BIOMASS FUTURES: Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications Bogdan ATANASIU [email protected].

BIOMASS FUTURES:

Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications

Bogdan [email protected]

EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011

Climate Change and Energy: EU 2020 targets

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EU GHG: 20% reduction

Renewable Energy: 20% renewable energy in final gross energy consumption Renewable in transport: 10% renewable energy

BaU 2020

energy efficiency target

renewable energy target

120% -20%80%

20%

Target 2020

EU final energy consumption in 2020

Energy Efficiency: 20% less energy than BaU

June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010

RES Directive and NREAPsRenewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive)

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• 20% share of RES in gross final consumption

• 10% share of RES in transport


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Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive):

– Indirect energy efficiency reporting – GHG emission reduction (tbd)

– Article 4: Compulsory NREAPs (tbd until 30 June 2010)– Roadmaps on H&C, electricity and transport– Progress monitoring (every 2 yrs.)

RES Directive and NREAPs


NREAPs: state of play

• Only 23 NREAPs sent by the end of Oct. 2010 (missing Pl, Hu, Es, Be)

• Some NREAPs still under improvement (i.e. UK, Ireland)

• Not all of them translated in English

• Several of them incomplete or lacking in providing enough details (i.e. Ro, Fi)

• Discrepancies between general RES trajectories and the declarations in the detailed tables (tables 10-12)

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Bioenergy in NREAPs

• The main contributor to the 2020 target: 54.5% of the RES target (124.5Mtoe) by 2020from59% of RES (76.3Mtoe) in 2010

• Complex issue raising questions on their sustainability and on their potential in reducing the GHG emissions.

• The contribution of biofuels produced from wastes, residues, non-food cellulosic material, and ligno-cellulosic material count twice that other biofuels

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Bioenergy: a complex problem

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RES roadmaps

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23 NREAPs reported energy efficiency improvements: 9.72% by 2020


9June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653

30/4/2010

Efforts in meeting the RES target

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30/4/201010

Bioenergy share in RES target

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30/4/201011


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Bioenergy in RES electricity

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30/4/20101212

Bioenergy in RES H&C

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30/4/20101313

Bioenergy in RES Transport

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30/4/2010141414

Biofuels article 21.2 and RES-T

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30/4/2010151515

Bioenergy feedstock: 2005 -2020

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30/4/2010161616

Bioenergy & NREAPs: conclusions

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• For some countries the effort in reaching the RES target will be significant

• Bio-energy is determinant in reaching the 2020 RES target: 54.4% (17.7% in RES-E, 80% in RES-H&C, 90% in RES-T)

• Solid biomass: the main contributor (36% in RES), decreasing in share but increasing in absolute value – question on sustainability in some cases (i.e. forest wood burning for household heating)

• CHP not enough considered by several countries (also in relation with DHC); little development by 2020 in EU: 17.7% CHP and 15.5% DHC

• RES-T target falling short for some countries (Bg, Cy, Mt.)

• Biofuels art. 21.2 are not properly declared by all the MSs; anticipate important role in meeting the RES-T target

• Estimated biofuel imports: 42%



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Thank you!

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IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development

and dissemination.

BIOMASS FUTURES: Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications Bogdan ATANASIU [email protected].

Documents

res target

share of res

res transport

res hc

nreaps slide

res roadmaps

res electricity

ec res directive