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THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ECONOMIC LINKAGES LINKAGES The balance of The balance of payments summarizes payments summarizes a nation’s a nation’s international international economic economic transactions. transactions.
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  • THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC LINKAGESThe balance of payments summarizes a nations international economic transactions.

  • Balance of payments accounting is based on double-entry bookkeeping.

  • Increases (decreases) in foreign currency assets show up as debits (credits) on the balance of payments.

  • The current-account balance reflects the net flow of goods, services, and gifts.

  • The capital account shows public and private lending and investment activities.

  • The official reserves account shows the net deficit or surplus on a nations combined current and capital accounts.

  • Basic macroeconomic accounting identities link domestic spending and production to the current-account and capital-account balances.

  • A nation whose income exceeds its spending will have a domestic savings surplus that must be invested abroad.

  • A nation that produces more (less) than it spends will have a net capital outflow (inflow)

  • The current-account balance must equal the net capital outflow.

  • Japan is using its large current-account surplus to invest in the United States.

  • To improve the current-account balance, domestic savings must be increased relative to domestic investment.

  • Current-account deficits (surpluses) are not necessarily signs of economic weakness (strength).

  • A government budget deficit will worsen a nations current-account deficit.

  • The U.S. current account deficit during the 1980s was closely related to the federal deficit.

  • One proposed solution to the U.S. current-account deficit is to devalue the dollar and make U.S. goods more competitive.

  • Historical experience indicates that currency devaluation will not cure a trade deficit.

  • J-curve theory predicts that currency devaluation will initially worsen and then improve a nations trade deficit.

  • Instead of one causing the other the strong dollar and the trade deficit may both have resulted from foreign demand for U.S. assets.

  • The price of the dollar determines the terms on which the rest of the world is willing to finance the U.S. budget deficit.

  • Protectionism is likely to reduce both imports and exports by the same amount, leaving the trade deficit unchanged.

  • Ending foreign ownership of domestic assets would eliminate a trade deficit but slow economic growth.

  • One way to reduce the trade deficit is to boost the national savings rate.

  • The large U.S. trade deficits during the 1980s and 1990s do not appear to have harmed U.S. economics performance.

  • Trade deficits, by themselves, are neither good nor bad, as shown by the experience of United States.

  • The U.S. current-account deficit reflects national preferences for consumption, savings, and investment to which trade flows have adjusted in a timely manner.