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BpmToolbox 6.0-Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model Example (Basic)

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    Best Practice ModellingHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Primary Developer: BPM

    Cover Notes

    - This is a simple example of a best practice historical and forecast business planning model.

    -

    - To navigate or view the content of this model, click on the 'Go to Table of Contents' hyperlink above.

    - Subscribe to the Best Practice Modelling Network to be notified of new best practice example models.

    - For more information see: Model Notes

    Go to Table of Contents

    IMPORTANT NOTE: BPM does not provide any warranties or guarantees relating to the correctness of

    the formulas or outputs contained in this model.

    The purpose of this model is to provide an example of a historical and forecast business planning model developed using

    bpmToolbox in accordance with the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards (Version 6.0).

    http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribehttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribehttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribe
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    Table of ContentsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section & Sheet Titles Page

    4

    56

    78

    - -

    - -

    - -

    11

    1213

    1415

    16

    18

    2021

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    a. Model Notes

    1.2.

    Formats & Styles Key

    Sheet Naming Key

    1. Overview

    1.1. Notes

    Taxation - Assumptions

    Other Balance Sheet Items - Assumptions

    2.3. Forecast Assumptionsa. Forecast Assumptions

    Capital - Assumptions

    Working Capital - Assumptions

    Assets - Assumptions

    c. Cash Flow Statements - Historical Assumptions

    2.1. Time Series Assumptions

    2.2. Historical Assumptionsa. Income Statement - Historical Assumptions

    a. Time Series Assumptions

    Go to Cover Sheet

    2. Assumptions

    Keysa. Keys

    Range Naming Key

    b. Balance Sheet - Historical Assumptions

    Operational - Assumptions

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    Table of ContentsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section & Sheet Titles Page

    Go to Cover Sheet

    26

    2728

    29

    313334

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    - -

    41

    42

    44

    4849

    50

    52

    5455

    56

    57

    58- -

    - -

    - -

    6162

    65

    66

    Total Pages: 66

    4. Appendices

    3.2. Forecast Outputsa. Forecast Outputs

    b. Balance Sheet - All Periods Outputs

    Operational - Outputs

    Working Capital - Outputs

    Assets - Outputs

    d.

    Error Checks

    Sensitivity Checks

    Alert Checks

    4.2. Lookup Tables

    4.1. Checks

    a. Checks

    Capital - Outputs

    a. Business Planning Summary

    3.4. Dashboard Outputs

    Taxation - Output Summary

    a. Income Statement - All Periods Outputs

    c. Cash Flow Statement - All Periods Outputs

    Other Balance Sheet Items - Outputs

    All Periods Outputs3.3.

    a. Income Statement - Historical Outputs

    b. Balance Sheet - Historical Outputs

    c. Cash Flow Statement - Historical Outputs

    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast Outputs

    b. Income Statement - Forecast Outputs

    c. Balance Sheet - Forecast Outputs

    3. Outputs

    3.1. Historical Outputs

    c. Dashboards - Lookup Tables

    a. Time Series Lookup Tables

    b. Capital - Lookup Tables

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    OverviewSection 1.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section Cover Notes

    Contains notes explaining the purpose and use of this model and where more help can be obtained.

    Contains diagrams summarising designated components of the model.

    Also contains keys explaining the Formats & Styles, Sheet Naming & Range Naming principles used in this model.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    NotesSub-Section 1.1.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover NotesContains general notes about the purpose and use of this model.

    Also contains contact details for BPM.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Model NotesHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Area: Notes

    Simplification

    - Have purchased bpmToolbox 6.0;

    - Are currently trialing bpmToolbox; or

    - Are interested in understanding the benefits of using bpmToolbox.

    Go to Table of Contents

    This model has been designed to provide an example of how bpmToolbox 6.0 can be used within

    Microsoft Excel to efficiently build a basic historical and forecast business planning model in strict

    accordance with the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards & Conventions.

    This model has been developed for those who:

    Standards

    Many components of this model have been significantly simplified to prevent confusion.

    This model has been built in accordance with Version 6.0 of the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling

    Standards.

    General

    Intended Audience

    Applied Theme

    Annotations

    BPM specializes in the provision of Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling products and services,

    including the provision of training and support services. This training and support ranges from our

    base courses (such as the bpmToolbox Fundamentals course) to courses customized to meet specific

    client needs. For more information on BPM's training and support services, contact BPM on the details

    provided below.

    Further Training

    This workbook has been built using the bpmToolbox 6.0 default theme - i.e. Styles, Colors, Page

    Setups, etc. These settings may differ from your personal or corporate theme settings.

    Brief notes have been included throughout the Section Cover Sheets and Assumption Sheets within this

    workbook. These notes have been included in accordance with Best Practice and are not designed toprovide detailed insight into how this model was developed or how it could be improved or enhanced.

    BPM

    Level 8, 330 Collins StreetMelbourne, Victoria

    Australia 3000

    Address:

    To order the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards, go to:

    www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standardsDownloads:

    Telephone:

    Email:

    Website:

    [email protected]

    +613 9244 9800

    www.bestpracticemodelling.com

    Contact BPM

    http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standardsmailto:[email protected]?subject=Inquiry%20-%20Re%20Forecast%20Business%20Planning%20Model%206.0http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/mailto:[email protected]?subject=Inquiry%20-%20Re%20Forecast%20Business%20Planning%20Model%206.0http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standards
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    KeysSub-Section 1.2.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover NotesContains Formats & Styles, Sheet Naming and Range Naming Keys explaining the approaches adopted throughout this model.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    KeysHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Formats & Styles Key

    Color Name Color Description / Purpose

    Font Colors

    Fill Colors

    Hyperlink Type Hyperlink Description / Purpose

    Output (Black) Indicates ranges contain 100% formulas / output calculations. Output

    Mixed CellMixed Cell (Green) Indicates ranges contain a mixture of input text / numbers and formulae

    / output calculations.

    Go to Table of Contents

    Example

    Input (Blue) Indicates ranges contain 100% input text / numbers. Input

    Assumption Sheet (Grey) Indicates sheet is an Assumption Sheet.

    Work in Progress (WIP) (Yellow) Indicates ranges contain data or formulae that remain uncertain or are

    subject to change.

    ErrorError (Red) Indicates calculation errors normally used as a conditional format.

    HyperlinkHyperlink Indicates ranges contain Hyperlinks to other ranges within the workbook

    or to other linked models.

    Cover Hyperlink Links Contents Sheet to Cover Sheet. Go To Cover Sheet

    Home Hyperlink Links worksheets to Contents Sheet. Go To Table of Contents

    Hidden White (White) Indicates Assumption Cells when used on the interior of Assumption

    Sheets.

    Example

    Sheet Left Hyperlink Links active worksheet to the previous visible worksheet. Sheet Right Hyperlink Links active worksheet to the next visible worksheet.

    Custom Hyperlink Links worksheet ranges to other worksheet ranges in the model. Linked Cell Text

    Sheet Top Hyperlink Scrolls worksheet to the upper-most viewable section.

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    KeysHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of Contents

    Sheet Naming Key

    Base Sheet Type Sheet Description / Purpose

    Notes

    * The names of the Cover and Contents sheets are always "Cover" and "Contents" respectively.

    ** Model Import and Export Sheet suffixes are used in addition to the other sheet naming suffixes.

    Section Cover Indicates the start of a workbook section. SC

    Sub-Section Cover Indicates the start of a workbook sub-section. SSC

    Suffix

    Cover* Indicates the start of a workbook. Cover

    Contents* Contains the workbook Table of Contents. Contents

    Blank Output Residual category (contains outputs). BO

    TOTime Series Output Contains time series titles for calculating outputs over a set time frame.

    Blank Assumption Residual category (contains assumptions). BA

    TATime Series Assumption Contains time series titles for entering assumptions over a set time

    frame.

    Chart Contains a chart. Cht

    MIModel Import** Contains formulas that reference worksheet ranges in another workbook.

    LULookup Contains lookup data for use in forms / controls and in worksheet

    formulas.

    Model Schematic Contains model diagrams and flow charts. MS

    MEModel Export** Contains worksheet ranges that are referenced by formulas in another

    workbook.

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    KeysHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of Contents

    Range Naming Key

    Range Type / Purpose Range Description / Purpose

    Row Array Single row, multiple column, single area array. RA_

    Column Array Single column, multiple row, single area array. CA_

    Prefix

    Base Cell Single cell base cell (for OFFSET function reference, etc). BC_

    Lookup Names a Lookup Table Array on a Lookup Sheet. LU_

    Block Array Single area, multiple cell, non-row, non-column array. BA_

    Multiple Area Array Multiple area (includes areas of any type). MAA_

    Drop Down Box Drop down box cell link. DD_

    List Box List box cell link. LB_

    Hyperlink Hyperlink cell reference. HL_

    Check Box Check box cell link. CB_

    Scroll Bar Scroll bar cell link. SB_

    Residual Residual category (i.e. single cell non-base cells, etc). No Prefix

    Option Button Option button cell link. OB_

    Spin Button Spin button cell link. S_

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    AssumptionsSection 2.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section Cover Notes

    Contains base case assumptions used to generate the base case outputs.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Time Series AssumptionsSub-Section 2.1.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains assumptions used to drive the time series analysis within the model.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Time Series AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Time Series Assumptions

    Core Time Series Assumptions

    Title

    Periodicity

    Financial Year End 31 12

    Start Date

    Periods

    Denomination

    Historical & Forecast Period Titles

    Include in Period Titles?

    Actual Periods

    Budget Periods

    Data & Projections - Timing Assumptions

    Data Term Basis

    Data - Active Periods

    Projections - Start Date

    Notes

    - A Financial Year End assumption of 28th of February is assumed to be a month end financial year end, even in a leap year.- The "Model Denomination" assumption will not necessarily automatically change the denomination of the outputs of this model.

    - A "Budget Period" refers to either a period in the current financial year or periods containing combined actual and forecast data.

    - "Data & Projections - Timing Assumptions" are used as the basis for related data and projections time series sheets.

    - "Inactive Columns Treatment" will only be operative if macros have been included in the active workbook to manage inactive data and projectio

    Go to Table of Contents

    Primary

    Annual

    1-Jan-10

    8

    2

    TRUE

    3

    -

    1

    3

    1-Jan-13

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    Historical AssumptionsSub-Section 2.2.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains historical financial statement assumptions.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Income Statement - Historical AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Income Statement

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)

    Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 107.7 110.4 113.1 116.0 118.9

    Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)

    EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 64.6 66.2 67.9 69.6 71.3

    Depreciation (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.0)

    Amortization (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)

    Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.0) (16.4) (16.8)

    EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 49.4 50.6 51.9 53.2 54.5

    Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3)

    Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7

    Notes

    1. All assumptions are entered in $Millions.

    2. Revenue and expense assumptions are entered as positive and negative numbers respectively.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Historical AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Balance Sheet Opening1-Jan-10

    Current Assets

    Opening Cash at Bank 5.0 7.5 12.1 24.6 37.4 55.5 68.9 82.7

    Change in Cash at Bank 2.5 4.6 12.5 12.8 18.1 13.4 13.8 14.1

    Cash at Bank 5.0 7.5 12.1 24.6 37.4 55.5 68.9 82.7 96.8

    Accounts Receivable 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2

    Other Current Assets 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Total Current Assets 18.3 20.8 26.7 40.4 54.5 73.9 88.5 103.5 119.0

    Non-Current Assets

    Assets 146.5 146.5 148.0 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1Intangibles 13.4 13.4 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9

    Deferred Tax Assets - - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Assets 4.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0

    Total Non-Current Assets 163.9 163.9 168.3 172.9 177.5 182.2 187.1 192.0 197.0

    Total Assets 182.1 184.6 195.0 213.3 232.0 256.1 275.6 295.5 316.0

    Current Liabilities

    Accounts Payable 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5

    Tax Payable 12.8 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    Interest Payable - - - - - - - - -

    Ordinary Equity Dividends Payable - - - - - - - - -

    Other Current Liabilities 5.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Total Current Liabilities 25.8 25.8 27.3 28.9 30.5 32.0 33.6 35.2 36.8

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Historical AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

    Non-Current Liabilities

    Debt 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Deferred Tax Liabilities - - - - - - - - -Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0

    Total Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0

    Total Liabilities 81.8 81.8 84.3 86.9 89.5 97.0 99.6 102.2 104.8

    Net Assets 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 142.6 159.1 176.0 193.4 211.2

    Equity

    Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Other Equity 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0

    Retained Profits - Unadjusted 20.3 22.8 30.7 46.4 62.6 79.1 96.0 113.4 131.2

    Retained Profits - Balancing Item - - - - - - - - -

    Retained Profits 20.3 22.8 30.7 46.4 62.6 79.1 96.0 113.4 131.2

    Total Equity 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 142.6 159.1 176.0 193.4 211.2

    Total Error Check Result - - - - - - - - - -

    Total Alert Check Result - - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All assumptions are entered in $Millions.

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    Cash Flow Statements - Historical AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Cash Flow Statement

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Decrease in Accounts Receivable 10.7 (0.3) (0.2) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3

    Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 134.3 137.7 141.1 144.7 148.3

    Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7

    Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5

    Increase in Accounts Payable (8.0) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3

    Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0

    Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6

    Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9

    Decrease in Other Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0Increase in Other Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities

    Capital Expenditure - Assets (15.0) (15.4) (15.8) (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8

    Capital Expenditure - Intangibles (2.5) (2.6) (2.6) (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0

    Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0

    Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Cash Flow Statements - Historical AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)

    Increase in Other Equity 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.1) (11.4) (16.8) (17.3) (17.7)

    Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.7 12.2 12.6 12.9 18.2 13.5 13.9 14.2

    Notes

    1. All assumptions are entered in $Millions.

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    Forecast AssumptionsSub-Section 2.3.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains forecast assumptions for all areas within the underlying business.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Forecast AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Operational - Assumptions

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold 25.0 25.6 26.3 26.9 27.6 28.3 29.0 29.7Operating Expenditure 40.0 41.0 42.0 43.1 44.2 45.3 46.4 47.5

    Capital Expenditure - Assets 15.0 15.4 15.8 16.2 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8

    Capital Expenditure - Intangibles 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0

    Notes

    1. Revenue and expense assumptions are entered in $Millions.

    2. Revenue and expense assumptions are entered as positive numbers.

    Working Capital - Assumptions

    Accounts Receivable1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 10.8

    Debtors Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

    Accounts Payable1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 8.4

    Creditors Days 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45

    Notes

    1. Debtors/creditors days assumptions cannot be greater than the number of days in that period.

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    Forecast AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of ContentsAssets - Assumptions

    Assets

    1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 149.6

    Depreciation - % of Capital Expenditure 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%

    Intangibles1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 17.3

    Depreciation - % of Capital Expenditure 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%

    Capital - Assumptions

    Debt

    Funds Drawn ($Millions)1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 50.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - 45.0 - - -

    Closing Debt Balance - - - 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Drawdowns/Repayments % into Period 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%

    Interest Expense

    1-Jan-13Opening Interest Payable ($Millions) -

    Base Interest Rate (% p.a.) 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%

    Margin (% p.a.) 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%

    All-In Interest Rate (% p.a.) - - - 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%

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    Forecast AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of ContentsOrdinary Equity

    Ordinary Equity Balances ($Millions)

    1-Jan-13

    Opening Balance 75.0 - - - 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -

    Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Closing Ordinary Equity - - - 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Dividends Payable & Paid

    1-Jan-13

    Opening Dividends Payable ($Millions) -

    Determination Method: 1

    Dividend Declaration Period? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Dividend Payout Ratio - % of NPAT 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%

    Assumed Dividends - Not Applied - - - - - - - -

    ###

    ###

    Notes

    1. Dividends cannot be negative.

    2. Dividends cannot exceed accumulated Retained Profits (Opening Retained Profits + Net Profit After Tax) in any period.

    Include Opening Retained Profits in NPAT?

    Limit dividends to prevent negative Cash at Bank?

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    Forecast AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    Taxation - Assumptions

    Tax Payable1-Jan-13

    Opening Tax Payable ($Millions) 13.5

    Taxation Rate

    Corporate Taxation Rate 30.0%

    Notes

    1. Tax is assumed to be paid in the period after tax expense is incurred.

    2. The Corporate Taxation Rate is limited to a minimum of 0% and a maximum of 100%.

    3. Tax calculations do not allow for tax losses, deferred tax assets or deferred tax liabilities - i.e. negative tax expense will result in cash tax receipts.

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    Forecast AssumptionsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of ContentsOther Balance Sheet Items - Assumptions

    Cash at Bank

    Opening Cash at Bank 24.6

    Retained Profits

    Opening Retained Profits 46.4

    Other Balance Sheet Items Opening

    1-Jan-13

    Other Current Assets 5.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Other Non-Current Assets 6.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0

    Other Current Liabilities 7.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Other Non-Current Liabilities 8.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0

    Other Equity 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8

    Notes

    1. Balance sheet items are specified in $Millions.

    2. Other Current Assets and Other Current Liabilities assumed to impact Other Operating Cash Flows.

    3. Other Non-Current Assets and Non-Other Current Liabilities assumed to impact Other Investing Cash Flows.

    3. Other Equity is assumed to impact Other Financing Cash Flows.

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    OutputsSection 3.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section Cover Notes

    Contains base case outputs - i.e. includes only the impacts of base case assumptions.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Historical OutputsSub-Section 3.1.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains historical financial statement outputs.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Income Statement - Historical OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Income Statement

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 - - - - -

    Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) - - - - -

    Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 - - - - -

    Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) - - - - -

    EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 - - - - -

    Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) - - - - -

    EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 - - - - -

    Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) - - - - -

    Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 - - - - -

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) - - - - -

    Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All revenues and expenses are specified in $Millions.

    2. Revenues and expenses appear as positive and negative numbers respectively.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Historical OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Balance Sheet Opening1-Jan-10

    Current Assets

    Cash at Bank 5.0 7.5 12.1 24.6 - - - - -

    Accounts Receivable 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.8 - - - - -

    Other Current Assets 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 - - - - -

    Total Current Assets 18.3 20.8 26.7 40.4 - - - - -

    Non-Current Assets

    Assets 146.5 146.5 148.0 149.6 - - - - -

    Intangibles 13.4 13.4 15.3 17.3 - - - - -

    Deferred Tax Assets - - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Assets 4.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 - - - - -Total Non-Current Assets 163.9 163.9 168.3 172.9 - - - - -

    Total Assets 182.1 184.6 195.0 213.3 - - - - -

    Current Liabilities

    Accounts Payable 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.4 - - - - -

    Tax Payable 12.8 12.8 13.1 13.5 - - - - -

    Interest Payable - - - - - - - - -

    Ordinary Equity Dividends Payable - - - - - - - - -

    Other Current Liabilities 5.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 - - - - -

    Total Current Liabilities 25.8 25.8 27.3 28.9 - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Historical OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

    Non-Current Liabilities

    Debt 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 - - - - -

    Deferred Tax Liabilities - - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 - - - - -Total Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 56.0 57.0 58.0 - - - - -

    Total Liabilities 81.8 81.8 84.3 86.9 - - - - -

    Net Assets 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 - - - - -

    Equity

    Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 - - - - -

    Other Equity 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 - - - - -Retained Profits 20.3 22.8 30.7 46.4 - - - - -

    Total Equity 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 - - - - -

    Total Error Check Result - - - - - - - - - -

    Total Alert Check Result - - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All balances are specified in $Millions.

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    Cash Flow Statement - Historical OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Cash Flow Statement

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities

    Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 - - - - -

    Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) - - - - -

    Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) - - - - -

    Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) - - - - -

    Decrease in Other Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) - - - - -

    Increase in Other Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 - - - - -

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities

    Capital Expenditure - Assets (15.0) (15.4) (15.8) - - - - -Capital Expenditure - Intangibles (2.5) (2.6) (2.6) - - - - -

    Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) - - - - -

    Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Cash Flow Statement - Historical OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) - - - - -

    Go to Table of Contents

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - - - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -

    Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) - - - - -

    Increase in Other Equity 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - - -

    Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) - - - - -

    Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.7 12.2 12.6 - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All cash flows are specified in $Millions.

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    Forecast OutputsSub-Section 3.2.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains forecast outputs for all areas within the underlying business other than financial statements.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Operational - Outputs

    Revenue - - - 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold - - - 26.9 27.6 28.3 29.0 29.7

    Operating Expenditure - - - 43.1 44.2 45.3 46.4 47.5Capital Expenditure - Assets - - - 16.2 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8

    Capital Expenditure - Intangibles - - - 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of Contents

    Working Capital - Outputs

    Accounts Receivable Balances ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9

    Revenue - - - 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cash Receipts - - - (134.3) (137.7) (141.1) (144.7) (148.3)

    Closing Balance - - - 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2

    Closing Balance Periodic Growth (% per Year) - - N/A 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8%

    Debtors Days - - - 30 30 30 30 30

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

    Accounts Payable Balances ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3

    Costs - - - 70.0 71.7 73.5 75.4 77.3

    Cash Payments - - - (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0)Closing Balance - - - 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5

    Closing Balance Periodic Growth (% per Year) - - N/A 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8%

    Creditors Days - - - 45 45 45 45 45

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    Assets - Outputs

    Assets Balances ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3

    Capital Expenditure - Assets - - - 16.2 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8

    Depreciation - - - (14.5) (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.0)

    Closing Balance - - - 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

    Intangibles Balances ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7

    Capital Expenditure - Intangibles - - - 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0

    Amortization - - - (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)

    Closing Balance - - - 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    Capital - Outputs

    Debt - Outputs

    Funds Drawn ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Closing Debt Balance - - - 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Interest Expense

    Base Interest Rate (% p.a.) - - - 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%

    Margin (% p.a.) - - - 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%

    All-In Interest Rate (% p.a.) - - - 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%

    Months in Financial Year - - - 12 12 12 12 12

    Period % of Full Year - - - 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    Drawdowns/Repayments % into Period - - - 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%

    Average Debt Outstanding - - - 50.0 52.5 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Interest Expense - - - 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6

    Opening Interest Payable ($Millions) - - - - - - - -

    Interest Expense - - - 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6

    Interest Paid - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6

    Closing Interest Payable - - - - - - - -

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of ContentsOrdinary Equity - Outputs

    Ordinary Equity Balances ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 7

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - -

    Equity Repayments - - - - - - -

    Closing Ordinary Equity - - - 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 7

    Dividends Payable & Paid

    Opening Balance - - - - - - -

    Dividends Declared During Period - - - 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4

    Dividends Paid During Period - - - (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (

    Closing Dividends Payable - - - - - - -

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - -

    Alert Check (Limited Dividends) - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Payable & Paid - Calculation

    Determination Method: % of NPAT

    Dividend Declaration Period? - - - Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

    Opening Retained Profits - - - 46.4 62.6 79.1 96.0 1

    Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) - - - 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 3

    Maximum Dividends Allowed - - - 78.7 95.6 112.9 130.7 14

    Opening Cash at Bank - - - 24.6 37.8 56.0 69.5 8

    Cash Flow Available for Dividends - - - 29.4 34.7 30.4 31.3 3

    Total Available Cash For Dividends - - - 54.0 72.5 86.4 100.7 11

    Dividend Payout Ratio - % of NPAT - - - 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50

    Assumed Dividends - Not Applied - - - - - - -

    Target Dividends Declared - - - 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4

    Actual Dividends Declared - - - 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4 1

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    Taxation - Output Summary

    Tax Expense ($Millions)

    Revenue - - - 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold - - - (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)

    Operating Expenditure - - - (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)

    Depreciation - - - (14.5) (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.0)Amortization - - - (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)

    Interest Expense - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Net Profit Before Tax (NPBT) - - - 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0

    Accounting Taxable Profit / (Loss) - - - 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0

    Corporate Taxation Rate - - - 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) - - - 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    Tax Payable (& Paid)

    Opening Balance - - - 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) - - - 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    Tax Paid - - - (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)

    Closing Balance - - - 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

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    Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    Other Balance Sheet Items - Outputs

    Other Current Assets ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0

    Movement - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Closing Balance - - - 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Other Non-Current Assets ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Movement - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Closing Balance - - - 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0

    Other Current Liabilities ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0

    Movement - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Closing Balance - - - 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Other Non-Current Liabilities ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Movement - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Closing Balance - - - 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0

    Other Equity ($Millions)

    Opening Balance - - - 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7

    Movement - - - 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Closing Balance - - - 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8

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    Income Statement - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Income Statement

    Revenue - - - 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold - - - (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)

    Gross Margin - - - 107.7 110.4 113.1 116.0 118.9

    Operating Expenditure - - - (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)

    EBITDA - - - 64.6 66.2 67.9 69.6 71.3

    Depreciation & Amortization - - - (15.2) (15.6) (16.0) (16.4) (16.8)

    EBIT - - - 49.4 50.6 51.9 53.2 54.5

    Interest Expense - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Net Profit Before Tax - - - 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) - - - (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3)

    Net Profit After Tax - - - 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7

    Error Check - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All revenues and expenses are specified in $Millions.

    2. Revenues and expenses enter the Income Statement as positive and negative numbers respectively.

    Go to Balance Sheet - Forecast Outputs

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Balance Sheet

    Current Assets

    Cash at Bank - - - 37.8 56.0 69.5 83.4 97.6

    Accounts Receivable - - - 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2

    Other Current Assets - - - 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Total Current Assets - - - 54.9 74.4 89.1 104.2 119.8

    Non-Current Assets

    Assets - - - 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1

    Intangibles - - - 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9

    Deferred Tax Assets - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Assets - - - 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0Total Non-Current Assets - - - 177.5 182.2 187.1 192.0 197.0

    Total Assets - - - 232.4 256.6 276.2 296.2 316.8

    Current Liabilities

    Accounts Payable - - - 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5

    Tax Payable - - - 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    Debt Interest Payable - - - - - - - -

    Ordinary Equity Dividends Payable - - - - - - - -

    Other Current Liabilities - - - 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Total Current Liabilities - - - 30.5 32.0 33.6 35.2 36.8

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

    Non-Current Liabilities

    Debt - - - 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Deferred Tax Liabilities - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Liabilities - - - 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0Total Non-Current Liabilities - - - 59.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0

    Total Liabilities - - - 89.5 97.0 99.6 102.2 104.8

    Net Assets - - - 143.0 159.6 176.6 194.1 212.0

    Equity

    Ordinary Equity - - - 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Other Equity - - - 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8Retained Profits - - - 62.6 79.1 96.0 113.4 131.2

    Total Equity - - - 143.0 159.6 176.6 194.1 212.0

    Total Error Check Result - - - - - - - - -

    Alert Check (Negative Cash) - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All balances are specified in $Millions.

    Go to Income Statement - Forecast Outputs

    Go to Cash Flow Statement - Forecast Outputs

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    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Direct Cash Flow Statement

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities

    Cash Receipts - - - 134.3 137.7 141.1 144.7 148.3

    Cash Payments - - - (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0)

    Interest Paid - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Tax Paid - - - (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)

    Decrease in Other Current Assets - - - (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)

    Increase in Other Current Liabilities - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities - - - 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities

    Capital Expenditure - Assets - - - (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8)Capital Expenditure - Intangibles - - - (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0)

    Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets - - - (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)

    Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities - - - (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Paid During Period - - - (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)

    Increase in Other Equity - - - 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities - - - (15.8) (11.4) (16.8) (17.3) (17.7)

    Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held - - - 13.2 18.2 13.5 13.9 14.2

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

    Indirect Cash Flow Statement

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities

    Net Profit After Tax - - - 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7

    (Add Back) Tax Expense - - - 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    (Add Back) Total Debt Interest Expense - - - 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6

    (Add Back) Total Book Depreciation & Amortisation - - - 15.2 15.6 16.0 16.4 16.8

    Decrease in Accounts Receivable - - - (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3

    Increase in Accounts Payable - - - 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3

    Interest Paid - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6

    Tax Paid - - - (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9

    Decrease in Other Current Assets - - - (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0

    Increase in Other Current Liabilities - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities - - - 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities

    Capital Expenditure - Assets - - - (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8

    Capital Expenditure - Intangibles - - - (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0

    Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets - - - (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0

    Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities - - - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities - - - (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -

    Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Paid During Period - - - (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8

    Increase in Other Equity - - - 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities - - - (15.8) (11.4) (16.8) (17.3) (17.7

    Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held - - - 13.2 18.2 13.5 13.9 14.2

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    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December - - - 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

    Capital Providers - Cash Flow Reconciliation

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities - - - 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities - - - (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)

    (Add Back) Interest Paid - - - 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6

    Cash Flow Available To Capital Providers - - - 32.2 33.0 33.9 34.7 35.6

    Interest Paid - - - (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Increase in Other Equity - - - 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Cash Flow Available to Equity (CFAE) - - - 29.4 34.7 30.4 31.3 32.1

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -

    Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Cash Flow Available for Dividends - - - 29.4 34.7 30.4 31.3 32.1

    Dividends Paid During Period - - - (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held - - - 13.2 18.2 13.5 13.9 14.2

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All values are stated in $Millions unless stated otherwise.

    Go to Income Statement - Forecast Outputs

    Go to Balance Sheet - Forecast Outputs

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    All Periods OutputsSub-Section 3.3.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains the Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement for all periods.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Income Statement - All Periods OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Income Statement

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6

    Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)

    Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 107.7 110.4 113.1 116.0 118.9

    Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)

    EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 64.6 66.2 67.9 69.6 71.3

    Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.0) (16.4) (16.8)

    EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 49.4 50.6 51.9 53.2 54.5

    Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3)

    Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7

    Notes

    1. All revenues and expenses are specified in $Millions.

    2. Revenues and expenses appear as positive and negative numbers respectively.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - All Periods OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Balance Sheet Opening1-Jan-10

    Current Assets

    Cash at Bank 5.0 7.5 12.1 24.6 37.8 56.0 69.5 83.4 97.6

    Accounts Receivable 10.3 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2

    Other Current Assets 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0

    Total Current Assets 18.3 20.8 26.7 40.4 54.9 74.4 89.1 104.2 119.8

    Non-Current Assets

    Assets 146.5 146.5 148.0 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1

    Intangibles 13.4 13.4 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9

    Deferred Tax Assets - - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Assets 4.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0Total Non-Current Assets 163.9 163.9 168.3 172.9 177.5 182.2 187.1 192.0 197.0

    Total Assets 182.1 184.6 195.0 213.3 232.4 256.6 276.2 296.2 316.8

    Current Liabilities

    Accounts Payable 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5

    Tax Payable 12.8 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3

    Interest Payable - - - - - - - - -

    Ordinary Equity Dividends Payable - - - - - - - - -Other Current Liabilities 5.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0

    Total Current Liabilities 25.8 25.8 27.3 28.9 30.5 32.0 33.6 35.2 36.8

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Balance Sheet - All Periods OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

    Non-Current Liabilities

    Debt 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0

    Deferred Tax Liabilities - - - - - - - - -

    Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0Total Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0

    Total Liabilities 81.8 81.8 84.3 86.9 89.5 97.0 99.6 102.2 104.8

    Net Assets 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 143.0 159.6 176.6 194.1 212.0

    Equity

    Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Other Equity 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8Retained Profits 20.3 22.8 30.7 46.4 62.6 79.1 96.0 113.4 131.2

    Total Equity 100.3 102.8 110.7 126.4 143.0 159.6 176.6 194.1 212.0

    Total Error Check Result - - - - - - - - - -

    Alert Check (Negative Cash) - - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All balances are specified in $Millions.

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    Cash Flow Statement - All Periods OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Direct Cash Flow Statement

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities

    Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 134.3 137.7 141.1 144.7 148.3

    Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0)

    Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)

    Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)

    Decrease in Other Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)

    Increase in Other Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities

    Capital Expenditure - Assets (15.0) (15.4) (15.8) (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8)Capital Expenditure - Intangibles (2.5) (2.6) (2.6) (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0)

    Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)

    Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -

    Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -

    Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -

    Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)

    Increase in Other Equity 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

    Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (15.8) (11.4) (16.8) (17.3) (17.7)

    Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.7 12.2 12.6 13.2 18.2 13.5 13.9 14.2

    Go to Table of Contents

    Cash Flow Statement All Periods Outputs

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    Cash Flow Statement - All Periods OutputsHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)

    Go to Table of Contents

    Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -

    Notes

    1. All values are stated in $Millions unless stated otherwise.

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    Dashboard OutputsSub-Section 3.4.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes:

    Contains dashboard-style presentation output sheets.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    Business Planning SummaryHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)G t T bl f C t t

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    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)

    Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4

    Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3)

    Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 107.7 110.4 113.1

    Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3)

    EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 64.6 66.2 67.9

    Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.0)

    EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 49.4 50.6 51.9

    Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6)

    Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3

    Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5)

    Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)

    Current Assets 20.8 26.7 40.4 54.9 74.4 89.1

    Non-Current Assets 163.9 168.3 172.9 177.5 182.2 187.1

    Total Assets 184.6 195.0 213.3 232.4 256.6 276.2

    Current Liabilities 25.8 27.3 28.9 30.5 32.0 33.6

    Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 65.0 66.0

    Total Liabilities 81.8 84.3 86.9 89.5 97.0 99.6

    Net Assets 102.8 110.7 126.4 143.0 159.6 176.6

    Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

    Other Equity 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.6

    Retained Profits 22.8 30.7 46.4 62.6 79.1 96.0

    Total Equity 102.8 110.7 126.4 143.0 159.6 176.6

    Year Ending 31 December 2010 (A) 2011 (A) 2012 (A) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)

    Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 134.3 137.7 141.1

    Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3)

    Other Operating Cash Flows (6 8) (16 0) (16 4) (16 7) (17 3) (17 7)

    x h O

    Balance Sheet

    Income Statement

    Go to Table of Contents

    Cash Flow Statement

    -

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2010(A)

    2011(A)

    2012(A)

    2013(F)

    2014(F)

    2015(F)

    Revenue

    Revenue (Historical)

    Revenue (Forecast)

    200

    Revenue (Histo

    Operating ExpeCost of Goods S

    EBITDA

    -5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    2010(A)

    2011(A)

    2012(A)

    2013(F)

    2014(F)

    201(F

    Operating Expenditure

    Operating Expenditure (Foreca

    Operating Expenditure (Historic

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    AppendicesSection 4.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Section Cover Notes

    [Insert section cover note 1]

    [Insert section cover note 2][Insert section cover note 3]

    Go to Table of Contents

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    ChecksSub-Section 4.1.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes

    Contains model checks and lookup tables.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    ChecksHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h O

    Error Checks

    ##

    Errors Detected - Summary

    Total Errors: -Error Message (Empty if None):

    Error Checks

    Error Checks Check Include? Flag

    Accounts Receivable Balances ($Millions) - Yes -

    Accounts Payable Balances ($Millions) - Yes -

    Assets Balances ($Millions) - Yes -

    Intangibles Balances ($Millions) - Yes -Ordinary Equity - Outputs - Yes -

    Income Statement - Forecast Outputs - Yes -

    Balance Sheet - Forecast Outputs - Yes -

    Cash Flow Statement - Forecast Outputs - Yes -

    Total Errors: -

    Go to Table of Contents

    Include summary in model name?

    Checks

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    ChecksHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of Contents

    Sensitivity Checks

    ##

    Sensitivities Detected - Summary

    Total Sensitivities: -

    Sensitivity Message (Empty if None):

    Sensitivity Checks

    Sensitivity Checks Check Include? Flag

    Total Sensitivities: -

    Include summary in model name?

    Ch k

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    ChecksHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    x h OGo to Table of Contents

    Alert Checks

    ##

    Alerts Detected - Summary

    Total Alerts: -Alert Message (Empty if None):

    Alert Checks

    Alert Checks Check Include? Flag

    Balance Sheet - Historical Assumptions - Yes -

    Balance Sheet - Historical Outputs - Yes -

    Ordinary Equity - Outputs - Yes -

    Balance Sheet - Forecast Outputs - Yes -

    Total Alerts: -

    Include summary in model name?

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    Lookup TablesSub-Section 4.2.Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Sub-Section Cover Notes

    Contains model lookup tables.

    Go to Table of Contents

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    LU_SSC

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    Time Series Lookup TablesHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6 0 (Basic)

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    Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Time Series Lookup Tables

    Month Days Names

    Month Days LU_Mth_Days

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    67

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    21

    22

    23

    24

    25

    26

    27

    28

    29

    30

    31

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    Time Series Lookup TablesHi t i l & F t B i Pl i M d l 6 0 (B i )

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    Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Time Series Lookup Tables

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    Month Names Names

    Month Names LU_Mth_Names

    January

    February

    March

    April

    May

    June

    July

    August

    September

    October

    November

    December

    Denomination Names

    Denomination LU_Denom

    $Billions Billions

    $Millions Millions

    $'000 Thousands

    $ Currency

    Data Term Basis Names

    Data Term Basis LU_Data_Term_Basis

    Active Data Periods

    Projections Start

    181965865.xlsx.ms_officeTS_LU

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    Time Series Lookup TablesHi t i l & F t B i Pl i M d l 6 0 (B i )

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    Historical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

    Time Series Lookup Tables

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    Periodicity Names

    Periodicity LU_Periodicity

    Annual Annual

    Semi-Annual Semi_Annual

    Quarterly Qtrly

    Monthly Mthly

    Period Type Names Names

    Period Type Names LU_Period_Type_Names

    Year Yr_Name

    Half Year Half_Yr_Name

    Quarter Qtr_Name

    Month Mth_Name

    Periods In Year Names

    Periods In Year LU_Pers_In_Yr

    1 Yrs_In_Yr

    2 Halves_In_Yr

    4 Qtrs_In_Yr

    12 Mths_In_Yr

    Conversion Factors Names

    Conversion Factors

    10 Ten

    100 Hundred

    1,000 Thousand

    1,000,000 Million

    1,000,000,000 Billion

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    TS_LU

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    Capital - Lookup TablesHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    g ( )

    Capital - Lookup Tables

    Dividend Method Lookup Names:

    Dividend Method LU_Eq_Ord_Div_Meth

    % of NPAT

    Assume Dividend Amounts

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    Capital_LU

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    Dashboards - Lookup TablesHistorical & Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)

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    g ( )

    Dashboard Lookup Tables

    Selected Period Lookup Names

    Selected Period LU_Dashboard_Selected_Period

    2010 (A)

    2011 (A)

    2012 (A)

    2013 (F)

    2014 (F)

    2015 (F)

    2016 (F)

    2017 (F)

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    Dashboards_LU

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