1 BOARD OF EDUCATION Attachment: Information PALO ALTO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Date: 09.25.18 TO: Dr. Donald B. Austin, Superintendent FROM: Ms. Sharon Ofek, Chief Academic Officer, Secondary Education Report Prepared by Ms. Barbara Best, Ms. Diane Lund, Mr. Derek Moore, Ms. Sharon Ofek SUBJECT: 2018-19 Enrollment Report & Class Size Summary STRATEGIC PLAN INITIATIVE GOAL E. Governance and Communication: Create a focused, transparent governance process that is a model of informed communication, evidence-based decision-making, and clarity of responsibility between Board, District, and Sites. RECOMMENDATION This is an annual item that is presented for information only. No action is required. SUMMARY This report provides the Board with information about 2018-19 enrollment, class size, and associated trends. The annual report is based upon the 14 th day (August 31, 2018) enrollment. Data are provided in accompanying tables and graphs. The 2018-19 14 th day enrollment total of 11,938, compared to 12,230 for 2017-18, represents a decrease of 2.4%, or 292 students. (See Tables 1 and 2.) Disaggregated and historical views are provided in Tables 4 - 7 and Graphs 1 - 4.) The overall decrease is larger than that provided by the DecisionInsite forecast from January 2018, which projected a decline of 86 students. (See Table 3.) Given the construction plans recently communicated by both Stanford and the City of Palo Alto, enrollment growth forecasts over the next five years will provide important data to track and consider.
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BOARD OF EDUCATION Attachment: Information PALO ALTO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Date: 09.25.18 TO: Dr. Donald B. Austin, Superintendent FROM: Ms. Sharon Ofek, Chief Academic Officer, Secondary Education
Report Prepared by Ms. Barbara Best, Ms. Diane Lund, Mr. Derek Moore, Ms. Sharon Ofek SUBJECT: 2018-19 Enrollment Report & Class Size Summary STRATEGIC PLAN INITIATIVE GOAL E. Governance and Communication: Create a focused, transparent governance process that is a model of informed communication, evidence-based decision-making, and clarity of responsibility between Board, District, and Sites. RECOMMENDATION This is an annual item that is presented for information only. No action is required. SUMMARY This report provides the Board with information about 2018-19 enrollment, class size, and associated trends. The annual report is based upon the 14th day (August 31, 2018) enrollment. Data are provided in accompanying tables and graphs. The 2018-19 14th day enrollment total of 11,938, compared to 12,230 for 2017-18, represents a decrease of 2.4%, or 292 students. (See Tables 1 and 2.) Disaggregated and historical views are provided in Tables 4 - 7 and Graphs 1 - 4.) The overall decrease is larger than that provided by the DecisionInsite forecast from January 2018, which projected a decline of 86 students. (See Table 3.)
Given the construction plans recently communicated by both Stanford and the City of Palo Alto, enrollment growth forecasts over the next five years will provide important data to track and consider.
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ENROLLMENT DATA TABLES & GRAPHS Table 1 14th Day Enrollment Report 2018-2019 (8/31/2018) Table 1 provides details on enrollment by school and by grade on the 14th day. It also includes Children’s Hospital School, Alta Vista, and Middle College (68 students total).
Table 2 Grade Span Growth Summary Table 2 summarizes total K-12 enrollment, not including Children’s Hospital, Middle College, or Alta Vista. Between 2017-18 & 2018-19, grades K-5 decreased by 157 students, grades 6-8 decreased by 149 students, and grades 9-12 grew by 59 students. The total District enrollment has declined by 247 students.
K-5 6-8 9-12 Total
2018-19 4,936 2,858 4,079 11,873
2017-18 5,093 3,007 4,020 12,120
Growth -157 -149 59 -247
*Does not include alternative programs: Children’s Hospital, Middle College, or Alta Vista. Table 3 Forecast vs. Actual Enrollment Table 3 provides the District’s conservative and moderate growth projections, provided by DecisionInsite in January 2018, and the actual 14th day enrollment from Table 2. The actual 2018-19 enrollment decline of 247 students was well below the conservative forecast of an increase of 75.
K-5 6-8 9-12 Total
ConservativeForecast
-81 -83 78 -86
ModerateForecast -12 -61 111 38
14thDayEnrollment -157 -149 59 -247
*Does not include alternative programs: Children’s Hospital, Middle College, or Alta Vista.
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Table 4Demographic Summary by School Table 4 shows the ethnic breakdown by school.
Tables 5/5A K-5 Enrollment by Attendance Area of Residence/Overflows Table 5 shows where K-5 students live and where they are enrolled. As of the 14th day, 39 students were on the waitlist, to be offered a spot at their neighborhood school, when space becomes available. All other students who are attending their non-neighborhood school do so by choice. Families who move to a different neighborhood, or who were overflowed, are given the choice to stay at the currently enrolled school through the end of that school’s final grade. Students that choose to stay are considered intra-district transfers and are no longer counted as overflowed students.
Table 6 10-Year Elementary Enrollment by Attendance Area of Residence Comparison Report Table 6 provides the elementary enrollment growth/decline by area of residence.
As of August 31, 2018, with student schedules still in flux, most secondary class averages and section class sizes are hitting the established target for class size in the core subject areas and in World Language courses. All secondary principals carefully monitor class size and are aware that some sections, for various reasons, have enrollment greater than 32 students. In some cases, viability of splitting a larger section is currently being explored. The District will continue to engage in discussion with site leaders as they build master schedules, support efforts to balance sections within the master schedule, and commit to continuous review of staffing as Spring 2019 enrollment projections are available. Table 8 Elementary School Class Size Table 8 indicates class size by grade for each elementary school. School KN 1 2 3 4 5 Total
Addison
17 22 22 20 24 22
40219 22 21 20 24 22
17 22 21 20 24 23
20
BarronPark20 17 20 21 24 23
24718 20 20 19 21 24
Briones
14 19 23 23 24 24
30714 20 22 23 24 24
12 19 22
Duveneck
19 17 20 23 22 25
37219 17 20 22 20 22
19 20 21 21 24
21
ElCarmelo
16 19 23 21 24 23
36117 20 22 23 24 24
16 20 22 24 23
Escondido
18 22 22 22 24 24
533
16 21 19 21 24 23
15 21 SpanishImmersion
21 22 20 19 20 19
21 22 20 18 21 18
Fairmeadow
18 22 22 23 21 24
44717 22 21 23 20 24
18 22 22 23 20 23
18 20 24
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School KN 1 2 3 4 5 Total
Hays
15 19 23 23 24 20
37517 20 23 22 24 20
16 20 22 24 22
21
Hoover
20 21 22 23 21 24
39219 22 21 22 22 24
19 22 22 22 22 24
Nixon
16 21 24 23 22 22
44615 21 25 23 24 23
16 21 23 22 23 22
16 22 22
Ohlone
22 19 20
559
22 18 20
21 21 18
21 18 21
22 21 22
22 21 20
22 20 21
MandarinImmersion
22 22 20
22 22 20
PaloVerde
20 22 22 20 23 23
38618 22 21 21 23 24
17 21 22 21 22 24
YoungFives20 4121
TransitionalKindergarten
16
6818 17 17
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Table 9 Middle School Class Size Averages Table 9 shows average class size across middle schools and by grade level across the District.
99.8% of middle school core classes (English, Math, Science, Social Studies, and World Language) are at or below 32 students. Of the 544 core sections, one section has more than 32 students. (See attached raw data table.)
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Table 10 Middle School Class Size by Course Table 10 provides the number of sections, the average class size, the highest class size, and the lowest class size.
Table 11 High School Class Size (09/12/18) Table 11 shows average class size for high school core sections, by grade level across the District. 9 10 11&12 Average
Table 12 High School Class Sizes by Course Table 12 includes courses offered in each discipline by grade level, listing the number of sections, average class size, highest class size and lowest class size. Gunn Paly