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January 26, 2009 A Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario Kevin Stolarick, PhD Research Director
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Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Nov 29, 2014

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A profile of Kingston, Ontario and comparison with its peer regions in North America. Prepared by Kevin Stolarick of the Martin Prosperity Institute as part of TVOntario's AgendaCamp series on Ontario's changing economy.
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Page 1: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

January 26, 2009

A Brief Prosperity Profile of

Kingston, Ontario

Kevin Stolarick, PhD

Research Director

Page 2: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

2

1. Present Benchmark Peers

2. Describe Selected Measures

a. Some “Lagging”

b. Some “Leading”

3. Get Your Thinking

Where does Kingston rank?

4. Discussion

Outline / Approach

Page 3: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

3

Benchmark Peers

Page 4: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Peer Selection

14 peer states/

provinces for

Ontario based on

population.

10 cities/regions

selected with

populations

approximately the

same as Kingston.

• College Station, TX

• Sherbrooke, QC

• Kelowna, BC

• Bloomington, IL

• Rocky Mount, NC

• Trois Rivieres, QC

• State College, PA

• Battle Creek, MI

• Dalton, GA

• Mount Veron, WA

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Page 5: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

5

Technology

Page 6: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Technology

“A high technology base is both a

necessary condition for and a result

of a region having a strong creative

economy.

Being known as a "high-tech" region

helps to attract the creative

workforce, which, in turn, generates

new technologies making the region

even more high-tech.”

Page 7: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Technology

• “Tech Pole” Index (based on Milken Institute)– Share of total US/Canada “high technology”

– Regional concentration of “high tech” among all industries

• Combination allows smaller, tech-intensive

regions to score well

• US & Canada, based on total employment

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Page 8: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Tech-Pole Index: Where does Kingston rank?

• Ranking out of 11 (Kingston + 10 peers)

• Peer Average: 0.021

• Lowest peer score: 0.002 (Battle Creek, MI)

• Highest peer score: 0.079 (State College, PA)

•Where does Kingston rank?–Top 3?

–Bottom 3?

–Middle 5?

8

Page 9: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Tech-Pole Index: Kingston “Middle 5”

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Page 10: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

10

Talent

Page 11: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent

“The concentration of people in the Creative and Super Creative Classes, has a stronger relationship with economic growth.

Creative people don't just cluster where the jobs are. They cluster in places that are centers of creativity and also where they like to live.

Places need a people climate -- or a creativity climate -- as well as a business climate.”

Page 12: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent

• “BA and above”

• Percent of population 25 and older with a

bachelor’s (4-year) university degree or higher

(masters, graduate, PhD)

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Page 13: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent Index: Where does Kingston rank?

• Ranking out of 11 (Kingston + 10 peers)

• Peer Average: 22.2%

• Lowest peer score: 12.0% (Dalton, GA)

• Highest peer score: 40.2% (State College, PA)

•Where does Kingston rank?–Top 3?

–Bottom 3?

–Middle 5?

13

Page 14: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent Index: Kingston “Middle 5”

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Page 15: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent

• Now, a “Creative Economy”– Innovation, Thinking, Creativity

• “Paid to think”–Everyone has the potential to be creative

• Percent of workforce in the “Creative Class”T = Technology and R&D Innovation

A = Arts and Culture

P = Professional and Managerial

E = Educating and Training

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Page 16: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Creative Class: Where does Kingston rank?

• Ranking out of 11 (Kingston + 10 peers)

• Peer Average: 25.4%

• Lowest peer score: 18.5% (Dalton, GA)

• Highest peer score: 32.8% (Sherbrooke, QC)

•Where does Kingston rank?–Top 3?

–Bottom 3?

–Middle 5?

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Page 17: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Creative Class: Kingston “Top 3”

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Page 18: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

18

Tolerance / Inclusiveness

Page 19: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Tolerance / Inclusiveness

“Diversity has become a politically

charged buzzword. To some it is an

ideal and rallying cry, to others a

Trojan-horse concept that has

brought us affirmative action and

other liberal abominations.

Creative Class people use the word

often, but not to press any political hot

buttons. Diversity is simply something

they value in all its manifestations.”

Page 20: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Tolerance / Inclusiveness

• Mosaic Index

• Percent of population foreign born

• Immigrants generate growth and are a sign or

regional “openness”

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Page 21: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Mosaic Index: Where does Kingston rank?

• Ranking out of 11 (Kingston + 10 peers)

• Peer Average: 8.1%

• Lowest peer score: 2.2% (Trois-Rivieres, QC)

• Highest peer score: 15.0% (Dalton, GA)

•Where does Kingston rank?–Top 3?

–Bottom 3?

–Middle 5?

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Page 22: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent Index: Kingston “Top 3”

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Page 23: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

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Population Growth

Page 24: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Population Growth

• Percent growth/decline in total population

• Between 2001 and 2006

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Page 25: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Population Growth: Where does Kingston rank?

• Ranking out of 11 (Kingston + 10 peers)

• Peer Average: 6.1%

• Lowest peer score: 0.0% (Battle Creek, MI)

• Highest peer score: 12.4% (Mount Vernon, WA)

•Where does Kingston rank?–Top 3?

–Bottom 3?

–Middle 5?

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Page 26: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Talent Index: Kingston “Middle 5”

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Page 27: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Discussion / Summary

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Page 28: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

For More Information

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Summary StatisticsPeer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

N.A. Average of

Urban Regions

Total Population, 2006 115,700 152,000 197,000 546,000

GDP (CAD millions) 2006 $5,000 $6,000 $9,000 $29,000

Median Age, 2006 26 36.5 43.8 37.5

Overall Cost of Living 92.5 105.4 131.4 101.5

Overall PerformanceKingston,

ON

Peer

Ranking

Peer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

N.A. Average of

Urban Regions

Population Growth (00-05) 3.8% 8 0% 6.1% 12.4% 5.7%

Job Growth (00-05) 0.3% 10 -3.6% 5.1% 19.9% 9.3%

GDP per capita, 2006 $46,000 6 35,500 $45,000 $58,200 $45,000

Change in Average Wage (00-05) 3.1% 3 -11.2% -1.7% 3.7% 0.1%

Creativity Index 0.66 1 0.27 0.45 0.66 NA

TechnologyKingston,

ON

Peer

Ranking

Peer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

N.A. Average of

Urban Regions

Total Patents, 2005 20 5 2 18 42 517

Patents per 10,000, 2005 1.31 5 0.1 1.20 2.98 2.46

Patent Growth, Short Term (00-05) -10.7% 11 -10.7% 0.0% 24.6% -0.5%

North American High Tech LQ, 2006 0.55 6 0.22 0.58 1.54 0.63

North American Tech Pole Index 0.019 4 0.002 0.021 0.079 0.189

TalentKingston,

ON

Peer

Ranking

Peer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

N.A. Average of

Urban Regions

Creative Class as % of Workforce, 2006 32.8% 1 18.5% 25.4% 32.8% 26.1%

Super Creative Core as % of Workforce, 2006 19.4% 1 5.6% 12.3% 19.4% 11.0%

Pop > 25, Above High School below BA, 2006 57.2% NA 51.7% 58.1% 65.5% 59.0%

Talent Index (Pop > 25, BA and above), 2006 21.5% 4 12.0% 22.2% 40.2% 21.7%

Pop > 25, Graduate and/or Professional Degree, 2006 9.1% 4 3.4% 8.3% 20.5% 7.5%

Brain Drain/Gain Index, 2006 0.36 9 0.00 0.66 1.28 NA

ToleranceKingston,

ON

Peer

Ranking

Peer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

N.A. Average of

Urban Regions

Visible Minorities (% Pop), 2006 5.6% 3 0.0% 5.5% 28.1% 11.1%

Mosaic Index (% Pop), 2006 12.1% 3 2.2% 8.1% 15.0% 7.9%

Gay and Lesbian Index, 2006 1.35 1 0.64 0.84 1.35 0.81

Bohemian Index, 2006 0.93 2 0.16 0.48 1.05 0.69

Integration Index, 2006 0.86 3 1 0.77 0.92 NA

Territorial Assets Kingston,

ON

Peer

Ranking

Peer Min

Value

Peer

Average

Peer Max

Value

Social and Cultural AssetsArts and Cultural Establishments per 10,000, 2006 1.58 6 0.22 1.32 2.22

Resturants and Bars per 1,000, 2006 1.86 7 1.46 1.90 2.40

Student/teacher Ratio, 2006 13.82 10 13.58 15.77 22.17

Doctor's per 1,000, 2006 3.58 1 0.00 1.38 3.58

Civic AssetsFederal Voter Turnout (%), 2004/2006 68% 1 40% 59% 68%

Crime per Capita, 2006 0.06 9 0.02 0.06 0.12

Housing and Transportation AssetsPopulation Density (Km^2), 2006 80 10 25.34 74.55 160.76

Median Housing Value to Income Ratio, 2005 $3.72 2 $2.48 $3.63 $7.14

Auto Dependency, 2006 6.00 3 4.84 28.34 169.98

Benchmark Summary: Kingston vs Peer Regions

Worst Best

Kingston, ON152,000

$7,000

40.7

Worst Best

Worst Best

Worst Best

Worst Best

115.9

Page 29: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

For More Information

• Richard Florida’s books–“The Rise of the Creative Class”

–“The Flight of the Creative Class”

–“Who’s Your City?”

• www.martinprosperity.org

• www.creativeclass.com

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Page 30: Brief Prosperity Profile of Kingston, Ontario

Thank You

Kevin Stolarick

[email protected]