Better Georgia/PPP October Poll

7/27/2019 Better Georgia/PPP October Poll

1/17

Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

To: Interested Parties

Subject: State of the Governors Race in Georgia

Date: October 9th

, 2013

PPPs polling this week reveals that an ethics scandal and disagreements about Medicaid

funding have produced a weak position for the incumbent governor in Georgia, and Gov.

Nathan Deals lead over a hypothetical 2014 challenger is now in the low-single digits.

-In a hypothetical 2014 matchup, Nathan Deal slightly leads Jason Carter at 44/40

within the margin of error. This is a significant gain for Carter, who trailed 33/48 in the

same hypothetical matchup we polled in August.

-Deals standing with Georgian registered voters has continued to fall since our last poll.

His approval was 44/32 in August, but has fallen to 34/41 in our new poll.

-Much of this negative trend is due to Deals ethics scandal, as nearly half (48%) of those

polled felt state ethics commissions call for an independent investigation of Deals last

campaign is a convincing reason not to vote for his re-election. 52% of voters responded

that Deals failure to file reports over large political contributions constituted a

convincing reason to not vote for him next November. And a solid 62% of voters said

they would be convinced to not vote for Deal because of his inaction over a Georgian

company that owes the state more than $74 million in back taxes.

-Deal is also out of step with the views of Georgia voters on Medicaid funding. 60% of

registered voters support Georgias accepting of federal Medicaid funding, while only

26% oppose. Even 40% of Georgia Republicans are for it.

-Much of Carters gains on Deal in recent months can be attributed to his support among

women voters. Only 28% of women in Georgia approve of Nathan Deal, and 43% ofwomen would vote for Carter over 37% for Deal in a hypothetical election.

Public Policy Polling surveyed 602 Georgia voters on October 7-8. The margin of error

for the survey is +/- 4.1% PPP polls are conducted using automated telephone interviews.


2/17

October 7-8, 2013Survey of 602 Georgia voters


Georgia Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of GovernorNathan Deal's job performance?

34%Approve ..........................................................

41%Disapprove......................................................

25%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 If the election for Governor were today, wouldyou vote to re-elect Republican Nathan Deal,or would you vote for his Democraticopponent?

45%Nathan Deal....................................................41%Democratic opponent......................................

15%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 If the candidates for Governor in 2014 wereNathan Deal, the incumbent Republican, orJason Carter, a Democratic state senator from

Atlanta and grandson of Jimmy Carter, howwould you vote?

44%Nathan Deal....................................................

40%Jason Carter...................................................

16%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Now I'm going to ask you about your opinion ofsome reasons people have given for opposingthe re-election of Governor Nathan Deal. Foreach one, please tell me whether you find it aconvincing reason to vote against GovernorDeal's re-election, or not. Heres the first one:The state ethics commission recently called foran independent investigation of chargesstemming from Gov. Deals last campaign forgovernor. The states top ethics attorney saidthe governors office was involved in efforts todestroy documents in an open investigationinvolving the FBI and the U.S. Attorneys office.

48%Convincing......................................................

37%Not convincing ................................................

14%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Heres the next reason: An independentreporter recently discovered that Gov. NathanDeal is collecting political contributions greaterthan most Georgia families make in a year andfailed to file reports for two years.

52%Convincing......................................................

34%Not convincing ................................................

14%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Heres one more: The governor is makingmillions of dollars from a company that won'tpay Georgia what it owes. The company owesthe state $74 million in back taxes, but Gov.Deal won't do anything about it, even thoughhe made sure he got paid.

62%Convincing......................................................

26%Not convincing ................................................

13%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Some people say that the Georgia stateincome tax should be repealed and replacedwith an increase in the sales tax on goods andservices. Supporters say this would improve

the economy and encourage people to savemore by taxing spending. Opponents say thiswould result in higher taxes for middle- andworking-class Georgians, while cutting taxesfor corporations and the wealthy. Having heardthis, would you say you support or oppose theGeorgia state income tax being repealed andreplaced with an increase in the sales tax ongoods and services?

40%Support ...........................................................

44%Oppose ...........................................................

17%Not sure ..........................................................


3/17



Q8 Georgia and other states are considering

whether to accept more federal funds forMedicaid. The money would insure moreGeorgians, put hundreds of millions of dollarsinto our economy, create thousands of jobs,and possibly prevent rural hospitals fromclosing. Do you support or oppose Georgiaaccepting the Medicaid funding?

60%Support ...........................................................

26%Oppose ...........................................................

14%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 Many workers in Georgia are being incorrectlylabeled independent contractors, which lets

employers avoid providing health care,minimum wage, overtime pay, and other full-time benefits. Some states have passed lawsto prevent or limit the practice of employersmisclassifying employees as contractors.Would you support or oppose efforts in Georgiato prevent employers from misclassifyingemployees as contractors?

54%Support ...........................................................

26%Oppose ...........................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

54%Woman ...........................................................

46%Man.................................................................

Q11 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?

41%Barack Obama................................................

48%Mitt Romney....................................................

11%Someone else/Don't remember......................

Q12 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

9%Very liberal ......................................................

13%Somewhat liberal ............................................

30%Moderate.........................................................

26%Somewhat conservative..................................

22%Very conservative ...........................................

Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

38%Democrat ........................................................38%Republican......................................................

25%Independent/Other..........................................

Q14 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,press 2. If other, press 3.

63%White ..............................................................

29%African-American ............................................

8%Other...............................................................

Q15 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.

10%18 to 29...........................................................

26%30 to 45...........................................................

44%46 to 65...........................................................

20%Older than 65 ..................................................


4/17

October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters


Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Deal Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

34% 28% 41%

41% 39% 42%

25% 32% 17%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Deal or Dem

Opponent

Nathan Deal

Democratic

opponent

Not s ure

45% 38% 53%

41% 44% 36%

15% 17% 11%

Base

Gender

Wom an ManDeal/Carter

Nathan Deal

Jason Carter

Not s ure

44% 37% 52%

40% 43% 36%

16% 19% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an ManEthics Charges:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not s ure

48% 54% 41%

37% 29% 47%

14% 17% 11%


5/17



Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Failed to Repor t

Donations:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not s ure

52% 57% 46%

34% 26% 44%

14% 17% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Making Millions

fro m Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not s ure

62% 67% 56%

26% 19% 33%

13% 14% 11%

Base

Gender

Wom an ManSupport/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

40% 35% 45%

44% 47% 39%

17% 18% 15%

Base

Gender

Wom an ManSupport/Oppose

Accpe ting Me dicaid

Funds

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

60% 63% 57%

26% 21% 32%

14% 17% 11%


6/17



Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Support/Oppose

Preventing

Employee

Misclassification

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

54% 53% 55%

26% 22% 30%

21% 25% 16%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Deal Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

34% 11% 55% 32%

41% 70% 17% 36%

25% 20% 29% 32%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Deal or Dem

Opponent

Nath an Deal

Democratic

opponent

Not s ure

45% 8% 78% 39%

41% 83% 8% 26%

15% 10% 15% 35%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Deal/Carter

Nathan Deal

Jason Carter

Not s ure

44% 7% 76% 42%

40% 78% 8% 35%

16% 14% 16% 23%


7/17



Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Ethics Charges :

Convincing Reason

to V ote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not s ure

48% 76% 26% 44%

37% 13% 60% 31%

14% 12% 14% 25%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Failed to Report

Donations:

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not s ure

52% 79% 30% 48%

34% 13% 53% 28%

14% 8% 17% 24%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Making Millions

from Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reason

to V ote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not s ure

62% 92% 38% 54%

26% 4% 45% 25%

13% 4% 18% 21%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Support/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

40% 25% 55% 28%

44% 58% 31% 44%

17% 17% 14% 28%


8/17



Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Support/Oppose

Accpe ti ng Me dicaid

Funds

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

60% 89% 37% 54%

26% 5% 44% 26%

14% 6% 19% 20%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Support/Oppose

Preventing

Employee

Misclassification

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

54% 66% 43% 54%

26% 15% 36% 21%

21% 19% 21% 25%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservativeDeal Appr oval

App ro ve

Disapprove

Not sur e

34% 19% 23% 21% 38% 59%

41% 58% 58% 54% 32% 15%

25% 23% 19% 24% 30% 26%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservativeDeal or Dem

Opponent

Nathan Deal

Dem ocratic

opponent

Not sur e

45% 16% 18% 25% 61% 79%

41% 68% 76% 60% 21% 7%

15% 17% 7% 16% 18% 14%


9/17



Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Deal/Carter

Nathan Deal

Jason Carter

Not sur e

44% 11% 16% 21% 62% 83%

40% 65% 77% 58% 23% 5%

16% 24% 8% 21% 16% 11%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Ethics Charges :

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincin g

Not sur e

48% 78% 71% 61% 34% 22%

37% 10% 20% 21% 48% 68%

14% 12% 9% 18% 18% 10%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservativeFailed to Repor t

Donations:

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convin cing

Not sur e

52% 87% 66% 65% 41% 25%

34% 5% 24% 22% 42% 58%

14% 8% 10% 13% 17% 17%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservativeMaking Millions

from Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincin g

Not sur e

62% 86% 85% 77% 46% 36%

26% 11% 12% 9% 33% 53%

13% 4% 3% 13% 21% 11%


10/17



Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Support/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

40% 31% 26% 33% 45% 54%

44% 50% 53% 54% 38% 29%

17% 20% 21% 13% 18% 17%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Support/Oppose

Accp et ing Me di caid

Funds

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

60% 79% 84% 74% 45% 38%

26% 14% 13% 14% 34% 45%

14% 7% 3% 12% 21% 18%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservativeSupport/Oppose

Preventing

Employee

Misclassif ication

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

54% 67% 66% 66% 46% 34%

26% 16% 19% 19% 28% 40%

21% 17% 15% 15% 26% 26%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Deal Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not sur e

34% 14% 55% 34%

41% 66% 17% 38%

25% 20% 29% 27%


11/17



Crosstabs

Base

Party


Deal or Dem

Opponent

Nath an Deal

Democratic

opponent

Not sure

45% 9% 7 9% 47%

41% 80% 6% 33%

15% 11% 15% 20%

Base

Party


Deal/Carter

Nath an Deal

Jason Carter

Not sur e

44% 7% 8 1% 43%

40% 80% 6% 32%

16% 13% 13% 25%

Base

Party


Ethics Charges :

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not sure

48% 73% 25% 46%

37% 12% 64% 35%

14% 14% 11% 19%

Base

Party


Failed to Report

Donations:

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not sur e

52% 81% 26% 48%

34% 12% 55% 35%

14% 7% 1 9% 17%


12/17



Crosstabs

Base

Party


Making Millions

from Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reason

to Vo te a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not sure

62% 88% 34% 64%

26% 7% 4 8% 20%

13% 5% 1 8% 16%

Base

Party


Support/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

40% 25% 53% 42%

44% 55% 34% 41%

17% 20% 13% 17%

Base

Party


Support/Oppose


Funds

Support

Oppose

Not sure

60% 86% 39% 54%

26% 7% 4 5% 25%

14% 7% 1 6% 21%

Base

Party


Support/Oppose

Preventing

Em ployee

Misclassification

Support

Oppose

Not sur e

54% 65% 41% 56%

26% 16% 38% 21%

21% 18% 21% 23%


13/17



Crosstabs

Base

Race

White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Deal Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

34% 44% 13% 32%

41% 30% 66% 32%

25% 26% 21% 36%

Base

Race

White

Af r ican-

Am er ican Othe r

Deal or Dem

Opponent

Nathan Deal

Democratic

opponent

Not su re

45% 61% 9% 47%

41% 23% 82% 28%

15% 16% 10% 25%

Base

Race

WhiteAf r ican -

Am er ican Other

Deal/Carter

Nathan Deal

Jason Carter

Not s ure

44% 61% 10% 33%

40% 24% 77% 30%

16% 15% 14% 37%

Base

Race

WhiteAf r ican-

Am er ican Othe r

Ethics Charges:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not su re

48% 37% 73% 48%

37% 50% 12% 34%

14% 13% 16% 17%


14/17



Crosstabs

Base

Race

White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Failed to Repo rt

Donations:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not convincing

Not s ure

52% 39% 82% 46%

34% 45% 13% 26%

14% 16% 6% 28%

Base

Race

White

Af r ican-

Am er ican Othe r

Making Millions

fro m Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not su re

62% 50% 89% 57%

26% 34% 7% 26%

13% 16% 5% 17%

Base

Race

WhiteAf r ican -

Am er ican Other

Support/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

40% 47% 28% 19%

44% 39% 51% 53%

17% 14% 20% 28%

Base

Race

WhiteAf r ican-

Am er ican Othe r

Support/Oppose


Funds

Support

Oppose

Not su re

60% 51% 83% 49%

26% 34% 10% 20%

14% 15% 7% 31%


15/17



Crosstabs

Base

Race

White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Support/Oppose

Preventing

Employee

Misclassification

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

54% 52% 61% 40%

26% 28% 19% 29%

21% 20% 20% 32%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Deal Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not su re

34% 21% 37% 30% 46%

41% 38% 42% 46% 29%

25% 42% 22% 24% 25%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Deal or Dem

Opponent

Nathan Deal

Democratic

opponent

Not s ure

45% 29% 47% 41% 56%

41% 50% 39% 44% 31%

15% 21% 14% 15% 13%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Deal/Carter

Nathan Deal

Jason Carter

Not su re

44% 21% 48% 43% 53%

40% 42% 40% 42% 35%

16% 38% 12% 15% 12%


16/17



Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Ethics Charges:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not s ure

48% 71% 47% 52% 31%

37% 17% 43% 34% 48%

14% 13% 10% 14% 21%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Failed to Repor t

Donations:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not su re

52% 71% 48% 55% 40%

34% 13% 43% 29% 44%

14% 17% 8% 16% 16%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Making Millions

fr om Deadbeat Co.:

Convincing Reaso n

to Vote a/g Deal?

Convincing

Not con vincing

Not s ure

62% 79% 60% 64% 51%

26% 17% 32% 20% 34%

13% 4% 8% 16% 15%

Base

Age

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65

Support/Oppose

Repaling Incom e

Tax, Raising Sales

Tax

Support

Oppose

Not su re

40% 21% 43% 41% 41%

44% 54% 47% 40% 43%

17% 25% 10% 19% 16%


17/17



Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Support/Oppose

Accpe ting Medi caid

Funds

Support

Oppose

Not s ure

60% 67% 62% 61% 54%

26% 13% 28% 26% 30%

14% 21% 10% 14% 15%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Support/Oppose

Preventing

Employee

Misclassification

Support

Oppose

Not su re

54% 58% 58% 55% 42%

26% 8% 28% 28% 26%

21% 33% 13% 17% 31%

Better Georgia/PPP October Poll

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