WINTERGREEN RESEARCH, INC. REPORT # SH29821496 607 PAGES 151 TABLES AND FIGURES 2007 $3,200 Broadband Wireless Systems (WiMAX) Market Opportunities, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2007 to 2013 Broadband Wireless Systems (WiMAX) Picture by Susie Eustis MOUNTAINS OF OPPORTUNITY WinterGreen Research, Inc. Lexington, Massachusetts www.wintergreenresearch.com
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Opportunities, Market Forecasts, and Market Strategies,
2007-2013
EarthLink and San Francisco have finalized a Wi-Fi contract. The contract enables EarthLink to build a citywide wireless network and Google to provide free Internet access. The emergency services of the city will leverage the communications technology. This agreement gives San Francisco a leadership position in wireless technology. The network ensures universal, affordable wireless broadband access for all people in San Francisco. Children and students have the digital tools to ensure for access to the Internet. In 2007 WiMAX is implemented in commercial deployments to interconnect entire communities and bring the Internet to every household. Infrastructure: requires backhaul to feed wireless network, base stations. The spectrum uses both licensed and unlicensed band. WiMAX is a strong contender for high mobility enterprise applications. As the cost of WiMAX approaches that of WiFi, WiMAX becomes the next generation of wireless broadband technology. WiMAX targets multiple site mass metropolitan applications. WiMAX is a lot like WiFi, but unlike WiFi's 200 Meter range, WiMAX has a reach of one to 25 to 30 KM, offering a way to bring the Internet to entire communities without having to invest trillions of dollars to install broadband phone or cable networks. WiMAX can deliver favorable cost, reach, security, and usability. Worldwide WiMAX switch wireless WiMAX market forecasts at $157 million dollars in 2006, are anticipated to reach $26.7 billion by 2013. Broadband wireless markets are anticipated to grow as a result of the lower cost of implementing infrastructure using the WiMAX systems. The high speed services and the variety of services for PCs, wireless PDA communication devices and the small screen of a wireless handset are compelling market drivers.
Broadband Wireless Systems (WiMAX) Strategies and Forecasts, 2007-2013
REPORT METHODOLOGY
THIS IS THE 295TH REPORT IN A SERIES OF MARKET RESEARCH REPORTS THAT PROVIDE FORECASTS IN
COMMUNICATIONS, TELECOMMUNICATIONS, THE INTERNET, COMPUTER, SOFTWARE, TELEPHONE EQUIPMENT, HEALTH
EQUIPMENT, AND ENERGY . THE PROJECT LEADERS TAKE DIRECT RESPONSIBILITY FOR WRITING AND PREPARING EACH
REPORT. THEY HAVE SIGNIFICANT EXPERIENCE PREPARING INDUSTRY STUDIES. FORECASTS ARE BASED ON PRIMARY
RESEARCH AND PROPRIETARY DATA BASES. FORECASTS REFLECT ANALYSIS OF THE MARKET TRENDS IN THE SEGMENT
AND RELATED SEGMENTS. UNIT AND DOLLAR SHIPMENTS ARE ANALYZED THROUGH CONSIDERATION OF DOLLAR VOLUME
OF EACH MARKET PARTICIPATION IN THE SEGMENT. INSTALLED BASE ANALYSIS AND UNIT ANALYSIS IS BASED ON
INTERVIEWS AND AN INFORMATION SEARCH. MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS INCLUDES CONVERSATIONS WITH KEY
CUSTOMERS OF PRODUCTS, INDUSTRY SEGMENT LEADERS, MARKETING DIRECTORS, DISTRIBUTORS, LEADING MARKET
PARTICIPANTS, OPINION LEADERS, AND COMPANIES SEEKING TO DEVELOP MEASURABLE MARKET SHARE. OVER 200 IN
DEPTH INTERVIEWS ARE CONDUCTED FOR EACH REPORT WITH A BROAD RANGE OF KEY PARTICIPANTS AND INDUSTRY
LEADERS IN THE MARKET SEGMENT. WE ESTABLISH ACCURATE MARKET FORECASTS BASED ON ECONOMIC AND MARKET
CONDITIONS AS A BASE. USE INPUT/OUTPUT RATIOS, FLOW CHARTS, AND OTHER ECONOMIC METHODS TO QUANTIFY
DATA. USE IN-HOUSE ANALYSTS WHO MEET STRINGENT QUALITY STANDARDS. INTERVIEWING KEY INDUSTRY
PARTICIPANTS, EXPERTS AND END-USERS. OUR RESEARCH INCLUDES ACCESS TO LARGE PROPRIETARY DATABASES. LITERATURE SEARCH INCLUDES ANALYSIS OF TRADE PUBLICATIONS, GOVERNMENT REPORTS, AND CORPORATE
Opportunities, Strategies, and Forecasts, 2007 to 2013
Table of Contents BROADBAND WIRELESS SYSTEMS (WIMAX) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
BROADBAND WIRELESS SYSTEMS (WIMAX) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES-1 WiMax in the U.S.: EarthLink, San Francisco Finalize Wi-Fi Contract ES-1
WiMAX Technologies Fixed And Mobile Wireless Broadband Connectivity Positioning In Europe ES-1 WiM AX/Broadband Wireless in Africa ES-2 WiMax Outpaces 3G ES-3 WiMax Standards ES-4
2.8.1 WiMAX Back-End Integration in Europe 2-84 2.8.2 WiMax Back-End Integration Applications in Europe 2-85 2.8.3 WiMAX Regional Analysis In Emerging Countries 2-85 2.8.4 Mobile WiMAX Spectrum in Europe and the US 2-87 2.8.5 WiMAX Network Uses IN EMEA 2-88 2.8.6 WiMAX Network Access And Transport 2-89 2.8.7 WiMAX Back-End Integration in Europe 2-90 2.8.8 W iMAX Back-End Integration Applications in Europe 2-91 2.8.9 WiMAX Back-End Integration Key Success Factors 2-92 2.8.10 WiMAX European Applications Market Forecasts 2-92 2.8.11 WiMAX Asian Applications Market Forecasts 2-93 2.8.12 WiMax in Africa 2-93 2.8.13 WiMax Is Set To Dominate Fixed Broadband Wireless Markets in Africa 2-95
3.5.1 WiMAX from Nokia 3-74 3.5.2 Nokia Next Commercial Wave 3-76 3.5.3 Nokia Community services drive revenues 3-77 3.5.4 Nokia IMS – The Ecosystem Approach 3-77
3.6 Motorola Seamless Mobility Products 3-79 3.6.1 Motorola WiMAX in EMEA 3-79 3.6.2 Motorola Makes Sure Its WiMax Products Are Compatible With Intel 3-80
3.7 Alcatel WiMAX Solutions 3-81 3.7.1 Alcatel Involved In WiMAX Trials With Service Providers On Every Continent 3-81 3.7.2 Alcatel Mobile WiMAX Ecosystem 3-82 3.7.3 Alcatel WiMax Outpaces 3G 3-83
3.8 Aperto 3-84 3.8.1 Aperto Voice and IMS Multimedia Over WiMAX 3-84 3.8.2 Aperto PacketMAX 3-84 3.8.3 Aperto WiMAX Solutions Ecosystem 3-85 3.8.4 Aperto Unveils Mobile WiMAX Strategy 3-88
3.11 Alvarion 3-102 3.11.1 Alvarion Personal Broadband Service 4Motion™ Mobile WiMAX Solution 3-102 3.11.2 Alvarion BreezeMAX 3-103 3.11.3 Alvarion BreezeMAX 2300/2500 3-106 3.11.4 Alvarion Voice Solution over BreezeMAX 3-106 3.11.5 Alvarion Network Management 3-107 3.11.6 Alvarion WALKair 3000 3-107 3.11.7 Alvarion WALKair 1000 3-109 3.11.8 Alvarion 4Motion™ Mobile WiMAX 3-111
3.12 Cisco Systems 3-113 3.12.1 Cisco Systems Access Point Products Provide Secure Connectivity 3-113 3.12.2 Cisco Aironet 1240 AG Series 3-114 3.12.3 Cisco Aironet 1230 AG Series 3-115 3.12.4 Cisco Aironet 1200 Series 3-115
3.20.1 Navini Positioning in Italy 3-126 3.21 HULU 3-127 3.22 Nortel Completes WiMAX Trial With German Utility 3-128 3.23 ADC Wireless Solutions 3-128 3.24 Siemens WayMAX@vantage Solution Certified By The WiMAX Forum 3-129 3.25 ZTE Corporation and Fujitsu Collaborate on WiMAX- Compliant Technology 3-131
WIMAX TRIALS, SYSTEMS, AND TECHNOLOGY 4. WIMAX TRIALS, SYSTEMS, AND TECHNOLOGY 4-1 4.1 EarthLink, San Francisco Wi-Fi Contract 4-1
4.1.1 City-Wide WiFi to San Francisco 4-2 4.1.2 Google Mountain View Project: 4-3 4.1.3 Google's San Francisco Municipal Bid: 4-3 4.1.4 City Wide Free Internet 4-4
4.2 WiMax Trials and Activity 4-5 4.2.1 400 Cities Worldwide Planning To Deploy Municipal Broadband Networks Including
London, UK Rome, Italy and Paris. France 4-5 4.2.2 WIMax in Canada -- Rogers and Bell Canada 4-6
4.3 Aperto Networks and D-Link Taiwan 4-7 4.4 WiMAX in EMEA 4-8
4.4.1 WiMAX Impact on European Operator Investment In 3G Network Licenses 4-9 4.4.2 WiMAX European Network Infrastructure 4-9 4.4.3 WiMAX European Network Applications 4-10 4.4.4 WiMAX European Enterprise Applications 4-11 4.4.5 WiMAX European Developing Country Applications 4-11 4.4.6 Broadband WiMAX Market Outsourcing Services Op portunities 4-11 4.4.7 City Or State Government Municipal Broadband Networks As Utilities 4-12 4.4.8 Emergency Preparedness Efforts For Technological And Business Factors 4-12
4.5 WiMAX Products for Broadband Network in Poland 4-13 4.5.1 Crowley Data Poland 4-15
4.6 Germany Major WiMAX Technology Gateway For Central and Eastern Europe 4-15 4.7 WiMAX Telecom AG 4-16
4.7.1 WiMAX Telecom Group European WiMAX Service Provider 4-17 4.7.2 WiMAX Telecom 3.5 GHz Licenses For Austria 4-18
4.8 Alvarion WiMAX and Broadband Wireless Systems Irish Broadband Network 4-19 4.8.1 Alvarion WiMAX and Broadband Wireless Systems Irish Broadband Network 4-20
4.9 Spectrum And Standardization Issues Support WiMAX European Deployment Schedule 4-22 4.10 Alvarion Iberbanda -- Barcelona, Spain, Broadband Communications Provider 4-22 4.11 Sumitomo Offers WiMAX to Enforta BV Broadband Services To Regional Russian Cities 4-23 4.12 Allgon Microwave Göteborg Sweden 4-24 4.13 Telsima WiMAX Design Center in Ljubljana Slovenia 4-25 4.14 T-Mobile Germany Seamless Mobile Broadband Connections with Nortel Wireless Solutions 4-25 4.15 Azaire Networks European Solution 4-28 4.16 WiMax in Asia 4-28 4.17 Air Broadband Deploys WLAN wVoIP in a Train Station In Korea 4-29 4.18 WIMax in South America 4-29
4.18.1 WiMAX in Brazil 4-30 4.19 WiMAX Deployed In Africa 4-31 4.20 Middle East WiMAX 4-33
4.20.1 Mobily of Saudi Arabia Deploys Aperto Networks WiMAX in Top Metros 4-33 4.20.2 Aperto As A Critical Strategic Systems Partner In The Middle East 4-34 4.20.3 Alcatel 30-year presence in Egypt 4-35
4.20.4 Egypt Market Figures 4-35 4.20.5 Alcatel: A Partner For The Development Of Egypt 4-36 4.20.6 Egypt First In The WIMAX Technology 4-36 4.20.7 Redline Communications Suppllies IEOC Of Egypt with Offshore Oil Rigs Wireless
Broadband WiMax Solution - 4-37 4.20.8 Algeria Arab World WiMAX Pioneer 4-39 4.20.9 Algeria Opens Up Voice Market to VOIP 4-40 4.20.10 Algeria -- Smart Link Communications (SLC) 4-41 4.20.11 North Africa Algeria ICT and Telecom 4-42 4.20.12 South Africa IT Market Impacts WiMAX 4-43 4.20.13 Southern Africa ICT and Telecom: South Africa 4-44 4.20.14 Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited VSNL / South Africa 4-45 4.20.15 Nigeria: Netnearu Partners Intel On Wimax Deployment 4-46 4.20.16 West Africa ICT and Telecom Company News Nigeria 4-48 4.20.17 South Africa Sentech 4-49 4.20.18 Interconnection In South Africa 4-49 4.20.19 Southern Africa ICT and Telecom South Africa 4-50 4.20.20 WiMAX/BWA in Africa 4-51 4.20.21 Deployments of BWA/WiMAX: 4-52 4.20.22 Chinese Equipment Maker ZTE Active In Africa 4-52 4.20.23 IP Wireless Active In Africa Through Its Partner Axcera 4-53 4.20.24 South African Operator Sentech 4-53 4.20.25 Wireless Business Solutions iBurst Mobile Broadband Service In South Africa 4-54 4.20.26 Arraycomm OEM relationship in Africa with Siemens 4-55 4.20.27 Alvarion Largest Pure BWA/WiMAX System Vendor With Activities In All Continents 4-55 4.20.28 NextNet Wireless Active In Africa 4-56 4.20.29 Telkom SA 4-57 4.20.30 Unlicensed Bands 2.4 and 5.8 GHZ in Africa 4-59 4.20.31 WiMAX Spectrum Enforcement in Africa 4-60 4.20.32 Alvarion Ltd. / Microcom Democratic Republic of Congo WiMAX 4-61 4.20.33 Alvarion and Tropos Partner to Deliver Innovative Municipal Wireless Broadband
Cameras And Traffic Systems Located Throughout A City 4-63 4.20.35 Intel / ZTE WiMax in South Africa 4-65 4.20.36 ZTE Wireless Products Top 150 Million Lines 4-66 4.20.37 Alvarion Inter-Connect in Congo Expands Broadband Wireless Network 4-66 4.20.38 Africa Mobile Networks 4-68
4.22 IEEE 802.16e 4-72 4.22.1 Fast pre -802.16e Mobility with Auto-Scanning 4-72 4.22.2 WiMAX QoS 4-73
4.23 Compliance with the DFS Standard 4-73 4.24 CETECOM Spain 4-74 4.25 UMTS TDD Major Mobile Carriers, Orange And Nextel, Have Tested The Technology To
Compete with WiMAX 4-74 4.25.1 TDD Included Under The 802.16 Standard 4-75
4.26 IP Wireless Mobile TV in Western Europe 4-76 4.27 Broadband Unserved Rural Regions 4-77 4.28 IMS Network 4-78 4.29 WiMax Mesh Partners 4-79
5.9 Aperto Networks 5-60 5.9.1 Aperto and Veraz Partner to Deliver Voice and IMS Multimedia Services over WiMAX 5-61 5.9.2 Aperto Networks and D-Link Taiwan Enter into Strategic Alliance 5-62 5.9.3 Aperto PacketMAX System Gives Network Operators The Multi-Services Infrastructure 5-64
5.10 Avaya 5-64 5.10.1 Global Communications Solutions Segment 5-67 5.10.2 Communication Systems 5-67 5.10.3 Avaya’s Acquisitions 5-68 5.10.4 Strategic Alliances 5-69 5.10.5 Avaya Customer Interaction Suite 5-70 5.10.6 Unified Communication 5-71 5.10.7 Small and Medium Business Solutions. 5-71 5.10.8 Avaya one-X Deskphone Edition IP Phones 5-72 5.10.9 Avaya / Extreme Networks 5-73 5.10.10 Avaya’s Financial Data 5-75
5.11 Beceem Communications 5-76 5.11.1 Beceem Communications Receives Investments From Do como Capital 5-76
5.15 Ericsson 5-89 5.15.1 Mobile Networks 5-90 5.15.2 Fixed Networks 5-91 5.15.3 Phones 5-92 5.15.4 Ericsson Microwave Systems 5-92 5.15.5 Ericsson Enterprise 5-92 5.15.6 Ericsson Network Technologies 5-92 5.15.7 Ericsson Mobile Platforms 5-93 5.15.8 Ericsson Power Modules 5-93 5.15.9 Ericsson’s Financial Data 5-93 5.15.10 Ericsson’s Partners 5-96 5.15.11 Ericsson Acquires Marconi 5-96 5.15.12 Ericsson / Vodafone 5-97 5.15.13 Ericsson / Telenor 5-98
5.18 Intel 5-105 5.18.1 Products 5-106 5.18.2 Intel Capital and PIPEX Create Broadband Wireless Company In The UK 5-108 5.18.3 ESPN and Intel Team Up to Create New Product 5-108 5.18.4 Intel’s 2006 First Quarter Results 5-109 5.18.5 Intel Revenue 5-111
5.20 NEC 5-114 5.20.1 Partners 5-115 5.20.2 Products and Services 5-115 5.20.3 Solutions 5-115 5.20.4 NEC’s World's Thinnest 2.5G Fold -type Camera -phone 5-116 5.20.5 NEC Corporation Signed Contract with the Telecommunications Company Dhiraggu 5-116
5.21 Nokia Siemens 5-117 5.21.1 Products 5-118 5.21.2 Nokia’s First Quarter Financial Results 2006 5-121 5.21.3 Acquisitions and Mergers 5-122 5.21.4 Nokia / Siemens 5-122
BROADBAND WIRELESS SYSTEMS (WIMAX) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Figure ES-1 ES-2 WiMAX/BWA in Africa Table ES-2 ES-3 Top 10 African Economies By Internet Penetration Figure ES-3 ES-6 Worldwide WiMAX 802.16 Wireless Access Equipment Market Shares Shipments, Dollars, 2006 Figure ES-4 ES-8 Worldwide Total Wireless WiFi and WiMAX Fixed and Mobile Access Equipment for Carrier and Community Based Broadband Markets, Forecasts, Dollars, 2007-2013 Table ES-5 ES-9 WiMAX Benefits
WIMAX MARKET DESCRIPTION AND MARKET DYNAMICS Table 1-1 1-8 WiFi Networks Point-To-Multipoint Access In Wireless Metropolitan Table 1-2 1-15 WLAN Market Participants Table 1-3 1-20 Changes In Communications Competitive Environment Table 1-4 1-21 Changes In Wireless Market Direction Table 1-5 1-22 Issues In Wireless Services Markets Table 1-6 1-23 Changes In Wireless Services Markets Table 1-7 1-25 Principal Competitive Factors In Wireless Communications Markets Table 1-8 1-32 Hot-Spot Access Point Services Table 1-9 1-34 Wireless Productivity Enhancement Table 1-10 1-38 Fixed Wireless Productivity Gain Benefits Table 1-11 1-41 Wireless Networking Internet Locations Business Benefits Table 1-12 1-43 Carrier-Grade WiMAX Services Functions
Table 3-18 3-36 WiMAX 16e System Functions Table 3-19 3-47 Fujitsu WiMAX SoC Features Table 3-20 3-49 Fujitsu WiMAX SoC System Applications Figure 3-21 3-51 Fujitsu TDD or HDX FDD Reference Board Evaluation System Table 3-22 3-78 Nokia IMS Action And Generating Revenue Positioning Table 3-23 3-86 Aperto WiMAX Solutions Ecosystem Table 3-24 3-96 Airspan Admission Control Components Table 3-25 3-97 Airspan Admission Control Levels Of Services: Table 3-26 3-99 Airspan Admission Control Component Solution Differentiators Table 3-27 3-100 Alcatel-Lucent WiMAX Standard, IEEE 802.16e Features Table 3-28 3-105 Alvarion’s WiMAX BreezeMAX platform Functions: Table 3-29 3-109 Alvarion WALKair 1000 Features: Table 3-30 3-112 Alvarion 4Motion™ Solution Diagram Table 3-31 3-114 Cisco Systems Access Point Functions Table 3-32 3-116 D-Link DIR-655 Xtreme N Gigabit Router Features Table 3-33 3-120 Samsung Mobile WiMAX Functions Table 3-34 3-121 Samsung Mobile WiMAX Applications Figure 3-35 3-126 Navini WiMAxX Deployments
WIMAX TRIALS, SYSTEMS, AND TECHNOLOGY Table 4-1 4-10 WiMAX European Network Applications Figure 4-2 4-32 Communications Connectivity in Africa Table 4-3 4-69 Regions of Africa Figure 4-4 4-78 IMS Network Table 4-5 4-84 WiMAX Radio Frequency Spectrum Table 4-6 4-102 WiMax TEchnology Benefits
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