compared to planned (negative)#
#
Data through June 30, 2018
Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
65 10 1771 3-34 -14 1
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
2 2 0
36
0000000000000000
2
4
6
PipelineOutInPipelineOutIn PipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutIn
2
00
2
00
2
0
2
00
3
0
3 3
0
2
4
6
OutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOutInPipelineOut PipelineIn
ROW – CP4 Pipeline by Process (1 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP4 ROW
Appraisal
Just
Compensation
200
0
100
Total
172
To Date
164
200
0
100
Total
172
To Date
164
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Parcels in pipeline a function of pending design refinement submittals, reviews and
approvals.
• Parcels in pipeline pending DGS setting Just Compensation.
Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
37
533
58
3
107
3
1416
5
25
139
0
10
20
30
PipelinePipelineOut Out PipelineIn PipelineOut InIn InOut OutPipelineIn
ROW – CP4 Pipeline by Process (2 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP4 ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
03
03
0033
0
6
033
000
10
20
30
In Out OutPipeline InIn Out Pipeline InIn PipelinePipeline Out Out Pipeline
First Written
Offer 0
200
100
Total
172
To Date
164
Negotiation
Acquisition
200
0
100
To Date
135
Total
172
Completion
• Pipeline consists of railroad parcels and non-railroad parcels.
• Pipeline consists of signed agreements being processed through escrow, pending
offers at property owners’ decision to sign or enter condemnation and pending
revised First Written Offer (FWO).Note: Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
38
534400
40
40
70
730
0
20
40
60
Out InPipelinePipeline In InOutOut Out PipelinePipeline Out PipelineInIn
8
43
98
0
17
20
19
24
17
9
00
5
10
15
20
Pipeline In PipelineOutOutInInIn OutPipelineOut PipelineOut InPipeline
ROW – CP4 Pipeline by Process (3 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP4 ROW
Condemnation
Eminent
Domain
98
100
50
0TotalTo Date
33
0
10
20
30
40
TotalTo Date
PRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Completion
• Pipeline comprised of Resolution of Necessities (RONs) being processed by the
Authority and ROW consultants and awaiting adoption by Public Works Board
(PWB).
• Pipeline comprised of suits (parcels) at Caltrans legal pending filing with the courts
seeking Court Orders of Possession.
1
1
Notes:
1. Total number of parcels that may take the condemnation route is unknown.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
39
0
2
4
6
TotalTo Date
1
ROW – CP4 Pipeline by Process (4 out of 4 pages)Volume of Activity by Process (Flow) - Pipeline
CP4 ROWPRELIMINARY MODELING OUTPUTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
7
034
004
004
004
000
10
20
30
Pipeline In Out InOut PipelineIn PipelinePipelineOut PipelineIn OutInOut
Public Agency
/ Railroad
11
00
11
2
85
225
18
1310910
0
10
20
30
OutOut OutIn In Pipeline PipelineInOutPipelinePipelineIn In PipelineOut
Delivery
100
0
200
TotalTo Date
129172
Completion
• Current parcel count only includes public parcels with Accessors Panel Number
(APNs) and value. Public Roadway parcels will be defined to add to the total
number of distinct parcels.
• Pipeline consists of parcels requiring relocation and parcels available to be
transferred to DB.
1
Notes:
1. Total number of public parcels to be identified.
2. Lag in data entry and parcel count changes due to design developments may create
month-to-month variances in the parcel flow pipeline. Source: July 6, 2018 ROW Weekly Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
April 2018 May 2018February 2018 March 2018 June 2018
40
800
0
0
900
1,000
300
600
400
500
700
100
200
800
-100
200
400
600
1,200
1,400
Expenditure
(Cumulative)
26
O
35
Expenditure
(Monthly)
Through
Jun 2017
J
15
FA S
103
D Jan
2018
789
DM M
1,107
J A
3
S
3
Jan
2019
JO
12
N
31540
44
M M
1,286840
2313
774
708
840
1325
2512
3
15
3
4448
335
3
4829 83
4714 822
42
4 3 3
A-58
15 3 3 22 223 21 3 21 16 10 10 8
FN JA
803
3
Total ROW Expenditure by MonthForecast vs. Actual
Total ROW Expenditure Schedule
($ in millions)
ROW
Notes:
1. Amounts represent monthly totals; not parcel-by-parcel forecast and actual expenditures.
2. $24M of ROW preliminary costs is not allocated to a specific construction package (CP).
3. “Original FCP Forecast” refers to the first Funding Contribution Plan approved by the FRA in December 2012.
4. Total ROW budget in Original FCP is $774M, and was forecasted to be fully spent by June 2015.
5. December 2015 FCP was not approved, and was only used to track expenditure performance prior to the approval of March 2016 FCP.
6. Numbers may not add due to rounding. Variance in FCP and Capital Outlay numbers due to timing differences.
7. The forecast source is now the Capital Outlay report which captures all funding. The FCP only captured FRA (ARRA) eligible costs.
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Data through June 30, 2018
Sources:
1. Capital Outlay Report, August 2018
2. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2015
3. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2012
Original FCP Forecast (December 2012)
December 2015 FCP Forecast
Actual
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast
December 2015 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 41
0
600
300
500
0
800
700
300
500
400
600
100100
200
400
200
N
749
16
F MN
4
A M
Expenditure
(Cumulative)
342
2314
686
Expenditure
(Monthly)
Through
Jun 2017
AMJ
3
S O
565
1
JD
3
Jan
2018
A SJ J O
347
MD Jan
2019
F A
441
320
565
142
11 4 1
54 1
1020 41
201
13
2 1
13
2 1
13
3 1
15 301
64 1 6 115 1 5 1 5 1 5 7 6 6 6 4 46
Notes:
1. Amounts represent monthly totals; not parcel-by-parcel forecast and actual expenditures.
2. Does not include CP1D (North Extension) acquisition costs.
3. “Original FCP Forecast” refers to the first Funding Contribution Plan approved by the FRA in December 2012.
4. CP1 ROW budget in Original FCP is $441M, and was forecasted to be fully spent by June 2015.
5. December 2015 FCP was not approved, and was only used to track expenditure performance prior to the approval of March 2016 FCP.
6. Numbers may not add due to rounding. Variance in FCP and Capital Outlay numbers due to timing differences.
7. The forecast source is now the Capital Outlay report which captures all funding. The FCP only captured FRA (ARRA) eligible costs.
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
ROW-CP1 Expenditure by MonthForecast vs. Actual
ROW-CP1 Expenditure Schedule
($ in millions)
CP1 ROW
Original FCP Forecast (December 2012)
December 2015 FCP Forecast
Actual
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast
December 2015 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast - Cumulative
Data through June 30, 2018
Sources:
1. Capital Outlay Report, August 2018
2. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2015
3. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2012
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 42
ROW-CP2-3 Expenditure Schedule
($ in millions)
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
ROW-CP2-3 Expenditure by MonthForecast vs. Actual
CP2-3 ROW
Notes:
1. Amounts represent monthly totals; not parcel-by-parcel forecast and actual expenditures.
2. “Original FCP Forecast” refers to the first Funding Contribution Plan approved by the FRA in Dec-012.
3. CP2-3 ROW budget in Original FCP is $179M, and was forecasted to be fully spent by Jun-2015.
4. December 2015 FCP was not approved, and was only used to track expenditure performance prior to the approval of March 2016 FCP.
5. March 2017 actual expenditure includes ROW Working Capital Allocation (WCA) reversal reallocation.
6. The forecast source is now the Capital Outlay report which captures all funding. The FCP only captured FRA (ARRA) eligible costs.
200
200
50
0
150300
100
350
0
50
100
150
400
250
250
-100
-50
2 4
Expenditure
(Cumulative)
Jan
2019
A
Expenditure
(Monthly)
S
7
Jan
2018
226
179
19
MDThrough
Jun 2017
A
225
JO M
16
N D F
2
A
10
M
7
248
3
296
J S O
256
74
FN M
4
A
389226
8
283
4 2
57 2
15
4 2
13
2
24112
166 2 0 2 5 2
-61
8 2 11 22 212
2 11 2 11 4 4 4 4
JJ
11
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast
Original FCP Forecast (December 2012)
December 2015 FCP Forecast
Actual
December 2015 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
Data through June 30, 2018
Sources:
1. Capital Outlay Report, August 2018
2. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2015
3. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2012
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 43
60
100
140
180
0
120
0 20
160
80
40
100
-20
20
40
60
80
120
140
160
Expenditure
(Cumulative)
701
Through
Jun 2017
A
Monthly
(Cumulative)
07
DJ A S
27
NJO
175
169
11
N MJan
2018
F M
1
126
J A S O
1
149
D
138
4949
5 5 1 5 1
37
2 1
10
1 1
14
1 1
10
176
19
0 1
-3
3 5 0 5 4 00 0 4 0
11
13 4 1
46
43 4
Notes:
1. Amounts represent monthly totals; not parcel-by-parcel forecast and actual expenditures.
2. CP4 ROW parcel delivery data will be added to Operations Report once deliveries ramp-up.
3. “Original FCP Forecast” refers to the first Funding Contribution Plan approved by the FRA in December 2012.
4. CP4 ROW budget in Original FCP is $46M, and was forecasted to be fully spent by June 2015.
5. December 2015 FCP was not approved, and was only used to track expenditure performance prior to the approval of March 16 FCP.
6. Numbers may not add due to rounding. Variance in FCP and Capital Outlay numbers due to timing differences.
7. The forecast source is now the Capital Outlay report which captures all funding. The FCP only captured FRA (ARRA) eligible costs.
ROW-CP4 Expenditure by MonthForecast vs. Actual
ROW-CP4 Expenditure Schedule
($ in millions)
CP4 ROW
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
December 2015 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
Original FCP Forecast (December 2012)
December 2015 FCP Forecast
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast
Actual
August 2018 Capital Outlay Forecast - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
Data through June 30, 2018
Sources:
1. Capital Outlay Report, August 2018
2. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2015
3. Funding Contribution Plan, December 2012
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 44
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 45
Project Development Clearance Metrics - Context
The following slides track several metrics for each project section/project related to:
– Schedule and physical percent complete.
– Key milestones.
– Actual, planned and forecasted costs-to-completion dates:
• The report includes re-baselined program, regional consultant (RC), and
engineering and environmental consultant (EEC) cost forecasts, as of June
2018.
• Program, RC, and EEC budgets and schedules have been updated following
Board approval of the 2018 Business Plan and Program Baseline Delivery Plan.
• Forecasted costs are based on performance and trends, with planned costs
remaining set.
• Monthly actual costs come from RC and EEC invoices the Authority receives.
• Project Development Milestone Schedule page provides an overview of
upcoming milestones across all project sections and projects.
Project Development
Note: The Project Development budgets in this Operations Report include all funding sources (Prop 1A, ARRA, and Cap and Trade). This report
differs from the Funding Contribution Plan (FCP) since it is limited to the scope of the ARRA grant and state match requirements.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 46
Project Development Milestones Schedule (to ROD)Information through June 30, 20181
Project Development
Segment Progress to Date Next Steps
San Francisco to
San Jose (F2J)
• Caltrain reviewed Draft Preliminary Engineering for Project
Definition (PEPD). Planning to distribute to cities and
municipalities in late July.
• Continued to confirm rail operating assumptions for baseline
alternative.
• The project team continued to evaluate passing track options
and operating characteristics for the corridor.
• Draft EIR/EIS Chapter 1 – Authority revised Purpose and Need
to incorporate program-wide direction from legal review.
• Continue to advance PEPD and develop an outreach strategy for discussing the
design with Caltrain and local municipalities.
• Move forward the development of selected technical reports and EIR/EIS sections
and chapters.
• Authority senior staff will continue to meet with Caltrain executive staff regarding
the 4th and King Station, passing track options and blended operations. Once a
strategy is agreed upon, the project team will conduct passing track workshops
with various stakeholder groups (e.g., community working groups, individual cities
potentially affected by passing tracks, and the Local Policy Makers Group) to allow
for more informed discussions.
San Jose to CV
Wye (J2Y)
• EEC continued to revise EIR/EIS administrative draft sections and
technical reports to incorporate HSR environmental back-check
comments.
• Conducted stakeholder outreach meetings to advance Romero
Ranch, other design refinements, and design of baseline.
alternative extending blended electrified passenger service within
the UPRR right-of-way to Gilroy.
• EEC to complete revision of EIR/EIS administrative draft sections and technical
reports to incorporate HSR environmental back-check comments.
• Reach stable project description that incorporates 2018 Business Plan baseline
alternative by 7/13/18.
• Gather input from stakeholder in-progress reviews of preliminary engineering of
new alternative and other changes identified in 2018 Business Plan to establish
project footprint for environmental analysis, and prepare Draft PEPD plan set.
• Advance field reconnaissance and environmental clearance for geotechnical
investigations needed for construction procurement in Santa Clara County (J2Y)
and Merced County (J2Y and CVY).
Central Valley
Wye (M-F)
• Completed HSR finishing team review of Administrative Draft
Supplemental EIR/EIS to address cooperating agency comments.
• Submitted Administrative Draft Supplemental EIR/EIS to FRA for
backcheck review, completed June 29.
• Revised Checkpoint C Summary Report to address minor
comments from USACE and USEPA.
• Circulate Draft Supplemental EIR/EIS for internal approval and signature.
• Forward Draft Supplemental EIR/EIS to FRA for Administration review and
signature.
• Submit revised Checkpoint C Summary Report to USACE and USEPA for
concurrence.
• Prepare supporting materials for public release of Draft Supplemental EIR/EIS.
Locally- Generated
Alternative
(F-B)2
• Submitted the Administrative Draft Final Supplemental EIR/EIS to
the FRA for review.
• Completed review of the interim terminal station technical
appendix.
• Complete and submit the Section 2081 Incidental Take Permit application.
• Prepare the Administrative Final EIR/EIS materials to support stakeholder open
houses in advance of the October Board meeting.
1 Text identified in red indicate change from previous month. 2 Previously referred to as the Bakersfield F Street Station Alignment
1
2
3
4
1Program
Priority #
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 47
Project Development Milestones Schedule (to ROD)Information through June 30, 20181
Project Development
Segment Progress to Date Next Steps
LA to Anaheim • Incorporated comments from initial round of review on
administrative draft EIR/EIS.
• Scheduled review workshops for legal review of administrative
draft EIR/EIS and supporting technical reports.
• Provided review and back-check of various Link US draft
documents.
• Continued preparation of Outreach Plan updates and materials.
• Complete legal and finishing team reviews for the administrative draft EIR/EIS.
• Hold public workshops leading to Preliminary Preferred Alternative
recommendation.
• Continue coordination with Metro, Metrolink and other operators on LA Union
Station Program and shared corridor strategies.
Burbank to LA • Scheduled review/back-check workshops for review of
administrative draft EIR/EIS and supporting technical reports.
• Developed conceptual design (5%) on refined Burbank Airport
Station Option.
• Continued preparation of Outreach Plan updates and materials.
• Finalize preliminary design and initiate footprint delineation for refined Burbank
Station Option.
• Host coordination meetings with City of Burbank and Burbank Airport to rollout
refined Burbank Station Option.
• Hold public workshops leading to Preliminary Preferred Alternative
recommendation.
• Complete reviews for the administrative draft EIR/EIS.
Palmdale to
Burbank
• Completed consistency reviews and back-check and initiated legal
review for administrative draft chapters/sections.
• Updated project definition to be consistent with 2018 baseline.
• Prepared Checkpoint B document for submittal to agencies.
• Compile the Administrative Draft EIR/EIS and submit for remaining legal review
• Update documents to incorporate changes in project definition.
• Plan to submit Checkpoint B document to USACE and USEPA after resolving FRA
and legal comments.
Bakersfield to
Palmdale
• Held consultation meeting to discuss potential minimization
design option near Cesar Chavez National Center with consulting
parties, including with the National Park Service.
• Updated project definition to incorporate this design option.
• Completed consistency reviews and back check of the
administrative draft chapters/sections.
• Prepare the Administrative Draft EIR/EIS legal and FRA review.
• Continue coordination with the resource agencies.
• Continue consultation with the Cesar Chavez National Center (CCNC).
• Update PEPD and Administrative Draft sections to incorporate CCNC design
option.
HMF • Environmental clearance approach on hold.
• Environmental screening criteria and clearance approach still
under discussion.
• Assess schedule performance once screening criteria and environmental clearance
approach are finalized.
1. Text identified in red indicate change from previous month.
6
7
8
1Program
Priority #
5
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 48
Global Project Development Budget includes activities
involved in the scope at the program and segment levels
Global BudgetEnv. Agency
Costs
Internal,
External Legal
Costs
Env. Services
Division,
Costs
RDP CostsRegional
Consultants
Cost Categories for Scope and Budget DefinitionCost Categories
▪ Regional consultants’ and Engineering
and Environmental consultants’ costs
include project management, outreach,
planning, engineering and environmental
activities.
▪ RDP costs include environmental
management, coordination, and technical
reviews.
▪ Environmental Services Division
costs reflect management and staff costs
for overseeing project development
program delivery.
▪ Environmental agency costs are costs
for agency staff to attend meetings,
review technical reports, and provide
technical guidance.
▪ Internal, External Legal costs are
costs associated with in-house and
outside legal reviews.
PR
OG
RA
M L
EV
EL
SEG
MEN
T LEV
EL
Project Development
Notes:1) November 2017 reporting update reflects the reallocation of costs to more clearly distinguish between Regional Consultants and Program Costs which include
categories identified in Gray.
2) Forecasts align with November 2017 Schedule ROD dates. These will be updated in the September 2018 report.
3) Program and Project Mitigation Budgets and Forecasts are included within the ROW Construction Budget (refer to Total ROW Expenditure by Month slide).
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 49
Program Level Budget (Non-Section Specific Costs)1
2.0
50
4.0
0.0
100
4.5
40
0
3.5
20
5.0
5.5
2.5
0.5
6.0
10
1.0
80
70
1.5
3.0
30
60
90
110
120
Jan
2018
A Jan
2019
$ in millions
cumulative
J AM
$ in millions
by month
Jan
2020
J O
77.2
A O F JPre-
FY16
-17
J S O N D SF M AJ A SM D A M N D
118.1
F MN J J A S O N D
57.1
M
Actual
Budget
Forecast
Actual - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Budget - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Forecast - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Project Development
FY2017-18 FY2018-19 FY2019-20 FY2020-21
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Notes: 1) Based on actual costs and future estimates for the Authority environmental staff, RDP Environmental, in-house and external legal review and resource agency staffing agreements
and review.
2) Budget for RDP environmental work is only approved through August 2018.
3) Program forecasts have been updated for July 1, 2017 through January 2020 when the last project-level EIR/EIS is to be completed. These will be updated in the September 2018
report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 50
Segment ProgressComplete Purpose &
Need Statement
Complete Alternatives
Analysis
Board Concurrence of
Preliminary Preferred
Alternative for
Draft EIR/EIS
Publish
Draft EIR/EIS
Publish Final EIR/EIS
and Obtain ROD
Date EIR/EIS
To Be Completed
Due Dates Last
Month
Current
Month
Last
Month
Current
Month
Last
Month
Current
Month
Last
Month
Current
Month
Last
Month
Current
Month
Original
Target
Revised
Target
Merced to
Fresno
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
-
-
-
Feb-11
-
-
-
Jun-11
-
-
-
N/A
-
-
-
Aug-11
-
-
-
Sep-12
-
-
-
Sep-12
Fresno to
Bakersfield
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
-
-
-
Feb-11
-
-
-
Jun-11
-
-
-
N/A
-
-
-
Jul-12
-
-
-
Jun-14
-
-
-
Jun-14
CV Electrical
Interconnections
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Jul-16
Aug-16
95%
Jul-16
Sep-16
100%
Nov-16
Nov-16
0%
Nov-16
Sep-16
100%
Oct-17
Oct-17
0%
Oct-17
Sep-16
100%
Oct-17 Sep-16
San Francisco
to San Jose2
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Jan-09
Jan-09
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Dec-19
Dec-19
65%
Dec-19
Dec-19
52%
Mar-20
Mar-20
42%
Mar-20
Mar-20
30%
Mar-21
Mar-21
0%
Mar-21
Mar-21
0%
Mar-21 Mar-21
San Jose to
Merced
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Sep-19
Sep-19
69%
Sep-19
Sep-19
59%
Dec-19
Dec-19
27%
Dec-19
Dec-19
28%
Nov-20
Nov-20
0%
Nov-20
Nov-20
0%
Nov-20 Nov-20
Central Valley
Wye (M–F)
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Sep-18
Sep-18
90%
Sep-18
Sep-18
95%
Jul-19
Jul-19
0%
Jul-19
Jul-19
0%
Jul-19 Jul-19
Locally Generated
Alternative (F–B)
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Oct-18
Oct-18
70%
Oct-18
Oct-18
80%
Oct-18 Oct-18
LA to AnaheimPlan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Nov-18
Nov-18
80%
Nov-18
Nov-18
85%
Nov-18
Nov-18
60%
Nov-18
Nov-18
60%
Oct-19
Oct-19
0%
Oct-19
Oct-19
0%
Oct-19 Oct-19
Burbank to LAPlan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Nov-18
Nov-18
70%
Nov-18
Nov-18
75%
Sep-19
Sep-19
50%
Sep-19
Sep-19
50%
Jul-20
Jul-20
0%
Jul-20
Jul-20
0%
Jul-20 Jul-20
Palmdale to
Burbank
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Nov-18
Nov-18
70%
Nov-18
Nov-18
75%
Dec-19
Dec-19
45%
Dec-19
Dec-19
45%
Jan-21
Jan-21
0%
Jan-21
Jan-21
0%
Jan-21 Jan-21
Bakersfield to
Palmdale
Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Jan-16
Mar-16
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Oct-18
Oct-18
82%
Oct-18
Oct-18
85%
Jul-19
Jul-19
65%
Jul-19
Jul-19
65%
Jun-20
Jun-20
0%
Jun-20
Jun-20
0%
Jun-20 Jun-20
HMF3Plan
Forecast
% Complete
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Complete
Complete
100%
Apr-16
TBD
0%
Apr-16
TBD
0%
Sep-16
TBD
0%
Sep-16
TBD
0%
May-17
TBD
0%
May-17
TBD
0%
May-17 TBD
Project Development Schedule (to ROD)-Information through June 30, 20181
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Notes:
1. Dates identified in red indicate change from previous month. Green cells indicates that the EIR/EIS or other milestone has been completed.
2. Percent complete reduced to account for new scope added to align with 2018 Baseline.
3. Environmental clearance approach on hold and under review.1
Program
Priority #Completed
Document
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 51
1
2
3
4
Project Development Schedule (to ROD) - Information through June 30, 20181
1. Text identified in green indicates environmental document completed. Text identified in red indicate change from previous month.
Segment Schedule Status and Mitigation Strategies
Merced to FresnoEIR certified and project approved May 2012; FRA ROD issued September 2012
Fresno to BakersfieldEIR certified and project approved May 2014; FRA ROD issued June 2014
CV Electrical
Interconnections
Environmental Evaluation Has Been Completed
Using an environmental re-examination process, it was determined that the electrical interconnection and network upgrades for PG&E sites 8 through 12 supporting
the test track do not require preparation of a supplemental environmental document. As a result, the environmental review has been completed, shaving a year off
the schedule.
San Francisco to
San Jose
Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in March 2021
San Jose to Merced Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in November 2020
Central Valley Wye (M–F) Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in July 2019
Locally Generated
Alternative (F–B)
Schedule re-baselined to achieve ROD in October 2018
Supplemental Draft EIR/EIS released for public review and comment November 9, 2017. The comment period concluded January 16, 2018.
LA to Anaheim Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in October 2019
Burbank to LA Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in July 2020
Palmdale to Burbank Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in January 2021
Bakersfield to Palmdale Schedule updated consistent with June 2018 Board-approved baseline to achieve ROD in June 2020
HMF Environmental clearance approach on hold and under review; dates are subject to change pending Authority decision regarding site screening criteria and type of
environmental clearance documentation needed.
5
6
7
8
1Program
Priority #
Completed
Document
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 52
San Francisco to San Jose
2018 2019 2020 2021
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06
San Francisco to San Jose
9/1/18 - 3/31/20
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
7/15/18
7/1/17 - 12/31/19
Alternatives Analysis - complete
Purpose and Need - complete
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative / ROD 1/25/19 - 3/31/21
Project Development
20
40
20
80
10
15
100
-5
0
5
60
0
59.0
Pre-
FY16
-17
$ in millions
by month
MJJ JMMOM AJ J
$ in millions
cumulative
AA S O N D OSJan
2018
F M AA J FNN
62.0
OFD Jan
2019
SA DS
75.5
Jan
2020
JA M N D
Actual
Forecast
Actual - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Budget Budget - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Forecast - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
1
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through January 2020.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 53
San Jose to Merced
2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
6/1/18 - 12/31/19
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative / ROD
Purpose and Need - complete
San Jose to Central Valley Wye
7/15/18
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
Alternative Analysis - complete
7/1/17 - 9/30/19
10/22/18 - 11/30/20
Project Development
050
-5
200
150
100
20
10
15
0
5
$ in millions
by month
M
95.6
A SJMOPre-
FY16
-17
OFO
$ in millions
cumulative
J JDA Jan
2018
S N D SF M J NJ Jan
2019
A NJS M
122.8
M A A O
134.4
D JJan
2020
F M A A N D
Actual
Budget
Forecast
Budget - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Actual - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Forecast - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
2
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through October 2020.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 54
Central Valley Wye (M-F)
2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Final SEIR/SEIS – Pref. Alternative/ROD 3/6/18 - 7/31/19
Central Valley Wye
7/15/18
Preliminary Preferred Alternative - complete
Alternative Analysis – complete
Draft SEIR/SEIS - Public / Agency Review 7/1/17 – 9/30/18
Purpose and Need – complete
Project Development
2
10 80
0 0
440
6
20
860
AJan
2018
$ in millions
by month
N O
53.3
FD
$ in millions
cumulative
Pre-
FY16
-17
J OJA S MO N DD F M AA M J
29.4
AAJ S
49.7
Jan
2019
F M Jan
2020
JM S NO AN M J J S D
Actual - FY 16/17-19/20 CumulativeActual
Budget
Forecast - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Budget - FY 16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Forecast
3
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) Purpose and Need and the Alternatives Analysis were achieved as part of the Merced to Fresno EIR/EIS, completed in September 2012.
4) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through March 2019.
5) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
6) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 55
Locally Generated Alternative (F-B) 2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Final SEIR/SEIS – Pref. Alt./ROD
Purpose and Need – complete
Preliminary Preferred Alternative – complete
11/10/17 - 10/4/18
Draft SEIR/SEIS - Public / Agency Review - complete
7/15/18
Bakersfield F Street Alignment
Alternative Analysis – complete
Project Development
20
30
20
15
-5
10
0
5
25
5
15
10
30
0
25
-5
$ in millions
by month
M
27.7
J Jan
2019
O AM N
$ in millions
cumulative
SPre-
FY16
-17
J A J
25.0
O NN Jan
2018
D A M OJ A JS MD DMF A M J OAF N Jan
2020
F A J S DS
4
Notes:
1) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
2) Purpose and Need and the Alternatives Analysis were achieved as part of the Fresno to Bakersfield EIR/EIS, completed in June 2014.
3) Budget, actuals, and forecast re-set with approval by the Board, October 2016. No adjustments were made in June 2018.
4) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through October 2018.
5) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 56
Actual
Forecast
Budget Budget - FY16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Forecast - FY16/17-19/20 Cumulative
Actual - FY16/17-19/20 Cumulative
LA to Anaheim 2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
5/21/18 - 10/31/19
Purpose and Need – complete
Alternative Analysis – complete
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
LA to Anaheim
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative/ROD
7/15/18
7/1/17 - 11/30/18
3/15/18 - 11/30/18
Project Development
15
0
120
60
0
20
40
10
5
80
100
NAPre-
FY16
-17
$ in millions
by month
MJan
2018
72.7
60.6
NS
$ in millions
cumulative
OJJ MA OS JO JN D F M A M SJ O N Jan
2019
D F A AJ A
87.6
D Jan
2020
F M M J A S D
Actual
Budget – FY 17/20 CumulativeBudget
Forecast
Actual – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast – FY 17/20 Cumulative
5
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through October 2019.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 57
Burbank to LA 2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review
7/15/18
Burbank to LA
Alternative Analysis – complete
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
Purpose and Need – complete
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative/ROD
7/1/17 - 11/30/18
3/15/18 - 9/30/19
5/31/18 - 7/31/20
Project Development
15
40
20
0
10
0
30
25
20
50
5
10
30
NOS
$ in millions
by month
JFA OD
$ in millions
cumulative
Pre-
FY16
-17
SJ Jan
2020
A S Jan
2018
O N FF M M
11.7
JJ DAJ A MN D
21.1
D Jan
2019
M AM JJ A
30.9
O N SM A
Budget – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Actual Actual – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Budget
Forecast – FY 17/20 CumulativeForecast
6
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through October 2019.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 58
Palmdale to Burbank
2018 2019 2020 2021
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03
4/12/18 - 12/31/19
Palmdale to Burbank
Purpose and Need – complete
7/15/18
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
10/23/18 - 1/31/21Final EIR/EIS – Preferred Alternative/ROD
Alternative Analysis – complete
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review 7/1/17 - 11/30/18
Project Development
505
100
0
10
15025
15
200
20
0
30
NOOAJ M MAFPre-
FY16
-17
$ in millions
by month
M
154.1
136.2
N
$ in millions
cumulative
SA NS O N D Jan
2018
F M A
121.9
MSJ J O D Jan
2019
MJJ A D DJan
2020
F A J J A S
Actual
Budget – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast
Budget
Actual – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast – FY 17/20 Cumulative
7
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through March 2020.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 59
Bakersfield to Palmdale2018 2019 2020
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Purpose and Need – complete
Alternative Analysis- complete
7/1/17 - 10/31/18
Bakersfield to Palmdale
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative ROD
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
6/2/18 - 6/30/20
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review 3/15/18 - 7/31/19
Project Development
$ in millions
by month
8
Notes:
1) Schedule reflects new milestone dates included in the Project Delivery Baseline Report adopted by the Board in June 2018.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) For financial estimates, actuals have been updated through June 2018. Forecast cost are through September 2019.
4) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
5) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 60
7/15/18
560
40
0
10
0
100
15
120
140
80
20
A FJan
2020
Pre-
FY16
-17
$ in millions
by month
AA MDSAJ
$ in millions
cumulative
JA OS O N JD DJan
2018
61.5
F M
79.5
M J SA O N OFJan
2019
M M J A
90.6
N M J J S N D
Forecast
Actual
Budget
Actual – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Budget – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Heavy Maintenance Facility1
2017 2018 2019 2020
07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Draft EIR/EIS - Public / Agency Review
Heavy Maintenance Facility
Purpose and Need – complete
7/15/18
Alternatives Analysis – complete
Preliminary Preferred Alternative
Final EIR/EIS – Pref. Alternative/ROD
Project Development
0
4
0
2
1 1
3
5 5
4
2
3
Pre-
FY16
-17
N F
$ in millions
by month
JMA
$ in millions
cumulative
0.6
AJan
2020
J MS O N D OJan
2018
F OJan
2019
OA NM AJ JJJ A S FN
3.0
M
2.2
D M A S D M J A S D
Actual
Budget – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast
Budget
Actual – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Forecast – FY 17/20 Cumulative
Notes:
1) Environmental clearance approach on hold and under review.
2) All estimates are preliminary and subject to change.
3) Cumulative actuals to-date and cumulative budget are aligned with Capital Outlay and Expenditure Report, August 2018.
4) Budget and Forecast have not been updated to reflect the revised ROD date changes. These revisions will appear in the September 2018 report.
Dates to be Determined
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 61
Four-month look ahead - milestones and other key
deliverables, all sections/projects: Information through June 30, 20181
Milestone Project Section Due Date % Completion Status
Footprint Validation San Francisco to San Jose August 2018 90%
Date changed to reflect
addition of alternative and
other changes identified in
2018 Business Plan.
Footprint Validation San Jose to Merced October 2018 80%
Date changed to reflect
addition of new alternative
and other changes identified
in 2018 Business Plan.
Publish Draft Supplemental
EIR/EIS for public review
Central Valley Wye
(M-F)September 2018 90%
FRA completed back-check
of Draft EIR/EIS on June 29,
2018.
Prepare administrative final
EIR/EIS for first FRA review
Locally Generated
Alternative (F-B)July 2018 85% On Target
Project Development
Notes:1 Text and dates identified in red indicate change from previous month.
1
2
3
4
5
1Program
Priority #
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
Prepare administrative draft
EIR/EIS for NEPA reviewLos Angeles to Anaheim August 2018 85%
Delayed because of preparation
and necessary review; draft
technical studies and chapters
under internal review.
5
Recommendation of
preferred alternative to
Board
Los Angeles to Anaheim November 2018 85%Date changed to reflect
changes in 2018 Baseline
Recommendation of
preferred alternative to
Board
Burbank to Los Angeles November 2018 75%
Date changed to reflect
changes to project definition
in 2018 Baseline
Obtain Checkpoint B
concurrence Palmdale to Burbank September 2018 65%
Date changed to reflect
changes to project definition
in 2018 Baseline
6
7
62
Milestone Segment Due Date % Completion Status
Recommendation of
preferred alternative to
Board
Palmdale to Burbank November 2018 75%
Date changed to reflect
changes to project definition
in 2018 Baseline
Recommendation of
preferred alternative to
BoardBakersfield to Palmdale October 2018 85%
Date changed to reflect
changes to project definition
in 2018 Baseline
Project Development
Four-month look ahead - milestones and other key
deliverables, all sections/projects: Information through June 30, 20181
Notes: 1 Text and dates identified in red indicate change from previous month.
1Program
Priority #
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
7
8
63
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 64
90
25
132
104
25
132
104
10 12
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Central Valley, North, South, and Valley to Valley
Executed and Unexecuted Agreements
Third Party AgreementsPRELIMINARY DATA – SCHEDULE SUBJECT TO CHANGE
90
NorthCV
9
South
31
1717 16
Total V to V
Executed Count Prior Quarter (Ending March 2018)
Executed Count Current Quarter (Through June 2018)
Finalized Negotiations and/or Processing Count Current Quarter (Through June 2018)
Total Executed/Unexecuted Agreements
(in number of agreements)
Notes:
1. Central Valley, North and South total counts include Master/Cooperative Agreements and Reimbursement Agreements for environmental coordination and
project development only.
2. Valley to Valley count is a subset of the agreements already represented.
3. The count for unexecuted agreements may change regularly due to changes in alignments; new information as investigations continue; agreements being
combined; mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs, and other transactions; identification of different legal entities as asset owners and operators; etc.
Actual data through June 30, 2018
Current Unexecuted Agreements in Negotiation or Not Yet Started (Total)
0
36
2
76
9
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 65
010
6511
84
001002
9
104103103101
93
9387 100100 100 100 101 101 104103
110110110110 110 110
95
8685
102109 110109109108108
100108
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Valley to Valley Agreements by Month Plan vs. Actual vs. Forecast
Dec
2017NovOctSepAugJulJunMayAprMarFebJanDecPre Dec
2016
84
V to V Agreements (excluding Railroads)
(in number of agreements)
Third Party Agreements
Actual data through June 30, 2018
Forecast - Cumulative
Planned - Cumulative
Actual - Cumulative
Forecast
Planned
Actual
PRELIMINARY DATA – SCHEDULE SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Monthly bars tie to left axis
Cumulative lines tie to right axis
Notes:
1. November 2016 Plan
2. Agreements that have been cancelled since November are not reflected in the plan, but are reflected in the forecast.
3. Agreements have been ready for execution and have been on hold due to budgetary constraints of the program.
4. New baseline will be prepared for the 2018 Business Plan.
108
0 0 0 1
Jan4
00 0 01
101 102
Feb4
1 0
Mar4 Apr4 May4
0
June4
100
63
0
7
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
01 0
104
66
30.0 27.0
92.0
107.0
160.0
107.0
69.4
5.0
126.5
18.527.0
82.2 80.9
5.2 5.6
54.8
14.4
27.7
2.2
26.3
1.27.2
AT&T, PG&E, Level 3, & Railroads
160
80
100
120
140
$0
180
20
40
60
CP2-3: P. Sum
30.8
CP1: PG&ECP1: AT&T CP4: P. Sum CP1-4: BNSFCP1: P.
Sum AT&T
CP1: P.
Sum PG&E
CP1: SJVRRCP1: UPRR
Current Invoiced Amounts, Authorized/Committed Amounts, and
Board Authorized Amounts
($ in millions)
Third Party AgreementsPRELIMINARY DATA – SCHEDULE SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Authorized/Committed InvoicedBoard AuthorizedNotes:
1. Third Party Agreements are agreements that enable the design and construction of the CA High‐Speed Rail System. These agreements are for the relocation, modification,
reconstruction, and/ or protection of utilities, irrigation facilities, and roadways that are in physical conflict with the proposed alignment.
2. Amounts shown for each Third Party agreement are inclusive of funds shown in both the project budget and Third Party budget line items.
3. Amounts expended by the DB’s for this work will be reported as received.
4. $5 million of SJVRR and BNSF agreements are both part of CEO delegated authority and not separate board items.
Actual data through June 30, 2018
3 43 3 3
19.9
39.4
5.0
19
4
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 67
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 68
Contract Management Metrics - Context
There are 2 contract management metrics included:
– Contingency Value
• This value is based on remaining contingency as a percentage of the remaining contract
balance
– Expenditure Schedule
• Earned Value (EV) = Approved Invoices to Date
• Planned Value (PV) = Average Planned Values from the Original Approved Baseline Schedule
• Revised Planned Value = Average Planned Values from the most recent Approved Baseline
Schedule
• Funding Contribution Plan (FCP) forecast value refers to forecasted Design-Build Contract
expenditure in quarterly FCP
Contract management metrics for CP1, CP2-3, CP4, and SR-99 are included
– For the SR-99 realignment project contract the Authority is in an oversight role, with Caltrans
directly managing the project
Updates to the report are made monthly
Contract Management
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 69
CP1 Contract Management – Contingency Value
CP1 – Contract Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP1 - Contingency
CP1 – Contingency Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
(% of contract balance remaining)
Oct 2017Sep 2017End of
FY-16-17
End of
FY2015-
16
Jan 2018
$51
(6.7%)
Jul 2017 Aug 2017 Nov 2017
$43
(6.3%)
Dec 2017 Feb 2018 Mar 2018
$46
(5.4%)
Apr 2018 May 2018 Jun 2018
$36
(4.4%)
$51
(6.1%)
$53
(6.8%)$51
(6.8%)$46
(6.5%)$44
(6.3%)
$59
(8.7%)$50
(7.0%)$49
(7.0%)$41
(5.9%)
Oct 2017 Jun 2018Sep 2017
$715
Jan 2018End of
FY2015
-16
Jul 2017
$703
Dec 2017 Apr 2018Aug 2017 Nov 2017 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 May 2018
$851 $830 $817 $777 $763 $749 $712 $702 $680 $674 $698
If remaining contingency against
amount of contract / work left
falls below 10%, corrective action
may be necessary.
Notes:
1. Contract Balance Remaining = [Revised DB Contract Amount] – [Authority Approved Invoices to Date].
2. Contract balance only accounts for invoices in determining contract balance, so this number may not reconcile with ”earned value”
in schedule performance index metric.
3. Reconciliation of change orders and provisional sums resulted in an increase in the contingency balance remaining.
4. As approved by the Board in September, $35 million was transferred from the Provisional Sums to the CP1 Contingency.
5. The Board approved $20m additional contingency (Resolution #HSRA 18-02) in Mar 2018.
6. The Board approved $40m additional third party provisional sum in April 2018.
End of
FY2016-17
End of
FY2016-17
1
3 4
Source: June 30, 2018
CP1 Monthly Status Report.
5
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
6
70
CP1 Contract Management Raw Data: Contingency Value
End of
FY16-17
July
2017
Aug
2017
Sept
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
June
2018
Contract
Balance
Remaining
$851.1M $830.2M $816.9M $777.3M $763.5M $749.0M $712.2M $701.6M $679.5M $674.1M $714.6M $702.7M $698.2M
Contingency $152.0M $152.0M $152.0M $187.0MSee Note 3
$187.0M $187.0M $187.0M $187.0M $187.0M $207.0M $207.0M $207.0M $207.0M
Change Orders
(from
contingency)
$106.0M ($5.0M)See Note 2
$15.0M $17.9M $2.0M $0.3M $4.4M $2.5M $1.0M $4.0M $8.6M $1.4M $7.9M
Contingency
Balance
Remaining$46.0M $51.0M $36.0M
$53.1MSee Note 3
$51.1M $50.7M $46.4M $43.9M $42.9M $58.9M $50.3M $48.9 $41.1M
Contingency % 5.4% 6.1% 4.4% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 8.7% 7.0% 7.0% 5.9%
CP1 – Contingency ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP1 - Contingency
Note:
1. Contract Balance Remaining is the sum of the previous month’s Contract Balance Remaining less the monthly approved invoice amount plus change orders
(from contingency).
2. Reconciliation of change orders and provisional sums resulted in an increase in the contingency balance remaining.
3. As approved by the Board in September, $35 million was transferred from the Provisional Sums to the CP1 Contingency.
Source: June 30, 2018 CP1 Monthly Status Report.
1
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 71
CP1 Contract Management – Schedule Performance
Index
CP1 Schedule –Total Planned Value of Contract Earned
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP1 - Schedule
600
0
1,400
1,000
200
400
1,200
800
May
2018
Feb
2018
Aug
2018
$933
$816
$ in millions
Through
2016
Jan
2017
Feb
2017
Mar
2017
Oct
2018
Dec
2017
Apr
2017
May
2017
Jun
2017
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
$1,048
Nov
2017
$1,023
Jan
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
$777
75%
Jun
2018
Jul
2018
Sept
2018
Nov
2018
$1,352
Dec
2018
Notes:
1. Full contract amount includes bid amount, provisional sums and executed change order amounts.
2. The Planned Value line shown above is shown for historical reference. The Revised Planned Value
line shown is from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the current approved baseline
schedule.
3. This reflects the Board authorization to transfer $35 million remaining provisional sums to the
contingency. The current contract amount is reduced by $35 million and increased by $17.92million
for the executed change orders from the last period.
Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date (SPI)Planned Value March 2018 FCP Forecast Revised Planned Value
Full contract amount: $1.514B
Current completion date: August 2019
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, December –
2017.
2. Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date: June 30, 2018
CP1 Performance Metric Report.
3. FCP Forecast will be updated based on quarterly Funding
Contribution Plan.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 72
CP1 Contract Management Raw Data: Schedule
Performance Index
End of
FY2016-
17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
FCP Forecast
Value$616.5M $647.4M $688.4M $732.5M $752.3M $814.5M $882.7M $831.3M $882.9M $936.9M $898.5M $975.4M $1,048M
Earned Value/
Invoiced to
DateSee Note 1
$598.1M $614.1M $642.3M$478.9M/
$664.9MSee Note 4
$484.8M/
$680.7MSee Note 4
$493.3M/
$695.4MSee Note 4
$526.9M/
$736.7M See Note 4
$535.6M/
$749.8MSee Note 4
$546.8M/
$772.8M See Note 4
$559.8M/
$782.2MSee Note 4
$564.6M/
$790.3MSee Note 4
$572.8M/
$803.6MSee Note 4
$581.4M/
$816.0MSee Note 4
Planned ValueSee Note 2
$482.1M $502.2M $526.4M $545.0M $567.7M $590.8M $613.9M $639.8M $662.7M $688.6M $715.5M $747.6M $777.3M
Schedule
Performance
Index124% 122% 122% 87%
See note 385% 84% 86% 84% 84% 81% 79% 77% 75%
FY2017-18 CP1 – Schedule ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP1 - Schedule
Notes
1. This is the Earned Value taken from Performance Metric Reports.
2. The Planned Values shown are from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the approved baseline schedule.
3. From September, the methodology used to perform the SPI calculation was revised to more accurately reflect progress indicator in regards to the Contractor’s plan (planned
value). Previously, change orders executed after approval of the baseline schedule were skewing the calculation. This adjustment resulted in a reduction of the earned value
portion of the calculation, and correspondingly, a lower SPI. This SPI reflects schedule performance on the $1.033B of work included in the revised baseline.
4. Earned value shown here is reflective of only the scope included in the revised approved baseline.
Sources: 1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March 2018.
2. EV: June 30, 2018 CP1 Performance Metric Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 73
CP2-3 Contract Management – Contingency Value
CP2-3 – Contract Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP2-3 - Contingency
CP2-3 – Contingency Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
(% of contract balance remaining)
Sep 2017
$180.7
(18.6%)
Jul 2017
$231.9
(23.3%)
Jan 2018Aug 2017 Feb 2018Oct 2017 Nov 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018 Jun 2018
$236.2
(23.1%)
$236.7
(22.8%)
$236.2
(22.9%)
$237.4
(23.6%)$231.9
(23.5%) $180.7
(18.5%)
$180.7
(18.6%)
$181.5
(18.9%)
$181.5
(19.2%)
$180.3
(19.3%)
$180.3
(19.6%)
Jan 2018 May 2018Aug 2017
$1,021
Jul 2017End of
FY-16-17
Mar 2018Sep 2017 Nov 2017
$1,006
Oct 2017 Dec 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Jun 2018
$1,040 $1,032 $959$995 $985 $978 $973 $969 $946 $936 $921
If remaining contingency against
amount of contract / work left
falls below 10%, corrective action
may be necessary.
End of
FY2016-17
End of
FY2016-17Notes:
1. Contract Balance Remaining = [Revised DB Contract Amount] – [Authority Approved Invoices to Date].
2. Contract balance only accounts for invoices in determining contract balance, so this number may not reconcile with
”earned value” in schedule performance index metric.
3. The executed positive and negative change orders are a positive $3.6 million and a negative $4.8 million resulting in a
net decrease of $1.2 million in the current contract amount.
1
3
Source: June 30, 2018
CP2-3 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 74
CP2-3 Contract Management Raw Data: Contingency
Value
End of
FY2016-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
Contract
Balance
Remaining
$1,040M $1,032M $1,021M $1,006M $995.5M $985.0M $977.7M $973.1M $969.2M $958.7M $946.2M $935.6M $921.4M
Contingency $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M $261.2M
Change Orders
(from
contingency)$24.5M $0.5M $0.0M ($1.2M)
See note 2$5.5M $0.0M $51.2M $0.0M $0.0M ($0.8M)
See note 2$0.0M $1.2M $0.0M
Contingency
Balance
Remaining
$236.7M $236.2M $236.2M $237.4M $231.9M $231.9M $180.7M $180.7M $180.7M $181.5M $181.5M $180.3M $180.3M
Contingency % 22.8% 22.9% 23.1% 23.6% 23.3% 23.5% 18.5% 18.6% 18.6% 18.9% 19.2% 19.3% 19.6%
CP2-3 – Contingency ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP2-3 - Contingency
Note:
1. Contract Balance Remaining is the sum of the previous month’s Contract Balance Remaining less the
monthly approved invoice amount plus change orders (from contingency).
2. The executed positive and negative change orders for the period result in a net decrease in the
current contract amount.
1
Source: June 30, 2018
CP2-3 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 75
CP2-3 Contract Management – Schedule Performance
Index
CP2-3 Schedule –Total Planned Value of Contract Earned
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP2-3 - Schedule
700
0
200
400
1,100
100
300
500
800
900
600
1,000
1,200
1,300$1,286
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
Nov
2017
Jul
2017
Feb
2018
$ in millions
Nov
2018
Apr
2017
Through
2016
Jan
2017
Feb
2017
Mar
2017
May
2017
Jun
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Sept
2018
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
$515
(48%)
May
2018
$1,079
Jun
2018
Jul
2018
Aug
2018
Oct
2018
$1,210
Dec
2018
$810
Planned Value March 2018 FCP Forecast Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date (SPI)
Notes:
1. Full contract amount includes bid amount, provisional sums and executed change order amounts.
2. The Planned Values shown are from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the approved
baseline schedule. Reports prior to February 2017 showed a Planned Value curve from the early
dates in the approved baseline schedule.
3. Revised planned values are being developed to align with the revised contract amount and
completion date.
Full contract amount: $1.437B
Current completion date: May 2020
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, December – 2017.
2. Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date: June 30, 2018 CP2-3
Performance Metric Report.
3. FCP Forecast will be updated based on quarterly Funding
Contribution Plan.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 76
CP2-3 Contract Management Raw Data: Schedule
Performance Index
End of
FY2016-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
FCP Forecast
Value$346.4M $373.5M $407.5M $451.2M $427.3M $479.4M $531.6M $533.9M $607.2M $679.4M $589.0M $700.0M $810.1M
Earned Value/
Invoiced to
DateSee Note 1
$350.0M $357.9M $369.2M $382.8M $394.3M $404.9M $463.3M $467.9M $471.8M $481.5M $489.9M $501.0M $515.3M
Planned ValueSee Note 2
$501.2M $541.4M $586.2M $627.8M $672.8M $722.1M $771.6M $823.4M $869.8M $926.0M $981.7M $1,036M $1,079M
Schedule
Performance
Index
70% 66% 63% 61% 59% 56% 60% 57% 54% 52% 50% 48% 48%
FY2017-18 CP2-3 – Schedule ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP2-3 - Schedule
Notes
1. This is the Earned Value taken from Performance Metric Reports.
2. The Planned Values shown are from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the approved
baseline schedule.
3. Revised planned values are being developed to align with the revised contract amount and completion date.
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March 2018.
2. EV: June 30, 2018 CP2-3 Performance Metric Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 77
CP4 Contract Management – Contingency Value
CP4 – Contract Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP4 - Contingency
CP4 – Contingency Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
(% of contract balance remaining)
Dec 2017
$58.2
(16.4%)
Jul 2017 Aug 2017 Nov 2017Sep 2017
$59.2
(15.5%)
May 2018Oct 2017 Feb 2018Jan 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 Jun 2018
$59.5
(15.1%)
$59.5
(15.3%)
$59.2
(15.3%)
$59.2
(15.3%)
$59.2
(15.5%)
$59.2
(15.6%)
$59.2
(15.6%)
$58.9
(15.5%)
$58.9
(15.5%)
$58.9
(16.1%)
$58.9
(16.5%)
Jan 2018
$383$387
End of
FY-15-16
Jul 2017 Apr 2018Sep 2017 Nov 2017 Dec 2017Aug 2017 Oct 2017 Feb 2018
$357
Mar 2018 May 2018 Jun 2018
$395 $390 $387 $383 $380 $378 $379 $379 $367 $355
End of
FY2016-17
If remaining contingency against
amount of contract / work left
falls below 10%, corrective action
may be necessary.
End of
FY2016-17Notes:
1. Contract Balance Remaining = [Revised DB Contract Amount] – [Authority Approved Invoices to Date].
2. Contract balance only accounts for invoices in determining contract balance, so this number may not reconcile with ”earned value” in
schedule performance index metric.
1
Source: June 30, 2018
CP4 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 78
CP4 Contract Management Raw Data: Contingency Value
End of
FY2016-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
Contract
Balance
Remaining
$395.1M $390.0M $387.2M $387.2M $383.1M $383.1M $380.0M $378.3M $378.6M $378.6M $366.7M $356.5M $354.6M
Contingency $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M $62.0M
Change Orders
(from
contingency)$2.5M $0.0M $0.3M $0.0M $0.0M $0.0M $0.0M $0.0M $0.3M $0.0M $0.0M $0.0M $0.7M
Contingency
Balance
Remaining
$59.5M $59.5M $59.2M $59.2M $59.2M $59.2M $59.2M $59.2M $58.9M $58.9M $58.9M $58.9M $58.2M
Contingency % 15.1% 15.3% 15.3% 15.3% 15.5% 15.5% 15.6% 15.6% 15.5% 15.5% 16.1% 16.5% 16.4%
CP4 – Contingency ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP4 - Contingency
Note:
1. Contract Balance Remaining is the sum of the previous month’s Contract Balance Remaining less the
monthly approved invoice amount plus change orders (from contingency).
1
Source: June 30, 2018
CP4 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 79
CP4 Contract Management – Schedule Performance
Index
CP4 Schedule –Total Planned Value of Contract Earned
($ in millions)
Contract Management CP4 - Schedule
250
150
200
300
0
50
350
400
100
Nov
2018
Oct
2017
Jul
2017
$ in millions
Through
FY
15/16
May
2017
Jan
2017
Feb
2017
Mar
2017
Apr
2017
Jun
2017
Aug
2017
$320
Sep
2017
Nov
2017
$94
(31%)
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
$302
Jul
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
Aug
2018
Sept
2018
Dec
2018
Oct
2018
$400
$161
Planned Value March 2018 FCP Forecast Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date (SPI)
Notes:
1. Full contract amount includes bid amount, provisional sums and executed change order amounts.
2. Total amount earned refers to progress on the schedule, not approved contract invoices.
3. The Planned Values shown are from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the approved
baseline schedule.
Full contract amount: $444.5M
Current completion date: June 2019
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March – 2018.
2. Earned Value/Approved Invoices to Date: June 30, 2018 CP4
Monthly Status Report.
3. FCP Forecast will be updated based on quarterly Funding
Contribution Plan.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 80
CP4 Contract Management Raw Data: Schedule
Performance Index
End of
FY2016
-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
FCP Forecast
Value$59.9M $65.0M $71.7M $81.9M $77.6M $105.3M $138.4M $123.9M $179.9M $250.5M $107.7M $134.4M $160.9M
Earned Value/
Invoiced to
DateSee Note 1
$61.9M $64.5M $67.7M $70.3M $72.8M $87.7M $83.7M $81.4M $84.1M $96.0M $102.0M $90.3M $94.5M
Planned ValueSee Note 2
$133.3M $146.1M $159.4M $173.0M $188.7M $204.2M $221.4M $235.0M $245.7M $258.0M $271.0M $285.7M $301.6M
Schedule
Performance
Index
46% 44% 42% 41% 39% 43% 38% 35% 34% 37% 38% 32% 31%
FY2017-18 CP4 – Schedule ($ in millions)
Contract Management CP4 - Schedule
Notes:
1. This is the Earned Value taken from Performance Metric Reports and it is an estimate
2. The Planned Values shown are from the accepted mid-point Planned Value curve from the approved
baseline schedule.
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March 2018
2. EV: June 30, 2018 CP4 Performance Metric Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 81
SR-99 Contract Management – Contingency Value
SR-99 – Contract Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
Contract Management SR-99 - Contingency
SR-99 – Contingency Balance Remaining
($ in millions)
(% of contract balance remaining)
Jul 2017 Feb 2018Aug 2017 Jan 2018Dec 2017Sep 2017 Oct 2017 Nov 2017 Mar 2018 Apr 2018
$7.3
(8.2%)
May 2018
$1.3
(2.4%)
Jun 2018
$7.3
(7.3%)
$7.3
(7.3%)$6.2
(7.5%)$5.6
(7.3%)$5.2
(7.4%) $4.0
(6.2%)$3.7
(6.2%)
$3.6
(6.5%)$3.1
(6.4%)$2.6
(6.3%)$2.2
(3.7%)
End of
FY2015
-16
Nov 2017Aug 2017Jul 2017
$77
May 2018Oct 2017 Feb 2018Sep 2017 Dec 2017
$55
Jan 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 Jun 2018
$100 $100$88 $83
$71 $65 $60 $56 $47 $42$60
End of
FY2016-17
If remaining contingency against
amount of contract / work left
falls below 5%, corrective action
may be necessary.
The values shown are a sum of
the Early Work Plan (EWP) and
Main Package (MP)
Contingencies.
End of
FY2016-17
Notes:
1. Contract Balance Remaining = [Revised DB Contract Amount] – [Authority Approved Invoices to Date].
2. Contract balance only accounts for invoices in determining contract balance, so this number may not reconcile with
“earned value” in schedule performance index metric.
3. The Interagency Agreement was amended (Amendment 3) on May 14, 2018 to supplement the Capital cost by $29.2M
1
Source: June 30, 2018
SR-99 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018
3
82
SR-99 Contract Management Raw Data: Contingency
Value
End of
FY2016-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
Contract
Balance
RemainingSee Note 3
$100.3M $99.7M $88.5M $82.7M $76.8M $70.8M$64.5M /
$47.9M
$64.5M /
$43.8M
$55.8M /
$40.7M
$47.5M /
$37.1M
$41.8M /
$32.2M
$59.9M/
$28.2M
$55.1M/
$27.0M
ContingencySee Note 2
$9.5M $9.5M $9.5M $9.5M $9.5M $9.5M $6.7M $6.7M $6.7M $6.7M $6.7M $6.7M $5.9M
Change Orders
(from
contingency)$2.2M $0.0M $0.0M $1.1M $0.6M $0.4M $0.2M $0.3M $0.1M $0.6M $0.5M $0.4M $0.1M
Contingency
Balance
RemainingSee Note 2
$7.3M $7.3M $7.3M $6.2M $5.6M $5.2M $4.0M $3.7M $3.6M $3.1M $2.6M $2.2M 1.3M
Contingency % 7.3% 7.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 4.9%
SR-99 – Contingency ($ in millions)
Contract Management SR-99 - Contingency
Notes:
1. Contract balance only accounts for invoices in determining contract balance, so this number may not reconcile
with “earned value” in schedule performance index metric.
2. The contingency values shown through Nov-17 are a combination of the EWP and MP contingency values.
Contingency values from Dec-17 onwards are from the Main Package only.
3. The Contract Balance Remaining to Nov-17 is a combination of the EWP and MP values. From December 2017
on, the combined values are shown followed by the Main Package only. Source: June 30, 2018
SR-99 Monthly Status Report.
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 83
SR-99 Contract Management – Schedule Performance
Index
SR-99 Schedule –Total Planned Value of Contract Earned
($ in millions)
Contract Management SR-99 - Schedule
200
100
0
250
150
300
50
Dec
2018
May
2018
$ in millions
Through
2016
Jan
2017
Feb
2018
$151
Oct
2018
Feb
2017
Apr
2017
May
2017
Jun
2017
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2018
Nov
2017
Jul
2018
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Jun
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
Aug
2018
$230
Mar
2017
$231
(101%)
$229
Sept
2018
Revised Planned ValueEarned Value (SPI)March 2018 FCP ForecastPlanned Value
Notes:
1. Total amount earned refers to progress on the schedule, not approved contract invoices.
2. The Planned Value line shown above is shown for historical reference. The Revised Planned Value
line shown is from the current forecast.
Full contract amount: $290.1M
Current completion date: December 2018
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March – 2018.
2. Earned Value: June 30, 2018 SR-99 Performance Metric Report.
3. FCP Forecast will be updated based on quarterly Funding
Contribution Plan.
Revised planned values are
being confirmed
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 84
SR-99 Contract Management Raw Data: Schedule
Performance Index
End of
FY2016-17
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
FCP Forecast
Value$159.4M $165.0M $171.0M $176.2M $183.9M $189.2M $194.6M $200.5 $205.7M $210.9M $219.8M $224.8M $229.7M
Earned ValueSee Note 1
$154.9M $155.3M $166.3M $172.1M $177.7M $183.6M $190.1M $194.9M $198.6M $206.4M $211.9M $226.1M $230.7M
Planned Value $156.6M $161.7M $167.6M $173.0M $178.5M $184.0M $189.5M $194.9M $200.4 $205.9M $211.4M $220.0M $228.5M
Schedule
Performance
Index
99% 96% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 103% 101%
FY2017-18 SR-99 – Schedule ($ in millions)
Contract Management SR-99 - Schedule
Note:
1. SR-99 contract with Caltrans is not a Design-Build contract. Earned value is not necessarily
equal to invoice to data/actual cost amount.
Sources:
1. FCP Forecast: Funding Contribution Plan, March 2018
2. EV: June 30, 2018 SR-99 Performance Metric Report
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 85
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 86
Finance/Budget Metrics – Context
For FY2017-18, this report presents:
– Budgeted expenditures based on the Capital Outlay budget
– Expenditures reflect paid invoices, invoices received and in process, and material estimated costs for work
performed, not yet billed.
– Forecasts will shift each month and align with FY2017-18 forecast from the F&A Capital Outlay Report.
All data shown is at the end of each month:
– There is a one month lag to produce the F&A Capital Outlay Report.
• For example, the August 2018 F&A Capital Outlay Report includes financial data through
June 30, 2018.
Finance/Budget
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 87
Finance/Budget
As of June 30, 2018, the Authority has spent 69.9% of FY2017-18 budget and
97.6%10 of the FY2014-15 Cap and Trade appropriation.
Total Expenditures to Date ($ billions)
(Data as of June 30, 2018)
Notes:
1. Source: F&A Capital Outlay Report, August 2018; balance subject to change due to pending approval of federal reimbursements.
2. A risk informed contingency analysis has been performed and identifies cost risk pressures to the current CP 1 budget. These cost risk pressures are primarily driven by the ROW acquisition schedule, the cost of utilities, and the cost of
agreements with third parties including the adjacent freight railroads. The Authority is aggressively mitigating these and other project risks and will provide updates to the analysis in future reports.
3. The FY2017-18 budget supports activities reflected within the 2016 Business Plan and is based on a prioritization of executed contracts necessary for Central Valley development and construction, Silicon Valley to Central Valley segment
planning, and Bookend Corridor project construction. In addition, the FY2017-18 budget prioritizes work related to completing the scope within the ARRA and FY10 grants.
4. Expenditures reflect paid invoices, invoices received and in process, and material estimated costs for work performed, not yet billed.
5. The Authority’s appropriation totals will increase with the proceeds received from future Cap and Trade auctions, under Health and Safety Code 39719(b)(2).
6. This line item includes ARRA grant budget totaling $2.55B and Brownfields EPA grant budget totaling $600K.
7. The Construction ARRA expenditures exceed budget. Pending finalization of the remaining federal expenditures with FRA, Project Development and Construction line items will be aligned.
8. The FY2017-18 budget remains $1.638B.
9. The Total Program budget remains $9.678B.
10. FY2014-15 Cap and Trade utilization rate decreased slightly (1.2%) from the prior month due to a funding adjustment which moved $3M from Cap and Trade to Prop IA Bond Funds.
11. Numbers may not add due to rounding
FY2017-18 Expenditures to Date ($ billions)
(Data as of June 30, 2018)
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 88
May-18 Jun-18 May-18 Jun-18 May-18 Jun-18 May-18 Jun-18
$10.19 $10.19 $1.64 $1.64 $0.99 $1.14 60.7% 69.9%
Expenditures -
% of Budget
Total
Appropriation 5
FY2017-18
Budget 3, 8
FY Expenditures
to Date 4
Expenditures Expenditures Expenditures
to Date4
to Date4
to Date4
ARRA / Brownfields Grant6, 7
$2.55 $2.54 $0.51 $0.48 $2.04 $2.07
FY10 Grant $0.93 $- $- $- $0.93 $-
PROP 1A $3.18 $1.44 $0.57 $0.42 $2.61 $1.02
Cap and Trade $1.91 $0.60 $0.24 $0.13 $1.67 $0.47
Local Assistance $1.10 $- $- $- $1.10 $-
Total10
$9.68 $4.58 $1.33 $1.02 $8.35 $3.56
TOTAL Planning Construction2
Budget 3, 9 Budget 3 Budget3
1,000
500
1,500
0
2,000
$151
Total
FY2016-17
$1,638
$1,485
$119
May
2018
$ millions
$235
$173
Aug
2017
$354
Sep
2017
$175
$587
$471
Oct
2017
Dec
2017
$704
Nov
2017
$131$81
$1,175
$861
Jan
2018
$153
$1,018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
$157
$71
$1,333
Apr
2018
$1,144
Jun
2018
$75$120$120$98
$1,246
$117$175
Jul
2017
$71
$118 $118 $94 $105
$30
$172 $157$183
$80
$157
$52$95
$153
$30
$157
Finance/Budget – FY2017-18 Expenditures
Finance/Budget – FY2017-18
FY2017-18 Monthly and Cumulative Expenditures
Budget, Forecast and Actual
Source: F&A Capital Outlay Reports (August 2017 – August 2018)
1. Forecast data may shift upon update of monthly actuals.
2. A risk informed contingency analysis has been performed and identifies cost risk pressures to the current CP1 budget. These cost risk pressures are primarily driven by the ROW acquisition schedule, the cost of
utilities, and the cost of agreements with third parties including the adjacent freight railroads. The Authority is aggressively mitigating these and other project risks and will provide updates to the analysis in future
reports.
3. Expenditures reflect paid invoices, invoices received and in process, and material estimated costs for work performed, not yet billed.
4. The FY2017-18 expenditures ($1.144B) are less than budget ($1.638B) primarily due to updated schedules for Design-Build Contract Work and Local Assistance.
5. The FY2017-18 budget remains $1.638B.
6. The Authority’s appropriation totals will increase with the proceeds received from future Cap and Trade auctions, under Health and Safety Code 39719(b)(2).
Actual Expenditures
Monthly Budget
Actual Expenditures - Cumulative through June 2018
Monthly Budget - Cumulative
Monthly Forecast
Monthly Forecast - Cumulative
Data through June 30, 2018
$117 $117$117$119 $116
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 89
Finance/Budget Raw Data
Capital Outlay Budget, Expenditures, and Forecast
July
2017
Aug
2017
Sept
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
June
2018
Total FY Budget $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B $1.6B
Expense to Date $98.5M $169.2M $262.9M $344.1M $449.1M $621.3M $696.1M $775.8M $846.5M $898.8M $993.7M $1.144B
Monthly Expenditures $98.5M $70.7M $93.7M $81.2M $105M $172.2M $74.8M $79.6M $70.7M $52.4M $94.8M $150.7M
Total FY Forecast $1.6B $1.6B $1.7B $1.7B $1.8B $1.8B $1.8B $1.8B $1.8B $1.5B $1.5B $1.1B
FY2017-18 Raw Data
Finance/Budget – by Fiscal Year
Source: F&A Capital Outlay Reports (September 2016 – August 2018)
1. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
2. A risk informed contingency analysis has been performed and identifies cost risk pressures to the current CP1 budget. These cost risk pressures are primarily driven by the ROW acquisition
schedule, the cost of utilities, and the cost of agreements with third parties including the adjacent freight railroads. The Authority is aggressively mitigating these and other project risks and will
provide updates to the analysis in future reports.
3. Expenditures reflect paid invoices, invoices received and in process, and material estimated costs for work performed, not yet billed.
4. The FY2017-18 expenditures ($1.144B) are less than budget ($1.638B) primarily due to updated schedules for Design-Build Contract Work and Local Assistance.
5. The FY2017-18 budget remains $1.638B.
6. The Authority’s appropriation totals will increase with the proceeds received from future Cap and Trade auctions, under Health and Safety Code 39719(b)(2).
July
2016
Aug
2016
Sept
2016
Oct
2016
Nov
2016
Dec
2016
Jan
2017
Feb
2017
Mar
2017
Apr
2017
May
2017
June
2017
Total FY Budget $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $1.7B $2.2B $2.2B
Expense to Date $78.5M $211.1M $318.5M $403.8M $482.6M $623.6M $706.7M $813.6M $882.0M $977.2M $1.2B $1.2B
Monthly Expenditures $78.5M $132.6M $107.4M $85.3M $78.8M $141M $83.2M $106.9M $68.4M $95.2M $190.1M $78.9M
Total FY Forecast $1.7B $1.7B $1.3B $1.3B $1.3B $1.3B $1.4B $1.4B $1.2B $1.2B $1.2B $1.2B
FY2016-17 Raw Data
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 90
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 91
ARRA State Match Schedule – Context
ARRA State Match is comprised of two expenditure types:
– Project Development: Environmental Review, Preliminary Engineering Design, Project Administration, and
other project development related costs
– Construction: Program Management, Project Construction Management, Right-of-Way, Design-Build
Contracts, Third Party Agreements, Project Reserves, and Contingencies
The ARRA State Match schedule is based upon the Funding Contribution Plan. The schedule includes:
– Expenditures reflect amounts paid and reported to the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA), invoices
received and in process, and material estimated costs for work performed, not yet billed.
– Forecast expenditures
ARRA Schedule
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 92
ARRA State Match Expenditure by MonthForecast vs. Actual
ARRA Schedule
Notes:
1. Total ARRA State Match expenditures are $937.2M or 37% of the $2.505B State Match obligation for the ARRA grant include invoices reported to the FRA as of June 30, 2018.
2. State funds can be matched against federal funds and matched against ARRA funds already spent.
3. December 2012 FCP did not report ARRA State Match at the discrete level and as such has not been included in the above graph.
4. December 2015 FCP was not approved, and was only used to initially track performance prior to the approval of the March 2016 FCP.
5. December 2017 FCP was not approved, but is used to track performance as the Authority works with the FRA towards an approved FCP.
6. Expenditures reflect amounts paid and reported to the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA), invoices received and in process, and material estimated costs for work performed, not yet
billed.
7. Jul-17 actuals include a technical adjustment primarily related to reallocating ROW remnant parcels from grant eligible funding to non-grant eligible funding.
8. Numbers may not add due to rounding.
9. Variance in FCP and Capital Outlay numbers due to timing differences.
Data through June 30, 2018
2,500
500
1,000
2,000
-500
1,500
0
Through
Jun 2017
Dec
2017
167101 73
142
Sep
2018
In $ Millions
Jul
2017
294
1
Jan
2018
Aug
2017
89
Sep
2017
1,458
Nov
2017
Oct
2017
Feb
2018
282
Mar
2018
101
Apr
2018
22
May
2018
476
1,332
1
-85
201
Jun
2018
236392
Jul
2018
Aug
2018
571
2,454
476
141
-85
229
74 741
89 770
780
16722
289
76 49146 96 13778 127
18 0128 122
0 0 066
State Match Drawdown Schedule
($ in millions)
December 2015 FCP Forecast
December 2017 FCP Forecast
Preliminary Quarterly FCP Actual Expenditures
December 2017 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
December 2015 FCP Forecast - Cumulative
Preliminary Quarterly FCP Actual Expenditures - Cumulative through 6/30/2018
1,332
943
2,230
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 93
Agenda
Operations Report Metrics
– Executive Summary
– Right-of-Way (ROW)
– Project Development
– Third Party Agreements
– Contract Management
– Finance/Budget
– ARRA State Match Schedule
– Risk
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 94
CP1 Contract - Contingency report
1. The Program Baseline was presented to and accepted by the CHSRA Board in June 2018. The adoption of the Program Baseline will result in changes to
contingency amounts and drawdown schedule. Over the coming two quarters, the contingency drawdown curve will be revised as project-level information,
budgets and schedules are reconciled with the Program Baseline and associated quantitative cost and schedule risk analysis is completed.
2. Content as of June 30, 2018.
133
102
82
61
41
31
72
4141
0 0 0 0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
As of 31-Dec-16 As of 30-Jun-18 50% Constr. 75% Constr. 90% Constr. Substantial Completion
Continge
ncy
($ in m
illio
ns)
Contingency Floor
Actual To Date
Projected Available Contingency
Risk – CP1PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS RESULTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
Contingency reassessment
being performed
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 95
CP2-3 Contract - Contingency report
1. The Program Baseline was presented to and accepted by the CHSRA Board in June 2018. The adoption of the Program Baseline will result in changes to
contingency amounts and drawdown schedule. Over the coming two quarters, the contingency drawdown curve will be revised as project-level information,
budgets and schedules are reconciled with the Program Baseline and associated quantitative cost and schedule risk analysis is completed.
2. Content as of June 30, 2018.
230
199
176
153
123
92
61
46
257
180
152
136
96 74
290 0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
As of 30-Jun-16 As of 30-Jun-18 RFC Appr. (75%
ROW Acq.)
10% Constr.
(Crit. Util Relo)
20% Constr. (All
Utility Relo)
50% Constr.
(Bridge & Via.
Foun.)
75% Constr. (3rd
Party Constr.)
90% Constr (All
Strs.)
Substantial
Completion
Conti
nge
ncy
($ in m
illio
ns)
Contingency Floor
Actual To Date
Projected Available Contingency
Risk – CP2-3
Contingency reassessment
being performed
PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS RESULTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 96
CP4 Contract - Contingency report
1. The Program Baseline was presented to and accepted by the CHSRA Board in June 2018. The adoption of the Program Baseline will result in changes to
contingency amounts and drawdown schedule. Over the coming two quarters, the contingency drawdown curve will be revised as project-level information,
budgets and schedules are reconciled with the Program Baseline and associated quantitative cost and schedule risk analysis is completed.
2. Content as of June 30, 2018.
54
48
40
36
29
25
20
15
12
9
6158
50
43
40
2927
20
16
14
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
As of 31-Aug-
16
As of 30-Jun-18 90% Des. RFC Appr. 10% Const. 20% Const. 50% Const. 75% Const. 90% Const. Substantial
Completion
Project
Completion
Conti
nge
ncy
($ M
illio
ns)
Contingency Floor
Actual To Date
Projected Available Contingency
Risk – CP 4PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS RESULTS – SUBJECT TO CHANGE
F&A Committee Meeting – August 2018 97