CABO VERDE EVALUATION TITLE CROSS-COUNTRY WORKSHOP FOR IMPACT EVALUATIONS IN FINANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT Dakar, February 1-4, 2010 Team Members
Apr 21, 2015
CABO VERDE
EVALUATION TITLE
CROSS-COUNTRY WORKSHOP FOR IMPACT EVALUATIONS IN FINANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
Dakar, February 1-4, 2010
Team Members
Title
Pequenas (≤ 5 empregados, 75%, ≤5,000, empresas formais )
• Outreach
• Mulheres
• Ilhas menos desenvolvidas
Matching grant 1 - Pequena
Title
Medias (≤ 10 empregados, 50%, ≤10,000, empresas formais )
• Outreach
•Mulheres
• Ilhas menos desenvolvidas
Matching grant 2 - PMEs
Curto prazoMedio prazolongo prazoCustos fixos vs custos variaveis
TitlePRIORITIES FOR LEARNING:
INTERVENTIONS
Impacto do programa de Matching Grant em:1. ↓ Constrangimentos financeiros
Investimento (K Humano; K físico; tecnologico)efeito multiplicador interno
Acesso a credito (valor de credito, taxa de rejeicao, valor colateral, modalidades de emprestimo, origem)2. ↑ Lucros3. ↑ Rendimentos4. ↑Emprego5. ↑ Diversificacao/ Especializacao6. ↑ cambio organizacional (Reducao de stock, outsourcing, organizacao da contabilidade, gap entre facturacao e pagamento, etc.)7. ↑ K social8. ↑ Controle de qualidade9. ↑ certificacao de qualidade10. Criacao de novos produtos e/ou entrada em novos mercados
TitleEVALUATION QUESTION
Medias – 06 a 10 empregados permanentes (integrais) Seleccao aleatorea entre pares de empresas
com caracteristicas mais parecidas possiveis Target de demanda ≥ 160Tratamento 80 e controlo 80
Pequenas – 01 a 05 empregados permanentes (integrais)Seleccao aleatorea entre pares de empresas
com caracteristicas mais parecidas possiveis
Target de demanda ≥ 400Tratamento 200 e controlo 200
TitleEVALUATION DESIGN
Outreach
GeograficoNivel 1: 22 municipios
Estrategia de divulgacao informacao por meio de associacoes locais
Divide-se em onze grupos de dois municipios similares e atribui-se aleatoriamente ao grupo de controle e tratamento
Dois grupos (tratamento e controlo) igualmente heterogeneos
Nivel 2: NacionalEstrategia de divulgacao de informacao por meio de
comunicacao social (TV, radio, jornais, etc.)Mesmo proceso: Divide-se em tres grupos de dois ou tres ilhas similares
e atribui-se aleatoriamente ao grupo de controle e tratamento Dois grupos (tratamento e controlo) igualmente
heterogeneos
TitleEVALUATION DESIGN
TitleTIMELINE FOR IMPACT EVALUATION
Outreach
municipal
0 3 96 18
Outreach nacional
Inquerito avaliacao (1 ano depois)
Tratamento 1
Tratamento 3
Tratamento 2
InqueritoEmpresarial 2010 + questionario candidatura(Baseline survey)
Inquerito2
Inquerito4
Inquerito3
12
Tratamento 4
24
Title
Outreach Diferencas na adesao
Identificacao de participantes feita com o apoio de instituicoes/associacoes com base de genero.
Participantes identificadas aleatoriamente atribuidas a grupos de controle e tratamento.
Diferencas de impacto do programa
Empresas lideradas por mulheres VS empresas lideradas por homens
PERSPECTIVA DE GENERO
Title
Fonte de dados: Instituto Nacional de Estatistica
Universo de empresas 6900 (≈ 90% ≤ 10 empregado integral; ≈ 70% ≤ 5)
Baseline survey (Inquerito as empresas 2010) + questionario de candidatura + questionario de seguimento.
Informacoes gerais (localizacao, natureza, sector, etc.)
Vendas
Numero empregados
K social
Exportacao/importacao
Investimento
SAMPLING AND DATA
Total dos donativos= 860,000$ USD
Medias - 650,000 $USD – 2000 $USD = total 325 grants; 50 por ano, target de demanda - 100
Pequenas - 150,000 $USD – 500 $USD = total 300 grants; 100 por ano, target de demanda – 200
Margem de manobra – 60,000 $USD (de acordo com a demanda)
Monitoring & Evaluation – 40.000 $USD (1600 entrevistas de questionarios)
TitleBUDGET
Title
CABO VERDE
Matching Grant Program for SMEs
CROSS-COUNTRY WORKSHOP FOR IMPACT EVALUATIONS IN FINANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
Dakar, February 1-4, 2010
Mirian Lima (Ministry of Finance)
Sandra Fortes (Ministry of Finance)
Fernando Rocha (National Institute of Statistics)
Title
≤ 5 Full-time employees (75% of formal enterprises)
≤5,000 (size of grant)
• Outreach
• Women
• Less developed islands
Matching grant 1 – Small Enterprises
Title
≤ 10 Full-time employees (50% formal enterprises)
≤10,000 (size of grant)
• Outreach
• Women
• Less developed islands
Matching grant 2 – Medium Enterprises
Matching Program impact on:1. ↓ Financial constraints
Investment (human K; physical K; technological K)internal multiplier effect
Access to credit (credit volume, rejection rate, collateral value, types of borrowing, origin)2. ↑ Profit3. ↑ Revenue4. ↑ Number of employees5. ↑ Diversification/Specialization 6. ↑ Organizational Change (Reduction of inventory, outsourcing, accounting standards, reduction of gap between delivery and payment, etc.)7. ↑ Quality control8. ↑ Quality certification9. Creation of new products and/or entry into new regional markets
TitleEVALUATION QUESTION
Medium – 06 a 10 permanent employees (full time)
Random selection between pairs of enterprises with the most possibly comparable characteristics.
Demand target ≥ 160Treatment 80 and control 80
Small – 01 a 05 permanent employees (full time)
Random selection between pairs of enterprises with the most possibly comparable characteristics.
Demand target ≥ 400Treatment 200 and control 200
TitleEVALUATION DESIGN
Outreach
Geographiclevel 1: 22 municipalities
Information strategy through local associationsDivided into eleven pairs of similar municipalities,
randomly distributed between control and treatment groupWhich results in: two equally heterogeneous groups
(treatment and control)
Level 2: NationalInformation strategy through medial (TV, radio, etc.)Same process:Divided into eleven pairs of similar municipalities,
randomly distributed between control and treatment groupWhich results in: two equally heterogeneous groups
(treatment and control)
TitleEVALUATION DESIGN
TitleTIMELINE FOR IMPACT EVALUATION
Municipal
Outreach
0 3 96 18
NationalOutreach
Evaluation Inquiry
Treatment 1
Treatment3
Treatment2
Enterprise inquiry 2010 + Application questionnaire (Baseline survey)
Follow-up inquiry
2
Follow-up
Inquiry4
Follow-up inquiry
3
12
Treatment4
24
Title
Outreach Differences in take-up
Participants identification made with the support of gender oriented institutions/associations
Identified participants randomly assigned to control and treatment groups
Program impact differences
Women led enterprises VS men led enterprises
GENDER APPROACH
Title
Data source: Instituto Nacional de Estatistica (National Institute of Statistics)
Enterprise pop. 6900 (≈ 90% ≤ 10 full-time employee; ≈ 70% ≤ 5)
Baseline survey (Enterprise inquiry (2010) + application questionnaire + follow-up inquiry.
General info (location, nature, sector, etc.)
Sales
Number of employees
Social K
Exports/imports
Investment
SAMPLING AND DATA
Total of grants = 860,000$ USD
Medium - 650,000 $USD – 2000 $USD = total 325 grants; 50 per year, demand target - 100
Small - 150,000 $USD – 500 $USD = total 300 grants; 100 per year (margin to intensify treatment), demand target – 200
Maneuver margin – 60,000 $USD (according to demand)
Monitoring & Evaluation – 40.000 $USD (1600 Follow-up inquiry interviews)
TitleBUDGET
Title
P.S. – Special Thanks to Alvaro Gonzalez, Leo Iacovone and David McKenzie!