Mar 26, 2015
BUY ONE, GET ONE FREE!
BUY THREE PRODUCTS, GET THE THIRD
FREE!!
TRIPLE POINTS THIS WEEK-END ONLY!!!
What’s our favourite???
You would have paid $1,000,000 last month
This month, you would pay $900,000
… FOR THE SAME CAR!
You would have paid €100 last month
You would pay €80 this month
… FOR THE SAME DRESS!
You would have paid €40 last month
You would pay €20 now
… FOR THE SAME STEAK!
A new model coming out
Last season’s fashion
Coming up to sell-by date
Too little demand
Too much supply
Use of a loss leader to bring in customers
Of Course!!
Would you prefer to buy at £1.95?
Would you prefer to buy at £1.04?
When the stock was “on sale” of course!
Would you prefer to buy at €17.26?
Would you prefer to buy at €2.03?
When the stock was “on sale” of course!
Would you prefer to buy at $27.73?
Would you prefer to buy at $12.08?
When the stock was “on sale” of course!
Answer:
You are buying the same product for a lower price
No – a company is dynamic, it’s always changing.
The engine of a car won’t change over a year
The engine of a company certainly can…
It is IMPERATIVE not just to buy a stock because it’s at a lower pricelower price, but
because it is at better valuebetter value.
Oscar Wilde
Race ahead of them…
How can you tell if a stock is at good
value when the price falls?
Dividend Yield
Price/Earnings Ratio
Price/Cash Ratio
During the last class, you bought and sold
within minutes.
An investor buys and holds for the
medium to long tem (i.e. months or
years rather than minutes or days)
A. To avoid HUGE transaction costs!
B. To let the stock (i.e. the company)
develop ad increase in VALUEVALUE and
hence increase in PRICEPRICE!
Lack of awareness – they don’t know
what they are doing
They have unrealistic expectations
They neglect to take transaction costs
into account
They want faster money
Yes… for about 5% of traders
As happened in the last class, successful traders simply take the money off unsuccessful traders.
Ordinarily, the successful trader is the professional institution since they get the information first
For somebody with less time and knowledge, you have a much better chance of doing well as an investor, because new money IS being created as the companies develop.
If you do choose the trader route, remember the odds are stacked against you.
Speculating
Short Term Bets Active Buying &
Selling Uncertain basis for
buying and selling
Investing
Medium to Long Term
Investing on the Basis of Company Fundamentals – Dividend Yield, Price/Earnings Ratio etc