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Bayesian flux reconstruction in one and two bands Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V – June 13, 2011 Eric R. Switzer (KICP) T. M. Crawford, E. R. Switzer, W. L. Holzapfel, C. L. Reichardt, D. P. Marrone, and J. D. Vieira, “A Method for Individual Source Brightness Estimation in Single- and Multi-band Data” ApJ, 718:513–521, July 2010.
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Bayesian f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Feb 16, 2016

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Page 1: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Bayesian flux reconstruction in one and two bands

Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V – June 13, 2011

Eric R. Switzer (KICP)T. M. Crawford, E. R. Switzer, W. L. Holzapfel, C. L. Reichardt, D. P. Marrone, and J. D. Vieira, “A Method for Individual Source Brightness Estimation in Single- and Multi-band Data” ApJ, 718:513–521, July 2010.

Page 2: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands
Page 3: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Intrinsically faint sources are much more probable than bright sources.

It is more likely that the observed flux is a dimmer source and a positive noise fluctuation: “deboost” the measured flux.

Page 4: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

The source problem

Goal: posterior parameters {xi, Si,υ} given d and prior information.

SPT 2mm; J. Vieira

~1’ resolution, 1 deg.: normal galaxy is unresolved for z>0.05 (200 Mpc), “point sources”

Page 5: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

The source problem

SPT 2mm; J. Vieira

Apply a matched filter, measure the flux Sm, but:

Page 6: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

The single-band, multi-source posterior distribution

Goal:

Data model:

MeasurementLikelihood:

Where:

Prior:

Distinction here: posterior of the brightest individual source of flux in a resolution element.

Or, P(Ssmax) P(S>Ssmax)

(Scheuer 1957)

Page 7: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

The two-band problem

Suggesting the posterior:

If background sources approximate a Gaussian distribution:

Optionally either Flux1, Flux2, or e.g. Flux1 and alpha.

(For experiments where the Gaussian assumption is not accurate, the full PDF can be developed as a 2D version of the single-band argument.)

Page 8: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

The two-band posterior

4.2σ4.9σ

0.5σ

Page 9: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Deboosting in the flux plane

Page 10: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Deboosting in the flux plane

Region of large flux errors (not shown for simplicity)

Dust locu

s

Sync. l

ocus

Page 11: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Uses and extensions• Population counts, spectral

energy distributions, categorized source catalogs

• P(α > αd) > Pd

• Method to determine population counts from the flux PDFs of the catalog.

• A rigorous multi-band, multi-experiment counts method with appropriate prior information.

AGN-powered, synchrotron-dominated, falling spectrum (in frequency). Dust emission-dominated, rising spectrum.

Page 12: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Uses and extensions• Population counts, spectral

energy distributions, categorized source catalogs

• P(α > αd) > Pd

• Method to determine population counts from the flux PDFs of the catalog.

• A rigorous multi-band, multi-experiment counts method with appropriate prior information.

Page 13: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

Uses and extensions• Population counts, spectral

energy distributions, categorized source catalogs

• P(α > αd) > Pd

• Method to determine population counts from the flux PDFs of the catalog.

• A rigorous multi-band, multi-experiment counts method with appropriate prior information.

Right way: P(D) – what is the PDF of underlying counts model parameters which explains the PDF of pixel fluxes?

Page 14: Bayesian  f lux reconstruction in one and two bands

References• This talk: T. M. Crawford, E. R. Switzer, W. L. Holzapfel, C. L. Reichardt, D. P. Marrone, and J.

D. Vieira, “A Method for Individual Source Brightness Estimation in Single- and Multi-band Data,” ApJ, 718:513–521, July 2010.

• Bayesian catalogs: P. Carvalho, G.Rocha, and M. P. Hobson, “A fast Bayesian approach to discrete object detection in astronomical data sets - PowellSnakes I,” MNRAS, 393:681–702, March 2009.

• P(D) method: Patanchon et al., “Submillimeter Number Counts from Statistical Analysis of BLAST Maps,” ApJ, 707:1750–1765, December 2009.

• PDF of source fluxes: P. A. G. Scheuer, “A statistical method for analysing observations of faint radio stars,” In Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, volume 53 pages 764–773, 1957.

• Method here applied to SPT data: J. D. Vieira, T. M. Crawford, E. R. Switzer, et al. “Extragalactic Millimeter-wave Sources in South Pole Telescope Survey Data: Source Counts, Catalog, and Statistics for an 87 Square- degree Field,” ApJ, 719:763–783, August 2010.

• Deboosting in literature: K. Coppin, M. Halpern, D. Scott, C. Borys, and S. Chapman, “An 850-μm SCUBA map of the Groth Strip and reliable source extraction” MNRAS, 357:1022–1028, March 2005.

• https://github.com/eric-switzer/bayes_flux