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Sector deep dives A Lloyd’s emerging risk report Below 2°C Insurance for a low carbon economy
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Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Jul 21, 2020

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Page 1: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Sector deep dives

A Lloyd’s emerging risk report

Below 2°CInsurance for a low carbon economy

Page 3: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

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Page 4: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Contents 04

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Page 5: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Classification: Confidential

Coal

Page 6: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Coal 06

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Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Page 7: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Coal 07

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Page 8: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Coal 08

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Page 9: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Classification: Confidential

Marine

Page 10: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Marine 10

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Page 11: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Marine 11

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Page 12: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Marine 12

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Page 13: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Classification: Confidential

Bioefuels

Page 14: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Biofuels 14

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The biofuels sectors could experience large increases in demand, but technologies have not yet proven to be deployable at scale.

Page 15: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Biofuels 15

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-100

100

300

500

700

Jet fuel

Page 16: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Biofuels 16

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Page 17: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Classification: Confidential

Solar PV

Page 18: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Solar PV 18

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Under the 2°C compliant scenario, solar PV capacity reaches 1150 GW in 2030, with forecasts suggesting average annual growth rates of between 15-25% between 2019 and 2023 (Solar Power Europe, 2019).

Page 19: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Solar PV 19

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Page 20: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Solar PV 20

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Page 21: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Classification: Confidential

Construction

Page 22: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Construction 22

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Globally, buildings and construction sectors combined are responsible for 36% of final energy consumption and close to 40% of CO2 emissions (IEA, 2019).

Page 23: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Construction 23

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Page 24: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

Construction 24

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Page 25: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

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Page 26: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

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Page 27: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

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Page 28: Below 2°C€¦ · Coal 06 ° – – Demand in the coal sector is estimated to fall by at least 70% under the 2°C compliant scenarios by 2030. (Vivid Economics, 2019).

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