Building the Billion Dollar SaaS Unicorn The CEO Guide of Key Insights and Metrics for B2B Software as a Service Companies By Kelly Schwedland
Jul 15, 2015
Building the Billion Dollar SaaS Unicorn
The CEO Guide of Key Insights and Metrics for
B2B Software as a Service Companies
By Kelly Schwedland
Rising Table Stakes
Christopher Janz, SaaS Investor
http://tomtunguz.com/table-stakes-saas/
Why a $Billion? – It’s Investable
* Each investor has their own investment thesis, certain products, markets or business models that they prefer. Look for a good match to your product offering and market validation
Typical Investor Interests:• $1B+ Market• Scalable Solution • Recurring Revenue• Past Successes• Full team• Traction
Growth Stage Key Points
I. Terms & Metrics
II. Roadmap
III. Sustaining Growth
I. Key Terms & Metrics for SaaS
1. Cash flow
2. MRR/ARR
3. CAC & LTV
4. ACV
5. Churn
6. Cohort analysis
7. LVR
8. TtV
If you only read one article on SaaS metrics this would be the one:http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/saas-metrics-2/
For Developing a KPI dashboard for a SaaS company:http://christophjanz.blogspot.de/2013/04/a-kpi-dashboard-for-early-stage-saas.html
Impact of Faster Growth on P&L / Cash Flow
1. Cashflow - Don’t run out of money
2. MRR & ARR
• The First $1M ARR Goal – 6 months
• Simple Math:
– $1M ARR = $83K MRR
– $83K/ $1000/mo. ACV = 83 customers
– 83/6 mo. = ~ 14 new customers per month
(or one new customer every 2 days, simple!)
http://sixteenventures.com/saas-secret-to-one-million-dollars
MRR = Monthly Recurring RevenueARR = Annual Run Rate (MRR x 12)
LTV > 3x CAC Months to recover CAC < 12 Months
3. CAC & LTV: Viability Test
Business model viability, in the majority of startups, will come down to balancing two variables:• CAC: Cost to Acquire Customers • LTV: Lifetime Value of a Customer or The ability to monetize those customers
http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/startup-killer/
4. Matching CAC, LTV & ACV
• Product Pricing, Sales Strategy and Product are all interconnected.
http://vcwithme.co/2015/03/30/optimizing-the-ltvcac-ratio/
http://pando.com/2013/06/15/what-the-data-reveals-about-how-to-make-SaaS-secret-sauce/
Average SaaS Companies Well marketed, easy to use and easy to implement
ACV= Average Contract Value
VS.
5. Churn = # MRR this month / # MRR lost from last month
http://www.slideshare.net/03133938319/saastr
Big impact on value over time
What’s good, what’s bad
‣ What you want ‣ Get to $1M ARR ~12 months after launch ‣ Net New MRR keeps increasing quarter over quarter ‣ Maintain a Churn Ratio > 4
‣ What to watch out for ‣ A Churn Ratio < 2 – churn is too high /new sales aren’t working ‣ Net New MRR is flat or down quarter over quarter ‣ As a result takes 18+ months to get to $1M ARR
6. Cohort Analysis
• With a SaaS business there is a simple way to understand Customer Retention/ Churn through multiple product iterations.
http://andrewchen.co/the-easiest-spreadsheet-for-churn-mrr-and-cohort-analysis-guest-post/
7. LVR - Lead Velocity Rate
• Qualified Lead Velocity Rate (LVR), your growth in qualified leads, measured month-over-month, every month.
• Grow your LVR about 10-20% greater than your desired MRR growth — you’ll hit your revenue goals.
• You’ll see the future of your business 12-18 months out, clear as can be.
http://www.saastr.com/why-lead-velocity-rate-lvr-is-the-most-important-metric-in-saas/
8. TtV- Time to Value
• How fast can a customer derive value from your product?
• Ways to Improve:
– Simplicity wins…be feature-complete, not feature-rich
– Hack the onboarding flow
– Document, Document, Document
– Quantify, Set goals and Benchmark
http://www.rre.com/blog/89
II. Roadmap
5 ways to build a $B business
http://christophjanz.blogspot.com/2014/10/five-ways-to-build-100-million-business.html
http://tomtunguz.com/2015-saas-multiples/
In SaaS to get a Billion Dollar valuation you need somewhere over $100M in Annual Revenue.You essentially need:
~ 1,000 enterprise customers at $100k+ /Yr or~ 10,000 medium-sized at $10k+ /yr or~ 100,000 small businesses at $1k/yr or~ 1 million consumers at $100+ /yr each or~ 10 million active consumers who you monetize at $10+ per year each by selling ads
Examples: 2014 Rev Valuation*HUBS $115M $1.3BZEN $127M $1.9BMKTO $149M $1.1B*Also dependent on growth rate and Cost of Revenue. Avg 5-10 x Rev multiples
“T2D3” Growth Phases*
*Triple twice, double three times
T2D3 Cont’d
• Phase 1: Establish a great product-market fit
• Phase 2: Get to $2 million in ARR (annual recurring revenue)
• Phase 3: Triple to $6 million in ARR
• Phase 4: Triple to $18 million
• Phase 5: Double to $36 million in ARR
• Phase 6: Double to $72 million
• Phase 7: Double to $144 million
http://techcrunch.com/2015/02/01/the-saas-travel-adventure/
Phase 0: Lean Startup Process
http://www.slideshare.net/KellySchwedland/lean-startup-basics-evidence-based-entrepreneurship
Also: The 20 Interview rule
http://www.saastr.com/planning-to-do-a-saas-start-up-dont-forget-the-20-interview-rule/
Note: If you are still starting out, then you need this presentation:
Phase 1: Product/Market/ (Team) Fit
• The Simple definition – When your problems shift to keeping up with demand rather than finding more customers.
• The only thing that matters: Market
• Warning signs you aren’t there:
• Product Market Fit Myths
http://pmarchive.com/guide_to_startups_part4.html
http://vcwithme.co/2014/11/10/five-signs-your-product-market-fit-isnt-real/
http://www.feld.com/archives/2015/01/illusion-product-market-fit-saas-companies.html
Building a replicable model*
http://www.slideshare.net/KellySchwedland/generic-system-strategy-flow-chart
*Documenting the systems throughout the business so that they can be replicated by the next hire.
Example of a system strategy flow chart
Focus: Marketing, Sales, Revenue
http://www.bvp.com/blog/new-whitepaper-released-%E2%80%9C30-qa-every-saas-revenue-leader-needs-know%E2%80%9D
“30 Answers that Every SaaS Revenue Leader Needs to Know”
III. Sustaining Growth
http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-growth-strategy.pdf
Median GP Ratio by year for Public SaaS companies
How fast?
• Rule of thumb – Growth Rate +Profit Margin should equal 40%... for a $50M business
• Early on it should probably be higher.
http://tomtunguz.com/rule-of-40
Accelerating Customer Acquisition and Retention
• Remove Buyer Roadblocks:– Increase Awareness
– Facilitate Evaluation
– Streamline Purchase
– Simplify Onboarding
• Improve Retention– Remind Customers of Value they are getting
– Triggered up-selling and cross-selling that expanded usage of your service (and revenue)
http://chaotic-flow.com/SaaS-marketing-accelerating-customer-acquisition/
http://sixteenventures.com/customer-retention-profitability
Improving Lead to Conversion Ratio
• Measure and optimize each conversion channel.
http://blogs.salesforce.com/company/2014/11/b2b-sales-benchmark-research-finds-some-pipeline-surprises-infographic-gp.html
B2B Sales Benchmark Research by Implisit using Salesforce data
Polynomial Growth By Alex Moor, CEO of Baydin
Overcoming the Growth Challenge
http://www.slideshare.net/500startups/alex-moore-25097027
Polynomial Growth: The Additive Value of new Sales Channels
Median revenue per Employee by year since founding
Two development tracks one goal
• Efficiency and Product Value always seem to be competing for internal talent.
• But they are flip sides to the same productivity coin.
http://tomtunguz.com/employee-productivity-patterns-saas/
Note: Best in class companies like Salesforce and FinancialEngines are able to achieve more than $300k in revenue per employee per year
Benchmarking
• How Does your SaaS business stack up?
– Pacific Crest SaaS survey data (2014) http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/2014-saas-survey-1/
– Sales Reps http://blog.bridgegroupinc.com/sales-development-metrics
– Customer success http://blog.totango.com/2014/05/2014-customer-success-salary-survey-report-and-infographic/
http://www.insightpartners.com/insight-onsite/onsite-s-customer-acquisition-metrics/
“Make no small plans for they have no power to stir the soul.” ~ Niccolò Machiavelli.
Thanks
• Kelly Schwedland
• 219-405-5723
Have questions?See something I missed?Let me know.
More SaaS Resources
• http://www.saastr.com/
• http://tomtunguz.com/categories/saas/
• http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/saas/
• http://sixteenventures.com/page/?s=B2B+SaaS
• Pitching a VC• http://www.bothsidesofthetable.com/pitching-a-vc
• http://www.slideshare.net/KellySchwedland/how-to-pitch-a-vc-or-angel-and-get-funded
SaaS Metrics -Rules of Thumb
http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-guide-to-saas-financial-performance/
INSIGHT’S PERIODIC TABLE
OF B2B DIGITAL MARKETING
METRICS