Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 1 Calculation of Volume Growth Rate from FDOT District 1 Regional Planning Model Facility FLTO Site From To Existing AADT (2016) 1 Model Output (2040) 2 AADT Forecast (2040) 3 Annual Growth Goodlette-Frank Rd 034010 Fleischmann Blvd 7th Ave N 39,000 60,141 52,000 1.39% 034569 Central Ave 5th Ave S 28,000 49,319 43,000 2.23% 9th St S/US 41 035029 Golden Gate Pkwy Fleischmann Blvd 39,500 50,934 44,000 0.47% 035007 7th Ave N 5th Ave N 34,000 55,391 48,000 1.72% Golden Gate Pkwy 034530 US 41 Goodlette-Frank Rd 23,000 29,352 26,000 0.54% US 41/5th Ave S 030123 10th St S Goodlette-Frank Rd 38,000 66,525 58,000 2.19% 030124 Goodlette-Frank Rd Davis Blvd 57,000 96,023 84,000 1.97% 035001 Davis Blvd Commercial Dr 34,500 55,989 49,000 1.75% Average 1.53% 1: Florida Traffic Online 2016 AADT 2: FDOT District 1 Regional Planning Model 2040 Forecasts (average volume forecast of all links in segment). 3: FDOT District 1 Regional Planning Model 2040 AADT Forecasts (adjusted using MOCF of 0.87 and rounded)
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Calculation of Volume Growth Rate from FDOT District 1 Regional … · 2017-10-11 · Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 1 Calculation of Volume Growth Rate from FDOT District
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Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 1
Calculation of Volume Growth Rate from FDOT District 1 Regional Planning
Model
Facility FLTO
Site From To
Existing
AADT
(2016)1
Model
Output
(2040)2
AADT
Forecast
(2040)3
Annual
Growth
Goodlette-Frank
Rd
034010 Fleischmann Blvd 7th Ave N 39,000 60,141 52,000 1.39%
034569 Central Ave 5th Ave S 28,000 49,319 43,000 2.23%
9th St S/US 41 035029
Golden Gate
Pkwy
Fleischmann
Blvd 39,500 50,934 44,000 0.47%
035007 7th Ave N 5th Ave N 34,000 55,391 48,000 1.72%
Golden Gate Pkwy 034530 US 41 Goodlette-Frank
Rd 23,000 29,352 26,000 0.54%
US 41/5th Ave S
030123 10th St S Goodlette-Frank
Rd 38,000 66,525 58,000 2.19%
030124 Goodlette-Frank
Rd Davis Blvd 57,000 96,023 84,000 1.97%
035001 Davis Blvd Commercial Dr 34,500 55,989 49,000 1.75%
Average 1.53%
1: Florida Traffic Online 2016 AADT
2: FDOT District 1 Regional Planning Model 2040 Forecasts (average volume forecast of all links in segment).
3: FDOT District 1 Regional Planning Model 2040 AADT Forecasts (adjusted using MOCF of 0.87 and rounded)
Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 2
Calculation of Socioeconomic Growth Rate from FDOT District 1 Regional
Planning Model
Zone
2010 2040
Population Employment
Population
&
Employment
Population Employment
Population
&
Employment
1580 8 53 61 141 64 205
1581 0 104 104 0 128 128
1582 0 25 25 0 31 31
1583 0 104 104 0 141 141
1585 2 127 129 278 520 798
1586 0 220 220 0 324 324
1587 0 124 124 0 185 185
1588 0 66 66 0 128 128
1589 6 60 66 6 87 93
1590 0 3,337 3,337 0 3,281 3,281
1591 4 486 490 4 722 726
1592 38 590 628 46 654 700
1593 0 70 70 0 88 88
1594 45 645 690 50 955 1,005
1595 24 64 88 27 75 102
1597 0 4,249 4,249 0 5,238 5,238
1599 342 274 616 472 275 747
1600 367 2 369 402 2 404
1601 102 11 113 109 11 120
1603 30 398 428 34 577 611
1604 476 18 494 512 18 530
1605 0 124 124 0 123 123
1606 48 220 268 51 219 270
1608 30 93 123 271 129 400
1609 0 164 164 0 252 252
1610 21 185 206 24 200 224
1621 0 59 59 0 59 59
1623 256 13 269 274 13 287
1627 468 206 674 519 203 722
1634 64 0 64 70 0 70
1640 164 156 320 177 134 311
Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 2
Zone
2010 2040
Population Employment
Population
&
Employment
Population Employment
Population
&
Employment
1641 354 662 1,016 401 651 1,052
1643 98 323 421 259 102 361
1644 0 23 23 710 71 781
1645 0 10 10 552 48 600
1646 573 146 719 1,338 178 1,516
1700 474 1,483 1,957 984 1,948 2,932
2016 40 49 89 52 54 106
2017 85 136 221 91 142 233
2018 59 3 62 62 3 65
2019 250 3 253 273 3 276
2020 16 0 16 18 0 18
2021 29 12 41 33 12 45
2022 219 58 277 240 57 297
2023 50 0 50 53 0 53
2027 29 43 72 30 42 72
2030 213 10 223 229 10 239
2032 0 16 16 0 81 81
2033 0 0 0 0 30 30
2034 15 98 113 16 107 123
2041 297 9 306 318 9 327
2042 192 367 559 206 361 567
2044 276 171 447 296 168 464
2046 0 0 0 104 0 104
Study Area Total 5,764 15,869 21,633 9,732 18,913 28,645
Study Area Average Annual Growth Rate 2.29% 0.64% 1.08%
Ref: 62660.00 June 30, 2017 Attachment 3
Calculation of Peak-Season Peak-Hour Growth Rate from City of Naples Data