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Solving the Value Equation www.ephorgroup.com 1 ©Copyright 2013 Ephor Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Post HR Tech Conference Update 2014 Ephor Group, LLC An Ephor Group review of the HR Technology, HR Services Beyond Payroll including HRO & Workforce Management (WFM) private company market landscape.
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Page 1: Beyond Payroll Market Sector Findings Post HRTech

Solving the Value Equation

www.ephorgroup.com 1 ©Copyright 2013 Ephor Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Post HR Tech Conference

Update 2014

Ephor Group, LLC

An Ephor Group review of the HR Technology, HR Services Beyond Payroll including HRO & Workforce Management (WFM) private company market landscape.

Page 2: Beyond Payroll Market Sector Findings Post HRTech

Solving the Value Equation

www.ephorgroup.com ©Copyright 2014 Ephor Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 2

HR Sector Market Landscape

The scope and demand of HR Technology continues to increase and the sector is bifurcated into two camps: the leaders who are growing in double digits and the laggards who are stuck in single digit or stagnant to no growth. The overall HR services market is organically growing in the single digits. Demand for HR Technology & Services

More employers are using outsourced services to gain access to providers with deep subject matter expertise. An acute shortage of certified, credentialed mid skill level workforce talent plus access to the best strategic professionals in the long-term is driving HRO services demand.

Complexity, regulation, and compliance are driving the HR technology demand as companies need to find simpler solutions to managing their workforce operations.

Some leading BPO/HRO service vendors can provide full lifecycle solutions including the modernization of the customer experience using more advanced technology including cloud, social, mobile, big data analytics, and customer analytics. The vendors with advanced service delivery model competence are growing. Increasingly, business process as a service (BPaaS) is extending the depth and scope of services.

The desire for data analytics, beyond payroll data inclusive of human capital data is of such great demand that the definition of workforce management effectiveness is changing.

Those few progressive providers that have focused on bundled HRO services, human capital data and

outcomes-oriented information applied as analytics have gained market share. We are seeing a bifurcation in the market of those that are “getting it” aka “‘Beyond Payroll” and those that don't get it.

The need for “alliances” and technology standards has come to the

forefront. All participants in the “value chain” need more core HR data for use in their area of specialty. Therefore, selection of partners and technology, along with distribution allies are critical to success.

Size and scale matters more so than ever! The customer marketplace

prefers larger boutique organizations that are “smart and skilled enough” to focus on a specialized industry vertical market or illustrate a specific sector focus; therefore they become the “comfort buy”. The successful participants will couple this focus with intimate and personalized customer service, versus “subscale providers” where risk of failure is more prevalent, or as compared to “branded” national providers and their “call/service center” one-size-fits-all business models.

Information & Data Security is much more difficult to enhance security as an after- thought, add-on, or

patch. Some vendors will “get it”, more vendors simply will not. Sector participates need to know the difference and demand that security be a key focus in the design of a solution, the resulting operating system, and the subsequent workflow processes and procedures.

>38 private company financings

21 private company acquisitions in 2014 YTD (13 in 2013, 7 in 2012).

Valuation multiples for scaled enterprises 2 to 4X revenue multiple and 8 to 12X EBITDA multiple.

2014 HRTech Update

Market Leadership Qualities

Beyond Payroll

Services

Technology Differentiation

Comprehensive Data Mining

Organization & Leadership

Change

Revenue per

Customer Growth

Effective Alliances & Partnering

Outcomes-Oriented

Information

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Solving the Value Equation

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2013 M&A Private Company Deal Transactions

Payroll outsourcing services enterprise values (in $) were flat or slightly lower than in 2012.

In 2013 the lower middle market experienced flat to somewhat lower enterprise valuations as M&A activity10 volume was likewise suppressed over 2012. Specifically in the HRO/WFM sector where the enterprise valuation metric is a multiple of EBITDA, the market presented itself at >7 times adjusted pro forma trailing twelve month (TTM) EBITDA. In the Payroll services sector where the enterprise valuation metric is a multiple of revenue the subscales commanded 1.7x -2.0x TMM Revenue. These purchase price multiples have been made possible due to the significant availability of liquidity to finance leveraged buyout (LBO) transactions. Total Debt / TTM EBITDA for middle-market LBO transactions have steadily increased since hitting a low in 2009, currently achieving 3.3x in 013. The old saying “Payroll is Payroll” has finally gone by the wayside and its associated legacy thinking that has inhibited progress in the past. The other old saying that “the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results” has never been more applicable then now.

10 2013 CoAdvantage (HRO PEO ASO) acquisition of PEO OdysseyOneSource (<$25m) to become one of the top 5 PEOs in the nation.

HRO/WFM Valuations of >7x pro forma TTM EBITDA

Payroll Services of

1.7 – 2.0x TTM Revenue  

Significant financing options available for the “Best Business” models.

Pre Institutional Valuations

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HR Software Technology Landscape HR technology solutions have evolved beyond simple automation of HR and employee transactions. The combination of cloud solutions and consumer friendly application interfaces coupled with enterprise strength analytical capabilities is enabling widespread adoption. HR Software Technology Mergers & Acquisitions M&A activity over the last 9 months has been very robust. Greater than $9 billion in disclosed transaction value. M&A consolidation is occurring as leaders expand their social and geographic footprint. And why not? The market is rewarding HR software and HCM leaders.

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Beyond Payroll Market Landscape Update Because companies are looking for value beyond labor arbitrage, the conversations are increasingly centered around operating outcomes as buyers look to evaluate service providers more holistically. Payroll Service Providers Can Become Key Players in the WFM, HRO, BPO Arenas

Payroll service providers have several advantages as the workforce management arena matures and evolves. Payroll is the source of key data that drives many of the services provided to employees. Payroll processing is complex, and is getting more

complex and more regulated each day. Taxing issues, tax preparation and the flow of funds from tax, insurance, benefits administration services require controls, and many of core competencies that payroll service entities illustrate. HCM management services require that providers have working relationships and access to the national banking system to move customer funds throughout the financial system. Exploit your “special skills.”

Technology is being developed, adopted and being utilized at lightning speed, and in many cases the technology is ahead of us, the providers, in terms of subject matter expertise, system of security and controls, and our employees are demanding convenience and immediate multi-platform access to their personal information. Business practices and user practices will need to be revised and in some cases invented. Our core technologies will need to be capable, compliant, controlled, and customer friendly, and provided in that order!

Workforce management solutions are changing who the decision maker is. In smaller firms with less

than 50 employees with simple to moderate needs, the decision maker remains the owner and/or the office manager. In larger companies, historically, the payroll group was a specialized section inside the Human Resources department and they made either the decision or were very strong advocates of the solution. HR, historically, managed the workforce from organization requirements, to job and skill definitions, to candidate search – interview/examine – hire – on-board – handbook, monitor and score performance, educate, retire or fire. Each of these functions had their own area specialists, data bases, and software.

The decision making dynamic is moving from separate specialized sections within the Human

Resources department to a single higher level executive or committee of executives. Therefore we must change who we market to and who we sell to. It is clear that the buyer community will be a “higher level, more perceptive and sophisticated professional” who enjoys a more holistic view of their organization and needs.

There is a bifurcation in the market between those

companies that illustrate “Market Leadership Qualities”

who are “getting it” versus those who simply will not.

Payroll Provider “Special Skills” Required

Be a Provider of Employment Lifecycle Services

Handling of Increasing Payroll Process Complexities

Creating Partner/Alliance Access to National Banking System & Treasury Capabilities

Innovative Technology

Innovative Organizational Structures

Creating Executive “Buyer Communities”

Be an Effective Change Agent

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Solving the Value Equation

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Workforce 2020: The Evolving Core HR Platform Core HR Platform Market Landscape

The marketplace for core payroll processing now extends fully into workforce management and often times related BPO including content, software, services, and outsourcing solutions. While there are thousands of service firms worldwide there are only a handful of platforms with a meaningful customer base. The goal of HR software is to automate transactions, coordinate the human aspects of work, and measure and analyze it all. To satisfy today's workforce demands payroll providers must move beyond payroll services to offer HRMS technology as well as both HRO services and FAO services (primarily time tracking and expense management). In summary, a shift has occurred from historically only managing “employee transactions” to greater ROI. 2014 Payroll Services Market Landscape: Payroll services outsourcing growth is being led by companies seeking to integrate payroll with HCM and Workforce Analytics, and/or to incorporate Time and Attendance, Labor Management (Scheduling, and Tracking, Compliance), and Human Resources Software including Talent Management, eRecruiting, and HRMS features as well as Spend and Expense Management. Payroll Services Sector Highlights Payroll technology has morphed to include HR software for both compliance as well as employee management, benefits software, time and attendance, expense management, and social workforce management software based on the customer's increasing demand requirements. The complexity of the required information systems to support this technology has and will continue to impact switching costs. As service providers provide more, the opportunity for entrenchment grows, the cost of switching rises, and the market forces favor consolidation. Technology is driving change in customer service in terms of scope, breadth and depth of services, responsiveness, quality control, and comprehensive portfolio of solutions. Historically payroll services operating ratios were approximately: operating profit EBITDA margin 15% +/- R&D and IT 15% +/-, G&A 25% +/-, 30% +/- service operations, 15% sales and marketing costs. With the application of technology and extended scope of services, the operating margins are higher post infrastructure investment. The top integration issues are workforce related, followed by products and services integration, then accounting and finance transformation. While the payroll market for small businesses with less than 50 employees is highly price competitive; there are approximately fifty (50) platforms with significant, meaningful revenues ($10M+ or greater in annual recurring non “pass-through / non-reseller revenues) with operations in the United States. For multinationals and global organizations half a dozen of these provide global payroll service providers. The middle market of small and medium organizations with 50 to 5,000 employees representing greater than a one million USA businesses is in transition as new technology platforms compete with the large public platforms as well as regional and industry specific payroll service providers. In addition to local accounting firms and banks, which are increasingly choosing to be referral sources and turn to private-label partners for payroll services, the landscape can be categorized into the following primary buckets of competitive players:

The big four “umbrella” brands – ADP and Paychex together control a significant share of the target market and continue to grow based on their sheer brand recognition and referral base. ADP primarily focuses on the mid-market and Paychex targets the lower end. Ceridian focuses up market and Intuit’s focus is with very small businesses. ADP and Paychex are the big targets and are showing

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Solving the Value Equation

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vulnerabilities to the up and comers based on technology, service, and price.

Mid-Market Platforms 1. Middle Market Vendors detailed on the next page of this report. 2. For PEOs (end user client is <100 full-time employees): Darwin, Evolution, PyramidHR, and a

few ASO platforms (TriNet, Insperity for example) using Oracle and other proprietary technologies dominate.

Payroll Service Bureau Licensees with greater than $1M in annual billings (Millennium with 75 active bureaus, Evolution with 40+, Paychoice with 30+, plus AdaptaSoft's Cyberpay, Mangrove, ePay and ExecuPay with 10+). In sum, there are approximately 250 private active payroll service bureaus with greater than $1M+ annual recurring revenues that are delivering their service based on licensed technology from a handful of software vendors in the market who in turn receive an average of 3 to 9% of the service bureaus’ revenue. The 250 payroll service bureaus with more than a million in annual revenues is down from more than 500+ a decade ago. These licensees are primarily small lifestyle oriented businesses that are operated on a cash flow per profit basis and were initially started based on local relationships.

There are hundreds of small payroll providers whom are operating older proprietary systems ("Home-

grown" or legacy providers) that do traditional payroll processing but lack a differentiated HR platform technology strategy including WFM capabilities.

Software only providers – Intuit and Sage provide software only solutions for the very smallest of businesses (< 50 ees) with simple needs. These do-it-yourself solutions come with tax table updates for an annual fee, but do not guarantee compliance and keep the burden of processing payroll on the small business itself.

The future of workforce management technology leaders11 will consolidate into the following camps:

1. BPO and/or HRO solution providers (online transactional payroll processors are included here) 2. System of record providers that include a suite of HR processes 3. Single application/service industry specific providers.

11 *Not included in the above: Benefits/Insurance, PEO providers, Fractional HR Consultants, HR Staffing, and Payroll Staffing Companies. Contact [email protected] for a list of these providers.

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Solving the Value Equation

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HRTech for Small Business Payroll Software SMB Payroll with HR Technology Market Landscape12:

Public Market Share Leaders: ADP (NASDAQ: ADP) [620,000 customers] Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU) [6 million for QuickBooks] SAGE13 (LON: SGE) [estimate 400 to 550k worldwide] Paycheck (NASDAQ: PAYX) [554,000] Heartland Payment Systems (NYSE: HPY) [250,000] CompuPay (Willis Stein & Partners) [160,000] CBIZ (NYSE: CBZ) [90,000] Paycom (NYSE: PAYC) [10,000] Paylocity (NASD: PCTY) [7,000]

Private Equity Sponsored Sector Participants: Ceridian [100,000] Infinisource (KKR) [90,000] ExecuPay (proprietary platform) [22,000] Paycor (Evolution Platform, Guy Henshaw) [20,000] Northgate Arinso dba NGA HR [14,000] CloudPay (Rho Canada) [10,000] Zen Payroll (General Catalyst Partners & KPCB) [9000] CheckpointHR (Edison Venture Partners) [9500] Ascentis (Catalyst & Palm) IOI Pay [6,000] PrimePay14, [5000] InfoSync [3,600] Valiant [3,00] Zenefits (Andreesen Horowitz, IVP, other investors) [2,500]

Private fast-growth emerging leaders with $5 to $25 million in annual revenues: EmployeeMax NetChex Proliant TriCore *For a list of other regional and industry vertical leaders please contact [email protected]

^ not included:

12 PEOs: TriNet, Insperity, AccordHR, EmpowerHR, Emplicity, OdysseyOne, Sheakley, Discovery, Landrum, SCICompanies, SOIHoldings, Barrett, AlphaStaff, Oasis. Ambrose, Co-Advantage. HRO ASOs12: Co-Advantage, Advantec, OneSourceVirtual (Workday platform), VSManagement, Basic, Ascentis, CheckPoint, Doherty, HRKnowedge, AccessPoint, Orion, Tricore, ZeroChaos, UnicornHRO, CompuPay BenefitMall, Northgate, Tag Employer Services, Co-advantage, Sheakley, Primepay, Employee Solutions, AccessPoint, Valiant Solutions, Orion, Discovery, IO Pay, Checkpoint, Pursuit of Excellence, CorbanOneSource, ZeroChaos, Infosynch, Tag, AccessPointHR, Sheakley, Qqest, IES, UnicornHRO, CPEhr HR Services: HRAnswerLink, Inspirus, myHRSupportCenter, Payscale, Richardson, Salary.com via KeneXa-IBM, The Wiley Group ThinkHR, Training: TRGI, BizLibrary, Covey, HRSG.

13 In 2014 SAGE acquired PayChoice [150,000] for $157.8 million. SAGE offers 230+ applications across functions in 160 countries. 14 ($50m in annual revenues, 400 employees, 30 offices, focus on SMBs, CPAs, Franchises)

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Solving the Value Equation

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For a no obligation overview discussion of your market sector comparables, contact Ephor:

Solving the Value Equation

[email protected] 713.977.3600

24 E. Greenway Plaza, Ste. 400

Houston, TX 77046 www.ephorgroup.com

What Should My Growth Strategy Include & Why?

Page 10: Beyond Payroll Market Sector Findings Post HRTech

Solving the Value Equation

www.ephorgroup.com ©Copyright 2014 Ephor Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 16

For a pragmatic, no obligation site selection overview and discussion, contact

Solving the Value Equation

[email protected] 713.977.3600

24 E. Greenway Plaza, Ste. 400

Houston, TX 77046 www.ephorgroup.com

How & Where Should I Expand

My BPO Capabilities?

Page 11: Beyond Payroll Market Sector Findings Post HRTech

Solving the Value Equation

www.ephorgroup.com ©Copyright 2014 Ephor Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 19

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

The Ephor Group, founded in 2002, is a strategic advisory firm. Since its inception, the firm has deployed its

expertise to over 20 HR organizations creating nearly $600m of shareholder wealth, while investing nearly $100m of

institutional capital to progressive, change oriented, “out of box thinking”, wealth centric management teams and

business models.

Ephor Group’s (“Ephor”) principals and professionals combine decades of

strategic management and investor experience in the sector, having

developed, advised, managed or co-invested in such notable business

models as Synadyne (PEO), Tandem Payroll (Payroll), Perquest

(Payroll/WFM) HRAmerica (ASO), SmartTime (Time & Labor) HRAdvance

(Benefit Admin.), and Achilles Group (HCM). Of particular note, most of

the aforementioned organizations were “exited” as a result of the

strategic buyer community.

Ephors’ Managing Partner, Garry Meier, is a well-known and respected

thought leader and speaker on the HRO/WFM outsourcing sectors,

having served as Chairman & CEO of Outsource International (OSIX), a

publicly traded $850M revenue provider of HRO/WFM outsourcing

services that included Payroll, PEO, Staffing, Recruiting, Fractional HR

Services, Worker Compensation Cost Containment, and Training. Mr.

Meier’s additional operating assignments included, President & COO of

Medaphis Physician Services (MEDA), a publicly traded outsourcing

provider of healthcare workforce management services that grew to

nearly $650M in revenue. Currently Mr. Meier is the Chairman of Latin

American Card Services (LACS), a high growth oriented, $280m in

revenue, provider of payroll, debit card, and WFM financial services to

the Latin American marketplace, with locations in 10 LATAM countries.

At present Mr. Meier’s focuses his time on advising Boards of Directors, CEOs & Executives, and the investment

community on their strategy, growth and investment initiatives, as well serves as an advisor to the US Senate

Finance Committee for Small Business.

Ephor trusts the enclosed brief review of 2013 and forecast for 2014 and beyond provides meaningful information

and insight as to the HRO sector and influences you’re strategic and tactical decision making processes.

Founded in 2002

Ephor has a dedicated HRO/HCM

Practice

8 Successful Co. Exits

Sector Leadership & Expertise

since 1992

Significant M&A Experience

International Expertise

Deployed >$100m of Capital

Advisor to US Senate Finance

Committee on Small Business

Ephor Group

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Solving the Value Equation

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