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SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015
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BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

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Page 1: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACHInvestor PresentationQ3/9M 2015 ResultsLucerne, 12 November 2015

Page 2: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

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Disclaimer

This publication constitutes neither a prospectus within the meaning of article 652a and/or 1156 of the Swiss Code of Obligations nor a listing prospectus within the meaning of the listing rules of the SIX Swiss Exchange. This publication constitutes neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy securities of SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH. The securities have already been sold.

This document shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of securities referred to herein in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration, exemption from registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. The securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States or to U.S. persons (as such term is defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act) absent registration or an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. The issuer of the securities has not registered, and does not intend to register, any portion of the offering in the United States, and does not intend to conduct a public offering of securities in the United States.

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1

32

4

BUSINESS OVERVIEW Q3/9M 2015

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Q3/9M 2015

OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE 2015

APPENDIX

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4

BUSINESS OVERVIEW Q3/9M 20151

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Markets and prices

» Order intake decreased, order backlog 20.7% below prior year

» Customer industries: automotive still with good demand, demand from the engineering industry lower as expected, ongoing low oil price continues to burden the oil & gas industry

» Nickel price declining to lowest level since May 2007, scrap price decreasing

» Persisting pressure on base prices

Operational development (continued operations)

» Sales volume decreased by 4.9% (21 kt) to 410 kt (Q3 2014: 431 kt)

» Revenue dropped by 12.0% to EUR 619.7 m (Q3 2014: EUR 704.0 m)

» Gross margin fell to 33.1% (Q3 2014: 36.4%)

» EBITDA declined by 81.4% to EUR 10.3 m (Q3 2014: EUR 55.5 m)

» EBITDA margin sank to 1.7% (Q3 2014: 7.9%)

Operational overview Q3/9M 2015

Business Overview

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Order intake, order backlog and sales volume

Business Overview

379 416 417 424 426 402 413 414 410 409 416 452509 552 571 584 564 539 520 520 498 476 474 497536 567 569 545 513 476 450 425 395

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Order backlog 2013 – 2015 I in kt

2013 2014 2015

156 158 170 154 146 169 151

105

154

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Sales volume 2015 I in kt

2015*

60100140180220

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Incoming orders 2013 – 2015│ in kt

2013 2014 2015

*continuing operations only

Page 7: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

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Sales volume and revenue by product groups

Business Overview

Tool steel Stainless steel Engineering steel

Total

» Better product mix with higher portion of tool steel and stainless steel revenues

» Nevertheless, revenue decreased due to lower raw material prices and pressure on base price

Revenue* split by product groups

38.2% (37.4%)

Engineering steel

43.7% (45.3%)

Stainless steel

Tool steel

15.4% (14.6%)

Other

2.7% (2.7%)

9M 2015 (9M 2014 in brackets)*

*continuing operations, 2014-figures have been adjusted accordingly

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Revenue by regions

Business Overview

» Revenue share of Germany decreased due to appreciation of USD against EUR and thereby higher share of the Americas

Germany

38.8% (41.8%)

Other Europe

18.5% (18.3%)

16.5% (15.0%)

10.9% (10.4%)

7.1% (7.5%) 1.7% (1.9%)

America

France Switzerland

6.5% (5.1%)

Italy

Africa/Asia/Australia

9M 2015 (9M 2014 in brackets)*

*continuing operations, 2014-figures have been adjusted accordingly

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9

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Q3/9M 20152

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Financial Performance

in EUR m

9M 2015 9M 2014Change

on prior

year (%)

Q3 2015 Q3 2014 Change on

prior year (%)

Sales volume (kt)1) 1 362 1 411 -3.5 410 431 -4.9

Revenue1) 2 108.6 2 191.5 -3.8 619.7 704.0 -12.0

Adjusted EBITDA1) 129.0 192.0 -32.8 11.5 58.2 -80.2

Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)1) 6.1 8.8 -270 bp 1.9 8.3 -640 bp

Operating profit before depreciation and

amortisation (EBITDA)1) 122.8 186.3 -34.1 10.3 55.5 -81.4

EBITDA margin (%)1) 5.8 8.5 -270 bp 1.7 7.9 -620 bp

Operating profit (loss) (EBIT)1) 29.5 98.9 -70.2 -19.6 25.1 < -100

Earnings before taxes (EBT)1) -6.0 65.1 < -100 -32.4 15.5 < -100

Earnings after taxes from continuing

operations -20.5 44.1 < -100 -32.7 10.6 < -100

Net income (loss) (EAT) -151.7 45.8 < -100 -34.1 10.6 <-100

Result of operations – key figures

1) Continuing operations, 2014-figures have been adjusted accordingly

» Net income includes EAT from continuing operations as well as from discontinued operations; discontinued operations burdened by impairments of EUR –128.1 m

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EBITDA significantly affected by volume and margin losses

186.3 -22.2

-32.1

-9.2122.8

EBITDA 9M2014

Volume effect Margin & costeffect*

Change incurrency

gains/losses

EBITDA 9M2015

Financial Performance

* Excluding change in currency gains/losses

EBITDA bridge 9M 2014 – 9M 2015

55.5 -19.9

-24.5

-0.8 10.3

EBITDA Q32014

Volume effect Margin & costeffect*

Change incurrency

gains/losses

EBITDA Q32015

EBITDA bridge Q3 2014 – Q3 2015

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Revenue by division

Financial Performance

» Production division: revenue in 9M 2015 decreased by 5.0% to EUR 1 938.0 m compared to 9M 2014

» Sales & Services division: increase in revenues by 14.3% to EUR 426.2 m compared to 9M 2014

9M 2015 9M 2014 Change on

prior year (%)Q3 2015 Q3 2014 Change on

prior year (%)

Production 1) 1 938.0 2 040.2 -5.0 555.6 651.5 -14.7

Sales & Services 1) 426.2 372.9 14.3 133.2 126.8 5.0

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH

Group 1) 2) 2 108.6 2 191.5 -3.8 619.7 704.0 -12.0

1) Continuing operations, 2014-figures pro-forma

2) Group figures include Other and consolidation/eliminations

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Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin by divis ion

Financial Performance

1) Continuing operations

2) Group figures include Other and consolidation/eliminations

Adjusted EBITDA 9M 2015 9M 2014 Change on

prior year (%)Q3 2015 Q3 2014 Change on

prior year (%)

Production 1) 118.7 176.3 -32.7 7.1 50.0 -85.8

Sales & Services 1) 16.6 20.2 -17.8 5.5 6.9 -20.3

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Group 1) 2) 129.0 192.0 -32.8 11.5 58.2 -80.2

Adjusted EBITDA margin 9M 2015 9M 2014 Change on

prior yearQ3 2015 Q3 2014 Change on

prior year

Production 1) 6.1 8.6 -250 bp 1.3 7.7 -640 bp

Sales & Services 1) 3.9 5.4 -150 bp 4.1 5.4 -130 bp

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Group 1) 2) 6.1 8.8 -270 bp 1.9 8.3 -640 bp

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Financial Performance

Financial position: key figures30.9.2015 31.12.2014 Change on

31.12.2014 in %

30.9.2014

Shareholders’ equity EUR m 765.7 900.9 -15.0 910.9

Equity ratio % 34.9 35.9 -100 bp 35.7

Net debt EUR m 543.7 587.2 -7.4 627.4

Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA 1) factor 2.8 2.2 - 2.6

Net working capital (NWC) EUR m 843.8 992.3 -15.0 1 085.4

NWC/Revenue 2) % 30.0 29.7 30 bp 31.9

1.1.−30.9.2015 1.1.−30.9.2014 Change on prior year

in %

Financial result EUR m -35.5 -33.8 5.0

Investments EUR m 101.6 57.8 75.8

Free cash flow EUR m 102.8 10.5 >100

1) LTM

2) Annualised

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Net debt and financial headroom

31.12.2014 30.09.2015

Net debt │ in EUR m

Cash and cash equivalentsOne-off financing expenses / accrued interestOther financial liabilitiesBondABCP financing programmeSyndicated loan

587.2543.7Other fin. liabilities

Bond

ABCP financing programme

Syndicated loan

Cash & cash equiv.

51.4

205.8

245.9

72.1

31.12.2014 30.09.2015

Financial headroom│ in EUR m

Cash and cash equivalentsABCP financing programmeSyndicated loan

370.4414.7

Syndicated loan

ABCP financing programme

Cash & cash equiv.72.1

52.2

94.2

204.1

113.9

248.6

44.9

167.7

186.1

201.4

One-off fin. exp./acc. int. 11.5 4.3

52.2

167.7

Financial Performance

Page 16: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

16

OUTLOOK AND GUIDANCE 20153

Page 17: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

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Environment » Competitive pressure from Asia stays on high level » Ongoing weakness in demand from oil & gas industry » Historically low and volatile prices in raw material markets lead to hesitant order

behaviour of customers » World Steel Association significantly lowered expectations, general steel consumption

expected to decrease by 1.7% (previously growth of 0.5%), most important steel consumers with partially significantly lower growth rates than 2014 (Asia -2.1%, Europe 1.3%, NAFTA -2.7%)

» Oil price unlikely to reach previous levels, on average only USD 50 per barrel expected; constant decline in fracking business with significant impact on North American business units

» Risks of inventory write-downs when prices continue to fall» Automotive still on track

Measures» Internal cost measures as well as focus on efficient procurement are further pursued.» Ongoing decrease in net debt

Ongoing difficult environment in Q4 2015

Outlook and Guidance 2015

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18

Outlook and Guidance 2015

Guidance 2015

2014

reported

Initial guidance 2015

(as at 12 March 2015)

Guidance 2015

(as at 19 May 2015)

Guidance 2015(as at 12 November 2015, unchanged to 13 October 2015)

Sales volume

2 135

kilotonnes

Should roughly match the 2014 level

Should roughly match the 2014 level less non mill-own volumes from specific distribution units (ca. 300 kilotonnes)

Slightly below the 2014 level less non mill-own volumes from specific distribution units (ca. 300 kilotonnes)

Reported EBITDA

EUR 252.6

m

EUR 210 m – EUR 250 m EUR 190 m – EUR 230 m

(continuing operations,

currently lower end of

guidance likely)

EUR 160 m – EUR 180 m

CAPEX EUR 100.8

m

Around EUR 150 m, due to one-off effects in the amount of EUR 44 m

Around EUR 150 m, due to one-off effects in the amount of EUR 44 m

Around EUR 150 m, due to one-off effects in the amount of EUR 44 m

Page 19: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

19

Q&ATHANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

Page 20: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

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APPENDIX4

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Appendix

Nickel price development

Source: Steel Business Briefing

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

1Feb05

22May05

9Sep05

28Dec05

17Apr06

5Aug06

23Nov06

15Mar07

3Jul07

21Oct07

8Feb08

28May08

15Sep08

3Jan09

23Apr09

11Aug09

29Nov09

19Mar10

7Jul10

25Oct10

12Feb11

2Jun11

20Sep11

10Jan12

18Jun12

20Nov12

1May13

8Oct13

17Mar14

27Aug14

5Feb15

15Jul15

Nickel price development 2005 – 2015 │ in USD / ton

Stainless Steel / Nickel / London Metal Exchange (LME) Cash seller & settlement

Page 22: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

22

Appendix

Nickel price development

Source: Steel Business Briefing

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

18.000

20.000

22.000

2Jan14

23Jan14

14Feb14

7Mar14

28Mar14

22Apr14

14May14

5Jun14

26Jun14

17Jul14

8Aug14

1Sep14

22Sep14

13Oct14

4Nov14

25Nov14

17Dec14

13Jan15

3Feb15

24Feb15

17Mar15

9Apr15

30Apr15

22May15

15Jun15

6Jul15

27Jul15

17Aug15

8Sep15

29Sep15

Nickel price development 1.1.2014 – 30.9.2015 │ in USD / ton

Stainless Steel / Nickel / London Metal Exchange (LME) Cash seller & settlement

Page 23: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

23

Appendix

Scrap price development

Source: Steel Business Briefing

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

1Jan14

1Feb14

1Mar14

1Apr14

1May14

1Jun14

1 Jul14

1Aug14

1Sep14

1Oct14

1Nov14

1Dec14

1Jan15

1Feb15

1Mar15

1Apr15

1May15

1Jun15

1 Jul15

1Aug15

1Sep15

Scrap price development January 2014 – September 201 5 │in EUR / ton

Scrap / Shredded / N.Europe domestic delivered €/t

Page 24: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

24

Appendix

Swiss listed company with supportive anchor shareholders

Haefner, Martin

13.00%

Free Float(Shareholders <3%)

15.17%

46.32%

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH GmbH & Co. KG1) 3)

Liwet Holding AG1) 2)

25.51%

Key facts

ISIN CH0005795668

Securities symbol STLN

Type of security Registered share

Trading currency CHF

Listing SIX Swiss Exchange

Membership in indices

SPI, SPI Extra, SPI

ex SLI, Swiss All

Share Index

Number of shares 945 000 000

Nominal value in CHF 0.50

1) Form a group according to stock exchange act.

2) Renova group company, the shares held by Venetos Holding AG were transferred to Liwet Holding AG in Zurich as a result of a merger.

3) Indirectly via subsidiaries SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Beteiligungs GmbH and SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Holding AG.

Shareholder Structure as of 30 September 2015

Page 25: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

25

Appendix

Financial calendar and contact details Investor Rel ations

Date Event

24 March 2016 Annual Report 2015, Media Conference, Investor Conference

3 May 2016 Annual General Meeting

19 May 2016 Q1 Report 2016, Media Call, Investor Call

11 August 2016 Q2 Report 2016, Media Call, Investor Call

15 November 2016 Q3 Report 2016, Media Call, Investor Call

Dr Ulrich Steiner Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications

Phone +41 41 581 4120

Fax +41 41 581 4283

Email [email protected]

Internet www.schmolz-bickenbach.com

Page 26: BICKENBACH Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results ......Investor Presentation Q3/9M 2015 Results Lucerne, 12 November 2015 2 Disclaimer This publication constitutes neither a prospectus

Thank you for your attention