Page 1
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 6, 2012 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected] , OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Big Day Possible for Santorum
Raleigh, N.C. – Rick Santorum could be headed for a big day in today's contests in Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri. Missouri looks like a probable win for Santorum. He's at 45% there to 32% for Mitt Romney and 19% for Paul. Minnesota provides an opportunity for a win as well. Currently he has a small advantage with 33% to 24% for Romney, 22% for Newt Gingrich, and 20% for Ron Paul. And Santorum should get a second place finish in Colorado, where Romney appears to be the likely winner. The standings there are Romney at 37%, Santorum at 27%, Gingrich at 21%, and Paul at 13%.
Santorum's personal popularity is the main reason for his sudden reemergence as a relevant player in the GOP race. In all 3 of these states his favorability is over 70%- 74/17 in Minnesota, 72/17 in Missouri, and 71/19 in Colorado. He's far better liked than his main opponents- Romney's favorability is 47-60% in those states and Gingrich's is 47-48%. While Romney and Gingrich have hammered each other in recents weeks Santorum's been largely left alone and he's benefiting from that now.
There are three groups Santorum's winning in all three of these states: Tea Partiers, Evangelicals, and those describing themselves as 'very conservative.' Those were groups that had previously been in Gingrich's column, but it appears right leaning Republican voters are shifting toward Santorum as their primary alternative to Romney. If Santorum does pick up 2 wins and a 2nd place finish tomorrow that trend is likely to be accelerated.
“Rick Santorum has the potential to firmly establish himself as the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney today,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “If he can pick up two wins and a second it will raise significant questions about both Romney’s inevitability and about the purpose for Newt Gingrich’s continued presence in the race.”
PPP surveyed 938 likely Republican caucus voters in Colorado with a margin of error of +/-3.2% and 864 likely Republican caucus voters in Minnesota with a margin of error of +/-3.3% on February 4th and 6th, as well as 958 likely primary voters in Missouri on February 6th with a margin of error of +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Page 2
February 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Colorado Survey Results
Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican caucus or the Democratic caucus, or are you not sure?
100% Republican caucus..........................................
0% Democratic caucus .........................................
0% Not sure ..........................................................
Q2 If the Republican candidates for President were Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
21% Newt Gingrich .................................................
13% Ron Paul .........................................................
37% Mitt Romney....................................................
27% Rick Santorum ................................................
2% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
69% Strongly committed to that candidate..............
31% Might end up supporting someone else ..........
Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?
25% Newt Gingrich .................................................
10% Ron Paul .........................................................
17% Mitt Romney....................................................
23% Rick Santorum ................................................
25% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?
48% Favorable........................................................
40% Unfavorable ....................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?
41% Favorable........................................................
49% Unfavorable ....................................................
10% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
60% Favorable........................................................
32% Unfavorable ....................................................
8% Not sure ..........................................................
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?
71% Favorable........................................................
19% Unfavorable ....................................................
10% Not sure ..........................................................
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
50% Woman ...........................................................
50% Man.................................................................
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
12% 18 to 29...........................................................
28% 30 to 45...........................................................
36% 46 to 65...........................................................
24% Older than 65 ..................................................
Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
2% Very liberal ......................................................
4% Somewhat liberal ............................................
14% Moderate.........................................................
34% Somewhat conservative..................................
47% Very conservative ...........................................
Page 3
February 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
35% Yes..................................................................
53% No ...................................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
45% Are an Evangelical ..........................................
55% Are not ............................................................
Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
19% Newt Gingrich .................................................
9% Ron Paul .........................................................
49% Mitt Romney....................................................
12% Rick Santorum ................................................
11% Someone else/Not sure .................................
Page 4
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
21% 20% 23%
14% 14% 13%
38% 41% 32%
27% 25% 32%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% - 27% 33% 37% 14%
13% 8% - 16% 12% 23%
37% 47% 45% - 51% 38%
27% 45% 28% 50% - 17%
2% - - - - 8%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 41% 1% 4%
13% 5% 23% 12%
37% 25% 53% 34%
27% 27% 22% 41%
2% 2% 1% 8%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 18% 23% 18%
13% 30% 1% 3%
37% 33% 40% 42%
27% 17% 34% 30%
2% 1% 2% 7%
Page 5
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 15% 29% 29%
13% 7% 24% 17%
37% 58% 3% 20%
27% 19% 42% 25%
2% 1% 2% 9%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 20% 24% 17%
13% 8% 29% 22%
37% 33% 45% 52%
27% 37% 0% 4%
2% 2% 2% 5%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 21% 20%
13% 9% 17%
37% 38% 37%
27% 30% 24%
2% 2% 2%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 22% 18% 19% 24%
13% 17% 19% 12% 6%
37% 31% 34% 39% 43%
27% 29% 25% 29% 24%
2% - 3% 1% 3%
Page 6
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 37% 25% 12% 19% 23%
13% 42% 33% 21% 14% 8%
37% 16% 21% 56% 46% 28%
27% 4% 13% 11% 19% 39%
2% - 8% - 2% 2%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 24% 18% 21%
13% 10% 16% 13%
37% 31% 43% 31%
27% 34% 21% 32%
2% 1% 2% 3%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 24% 18%
13% 8% 18%
37% 28% 46%
27% 38% 18%
2% 3% 1%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 74% 6% 7% 3% 17%
13% 4% 85% 6% 3% 13%
37% 4% 3% 70% 1% 19%
27% 17% 6% 15% 93% 40%
2% 1% - 1% - 10%
Page 7
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
New tGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 65% 70% 74% 63%
31% 35% 30% 26% 37%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% - 15% 30% 41% -
10% 13% - 12% 11% -
17% 27% 21% - 32% -
23% 42% 21% 32% - -
25% 17% 43% 25% 16% 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 96% 19% 33% 49% 41%
40% 2% 70% 57% 33% 11%
12% 3% 11% 11% 18% 48%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 37% 93% 37% 26% 19%
49% 55% 5% 53% 63% 47%
10% 8% 2% 11% 11% 34%
Page 8
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 43% 31% 93% 42% 40%
32% 46% 58% 2% 50% 26%
8% 12% 10% 4% 8% 34%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 70% 41% 63% 98% 58%
19% 22% 42% 23% 0% 16%
10% 9% 17% 14% 2% 26%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 50% 36% 51% 55% 52%
50% 50% 64% 49% 45% 48%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 13% 16% 10% 13% -
28% 25% 40% 25% 27% 45%
36% 34% 33% 37% 39% 24%
24% 28% 11% 28% 22% 32%
Page 9
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 5% 1% 0% -
4% 5% 10% 2% 2% 16%
14% 8% 22% 21% 6% -
34% 31% 36% 41% 24% 37%
47% 53% 27% 35% 68% 47%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 41% 25% 29% 45% 21%
53% 47% 63% 62% 41% 63%
12% 12% 11% 10% 14% 16%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 52% 27% 33% 63% 72%
55% 48% 73% 67% 37% 28%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 69% 5% 2% 12% 12%
9% 3% 58% 1% 2% -
49% 17% 23% 91% 28% 32%
12% 2% 3% 0% 42% -
11% 9% 11% 6% 16% 55%
Page 10
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 100% -
31% - 100%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 22% 31%
10% 11% 10%
17% 12% 28%
24% 26% 20%
23% 29% 10%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 44% 59%
40% 46% 28%
11% 10% 13%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 41% 43%
49% 51% 46%
9% 8% 12%
Page 11
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 58% 66%
32% 37% 21%
8% 5% 12%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 69% 75%
19% 22% 12%
10% 9% 13%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 50% 48%
50% 50% 52%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 12%
28% 27% 30%
36% 37% 36%
24% 24% 23%
Page 12
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Ideology
Very liberal
Somew hat liberal
Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 2%
4% 4% 3%
14% 14% 14%
34% 34% 33%
47% 46% 49%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 35% 36%
53% 54% 51%
12% 11% 13%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 44% 47%
55% 56% 53%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 19% 19%
9% 11% 5%
49% 46% 57%
12% 15% 6%
10% 9% 13%
Page 13
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 61% 70% 48% 73% 86%
31% 39% 30% 52% 27% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 100% - - - -
10% - 100% - - -
17% - - 100% - -
23% - - - 100% -
25% - - - - 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 75% 36% 50% 51% 24%
40% 15% 52% 38% 45% 55%
12% 10% 12% 12% 4% 21%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 31% 78% 38% 40% 39%
49% 60% 16% 54% 54% 45%
10% 9% 6% 8% 6% 16%
Page 14
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 59% 61% 80% 59% 48%
32% 35% 35% 13% 34% 39%
8% 6% 4% 7% 7% 13%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 77% 58% 78% 89% 47%
19% 13% 31% 12% 8% 35%
10% 10% 11% 10% 2% 19%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 45% 55% 50% 52% 50%
50% 55% 45% 50% 48% 50%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 14% 9% 12% 12%
28% 26% 38% 28% 23% 31%
36% 36% 27% 37% 41% 35%
24% 23% 21% 27% 25% 23%
Page 15
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 0% 4% 2% - 3%
4% 2% 5% 4% 2% 7%
14% 11% 27% 10% 10% 18%
34% 34% 37% 33% 36% 30%
47% 52% 27% 51% 52% 42%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 42% 21% 41% 39% 26%
53% 46% 68% 47% 50% 62%
12% 13% 10% 12% 11% 12%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 45% 48% 51% 46% 39%
55% 55% 52% 49% 54% 61%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 13% 21% 22% 29% 13%
9% 3% 7% 8% 7% 19%
49% 52% 52% 45% 55% 42%
12% 20% 12% 17% 3% 10%
11% 12% 8% 8% 7% 17%
Page 16
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 62% 78% 63%
31% 38% 22% 37%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 38% 9% 20%
10% 8% 13% 10%
17% 17% 16% 17%
23% 25% 26% 9%
25% 12% 35% 44%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 100% - -
40% - 100% -
12% - - 100%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 38% 49% 28%
49% 57% 45% 33%
10% 5% 6% 38%
Page 17
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 58% 67% 44%
32% 35% 29% 29%
8% 6% 4% 27%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 80% 62% 63%
19% 14% 29% 6%
10% 7% 9% 30%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 47% 50% 58%
50% 53% 50% 42%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 12% 9%
28% 26% 28% 35%
36% 36% 36% 34%
24% 25% 23% 23%
Page 18
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 2% 3%
4% 3% 4% 6%
14% 8% 21% 15%
34% 33% 35% 36%
47% 55% 39% 41%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 45% 26% 21%
53% 43% 66% 55%
12% 12% 8% 24%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 49% 37% 59%
55% 51% 63% 41%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 36% 1% 9%
9% 3% 17% 7%
49% 40% 62% 44%
12% 12% 11% 18%
11% 9% 9% 22%
Page 19
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 68% 71% 59%
31% 32% 29% 41%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 19% 30% 23%
10% 19% 3% 6%
17% 16% 18% 13%
23% 23% 26% 15%
25% 24% 23% 42%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 44% 56% 27%
40% 47% 36% 26%
12% 8% 8% 47%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 100% - -
49% - 100% -
10% - - 100%
Page 20
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 60% 61% 51%
32% 34% 32% 22%
8% 5% 7% 27%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 66% 77% 55%
19% 24% 17% 5%
10% 9% 6% 40%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 47% 50% 59%
50% 53% 50% 41%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 12% 11%
28% 35% 22% 28%
36% 33% 39% 37%
24% 20% 27% 25%
Page 21
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 1% 1%
4% 6% 3% 2%
14% 20% 9% 15%
34% 34% 31% 47%
47% 37% 57% 36%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 30% 42% 20%
53% 58% 49% 59%
12% 12% 9% 21%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 39% 50% 46%
55% 61% 50% 54%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 16% 22% 17%
9% 20% 1% 1%
49% 46% 51% 53%
12% 9% 16% 7%
11% 9% 10% 21%
Page 22
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 65% 79% 48%
31% 35% 21% 52%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 24% 27% 19%
10% 11% 11% 5%
17% 22% 7% 14%
23% 23% 25% 22%
25% 20% 31% 40%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 47% 53% 39%
40% 44% 36% 21%
12% 9% 11% 40%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 41% 44% 26%
49% 50% 49% 42%
10% 8% 7% 32%
Page 23
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 100% - -
32% - 100% -
8% - - 100%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 72% 71% 55%
19% 18% 23% 10%
10% 10% 6% 35%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 50% 48% 58%
50% 50% 52% 42%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 13% 8%
28% 25% 33% 31%
36% 36% 35% 42%
24% 27% 19% 19%
Page 24
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 2% 2%
4% 3% 5% 6%
14% 16% 11% 11%
34% 38% 26% 32%
47% 41% 57% 48%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 34% 40% 22%
53% 55% 50% 54%
12% 11% 10% 24%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 41% 51% 58%
55% 59% 49% 42%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 14% 29% 16%
9% 3% 20% 7%
49% 71% 11% 38%
12% 5% 25% 9%
11% 7% 14% 30%
Page 25
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 67% 80% 61%
31% 33% 20% 39%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 27% 17% 23%
10% 8% 17% 11%
17% 18% 11% 17%
23% 30% 10% 6%
25% 17% 46% 44%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 54% 35% 30%
40% 35% 61% 35%
12% 11% 4% 34%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 38% 53% 37%
49% 54% 45% 26%
10% 8% 2% 37%
Page 26
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 61% 57% 56%
32% 32% 39% 17%
8% 6% 4% 27%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 100% - -
19% - 100% -
10% - - 100%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 51% 40% 60%
50% 49% 60% 40%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 11% 12%
28% 25% 36% 32%
36% 38% 30% 34%
24% 25% 23% 21%
Page 27
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 3% 2%
4% 2% 10% 3%
14% 9% 26% 23%
34% 32% 33% 50%
47% 56% 28% 22%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 41% 24% 13%
53% 49% 63% 62%
12% 10% 12% 25%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 50% 29% 44%
55% 50% 71% 56%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 21% 17% 10%
9% 5% 22% 13%
49% 47% 50% 58%
12% 17% - 2%
11% 10% 10% 16%
Page 28
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 70% 68%
31% 30% 32%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 22% 27%
10% 11% 9%
17% 17% 17%
23% 25% 22%
25% 25% 25%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 46% 51%
40% 40% 40%
12% 14% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 39% 43%
49% 50% 49%
10% 11% 8%
Page 29
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 60% 60%
32% 31% 33%
8% 9% 7%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 72% 69%
19% 15% 23%
10% 13% 8%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 100% -
50% - 100%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 10%
28% 25% 31%
36% 36% 36%
24% 25% 23%
Page 30
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 1%
4% 3% 5%
14% 15% 13%
34% 33% 34%
47% 47% 46%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 31% 38%
53% 56% 51%
12% 13% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 51% 40%
55% 49% 60%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 20% 18%
9% 7% 11%
49% 48% 50%
12% 13% 12%
11% 13% 9%
Page 31
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 69% 66% 69% 70%
31% 31% 34% 31% 30%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 29% 23% 25% 24%
10% 12% 14% 8% 9%
17% 12% 17% 17% 19%
23% 22% 19% 26% 25%
25% 24% 27% 24% 24%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 50% 45% 49% 50%
40% 41% 40% 40% 39%
12% 9% 15% 11% 11%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 41% 52% 37% 34%
49% 50% 39% 53% 56%
10% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Page 32
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 60% 54% 60% 68%
32% 34% 38% 31% 26%
8% 5% 9% 9% 6%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 72% 64% 74% 73%
19% 17% 24% 16% 18%
10% 10% 12% 10% 9%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 57% 45% 50% 51%
50% 43% 55% 50% 49%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 100% - - -
28% - 100% - -
36% - - 100% -
24% - - - 100%
Page 33
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 5% 1% 1% 1%
4% 7% 6% 2% 3%
14% 12% 19% 12% 12%
34% 24% 31% 39% 35%
47% 52% 43% 46% 50%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 41% 25% 39% 38%
53% 48% 62% 50% 51%
12% 10% 13% 11% 12%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 41% 41% 46% 51%
55% 59% 59% 54% 49%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 26% 15% 17% 24%
9% 10% 15% 8% 3%
49% 41% 48% 52% 50%
12% 12% 13% 13% 10%
11% 10% 10% 11% 13%
Page 34
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 64% 77% 70% 69% 67%
31% 36% 23% 30% 31% 33%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 4% 15% 19% 25% 27%
10% 29% 13% 20% 11% 6%
17% 19% 16% 12% 17% 18%
23% - 14% 16% 25% 26%
25% 48% 43% 33% 22% 22%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 37% 40% 28% 46% 56%
40% 41% 42% 59% 41% 33%
12% 22% 18% 12% 13% 10%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 71% 60% 59% 42% 32%
49% 25% 35% 30% 45% 60%
10% 4% 4% 11% 13% 7%
Page 35
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 48% 49% 68% 68% 53%
32% 41% 38% 25% 24% 39%
8% 11% 13% 6% 8% 8%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 52% 40% 47% 66% 84%
19% 36% 51% 35% 18% 11%
10% 12% 9% 18% 15% 5%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 70% 37% 52% 49% 50%
50% 30% 63% 48% 51% 50%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 39% 22% 10% 9% 13%
28% 22% 42% 38% 25% 26%
36% 30% 20% 30% 41% 36%
24% 9% 17% 21% 25% 25%
Page 36
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somew hatliberal Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Veryconservative
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 100% - - - -
4% - 100% - - -
14% - - 100% - -
34% - - - 100% -
47% - - - - 100%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 39% 25% 14% 28% 47%
53% 55% 63% 72% 60% 43%
12% 6% 12% 14% 12% 11%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 59% 34% 25% 38% 57%
55% 41% 66% 75% 62% 43%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 26% 28% 7% 17% 24%
9% 36% 24% 19% 9% 4%
49% 27% 36% 57% 55% 44%
12% 4% 5% 4% 9% 18%
11% 6% 7% 14% 11% 11%
Page 37
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 68% 70% 65%
31% 32% 30% 35%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 29% 21% 27%
10% 6% 13% 9%
17% 20% 15% 17%
23% 26% 22% 21%
25% 18% 29% 26%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 63% 39% 48%
40% 30% 49% 28%
12% 7% 12% 24%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 36% 44% 42%
49% 59% 45% 40%
10% 6% 11% 18%
Page 38
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 58% 62% 56%
32% 37% 30% 28%
8% 5% 8% 16%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 83% 65% 58%
19% 13% 22% 20%
10% 4% 12% 22%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 45% 52% 56%
50% 55% 48% 44%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 11% 11%
28% 20% 33% 31%
36% 40% 34% 35%
24% 26% 23% 24%
Page 39
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 2% 1%
4% 3% 5% 4%
14% 6% 19% 17%
34% 27% 38% 36%
47% 63% 37% 43%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 100% - -
53% - 100% -
12% - - 100%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 56% 38% 49%
55% 44% 62% 51%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 25% 16% 14%
9% 7% 11% 9%
49% 44% 56% 33%
12% 18% 9% 8%
11% 6% 9% 36%
Page 40
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 67% 70%
31% 33% 30%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 25% 24%
10% 11% 10%
17% 19% 15%
23% 24% 23%
25% 21% 28%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 52% 45%
40% 33% 46%
12% 15% 9%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 35% 46%
49% 55% 45%
10% 10% 9%
Page 41
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 54% 65%
32% 36% 29%
8% 10% 6%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 77% 65%
19% 12% 24%
10% 10% 11%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 56% 45%
50% 44% 55%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 11% 13%
28% 26% 30%
36% 36% 36%
24% 27% 21%
Page 42
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 1%
4% 3% 5%
14% 8% 19%
34% 28% 38%
47% 59% 37%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 43% 28%
53% 44% 61%
12% 13% 11%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 100% -
55% - 100%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 24% 15%
9% 6% 12%
49% 42% 55%
12% 17% 8%
11% 11% 11%
Page 43
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
69% 68% 82% 64% 86% 60%
31% 32% 18% 36% 14% 40%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
25% 17% 8% 26% 41% 27%
10% 11% 8% 11% 10% 8%
17% 20% 16% 15% 23% 12%
23% 36% 17% 26% 5% 14%
25% 17% 51% 21% 21% 39%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 92% 14% 39% 47% 42%
40% 3% 77% 50% 35% 34%
12% 6% 9% 11% 18% 24%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 35% 93% 38% 29% 34%
49% 57% 6% 51% 66% 47%
10% 9% 1% 11% 5% 19%
Page 44
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
60% 44% 23% 86% 27% 36%
32% 49% 71% 7% 67% 41%
8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 22%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
71% 77% 38% 68% 99% 67%
19% 17% 47% 19% - 18%
10% 6% 16% 12% 1% 16%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 52% 39% 49% 52% 58%
50% 48% 61% 51% 48% 42%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 16% 14% 10% 12% 11%
28% 22% 48% 27% 29% 25%
36% 32% 31% 38% 39% 35%
24% 31% 7% 24% 20% 28%
Page 45
February 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 938 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1%
4% 6% 10% 3% 2% 3%
14% 5% 29% 16% 4% 18%
34% 29% 34% 38% 25% 33%
47% 58% 21% 42% 69% 45%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
35% 46% 25% 31% 53% 19%
53% 45% 63% 61% 40% 43%
12% 9% 12% 8% 8% 38%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
45% 58% 30% 39% 63% 44%
55% 42% 70% 61% 37% 56%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 100% - - - -
9% - 100% - - -
49% - - 100% - -
12% - - - 100% -
11% - - - - 100%
Page 46
February 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Minnesota Survey Results
Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican caucus or the Democratic caucus, or are you not sure?
100% Republican caucus..........................................
0% Democratic caucus .........................................
0% Not sure ..........................................................
Q2 If the Republican candidates for President were Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
22% Newt Gingrich .................................................
20% Ron Paul .........................................................
24% Mitt Romney....................................................
33% Rick Santorum ................................................
2% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
65% Strongly committed to that candidate..............
35% Might end up supporting someone else ..........
Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?
20% Newt Gingrich .................................................
10% Ron Paul .........................................................
20% Mitt Romney....................................................
25% Rick Santorum ................................................
24% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?
47% Favorable........................................................
40% Unfavorable ....................................................
13% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?
49% Favorable........................................................
39% Unfavorable ....................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
48% Favorable........................................................
41% Unfavorable ....................................................
11% Not sure ..........................................................
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?
74% Favorable........................................................
17% Unfavorable ....................................................
9% Not sure ..........................................................
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
50% Woman ...........................................................
50% Man.................................................................
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
13% 18 to 29...........................................................
23% 30 to 45...........................................................
40% 46 to 65...........................................................
24% Older than 65 ..................................................
Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
2% Very liberal ......................................................
5% Somewhat liberal ............................................
17% Moderate.........................................................
35% Somewhat conservative..................................
41% Very conservative ...........................................
Page 47
February 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
33% Yes..................................................................
55% No ...................................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
49% Are an Evangelical ..........................................
51% Are not ............................................................
Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
23% Newt Gingrich .................................................
11% Ron Paul .........................................................
35% Mitt Romney....................................................
17% Rick Santorum ................................................
14% Someone else/Not sure .................................
Page 48
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
22% 25% 17%
20% 22% 17%
24% 24% 24%
33% 29% 41%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% - 28% 30% 40% 11%
20% 11% - 21% 23% 30%
24% 28% 30% - 36% 24%
33% 61% 42% 49% - 25%
2% - - - - 10%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 43% 3% 4%
20% 10% 30% 20%
24% 16% 33% 26%
33% 30% 32% 44%
2% 1% 3% 5%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 17% 29% 18%
20% 38% 1% 5%
24% 18% 29% 29%
33% 25% 39% 42%
2% 1% 2% 6%
Page 49
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 15% 30% 20%
20% 10% 32% 15%
24% 44% 2% 16%
33% 30% 32% 46%
2% 1% 3% 3%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 22% 23% 17%
20% 13% 44% 27%
24% 20% 27% 48%
33% 43% 2% 4%
2% 2% 5% 4%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 20% 23%
20% 14% 25%
24% 26% 21%
33% 37% 29%
2% 3% 2%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 20% 21% 22% 23%
20% 31% 29% 16% 10%
24% 12% 23% 24% 31%
33% 29% 26% 37% 34%
2% 8% 1% 1% 2%
Page 50
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 31% 31% 16% 21% 23%
20% 26% 19% 36% 18% 14%
24% 24% 26% 30% 30% 16%
33% 20% 14% 18% 29% 45%
2% - 10% 1% 2% 3%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 26% 19% 21%
20% 16% 22% 14%
24% 18% 27% 26%
33% 37% 29% 36%
2% 3% 2% 2%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 24% 19%
20% 13% 25%
24% 20% 27%
33% 41% 25%
2% 1% 3%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
22% 71% 6% 6% 6% 14%
20% 7% 81% 12% 7% 22%
24% 4% 3% 59% 2% 11%
33% 18% 6% 22% 85% 42%
2% 0% 4% 1% - 11%
Page 51
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
New tGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 72% 70% 65% 57%
35% 28% 30% 35% 43%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% - 11% 24% 38% -
10% 13% - 13% 13% -
20% 28% 21% - 30% -
25% 46% 30% 39% - -
24% 12% 37% 24% 19% 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 92% 25% 31% 43% 25%
40% 5% 61% 55% 39% 47%
13% 3% 14% 15% 18% 28%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 38% 96% 38% 38% 29%
39% 52% 1% 48% 47% 39%
12% 10% 3% 15% 15% 32%
Page 52
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 34% 24% 89% 44% 26%
41% 57% 67% 4% 40% 60%
11% 10% 8% 7% 15% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 75% 50% 63% 98% 52%
17% 18% 38% 19% 1% 34%
9% 7% 12% 18% 1% 15%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 46% 36% 55% 56% 54%
50% 54% 64% 45% 44% 46%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 12% 20% 6% 11% 47%
23% 22% 35% 23% 18% 5%
40% 40% 33% 40% 45% 25%
24% 26% 13% 31% 25% 23%
Page 53
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 3% 2% 1% -
5% 7% 4% 5% 2% 19%
17% 12% 31% 22% 9% 5%
35% 34% 32% 44% 31% 31%
41% 44% 30% 27% 57% 45%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 39% 28% 24% 37% 36%
55% 49% 64% 62% 49% 56%
12% 12% 9% 13% 13% 9%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 55% 34% 41% 61% 31%
51% 45% 66% 59% 39% 69%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 73% 9% 4% 12% 4%
11% 3% 48% 2% 2% 19%
35% 10% 22% 86% 24% 13%
17% 4% 6% 2% 44% -
14% 9% 16% 7% 18% 65%
Page 54
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 100% -
35% - 100%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 19% 23%
11% 11% 10%
20% 16% 28%
26% 27% 23%
22% 26% 15%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 46% 50%
40% 42% 35%
13% 12% 15%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 52% 44%
39% 39% 40%
11% 9% 16%
Page 55
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 46% 54%
41% 46% 31%
11% 8% 15%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
75% 73% 77%
17% 19% 13%
9% 8% 10%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gender
Woman
Man
49% 49% 50%
51% 51% 50%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 8%
23% 23% 24%
40% 39% 44%
24% 24% 24%
Page 56
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Ideology
Very liberal
Somew hat liberal
Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 2%
4% 5% 4%
17% 18% 15%
35% 32% 39%
41% 42% 40%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 31% 35%
55% 57% 53%
12% 12% 12%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
50% 48% 52%
50% 52% 48%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 24% 22%
11% 14% 6%
35% 32% 43%
17% 19% 14%
13% 11% 16%
Page 57
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 60% 66% 51% 68% 76%
35% 40% 34% 49% 32% 24%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 100% - - - -
10% - 100% - - -
20% - - 100% - -
25% - - - 100% -
24% - - - - 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 69% 39% 48% 53% 25%
40% 12% 46% 41% 38% 61%
13% 20% 16% 11% 9% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 33% 80% 47% 50% 49%
39% 51% 9% 44% 43% 34%
12% 16% 11% 9% 7% 17%
Page 58
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 47% 33% 82% 43% 34%
41% 41% 56% 11% 50% 51%
11% 13% 11% 7% 7% 16%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 81% 69% 81% 90% 49%
17% 11% 18% 16% 6% 35%
9% 7% 13% 3% 5% 17%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 56% 40% 47% 50% 49%
50% 44% 60% 53% 50% 51%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 11% 17% 12% 9% 18%
23% 24% 22% 26% 21% 22%
40% 41% 42% 41% 45% 33%
24% 24% 19% 22% 25% 27%
Page 59
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 4%
5% 4% 7% 3% 2% 7%
17% 14% 17% 14% 15% 25%
35% 35% 33% 37% 39% 28%
41% 45% 38% 44% 43% 36%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 38% 26% 37% 37% 23%
55% 51% 62% 51% 53% 62%
12% 12% 12% 12% 9% 15%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 47% 45% 58% 51% 44%
51% 53% 55% 42% 49% 56%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Caucus 2nd Choice
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 25% 18% 20% 36% 12%
11% 7% 6% 7% 11% 22%
35% 30% 33% 48% 39% 24%
17% 27% 30% 17% 7% 13%
14% 12% 14% 8% 7% 29%
Page 60
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 63% 68% 60%
35% 37% 32% 40%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 30% 6% 30%
10% 9% 12% 12%
20% 21% 20% 17%
25% 28% 24% 17%
24% 13% 37% 24%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 100% - -
40% - 100% -
13% - - 100%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 45% 58% 35%
39% 47% 34% 29%
12% 8% 8% 36%
Page 61
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 48% 51% 39%
41% 43% 43% 27%
11% 8% 6% 34%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 82% 69% 63%
17% 12% 26% 6%
9% 6% 5% 30%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 49% 48% 56%
50% 51% 52% 44%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 11% 15% 13%
23% 23% 26% 17%
40% 43% 37% 37%
24% 23% 22% 33%
Page 62
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 1% 3%
5% 4% 5% 4%
17% 14% 21% 15%
35% 34% 35% 37%
41% 45% 37% 42%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 41% 24% 29%
55% 48% 66% 52%
12% 11% 10% 19%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 52% 44% 53%
51% 48% 56% 47%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 43% 3% 10%
11% 6% 19% 9%
35% 25% 46% 36%
17% 15% 17% 21%
14% 10% 15% 24%
Page 63
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 69% 64% 51%
35% 31% 36% 49%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 14% 26% 27%
10% 17% 2% 10%
20% 19% 23% 14%
25% 26% 28% 14%
24% 24% 21% 35%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 43% 56% 33%
40% 47% 34% 26%
13% 10% 10% 41%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 100% - -
39% - 100% -
12% - - 100%
Page 64
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 43% 57% 43%
41% 50% 35% 22%
11% 7% 8% 36%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 73% 80% 59%
17% 20% 16% 9%
9% 7% 4% 32%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 43% 51% 69%
50% 57% 49% 31%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 17% 9% 9%
23% 25% 22% 22%
40% 40% 41% 39%
24% 19% 29% 30%
Page 65
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 4% 1% 1%
5% 4% 5% 6%
17% 21% 15% 10%
35% 34% 32% 45%
41% 37% 48% 39%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 34% 35% 19%
55% 57% 54% 56%
12% 10% 11% 25%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 41% 55% 63%
51% 59% 45% 37%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 17% 28% 26%
11% 21% 2% 5%
35% 32% 38% 36%
17% 17% 19% 7%
14% 13% 12% 26%
Page 66
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 61% 73% 51%
35% 39% 27% 49%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 20% 20% 24%
10% 7% 14% 11%
20% 34% 5% 13%
25% 22% 30% 17%
24% 17% 30% 35%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 47% 49% 36%
40% 42% 42% 21%
13% 11% 9% 43%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 43% 60% 31%
39% 46% 34% 30%
12% 10% 6% 39%
Page 67
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 100% - -
41% - 100% -
11% - - 100%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 78% 72% 62%
17% 13% 23% 10%
9% 8% 4% 28%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 51% 46% 55%
50% 49% 54% 45%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 10% 18% 10%
23% 22% 25% 18%
40% 42% 38% 42%
24% 27% 19% 30%
Page 68
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 3% 3%
5% 5% 5% 2%
17% 16% 19% 13%
35% 38% 27% 48%
41% 40% 46% 34%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 31% 35% 31%
55% 57% 56% 43%
12% 11% 9% 26%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 49% 48% 53%
51% 51% 52% 47%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 14% 34% 20%
11% 3% 22% 7%
35% 60% 8% 24%
17% 14% 20% 19%
14% 9% 16% 30%
Page 69
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 63% 72% 61%
35% 37% 28% 39%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 22% 14% 17%
10% 10% 11% 15%
20% 22% 18% 7%
25% 30% 8% 14%
24% 16% 49% 46%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 52% 34% 32%
40% 37% 61% 22%
13% 11% 5% 46%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 48% 57% 39%
39% 43% 37% 17%
12% 9% 6% 44%
Page 70
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 51% 38% 45%
41% 40% 56% 21%
11% 9% 6% 34%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 100% - -
17% - 100% -
9% - - 100%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 51% 43% 47%
50% 49% 57% 53%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 11% 22% 13%
23% 21% 27% 29%
40% 42% 32% 37%
24% 26% 19% 21%
Page 71
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 3% 6%
5% 2% 14% 5%
17% 12% 38% 20%
35% 36% 25% 44%
41% 48% 20% 25%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 37% 20% 21%
55% 51% 72% 56%
12% 12% 8% 23%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 55% 26% 46%
51% 45% 74% 54%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 24% 22% 12%
11% 7% 29% 15%
35% 34% 33% 47%
17% 22% 1% -
14% 12% 15% 26%
Page 72
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 64% 65%
35% 36% 35%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 23% 18%
10% 8% 12%
20% 19% 21%
25% 26% 25%
24% 24% 24%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 46% 47%
40% 39% 41%
13% 15% 12%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 43% 55%
39% 41% 38%
12% 17% 7%
Page 73
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 50% 46%
41% 38% 44%
11% 12% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 77% 72%
17% 15% 19%
9% 8% 9%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 100% -
50% - 100%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 12% 14%
23% 23% 23%
40% 37% 43%
24% 28% 20%
Page 74
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 3%
5% 4% 5%
17% 17% 17%
35% 33% 36%
41% 44% 39%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 30% 35%
55% 54% 56%
12% 16% 8%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 54% 45%
51% 46% 55%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 23% 23%
11% 9% 14%
35% 36% 34%
17% 16% 18%
14% 17% 11%
Page 75
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 76% 64% 62% 64%
35% 24% 36% 38% 36%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 17% 21% 21% 21%
10% 14% 10% 11% 8%
20% 19% 22% 20% 18%
25% 17% 23% 28% 26%
24% 34% 23% 20% 27%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 39% 46% 51% 46%
40% 47% 45% 37% 36%
13% 14% 10% 12% 18%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 64% 52% 49% 38%
39% 27% 37% 40% 47%
12% 8% 11% 12% 15%
Page 76
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 36% 46% 50% 54%
41% 56% 45% 39% 33%
11% 8% 9% 11% 13%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 63% 69% 78% 79%
17% 29% 20% 14% 13%
9% 8% 11% 8% 8%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 47% 49% 46% 58%
50% 53% 51% 54% 42%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 100% - - -
23% - 100% - -
40% - - 100% -
24% - - - 100%
Page 77
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 8% 2% 1% 1%
5% 8% 3% 4% 5%
17% 19% 16% 18% 16%
35% 36% 35% 34% 36%
41% 29% 45% 44% 42%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 31% 30% 39% 26%
55% 64% 56% 50% 58%
12% 5% 13% 11% 16%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 41% 43% 50% 58%
51% 59% 57% 50% 42%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 20% 21% 23% 25%
11% 25% 20% 7% 4%
35% 24% 36% 34% 41%
17% 14% 13% 20% 16%
14% 17% 10% 15% 14%
Page 78
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 66% 69% 69% 60% 66%
35% 34% 31% 31% 40% 34%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 14% 20% 17% 21% 22%
10% 21% 17% 10% 10% 10%
20% 14% 14% 17% 22% 21%
25% 8% 12% 22% 28% 26%
24% 43% 38% 35% 20% 21%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 56% 44% 39% 45% 51%
40% 24% 45% 50% 40% 36%
13% 20% 11% 11% 14% 13%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 80% 46% 59% 48% 44%
39% 14% 39% 34% 37% 45%
12% 6% 15% 7% 15% 11%
Page 79
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 34% 48% 46% 53% 46%
41% 50% 47% 46% 32% 45%
11% 16% 5% 8% 15% 9%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 49% 39% 51% 77% 87%
17% 25% 51% 38% 12% 8%
9% 26% 9% 10% 11% 5%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 29% 47% 49% 48% 53%
50% 71% 53% 51% 52% 47%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 51% 24% 14% 13% 9%
23% 17% 16% 22% 23% 25%
40% 16% 35% 41% 39% 42%
24% 16% 25% 23% 25% 24%
Page 80
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somew hatliberal Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Veryconservative
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 100% - - - -
5% - 100% - - -
17% - - 100% - -
35% - - - 100% -
41% - - - - 100%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 40% 23% 17% 24% 48%
55% 55% 73% 76% 61% 40%
12% 5% 4% 8% 15% 12%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 69% 30% 36% 41% 62%
51% 31% 70% 64% 59% 38%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 11% 31% 20% 23% 24%
11% 34% 18% 20% 9% 8%
35% 28% 35% 38% 42% 28%
17% 15% 3% 11% 11% 26%
14% 11% 13% 10% 15% 15%
Page 81
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 62% 66% 64%
35% 38% 34% 36%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 23% 19% 20%
10% 8% 12% 11%
20% 23% 18% 20%
25% 28% 24% 20%
24% 17% 27% 30%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 59% 40% 44%
40% 29% 47% 34%
13% 12% 12% 22%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 51% 50% 39%
39% 42% 38% 36%
12% 7% 12% 24%
Page 82
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 46% 50% 45%
41% 44% 42% 32%
11% 10% 8% 23%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 84% 69% 72%
17% 11% 22% 11%
9% 6% 9% 17%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 46% 49% 64%
50% 54% 51% 36%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 12% 15% 5%
23% 21% 23% 25%
40% 48% 36% 37%
24% 19% 25% 32%
Page 83
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 2% 1%
5% 3% 6% 1%
17% 9% 23% 11%
35% 25% 38% 44%
41% 60% 30% 43%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 100% - -
55% - 100% -
12% - - 100%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 62% 40% 56%
51% 38% 60% 44%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 27% 20% 20%
11% 10% 13% 8%
35% 32% 37% 34%
17% 22% 14% 13%
14% 8% 15% 25%
Page 84
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 63% 67%
35% 37% 33%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 19% 21%
10% 9% 11%
20% 24% 17%
25% 26% 24%
24% 22% 27%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 50% 44%
40% 36% 44%
13% 14% 12%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 41% 57%
39% 44% 35%
12% 15% 9%
Page 85
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 48% 48%
41% 40% 42%
11% 12% 10%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 83% 66%
17% 9% 25%
9% 8% 9%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 54% 45%
50% 46% 55%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 11% 15%
23% 20% 26%
40% 41% 39%
24% 28% 20%
Page 86
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 1%
5% 3% 6%
17% 12% 21%
35% 29% 40%
41% 52% 31%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 41% 24%
55% 45% 65%
12% 14% 10%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 100% -
51% - 100%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 26% 20%
11% 8% 14%
35% 35% 35%
17% 21% 12%
14% 9% 19%
Page 87
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
65% 67% 82% 58% 71% 57%
35% 33% 18% 42% 29% 43%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresCaucus 2nd Choice
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
20% 22% 12% 18% 32% 17%
10% 8% 5% 10% 18% 10%
20% 18% 12% 28% 21% 11%
25% 39% 25% 28% 10% 12%
24% 13% 47% 17% 18% 50%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 90% 24% 33% 43% 35%
40% 5% 66% 53% 40% 43%
13% 6% 10% 14% 17% 23%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
49% 37% 88% 45% 49% 45%
39% 49% 7% 43% 45% 34%
12% 14% 5% 12% 5% 22%
Page 88
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 30% 13% 83% 40% 30%
41% 61% 80% 10% 48% 47%
11% 9% 7% 7% 12% 23%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
74% 79% 45% 72% 99% 66%
17% 16% 43% 16% 1% 19%
9% 5% 12% 12% - 16%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
50% 50% 40% 51% 46% 59%
50% 50% 60% 49% 54% 41%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
13% 12% 29% 9% 10% 16%
23% 21% 39% 24% 18% 17%
40% 41% 24% 39% 48% 43%
24% 27% 8% 28% 23% 24%
Page 89
February 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus votersFebruary 4-6, 2012survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 2%
5% 6% 7% 5% 1% 4%
17% 15% 30% 19% 11% 13%
35% 34% 27% 42% 22% 38%
41% 43% 29% 33% 64% 43%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
33% 40% 29% 30% 43% 19%
55% 50% 63% 59% 47% 60%
12% 11% 8% 12% 9% 22%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
49% 56% 36% 49% 63% 33%
51% 44% 64% 51% 37% 67%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
23% 100% - - - -
11% - 100% - - -
35% - - 100% - -
17% - - - 100% -
14% - - - - 100%
Page 90
February 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Missouri Survey Results
Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican primary or the Democratic primary, or are you not sure?
100% Republican primary .........................................
0% Democratic primary.........................................
0% Not sure ..........................................................
Q2 The Republican candidates for President on the ballot in Missouri are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
19% Ron Paul .........................................................
32% Mitt Romney....................................................
45% Rick Santorum ................................................
4% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q3 Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
62% Strongly committed to that candidate..............
38% Might end up supporting someone else ..........
Q4 Who would be your second choice for President?
11% Ron Paul .........................................................
23% Mitt Romney....................................................
22% Rick Santorum ................................................
44% Someone else/Not sure ..................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?
48% Favorable........................................................
39% Unfavorable ....................................................
13% Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?
41% Favorable........................................................
47% Unfavorable ....................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?
47% Favorable........................................................
40% Unfavorable ....................................................
13% Not sure ..........................................................
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?
72% Favorable........................................................
17% Unfavorable ....................................................
10% Not sure ..........................................................
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
47% Woman ...........................................................
53% Man.................................................................
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
12% 18 to 29...........................................................
24% 30 to 45...........................................................
37% 46 to 65...........................................................
27% Older than 65 ..................................................
Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
2% Very liberal ......................................................
5% Somewhat liberal ............................................
15% Moderate.........................................................
35% Somewhat conservative..................................
43% Very conservative ...........................................
Q12 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
27% Yes..................................................................
59% No ...................................................................
14% Not sure ..........................................................
Page 91
February 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012Survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q13 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
54% Are an Evangelical ..........................................
46% Are not ............................................................
Q14 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
21% Newt Gingrich .................................................
9% Ron Paul .........................................................
36% Mitt Romney....................................................
17% Rick Santorum ................................................
17% Someone else/Not sure .................................
Page 92
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
20% 22% 17%
33% 33% 33%
47% 45% 51%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% - 13% 31% 21%
32% 30% - 69% 31%
46% 70% 87% - 39%
4% - - - 9%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 15% 26% 15%
32% 25% 41% 28%
45% 56% 31% 51%
4% 5% 2% 6%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 40% 5% 4%
32% 22% 36% 47%
45% 35% 55% 41%
4% 3% 4% 8%
Page 93
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 5% 36% 15%
32% 59% 6% 13%
45% 34% 54% 61%
4% 2% 4% 11%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 10% 53% 29%
32% 28% 35% 51%
45% 59% 8% 9%
4% 3% 4% 11%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 16% 22%
32% 35% 28%
45% 46% 45%
4% 3% 5%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 33% 31% 14% 9%
32% 33% 25% 33% 34%
45% 33% 39% 49% 52%
4% 2% 5% 3% 5%
Page 94
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 18% 34% 32% 16% 16%
32% 18% 39% 33% 38% 26%
45% 63% 20% 30% 42% 55%
4% - 7% 4% 4% 3%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 18% 19% 23%
32% 25% 38% 19%
45% 54% 40% 52%
4% 3% 4% 7%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 15% 24%
32% 25% 39%
45% 56% 33%
4% 4% 4%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
19% 21% 75% 7% 7% 25%
32% 16% 11% 68% - 15%
45% 56% 12% 24% 92% 48%
4% 7% 2% 1% 1% 11%
Page 95
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 68% 62% 59%
38% 32% 38% 41%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% - 11% 17% -
23% 16% - 45% -
22% 36% 47% - -
44% 48% 42% 38% 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 37% 38% 58% 57%
39% 53% 51% 27% 23%
13% 10% 12% 15% 20%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 85% 29% 32% 29%
47% 13% 53% 57% 46%
12% 3% 18% 11% 24%
Page 96
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 13% 87% 35% 18%
40% 76% 7% 47% 45%
13% 11% 5% 18% 36%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 37% 64% 95% 53%
17% 48% 19% 3% 18%
10% 15% 16% 2% 29%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 38% 53% 47% 38%
53% 62% 47% 53% 62%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 21% 12% 9% 6%
24% 39% 19% 20% 32%
37% 28% 39% 40% 30%
27% 12% 29% 31% 33%
Page 97
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 1% 3% -
5% 8% 6% 2% 8%
15% 25% 15% 10% 16%
35% 29% 42% 33% 38%
43% 35% 35% 52% 38%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 26% 21% 32% 20%
59% 57% 70% 51% 56%
14% 17% 8% 16% 24%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 42% 43% 66% 55%
46% 58% 57% 34% 45%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 24% 11% 27% 38%
9% 33% 3% 2% 5%
36% 14% 78% 19% 5%
17% 6% - 34% 2%
17% 23% 8% 18% 50%
Page 98
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 100% -
38% - 100%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
12% 13% 9%
24% 20% 31%
23% 23% 21%
41% 43% 39%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 42% 55%
40% 47% 29%
13% 11% 16%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 43% 39%
47% 49% 44%
12% 9% 17%
Page 99
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 46% 51%
40% 45% 32%
12% 10% 17%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
73% 74% 72%
17% 20% 14%
9% 6% 15%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 47% 48%
53% 53% 52%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 10%
24% 26% 20%
37% 36% 40%
27% 25% 30%
Page 100
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Ideology
Very liberal
Somew hat liberal
Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Very conservative
3% 3% 2%
4% 4% 5%
15% 16% 13%
35% 32% 40%
43% 45% 40%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 29% 25%
59% 58% 60%
14% 13% 15%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 53% 54%
46% 47% 46%
Base
Committed to Candidate or Might ChangeYour Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end up supportingsomeone else
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 15% 29%
9% 12% 4%
38% 38% 37%
17% 23% 8%
16% 12% 22%
Page 101
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 70% 51% 65% 64%
38% 30% 49% 35% 36%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 100% - - -
23% - 100% - -
22% - - 100% -
44% - - - 100%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 38% 53% 39% 52%
39% 49% 33% 50% 35%
13% 13% 14% 11% 13%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 80% 33% 44% 33%
47% 11% 55% 43% 54%
12% 9% 12% 14% 13%
Page 102
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 34% 57% 69% 33%
40% 54% 23% 25% 52%
13% 12% 20% 5% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 84% 85% 83% 57%
18% 8% 10% 7% 29%
10% 8% 4% 10% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 36% 49% 44% 50%
53% 64% 51% 56% 50%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 8% 15% 13%
24% 24% 24% 22% 25%
37% 39% 40% 37% 35%
27% 26% 28% 26% 27%
Page 103
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 4% 3% 2% 2%
5% 5% 1% 7% 5%
15% 15% 11% 13% 18%
35% 37% 36% 35% 35%
43% 39% 48% 44% 40%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 29% 27% 28% 26%
59% 55% 57% 60% 60%
14% 15% 16% 12% 14%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 58% 62% 47% 51%
46% 42% 38% 53% 49%
Base
2012 GOP Pres Primary 2nd Choice
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 13% 20% 11% 30%
9% 1% 5% 10% 12%
36% 37% 32% 63% 25%
17% 32% 28% 5% 13%
17% 17% 16% 11% 21%
Page 104
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 56% 73% 52%
38% 44% 27% 48%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 9% 14% 12%
23% 26% 20% 25%
22% 17% 28% 19%
44% 47% 39% 45%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 100% - -
39% - 100% -
13% - - 100%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 37% 51% 24%
47% 55% 39% 38%
12% 8% 10% 37%
Page 105
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 48% 52% 27%
40% 45% 38% 26%
13% 7% 10% 47%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 82% 63% 67%
17% 12% 28% 4%
10% 6% 9% 29%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 42% 48% 60%
53% 58% 52% 40%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 11% 13% 13%
24% 24% 25% 20%
37% 38% 37% 36%
27% 27% 25% 30%
Page 106
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 1% 4% 2%
5% 3% 6% 7%
15% 9% 21% 17%
35% 34% 37% 35%
43% 53% 33% 39%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 34% 19% 23%
59% 50% 72% 48%
14% 15% 9% 29%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 60% 44% 59%
46% 40% 56% 41%
Base
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 41% 3% 5%
9% 4% 14% 7%
36% 24% 50% 38%
17% 16% 17% 18%
17% 14% 15% 33%
Page 107
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 64% 65% 44%
38% 36% 35% 56%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 22% 3% 8%
23% 19% 28% 22%
22% 23% 20% 24%
44% 36% 50% 46%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 43% 56% 30%
39% 49% 33% 31%
13% 8% 11% 40%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 100% - -
47% - 100% -
12% - - 100%
Page 108
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 42% 51% 46%
40% 49% 38% 16%
13% 10% 10% 38%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 69% 79% 60%
17% 23% 15% 9%
10% 9% 6% 31%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 37% 52% 60%
53% 63% 48% 40%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 11% 16%
24% 28% 21% 22%
37% 37% 39% 29%
27% 22% 29% 34%
Page 109
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 3% 2%
5% 6% 3% 7%
15% 19% 11% 15%
35% 38% 33% 38%
43% 35% 51% 39%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 26% 30% 17%
59% 62% 55% 59%
14% 11% 14% 24%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 47% 60% 53%
46% 53% 40% 47%
Base
Paul Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 17% 27% 15%
9% 15% 4% 6%
36% 32% 37% 46%
17% 17% 18% 9%
17% 18% 15% 25%
Page 110
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 59% 70% 48%
38% 41% 30% 52%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 8% 16% 10%
23% 28% 14% 35%
22% 32% 14% 9%
44% 31% 57% 46%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 49% 54% 25%
39% 44% 38% 29%
13% 8% 9% 45%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 36% 50% 29%
47% 51% 45% 36%
12% 12% 5% 35%
Page 111
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 100% - -
40% - 100% -
13% - - 100%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 78% 67% 68%
17% 13% 27% 3%
10% 9% 6% 29%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 47% 41% 62%
53% 53% 59% 38%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 9% 15% 13%
24% 20% 26% 32%
37% 42% 36% 24%
27% 29% 23% 30%
Page 112
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 3% 3%
5% 4% 6% 4%
15% 12% 19% 12%
35% 40% 29% 39%
43% 43% 44% 41%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 25% 32% 20%
59% 65% 55% 49%
14% 10% 14% 30%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 50% 56% 58%
46% 50% 44% 42%
Base
Romney Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 15% 34% 7%
9% 2% 16% 8%
36% 64% 9% 23%
17% 10% 24% 17%
17% 9% 17% 45%
Page 113
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 63% 70% 41%
38% 37% 30% 59%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 13% 5% 9%
23% 28% 14% 10%
22% 25% 8% 22%
44% 34% 73% 59%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 54% 34% 28%
39% 34% 63% 35%
13% 12% 3% 37%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 39% 53% 34%
47% 51% 40% 27%
12% 10% 7% 38%
Page 114
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 50% 36% 39%
40% 37% 62% 22%
13% 13% 2% 38%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 100% - -
17% - 100% -
10% - - 100%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 47% 42% 52%
53% 53% 58% 48%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 9% 19% 19%
24% 22% 33% 22%
37% 40% 32% 28%
27% 29% 16% 30%
Page 115
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 4% 1%
5% 2% 9% 12%
15% 11% 32% 16%
35% 37% 29% 39%
43% 48% 27% 32%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 30% 16% 25%
59% 56% 73% 56%
14% 14% 11% 19%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 57% 39% 53%
46% 43% 61% 47%
Base
Santorum Favorability
Favorable UnfavorableNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 22% 24% 17%
9% 4% 28% 5%
36% 37% 30% 44%
17% 22% 1% 2%
17% 15% 17% 32%
Page 116
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 61% 63%
38% 39% 37%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 9% 14%
23% 24% 22%
22% 20% 23%
44% 46% 41%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 42% 52%
39% 41% 38%
13% 17% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 32% 48%
47% 52% 42%
12% 16% 9%
Page 117
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 47% 46%
40% 35% 44%
13% 18% 10%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 73% 72%
17% 16% 19%
10% 11% 9%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 100% -
53% - 100%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 15% 9%
24% 21% 26%
37% 36% 38%
27% 27% 27%
Page 118
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 3%
5% 4% 5%
15% 15% 14%
35% 34% 37%
43% 44% 42%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 22% 31%
59% 60% 57%
14% 18% 11%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 60% 48%
46% 40% 52%
Base
Gender
Woman Man
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 23% 20%
9% 6% 11%
36% 41% 32%
17% 14% 19%
17% 16% 18%
Page 119
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 69% 68% 59% 57%
38% 31% 32% 41% 43%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 11% 11% 12% 11%
23% 15% 23% 25% 24%
22% 28% 20% 21% 21%
44% 46% 46% 41% 44%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 42% 48% 48% 48%
39% 44% 41% 39% 37%
13% 15% 11% 13% 15%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 40% 48% 41% 34%
47% 44% 41% 49% 51%
12% 16% 11% 10% 16%
Page 120
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 36% 38% 53% 51%
40% 49% 44% 39% 34%
13% 15% 18% 9% 15%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 56% 66% 77% 78%
17% 27% 24% 15% 11%
10% 16% 9% 8% 11%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 60% 41% 46% 47%
53% 40% 59% 54% 53%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 100% - - -
24% - 100% - -
37% - - 100% -
27% - - - 100%
Page 121
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 7% 3% 1% 2%
5% 11% 5% 3% 3%
15% 9% 16% 16% 15%
35% 35% 34% 37% 35%
43% 38% 42% 43% 46%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 29% 28% 28% 25%
59% 47% 63% 61% 57%
14% 24% 9% 12% 19%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 55% 51% 52% 58%
46% 45% 49% 48% 42%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 25% 22% 19% 23%
9% 11% 16% 6% 4%
36% 29% 26% 43% 40%
17% 11% 16% 18% 18%
17% 24% 20% 15% 15%
Page 122
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 68% 59% 66% 57% 65%
38% 32% 41% 34% 43% 35%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 17% 13% 12% 12% 10%
23% 29% 6% 18% 24% 26%
22% 16% 32% 19% 21% 22%
44% 38% 48% 52% 43% 41%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 25% 28% 29% 46% 58%
39% 66% 51% 56% 41% 30%
13% 9% 21% 15% 13% 12%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 39% 51% 54% 44% 33%
47% 53% 30% 34% 43% 56%
12% 8% 19% 13% 13% 11%
Page 123
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 36% 37% 37% 53% 46%
40% 46% 50% 52% 32% 41%
13% 17% 13% 11% 15% 13%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 70% 38% 52% 75% 82%
17% 27% 35% 38% 14% 11%
10% 3% 27% 11% 11% 8%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 44% 41% 49% 45% 48%
53% 56% 59% 51% 55% 52%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 36% 29% 7% 12% 11%
24% 25% 27% 25% 23% 24%
37% 15% 28% 40% 39% 37%
27% 24% 16% 27% 26% 29%
Page 124
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somew hatliberal Moderate
Somew hatconservative
Veryconservative
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 100% - - - -
5% - 100% - - -
15% - - 100% - -
35% - - - 100% -
43% - - - - 100%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 45% 11% 12% 21% 38%
59% 55% 74% 81% 64% 45%
14% - 15% 7% 15% 17%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 56% 35% 36% 46% 67%
46% 44% 65% 64% 54% 33%
Base
Ideology
Veryliberal
Somewhatliberal Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Veryconservative
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 15% 11% 13% 21% 26%
9% 23% 11% 15% 8% 6%
36% 34% 35% 37% 41% 32%
17% 25% 10% 11% 15% 20%
17% 4% 33% 24% 15% 15%
Page 125
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 65% 61% 59%
38% 35% 39% 41%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 12% 11% 12%
23% 23% 23% 26%
22% 23% 22% 18%
44% 42% 45% 43%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 61% 41% 50%
39% 28% 48% 23%
13% 11% 11% 26%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 40% 43% 32%
47% 52% 44% 47%
12% 8% 13% 21%
Page 126
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 43% 51% 33%
40% 47% 37% 38%
13% 10% 11% 28%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 80% 69% 73%
17% 10% 22% 14%
10% 9% 10% 14%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 39% 48% 58%
53% 61% 52% 42%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 13% 10% 20%
24% 24% 26% 16%
37% 38% 38% 30%
27% 25% 26% 35%
Page 127
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 4% 2% -
5% 2% 6% 5%
15% 6% 20% 7%
35% 28% 39% 37%
43% 60% 33% 52%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 100% - -
59% - 100% -
14% - - 100%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 66% 46% 62%
46% 34% 54% 38%
Base
Tea Party ID
Yes NoNot
sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 31% 16% 26%
9% 7% 11% 1%
36% 32% 42% 21%
17% 21% 14% 19%
17% 9% 17% 32%
Page 128
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 62% 62%
38% 38% 38%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 12% 10%
23% 27% 19%
22% 19% 25%
44% 42% 46%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 53% 41%
39% 32% 48%
13% 14% 12%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 35% 47%
47% 52% 40%
12% 12% 13%
Page 129
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 44% 50%
40% 42% 38%
13% 15% 12%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 77% 67%
17% 13% 23%
10% 10% 10%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 53% 40%
53% 47% 60%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 12% 12%
24% 23% 25%
37% 36% 38%
27% 29% 25%
Page 130
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 3% 2%
5% 3% 6%
15% 10% 20%
35% 31% 41%
43% 54% 30%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 33% 20%
59% 50% 68%
14% 17% 12%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 100% -
46% - 100%
Base
Evangelical?
Are anEvangelical
Arenot
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 26% 16%
9% 7% 11%
36% 32% 41%
17% 20% 13%
17% 15% 20%
Page 131
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Committed toCandidate or MightChange Your Mind?
Strongly committedto that candidate
Might end upsupporting
someone else
62% 46% 82% 63% 82% 48%
38% 54% 18% 37% 18% 52%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
2012 GOP PresPrimary 2nd Choice
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
11% 7% 1% 12% 22% 11%
23% 21% 13% 21% 39% 21%
22% 12% 26% 38% 6% 14%
44% 60% 60% 30% 33% 54%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
48% 92% 24% 32% 45% 40%
39% 5% 66% 55% 41% 35%
13% 3% 10% 14% 14% 25%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
41% 33% 73% 36% 42% 43%
47% 59% 19% 48% 51% 40%
12% 8% 8% 16% 7% 18%
Page 132
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 32% 13% 82% 28% 25%
40% 63% 75% 10% 58% 40%
13% 5% 12% 8% 14% 35%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
SantorumFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
72% 73% 37% 73% 98% 64%
17% 19% 57% 14% 1% 18%
10% 8% 6% 12% 1% 19%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Gender
Woman
Man
47% 50% 33% 53% 39% 45%
53% 50% 67% 47% 61% 55%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Age
18 to 29
30 to 45
46 to 65
Older than 65
12% 14% 15% 10% 8% 17%
24% 24% 46% 17% 24% 28%
37% 33% 26% 43% 40% 32%
27% 29% 13% 30% 29% 24%
Page 133
February 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary votersFebruary 6, 2012survey of 958 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Ideology
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhatconservative
Very conservative
2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 1%
5% 2% 6% 4% 3% 9%
15% 9% 26% 15% 9% 20%
35% 34% 31% 40% 33% 32%
43% 53% 30% 38% 51% 39%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Tea Party ID
Yes
No
Not sure
27% 39% 23% 24% 34% 15%
59% 44% 75% 68% 49% 59%
14% 17% 3% 9% 17% 27%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Evangelical?
Are an Evangelical
Are not
54% 66% 41% 47% 65% 47%
46% 34% 59% 53% 35% 53%
Base
Best Chance to Defeat Obama?
NewtGingrich
RonPaul
MittRomney
RickSantorum
Someoneelse/Not sure
Best Chance toDefeat Obama?
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Someone else/Notsure
21% 100% - - - -
9% - 100% - - -
36% - - 100% - -
17% - - - 100% -
17% - - - - 100%