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Opportunities and challenges in feeding 9 billion people a healthy and sustainable diet BRENT LOKEN SCIENCE LIAISON OFFICER
47

Brent Loken

Apr 13, 2017

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Page 1: Brent Loken

Opportunities and challenges in feeding 9 billion people a healthy and sustainable diet

BRENT LOKENSCIENCE LIAISON OFFICER

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SUSTAINABILIT

FOO HEALT

BUSINESS

SCIENCE POLITICS

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HOW TO FEED 9 BILLION PEOPLE A

HEALTHY AND SUSTAINABLE DIETWITHIN PLANETARY

BOUNDARIES

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THE PROBLEM

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Planetary Boundaries A safe operating space for humanity

Steffen et al Science 16 January 2015

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Unprecedented scale and pace of global change

Paris

BAU2080-2100

2280-2300

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Will Steffen et al., submitted AWG 2016

Tipping out of the Holocene…

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So what does food have to do with this?

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25% GHG EMISSIONS COMES

FROM AGRICULTURE

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Tilman & Clark 2014

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40% GLOBAL LAND SURFACE USED FOR FOOD

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80% GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY

FOUND IN FORESTS

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90% FISH STOCKS MAY BE

OVERFISHED

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Marine fish capture and trajectory

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70% GHG EMISSIONS FROM AGRICULTURE BY 2050

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60% GLOBAL DEATHS FROM NON COMMUNICABLE DISEASES

(NCDS)

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1/3 FOOD IS WASTED

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ANIMAL FATS

BEFF PORK

PALM OIL

REFINE GRAINS & SUGAR

MAIZE

WHEATRICE

POULTRY

EGGS & DAIRY

FRUITS, LEGUMES & VEGETAB-

LES

OLIVE OIL

NUTS & SEEDS

AQUA- CULTURE

&CAPTURE

SOYBE-AN

MORE SUSTAINABLE

MORE HEALTHY

LESS SUSTAINABLE

LESS HEALTHY

WHOLE GRAINS

HEALTHY FOOD CAN ALSO BE SUSTAINABLE

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Tilman & Clark 2014

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100% of Global needRed Meat

+468%

Nuts and Seeds (-68%)Fish

+48%

Fruit (-44%)

Whole Grains +54%

Vegetables (-11%)

Milk (-49%)

Adapted from Murray 2014

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Health, climate change and diets Springmann, M., Charles, H., Godfray, J., Rayner, M., & Scarborough, P. (2016). Analysis and valuation of the health and climate change co-

benefits of dietary change. PNAS , 113 (15).

Reduced meat consumption could reduce global mortality by 6–10% and food-related greenhouse gas emissions by 29–70% by 2050

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THE SOLUTION

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Food connects all the SDGs together

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This is the biggest opportunity for humanity – It is also the biggest puzzle… How do we achieve it?

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TEEBAgFood, 2015

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36TEEBAgFood, 2015

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FOUNDATION

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

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FOUNDATION

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

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FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

Metrics for healthy and sustainable diets

Multifunctional landscapes and seascape

Consumer behavior

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FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

EAT Stockholm Food Forum

General Assembly of the United Nations

EATx : Arendalsuka, Abu Dhabi

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URBAN

BUSINESS

KNOWLEDGE

CONSUMER ADVOCACY

FOUNDATIO

RESEARCH

EVENTS

PROGRAMS

C40Nordic cities initiative

Action 2020 Food - WBCSD

Lancet commissionDatabase and reportChatham house commission

Eat, Move, SleepChefs NetworkMatagentene

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Thank you www.eatforum.org

“The wonderful thing about food is you get three votes a day. Every one of them has the potential to change the world.”

Michael Pollan

Vote with Your Fork