BUILDING A NEW RELATIONSHIP WITH SUBSEA SERVICES COMPANIES: How to construct a bright future together — 2016 October Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
BUILDING A NEW RELATIONSHIP WITH SUBSEA SERVICES COMPANIES: How to construct a bright future together—
2016 OctoberRio de Janeiro, Brazil
Agenda
Productivity Improvement and Cost Reduction
Building New Business Models for Subsea Systems
Petrobras Business & Management Plan 2017-2021
Petrobras Business & Management Plan 2017-2021
Highlights
Uncertainties in the Oil Industry—
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Bloomberg data as of 09/13/2016
4
Brent Price Trend (2005 – 2016)(US$/bbl)
Sharp drop in oil prices
Investment spending by Petrobras (Capex 2017/2021)—
5
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.800.901.00
82%
17%
1%
Exploration & Production(E&P) Other SegmentsRefining & Natural Gas (RNG)
Total Capex(US$ Billion) 74,1
Suporte Operacional Exploração Desenvolvimento da produção
34% 66%
Production Development + Exploration
Total E&P US$ 60,6 bilion
ConcessionTransfer of RightsProduction Sharing (Libra)
Upstream Capex Breakdown—
13% 11%
76%
Development of ProductionExploration Operational Support Pre-Salt Post-Salt
Start up of new production units—
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
LEGENDA
CONCESSION
PSA
Transfer of rights
TARTARUGA VERDE E MESTIÇA
LULA NORTE
LULA SUL
TLD DE LIBRA
BÚZIOS 2
BÚZIOS 1
BÚZIOS 3
LULA EXT. SUL
BERBIGÃO
BÚZIOS 4
ATAPU 1
BÚZIOS 5
PILOTO LIBRA
SÉPIA
REVIT. DE MARLIM MÓD. 1
REVIT. DE MARLIMMÓD. 2
LIBRA 2 NW
ITAPU
INTEGRADO PARQUE DAS BALEIAS
8
—Petrobras Production
8
0
1
2
3
4
2017 2021
Produção Óleo, LGN e Gás
Oil + NGL Brazil
Oil + gas Abroad
2,52
3,34
2,07
2,77Natural Gas Brazil
2,62
3,41
Oil, NGL* and Gas Production(million boed)
Productivity Improvement and Cost Reduction
10
—Efficiency gains – Santos Basin pre-salt case
10
Greater productivity ofWells in the concessions
Experience acquiredin the construction of wells
Fewer wells to achieve maximumCapacity of the platform
Construction about 3 times faster
Shorter well construction timein the concessions
2016
2010
26
20
2016
2010
6
8
Production wellsMbpd/well
Até 2016
Até 2010
124
3Number of wells built
(drilled and completed)
2016
2010
89
310Days construction
Per well
Productivity30% higher 25% fewer wells
204 wells drilled
Lower capexfor the sameproduction
Lower capexfor the sameproduction
11
—Lula field – faster construction and tie-in of wells
2010 2016
60% Reduction in well constructionand connection duration
6 units in Angra dos Reis Paraty Itaguaí Mangaratiba Maricá Saquarema
1 unit inAngra dos Reis
12
—
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
179 234102
142
10131033
MM
US$
(M
OD
)
* IPA (Independent Project Analysis)
Petrobras – Competitive Subsea Costs
Risers, Flowline e Umbilicals
Industry Benchmark*Petrobras
Mooring Subsea Tree
According to IPA data:
Petrobras - Pre Salt typical projectsare 7% better than the industrybenchmark.
Costs per mooring line is very competitive (28% better than the industry benchmark).
Large volume, long term contracts and standardization in Subsea Trees, Flowlines and Mooring, deliver the most competitive costs in the industry benchmark.
13
—
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2014 2015 Total
238
280 518
PRCSub – Subsea Installation Cost Optimization Plan – Phase I
+18%
Phase I - 2014/2015
Four main drivers:
Increase availability of critical items;
Increase PLSVs productivity;
Reduce unit costs and fleet site;
Increase logistics efficiency.
PRCSubGains (US$ M)
Financial gain in two years: US$ 518 millions
14
—
Optimize Tax Planning
PRCSub – Subsea Installation Cost Optimization Plan – Phase II
Evaluate the increase of flexible sections in Risers and
Umbilicals
Technical requirementsoptimization for Risers,
Umbilicals and Accessories
Developing solutions for optimization subsea layouts
Optimize flexible risersLazy-Wave configuration
Optimize use ofdirectional wells in
subsea layouts
Optimize and standardizebuoyanoy modules
Project Cost Reduction– Early Engagement -
Adapt the process of issuingrequests
Implement Process SafetyMethod in Subsea Projects
Review the service levels ofsubsea resources
Optimize PLSVsprogramming
Review periodicityof inspection
Review stock management
Operational Technologies
Reduce manifoldsinstallation cost
TARGET 1Project CostOptimization
TARGET 2Process Safety
in Subsea Projects
TARGET 3Critical Resources –
Increase Productivity
TARGET 4Installation and
Maintenance – Cost Optimization
PRCSub Initiatives Phase II - 2016/2018
Four main drivers:
Project Cost Optimization;
Process Safety in Projects;
Critical Resources – Increase Productivity;
Installation and Maintenance – Cost Optimization.
Building New Business Models for Subsea Systems
16
—
OBJECTIVES
Re evaluate PETROBRAS Subsea Projects looking for opportunities cost reduction.
Production Development Project implementation a low oil price scenario.
DRIVER
Oil price reduction from U$ 110,00 to U$ 40,00, that lowered the revenue from Production Assets.
PREMISES
Consider the total life cycle cost on the business opportunities evaluation.
Consider technical disciplines as well as logistics, operations, tax planning, legal an financial aspects.
All the process phases will be developed together with the suppliers.
Early Engagement - Context
17
—Designing the strategy
Investigate new business model
EarlyEngagment
NewAlliances
Low oilpriceTCO
D
CONCEPT BUILDING PROCESSING IMPLEMENTDRIVERS
InternalMeetings
D
Formerkey issues
Partners view
Suppliersview
D
Marlim revitalization
Libra 4
Decom
Lapa NE
Otherprojects
SEP / 16
D
18
—Approach to a new business model
Identify Opportunity ConceptDevelopment Basic Design Execution Operation Demob
Operationalefficiency
Production curve Material costs
Logistic costsEngineeringcosts
Operationalcosts
Inspection costsInstallation costs
Maintenancecosts
Decom costs
Taxes costs
Legal costs
Delivery time
Strategy & Business Model
TechnicalSpecs/ GTD
Project Concept
(subsea layout)
Taxengineering
ComplianceRisks, Finance
ProposalAssessment
1 2 3 4 5 6
INTEGRATION OF TECHNICAL AND BUSINESS DISCIPLINES
Schedule andIncomes
CAPEXOPEXVPLPRODUCTIONRECOVERY FACTOR
CAPEX
OPEX
DEMOB
INCOME
KEY ISSUES
19
—
Alignment of interestsPetrobras: Feasibility of Production Development Projects Reduce the Total Cost of Ownership – TCO (CAPEX+OPEX+DEMOB)
Supplier: Feasibility of new projects (new contracts) Early engagement on the project Use and maximization of factory and installation resources
Alignment of goals operators and suppliers
Boundary Conditions: Recently issued bid law 13.303 Compliance Brazilian regulations: Taxes, ANP, IBAMA Reservoir maturity level
20
—Common challenges
Market Integration
Management of change
Capex vs Opex
Specifications x GTD
Cost x Risk Balance
21
—
Building success in the new oil era
Sharp drop in oil prices: need to change.
Improve efficiency and productivity to reducebreak even price.
Integration between operators and suppliers to create a new business model.
Conclusion
Thank you—