Republika Makedonija Dr`aven zavod za statistika Republic of Macedonia State Statistical Office 3.4.9.04 618 Skopje, juni 2009 Skopje, June 2009 BRUTO-DOMA[EN PROIZVOD I INVESTICII VO OSNOVNI SREDSTVA, PO REGIONI, 2000-2006 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION, BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
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Republika MakedonijaDr`aven zavod za statistika
Republic of MacedoniaState Statistical Office
3.4.9.04
618Skopje, juni 2009Skopje, June 2009
BRUTO-DOMA[EN PROIZVOD I INVESTICII VO OSNOVNI SREDSTVA, PO REGIONI, 2000-2006
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION,
BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
Izdava~:DR@AVEN ZAVOD ZA STATISTIKA NA REPUBLIKA MAKEDONIJA,
ul. "Dame Gruev" br.4, Skopje
Publisher:STATE STATISTICAL OFFICE OF THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA, "Dame Gruev"- 4, Skopje
BRUTO-doma{en proizvod i investicii vo osnovni sredstva, po regioni, 2000-2006 = Gross domestic product and gross fixed capital formation, by regions, 2000-2006. - Skopje : Dr`aven zavod za statistika na Republika Makedonija = Skopje : State statistical office of the Republic of Macedonia, 2009. - 42 str. : tabeli ; 29 sm. - (Statisti~ki pregled / Dr`aven zavod za statistika na Republika Makedonija. Nacionalna ekonomija i finansii = Statistical review / State statistical office of the Republic of Macedonia, ISSN 0580-454X. National economy and finances, ISSN 1409-7036; 3.4.9.04(618))
Tekst naporedno na mak. i angl. jazik
ISBN 978-9989-197-57-4
a) Bruto-doma{en proizvod - Makedonija - 2000-2006 - Statistika b) Investicii vo osnovi sredstva - Makedonija - 2000-2006 - StatistikaCOBISS.MK-ID 78629642
PREDGOVOR
Regionalnite ekonomski smetki, kako potsistem na nacionalnite smetki, imaat zna~ajna uloga vo kreiraweto, implementacijata i evaluacijata na regionalnata politika i razvoj. Relevantnite i konzistentni ekonomski podatoci se osnova za merewe i reducirawe na regionalnite dispariteti, odnosno za utvrduvawe na stepenot na realizacija na proektiranite celi na regionalnata razvojna politika.
Ovoj Statisti~ki pregled pretstavuva obid da se obezbedat podatoci za dva indikatora koi se od poseben interes pri koristeweto na evropskite strukturni fondovi: bruto-dodadenata vrednost kako osnova za procena na BDP po regioni i investiciite vo osnovni sredstva, vo period od 2000-2006 godina.Pritoa, zaradi konzistentnost na podatocite, serijata e podgotvena spored ista metodologija.
Podatocite za bruto-doma{niot proizvod i investiciite vo osnovni sredstva, po regioni, se podgotveni vo soglasnost so teritorijalnata organizacija usvoena so Zakonot za teritorijalna organizacija na lokalnata samouprava na Republika Makedonija, kako i so Nomenklaturata na teritorijalni edinici za statistika NTES-nivo 3. Pri presmetkite se koristeni principite i standardite na Evropskiot sistem na smetki koi se upotrebuvaat i vo sistemot na nacionalnite smetki. Poradi osetlivosta na podatocite i implikaciite koi mo`e da gi predizvikaat, dol`ni sme da potsetime deka ovie podatoci se eksperimentalen obid i nivniot kvalitet zavisi od goleminata na regionot i upotrebenata metodologija koja, pak, zavisi od raspolo`livosta na podatoci na nivo na region.
So cel polesno koristewe na podatocite, dadeni se i objasnuvawa za metodolo{kite osnovi i karakteristikite na osnovnite podatoci i kategorii.
Direktor,
M-r Blagica Novkovska
PREFACE
Regional economy accounts as a subsystem of national accounts have an important role in the creation, implementation and evaluation of regional policy and development. Reliable and consistent economic data are the basis for measuring and reducing regional disparities as well as for determining the level of realization of the tasks established by regional development policy.
This statistical review presents an effort to provide data about two indicators that are very relevant while using European structural funds: Gross Value Added as a basis for regional Gross Domestic Products Estimation, and Gross Fixed Capital Formation for the period 2000-2006. In order to produce consistent data, same methodology is used for the whole period..
The presented data are prepared in accordance with the territorial organization adopted with the Law on Territorial Organization of the Local Self-government in the Republic Macedonia and the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics NUTS 3. Regional accounts make use of the concept and standards used in national accounts. However, due to the sensitivity of the data and the implications they may cause, we have to remind the users that the data are experimental effort and their quality depends on the size of the region and the used methodology which, on the other hand, depends on the availability of regional level data.
In order to provide easier use of data, there are explanations of the methodological bases and attributes for the basic data and categories.
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS VALUE ADDED, BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
Population in the Republic of Macedonia, by regions, 2000-2006 ----------------------------------------------------- 10
Gross Domestic Product, by regions, 2000-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11
Gross Domestic Product per capita, by regions, 2000-2006 ------------------------------------------------------------ 11
Structure of Gross Domestic Product, by regions, 2000-2006 ---------------------------------------------------------- 12
Gross Domestic Product per capita, by regions, MK=100 --------------------------------------------------------------- 13
Gross Value Added, by regions and sectors, 2000-2006 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 14
Gross Value Added, by regions and activities, 2000-2006 --------------------------------------------------------------- 17
Gross Value Added, by sectors of activity and regions, 2000-2006 ---------------------------------------------------- 21
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS VALUE ADDED, BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
Gross Fixed Capital Formation, 2000-2006 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 26
Gross Fixed Capital Formation, by regions, 2000-2006 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 28
Share of Gross Fixed Capital Formation in GDP, by regions, 2000-2006 -------------------------------------------- 29
Gross Fixed Capital Formation, by regions and activities, 2000-2006 ------------------------------------------------ 30
Gross Fixed Capital Formation, by regions and activity sectors, 2000-2006 ---------------------------------------- 38
6 Statisti~ki pregled br. 3.4.9.04/618
METODOlO[KI OBjASNUVAWA
Vo ramkite na regionalnite smetki se identifikuvani dva osnovni indikatora kako osobeno zna~ajni za strukturnite fondovi: bruto-dodadenata vrednost (BDV) i investiciite vo osnovni sredstva( IOS) .
Bruto-dodadenata vrednost se koristi za procena na bruto-doma{niot proizvod na nivo na regioni, kako merka na ekonomskata aktivnost na konkretniot region.
Investiciite vo osnovni sredstva ja odrazuvaat vrednosta na nabavenite osnovni sredstva od strana na subjektite, rezidenti na konkretniot region.
Regioni
Regionalizacijata na BDP i IOS e izvr{ena vo soglasnost so Nomenklaturata na teritorijalnite edinici za statistika(NTES) ("Sl.vesnik na RM" br.158/2007). Nomenklaturata obezbeduva edinstvena i unificirana podelba na teritorijalnite edinici na regionalno i na lokalno nivo i pretstavuva osnova za pribirawe i obrabotka na podatocite koi se koristat za planirawe i vodewe na regionalnata politika vo Republika Makedonija.
Vo pregledot se prezentirani podatoci na nivo na regioni (NTES 3) spored Nacionalnata klasifikacija na dejnostite i toa na nivo na {est sektori na dejnosti (A6 od NKD).
Izvori na podatocite
Osnoven izvor na podatocite upotrebeni kako baza za presmetka na bruto-doma{niot proizvod po regioni se podatocite od nacionalnite smetki, kako i podatocite od ostanatite statisti~ki istra`uvawa koi obezbeduvaat verodostojni podatoci na nivo na regioni.
Osnoven izvor za regionalizacija na investiciite vo osnovni sredstva se podatocite od Godi{noto statisti~ko istra`uvawe za investicii vo osnovni sredstva (INV.01) na delovnite subjekti i edinicite vo sektorot Dr`ava, metodot na stokovni tekovi, kako i subjektite koi nemaat status na pravno lice.
Metodi na presmetka
Regionalnite smetki, kako regionalna specifikacija na soodvetnite nacionalni smetki, gi koristat istite koncepti koi se upotrebuvaat pri podgotovkata na nacionalnite smetki. Sepak, postojat su{tinski koncepciski i prakti~ni pote{kotii pri presmetkata na indikatorite na regionalno nivo.
Regionalnite presmetki se baziraat na transakciite na delovnite subjekti koi se rezidenti na opredelena teritorija. Generalno, vo teorijata i vo praksata, regionalizacijata mo`e da se izvr{i na slednive na~ini:
“Bottom – up” (metod na estimacija (procena) od ponisko kon povisoko nivo ) - vrz osnova na informacii za delovniot subjekt, odnosno edinicite- rezidenti na konkretnata teritorija i nivno kumulirawe, se procenuvaat vkupnite regionalnite agregati. Spored ovoj metod, elementite za presmetka na regionalnite agregati se vrzani direktno so lokalnata edinica na ~ista dejnost. Vo uslovi koga ne postojat podatoci na nivo na lokalna edinica na ~ista dejnost, neophodno e da se napravi procena vrz osnova na podatocite na nivo na delovniot subjekt, no takviot metod pridonesuva za pomalku verodostojni podatoci na nivo na dejnost.
“Top – down” (metod na estimacija (procena) od povisoko kon ponisko nivo) - podrazbira distribucija na nacionalnite vrednosti pome|u regionite so pomo{ na t.n. klu~evi za raspredelba koi najadekvatno bi ja reflektirale pojavata koja se procenuva. Spored ovoj metod, vrednostite se alociraat na nivo na region bez obid tie da se vrzat za odreden deloven subjekt vo konkretna dejnost. Od razbirlivi pri~ini, ovoj metod ne e najposakuvaniot, pa zatoa se upotrebuva samo vo uslovi koga ne postojat potrebnite informacii.
“Mixed” – (kombiniran metod) pretstavuva naj~esto upotrebuvan metod koj gi kombinira prethodnite dva. Imeno, pri primenata na metodot bottom-up sekoga{ postojat praznini vo odnos na potrebnite informacii koi treba da se popolnat so metodot top-down. Obratno, pak, metodot top –down mo`e da koristi podatoci od pove}e izvori na na~in soodveten kako pri procenata so metodot bottom-up.
Bez ogled na koristeniot metod, zbirot na vrednostite na regionalnite agregati treba da e ednakov na vkupnite vrednosti na nacionalno nivo.
Statistical review No 3.4.9.04/618 7
Regionalnata bruto-dodadena vrednost i bruto-doma{en proizvod se presmetani na indirekten na~in. Nacionalnite agregati na BDV i BDP, na nivo na dejnost, se alocirani na nivo na region vrz osnova na soodvetni indikatori. Izborot na indikatorite zavisi od kvalitetot i reprezentativnosta na raspolo`livite podatoci na regionalno nivo. Pritoa, indikator mo`e da bide zemjodelskoto proizvodstvo, brojot na vrabotenite, bruto-platite, prometot vo trgovijata i sl.
Distribucijata na investiciite vo osnovni sredstva vo ovoj pregled e napravena spored kombiniraniot metod. Delot od investiciite koj se odnesuva na delovnite subjekti i edinicite vo sektorot Dr`ava e presmetan vrz osnova na metodot bottom –up. Ostanatiot del od investiciite e alociran vrz osnova na soodvetni indikatori.
Raspredelbata na vrednosta na investiciite vo osnovni sredstva e napravena spored rezidentnosta na delovniot subjekt i spored dejnosta vo koja e investirano, odnosno vrz osnova na principot na ~ista dejnost. Sepak, mo`no e vrednosta na bruto-investiciite vo odredeni regioni da e natceneta, odnosno potceneta, poradi nedostig na soodvetni informacii i podatoci koi se obezbedeni na nivo na t.n. "organizacionen princip".
Definicii
Bruto-doma{niot proizvod po pazarni ceni e finalen proizvod na proizvodnata aktivnost na rezidentnite proizvodni edinici i pretstavuva zbir na bruto-dodadenata vrednost od oddelnite institucionalni sektori ili oddelni dejnosti, po osnovni ceni, plus danokot na dodadena vrednost i carinite, minus subvenciite na proizvodite.
Bruto-dodadenata vrednost po osnovni ceni pretstavuva osnovna kategorija na bruto-doma{niot proizvod i se definira kako razlika me|u bruto-vrednosta na proizvodstvoto i me|ufaznata potro{uva~ka.
Investiciite vo osnovni sredstva vo tekot na izve{tajnata godina ja pretstavuvaat vkupnata vrednost na nabavkite na osnovni sredstva namalena za otu|uvawata (proda`bite) na osnovni sredstva vo tekot na presmetkovniot period i zgolemena za odredeni dodatoci na vrednosta na neproizvedenite sredstva.
METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATION
Concerning the regional accounts two indicators have been identified as particularly relevant to the structural funds: Gross Value Added and Gross Fixed Capital Formation.
Gross Value Added is used for estimation of gross domestic product at regional level as a measure of economic activity of the specific region.
Gross Fixed Capital Formation represents the value of purchased fixed capital formation by the business subjects, residents of the specific region.
Regions
Regional allocation of GDP and GFCF is realized in accordance with the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics -NUTS (Official Gazette of the RM no.158/2007).
The Nomenclature provides a unique and unified division of the territorial units on regional and local level and it represents a basis for collecting and processing of data used for planning and maintaining of regional policy in the Republic of Macedonia.
In the report are presented data by regional level, NUTS level 3, according to the National Classification of Activities, at a level of six sectors of activities (A6 from NCA).
Data source
The main data source used as a basis for calculation of the Gross Domestic Product by regions are national accounts data, as well as data from the other statistical surveys that provide reliable data on regional level.
The main data source used for regionalisation of Gross Fixed Capital Formation is the annual Survey on Investments of Business Entities and Units in the Sector State (INV. 01), commodity flow method and subjects without status of legal persons.
8 Statisti~ki pregled br. 3.4.9.04/618
Calculation Method
Regional accounts, as regional specification of the corresponding national accounts, use the concepts applied in national accounts production. However there are substantial conceptual and practical difficulties when calculating indicators on regional level.
Regional accounts are based on a transaction of units that are resident in a certain territory. In general, in both theory and practice, the following methods are used for regionalisation:
“Bottom – up” - estimation is based on information on units that are resident in regions and ascending by addition until the regional value of the aggregate is established. According to this method, the elements for calculation are connected directly with the local KAU. When data on local kind of activity are not available, it is necessary to make estimation based on enterprise level data, but this method implies less reliable data by activity.
“Top – down” method of estimation is based on the national value distribution among the regions by means of distribution key which reflects, as closely as possible, the feature to be estimated. Distributed value on a regional level is allocated without attempting to single out the resident unit in a specific activity. Due to understandable reasons this method is not the best one, and it is used only when necessary information is not available.
“Mixed” method is the most used method, which combines the previous two methods. When applying the bottom-up method, there are always gaps in relation to the necessary information, so they have to be filled in by using top down method. Contrary to this, the top-down method can use data from more sources in the same way as the bottom-up estimates.
Regardless to the used method, regional vales must add up to corresponding national value.The regional Gross Value Added and Gross Domestic Product are calculated by indirect method. National aggregates
of GVA and GDP on the level of activity are allocated on the regional level on a basis of suitable indicators. The choice of indicators depends on the quality and representation of available data on regional level. For example, an indicator can be the agricultural production, the number of employees, the gross wages, the trade turnover, etc.
Distribution of regional GFCF in this report is calculated by mixed method. The majority of GFCF that refers to business and state entities is calculated by bottom-up method, while the rest of the investments is allocated on the basis of appropriate indicators.
The value of fixed capital formation is distributed according to the residency of the business entity and activity of investment i.e. on the principle of pure activity. However, it is possible that, in some regions, the value of fixed capital formation be overestimated or underestimated due to the lack of appropriate information and data that are provided on the level of so-called organizational principle.
Definitions
Gross domestic product at market prices is the final result of the production activity of the resident producer units and it represents a sum of the Gross Value Added of the various institutional sectors or various industries, at basic prices, plus Value Added Tax and import duties, less subsidies on products.
Gross value added at basic prices is the basic category of the GDP and is defined as a balance between gross output and intermediate consumption.
Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the reference year represents the total value of acquisition of fixed assets less disposals (sales) of fixed assets in the accounting period and increased by some additions to the value of non-produced assets.
Statistical review No 3.4.9.04/618 9
BRUTO-DOMA[EN PROIZVOD I BRUTO-DODADENA VREDNOST, PO REGIONI, 2000-2006
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS VALUE ADDED, BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
10 Statisti~ki pregled br. 3.4.9.04/618
NASElENIE VO REPUBlIKA MAKEDONIjA, PO REGIONI, 2000-2006POPULATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA, BY REGIONS, 2000-2006
Regioni 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Regions
35.4 41.1 31.6 38.5 32.8 34.3 35.2 34.5Wholesale and retail trade, hotels and restaurants, transport and communications (GHI)
Finansiski uslugi i Nedvi`nosti (YI)
6.7 5.1 6.7 8.5 6.9 6.7 7.4 5.7Financial intermediation, real estate, renting and business activities (JK)
Drugi uslu`ni dejnosti (J do M)
11.2 9.0 16.7 13.1 8.8 8.9 11.0 11.6 Other service activities (L to O)
38 Statisti~ki pregled br. 3.4.9.04/618
INVESTICII VO OSNOVNI SREDSTVA, PO REGIONI I PO SEKTORI NA DEjNOST, 2000-2006GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION , BY REGIONS AND ACTIVITY SECTORS, 2000-2006
vo milioni denari in million denars
Regioni 2000-2006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Regions
AB Zemjodelstvo, lov, {umarstvo; Ribarstvo / AB Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing
INVESTICII VO OSNOVNI SREDSTVA, PO REGIONI I PO SEKTORI NA DEjNOST, 2000-2006GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION , BY REGIONS AND ACTIVITY SECTORS, 2000-2006
vo milioni denari in million denars
Regioni 2000-2006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Regions
INVESTICII VO OSNOVNI SREDSTVA, PO REGIONI I PO SEKTORI NA DEjNOST, 2000-2006GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION , BY REGIONS AND ACTIVITY SECTORS, 2000-2006
vo milioni denari in million denars
Regioni 2000-2006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Regions
Y I Finansiski aktivnosti, Nedvi`nosti i iznajmuvawe / JK Financial intermediation, real estate, renting and business activities