Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference September 5, 2018
BarclaysCEO Energy-PowerConferenceSeptember 5, 2018
Advisory Statements
Forward-looking Information and Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking information as to ARC’s internal projections, expectations or beliefs relating to future events or future performance and includes information as to our future well inventory in
our core areas, our exploration and development drilling and other exploitation plans for 2018 and beyond, and related production expectations, costs and cash flow, expenses, our plans for constructing and
expanding facilities, the volume of ARC's oil and gas reserves and the volume of ARC's oil and gas resources in the northeast British Columbia Montney (“NE BC Montney”), the recognition of additional reserves and
the capital required to do so, the life of ARC's reserves, the volume and product mix of ARC's oil and gas production, future results from operations and operating metrics. These statements represent Management’s
expectations or beliefs concerning, among other things, future operating results and various components thereof or the economic performance of ARC. The projections, estimates and beliefs contained in such
forward-looking statements are based on Management's assumptions relating to the production performance of ARC’s oil and gas assets, the cost and competition for services, the continuation of ARC’s historical
experience with expenses and production, changes in the capital expenditure budgets, future commodity prices, continuing access to capital and the continuation of the current regulatory and tax regime in Canada
and necessarily involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, such as changes in oil and gas prices, infrastructure constraints in relation to the development of the Montney in British Columbia, risks associated
with the degree of certainty in resource assessments and including the business risks discussed in ARC’s annual and quarterly MD&A and other continuous disclosure documents, and related to Management’s
assumptions, which may cause actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from any projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements. Accordingly, readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted. Other than the 2018 Guidance, which is discussed quarterly, ARC does
not undertake to update any forward-looking information in this document whether as to new information, future events or otherwise except as required by securities laws and regulations.
We have adopted the standard of 6 Mcf:1 barrel when converting natural gas to barrels of oil equivalent ("boe"). Boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf:1 barrel is based
on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of the 6:1 conversion ratio, utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.
Non-GAAP Measures
Throughout this presentation, ARC uses the terms operating netback (“netback”) and return on average capital employed (“ROACE”) to analyze financial and operating performance. These non-GAAP measures do
not have any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities.
Netback
ARC calculates netback on a total and per boe basis as sales less royalties, operating and transportation expenses. ARC discloses netbacks both before and after the effect of realized gains or losses on risk
management contracts. Realized gains or losses represent the portion of risk management contracts that have settled in cash during the period and disclosing this impact provides Management and investors with
transparent measures that reflect how ARC’s risk management program can impact its netback. Management feels that its netback is a key industry benchmark and a measure of performance for ARC that provides
investors with information that is commonly used by other crude oil and natural gas producers. The measurement on a boe basis assists Management and investors with evaluating operating performance on a
comparable basis.
Return on Average Capital Employed
ARC calculates ROACE, expressed as a percentage, as net income plus interest and total income taxes (recovery) divided by the average of the opening and closing capital employed for the 12 months preceding
period end. Capital employed is the total of net debt plus shareholders’ equity. ROACE since inception is the annual average net income plus interest and total income taxes (recovery) for the years 1996 to 2017
divided by the average of the opening and closing capital employed over the same period. Refer to the "Capital Management" note in ARC’s financial statements for additional discussion on net debt. ARC uses
ROACE as a measure of operating performance, to measure how effectively Management utilizes the capital it has been provided and to demonstrate to shareholders that capital has been used wisely over the long
term.
ARC at a Glance
A Leading Montney Producer Committed to Long-term Value Creation and Shareholder Returns
Global Reach55% Canada
35% US
10% Abroad
Diversified
Market AccessPreserves Margins
8th LargestCanadian
ConventionalProducer
Low-costProducer
470Valued
Employees
$6 billionEnterprise Value
22 Yearsof Success
Proven Strategy of
Risk-managed
Value Creation
ARC Is Building Sustainable Montney Businesses
Businesses Sustain Production and Generate Free Cash Flow at Low Reinvestment Rates
0
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
2009 Non-coreDispositions
2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2015 2017 2019
Sunrise
Phase II
Dawson
Phase III
Tower
Battery
ExpansionSunrise
Phase IParkland/Tower
Phase II
Ante Creek
Phase IDawson
Phase IIDawson
Phase I
Montney Production
Cardium & Non-core Production
Montney Businesses
ARC’s Vision & Principles of Business
To Deliver Industry-leading Returns via Per Share Growth in Funds from Operations and Dividends
Disciplined
Capital Allocation
Physical Market
Access and Financial
Risk Management
Focus on Efficiency
Improvements
2009 2017
Net Gas Well Count
77%2009 2017
Operating Expenses
37%
2009 2017
Sustaining Capital
Requirements
29%2009 2017
Three-year Average
F&D Costs
61%
~$0.8 billionof realized cash gains
on risk management
contracts since 2009
Multiple Sales Pointsincluding US Midwest,
US Pacific Northwest, Henry Hub,
Dawn, AECO, Station 2 hubs
ARC’s Plan
2017
Monthly dividend of
$0.05 per share
Sold Saskatchewan
assets
Eliminated DRIP and
SDP plans
118,671 boe per day
2018
Sustain Montney
businesses
Build 3,000 bbl per day
battery at Attachie West
130,000 to 134,000
boe per day
2019
Maintain consistent
investment levels
Bring on Sunrise
Phase II (additional
120 MMcf/day in service)
Progress multiple large-
scale projects, leading
to per share production
and cash flow growth• Attachie West Phase I
• Dawson Phase I & II liquids-
handling enhancements
• Dawson Phase IV
ARC’s Plan Is Fully Funded and Demonstrates Our Ongoing Focus on Profitability, Sustainability and Creating Optionality
2016
Brought on Dawson
Phase III
Rebuilt liquids
production from
divestments
Achieved success
in Lower Montney and
Attachie
122,937 boe per day
Maintain Share Count
Progress Sunrise
Phase II (60 MMcf/day
in service by year-end)
ARC’s Proven Development Model
Inventory at All Stages Allows for Self-funding and Full-cycle Returns across Portfolio
Dawson Phase I & II
Sunrise Phase I
Attachie East
Parkland/Tower Phase I & II
Net Cash Flow +
Sundown
Attachie West (Pilot)
Redwater
Pembina
Growth for Future Phase
• Exploration
• Appraisal / Piloting
Development Phase
• Develop to Commercialize
• Invest in Infrastructure
• Geographic and Commodity Diversity
Free Cash Flow Phase
• Optimization
• Maintenance
• Development to Sustain Cash Flow
Growth & Development Capital
$275 million
Sustaining Capital
$390 million
Ante Creek (Central)
Dawson Phase III
Pouce Coupe
Dawson Phase IV
Attachie West Phase I
2018 Budget
$690 million (1)
Sunrise Phase II
Parkland/Tower Phase III
Septimus
(1) Includes $25 million of non-core and corporate capital.
Ante Creek (South)
Dawson Phase V
ARC Has Optionality in the Montney
ARC’s Montney Assets Are Strategically Located
Commodity Optionality
Egress Optionality
Geographic Optionality
Multi-layer Optionality
Oil and Liquids
Dry Gas
ABBC
Red Creek
Attachie
SeptimusTower
ParklandSunsetSunrise
Sundown
Dawson
Pouce Coupe
Ante Creek
1,000m
2,000m
3,000m1,000m
Montney Erosional Edge
2,000m
Lower Montney
10 kPa/m Line
Condensate-rich
Gas
ARC Has Identified Multiple Layers to Develop
Significant Future Delineation Opportunities with the Development of Efficient and Sustainable Resource Base
Attachie Septimus Sunrise Tower Parkland Dawson Pouce Coupe
Montney
A
Montney
B
Montney
C
Montney
D
Montney
E
Existing Horizontal Wells, Development Existing Horizontal Wells, Pilots Potential Horizontal Wells
Up
pe
r M
on
tney
Lo
we
r M
on
tne
y
ARC Is Growing Its Liquids Production
Development Activities in the Lower Montney Are Focused on Growing Liquids Production (1)
(1) Only Lower Montney wells are displayed.
10-34
14-14
07-32
16-13
09-21
03-18
11-04
01-31
02-25
16-13
2017 to Q2 2018 Lower Montney
Drilled and Completed Wells
Wells Planned for 2018
Dawson-Parkland Interconnect
01-10
12-31
03-15
• Development activities at Dawson and
Parkland will underpin condensate
production growth at Dawson Phase III,
which has liquids-handling capacity of
7,500 bbl/day
• Dawson-Parkland interconnect is
expected to be in service by late 2018
and will allow ARC to invest in Lower
Montney wells at Dawson and Parkland
on the basis of profitability
• Progress infrastructure upgrade at
Dawson Phase I & II to accommodate
additional liquids production
0
50
100
150
200
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Oil &
Co
nd
en
sate
Pro
du
cti
on
(M
bb
l)
Days on Production
Cumulative Oil & Condensate Production (1)
Attachie 13-14 Attachie B13-26 Tower 7-12 West Pad Average Attachie 16-16 Parkland F11-04
ARC’s Parkland Delivering Strong Lower Montney Results
Parkland Lower Montney Well Has Similar Free Liquids Production to the Best Wells at Tower and Attachie
Attachie 13-14
(Upper Montney, ~1,950 m)
Attachie B13-26
(Upper Montney, ~1,900 m)
Tower 7-12 West Pad Average
(Upper Montney, ~2,500 m)
Parkland F11-04
(Lower Montney, ~2,400 m)
Attachie 16-16
(Upper Montney, ~2,800 m)
“The Beast”
(1) Lengths in meters noted are lateral well lengths.
ARC’s Dawson Phase IV Cash Flow Model
Development Timeline:
• 2018 to 2020: Facility and infrastructure spending
• 2019 to 2020: Pre-drill ~36 wells to fill facility
• 2021: Drill ~10 wells per year to sustain business
As With Each Project ARC Advances, Dawson Phase IV Will Generate Significant Free Cash Flow and Strong Full-cycle Returns
Field Netback
Capital Expenditures, excluding Facility Expenditures
Facility Expenditures
Production
Net Cash Flow
Dawson Phase IV
Gas Processing Capacity: 90 MMcf/day
Liquids-handling Capacity: 7,500 bbl/day
On-stream: 2020
-30,000
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
($150,000,000)
($100,000,000)
($50,000,000)
$0
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
-30,000
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
($150,000,000)
($100,000,000)
($50,000,000)
$0
$50,000,000
$100,000,000
$150,000,000
$200,000,000
201
7
201
8F
201
9F
202
0F
202
1F
202
2F
202
3F
202
4F
202
5F
202
6F
202
7F
202
8F
202
9F
ARC Has a Premium Oil & Liquids Production Mix
• 90% of ARC’s liquids production is made up of premium light oil and condensate
68% of ARC’s H1 2018 Sales Revenue Was Derived from Oil & Liquids Production
69%
11%
19%
1%
ARC’s Crude Oil & Condensate Production Mix
Light ( > 35° API )
Medium ( 25° to 35° API )
Condensate ( > 50° API )
Heavy ( < 25° API )
Crude Oil & Condensate Benchmark Pricing
25
35
45
55
65
75
Jul-
16
Oct-
16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct-
17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
US
$/b
arr
el
Mixed Sweet Blend WTI
Condensate Western Canadian Select
Ju
n-1
8
ARC Manages an Advantaged Diversification Strategy
• Less than 5% of ARC’s expected total sales revenue is exposed to AECO and Station 2 for the remainder of 2018
ARC Is Physically and Financially Diversifying to Downstream Markets to Manage Risk and to Achieve Optimal Pricing
Realized Gains on Risk Management Contracts
Diversification Activities
Average Price before Diversification Activities
$2.04 $2.17 $2.18
$1.28
$0.19
$0.39 $0.32
$0.63
$0.92
$0.78 $0.74
$1.05
$3.15$3.34
$3.24
$2.96
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018
Cd
n$
/Mc
f
ARC’s Corporate Natural Gas Price ARC’s Natural Gas Diversification (1)(2)
(1) Based on production assumptions for sanctioned projects.
(2) “Hedged” includes all physical and financial fixed price swaps and collars at AECO, Station 2, and Henry Hub.
Hedged
Midwest US Floating
Dawn Floating
AECO Floating Station 2 Floating
Henry Hub Floating Pac-NW US Floating
37%
23%15%
2%
17%23%
8% 7% 11%
34%26% 19%
9%19%
21%
6% 4% 7%4% 4% 4%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Bal 2018 Cal 2019 Cal 2020
% o
f To
tal P
rod
ucti
on
Total Forecasted Inflows & Outflows (1)
2017 to 2019
ARC Can Sustain the Business at Low Prices
Disposition Proceeds Have Given ARC the Ability to Counter-cyclically Invest in Growth Projects
Capital Efficiencies
$10,000/boe/day
Capital Efficiencies
$15,000/boe/day
ARC can sustain the
business in a
US$50/bbl WTI &
Cdn$1.50/GJ AECO
price environment
Funds from Operations
(~60% Oil & Liquids) ~$200 million/year
Funds from Operations(~40% Gas) ~$400 million/year
Net A&D Proceedsand
Excess Funds from Operations
Dawson Phase IIISunrise Phase II
Dawson Phase IV
Sources of Cash Dividend Sustaining Capital Growth Capital
(1) Sustaining and growth capital expenditures are before land and net property acquisitions and dispositions.
ARC Is Positioned for Continued Long-term Profitability
Low Sustaining Capital Requirements, Efficient Investment of Growth Capital and Low-cost Funding Decisions Lead to Profitability
ROACE of 10% since Inception
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Return on Average Capital Employed (1)
ROACE
Trailing Three-year ROACE
(1) Non-GAAP measure that does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Refer to “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Advisory Statements to this presentation.
ARC Is Committed to Strong ESG Performance
• In 10 years of formal sustainability reporting, ARC has achieved the following:
• 47% reduction in recordable injury rates for employees
• 43% reduction in greenhouse gas intensity
• 31% increase in the percentage of women in supervisory or professional positions
ARC’s Leadership Culture Is Reflected in Its ESG Practices
Recognitions and Rankings:
• MSCI Global Sustainability Index
• Jantzi Social Index
• FTSE Russell’s FTSE4Good Index Series
• CDP Participant for nine consecutive years
• Joined the 30% Club in 2018
• Globe and Mail Board Games (Ranked 26 out of 242 companies with a score of 90/100)
• Brendan Wood International (Ranked #1 in peer group for Confidence in Corporate Strategy in 2018)
• 2016 Canadian Coalition for Good Governance: Best Disclosure of Corporate Governance and Executive Compensation Practices
• 2017 & 2018 IR Magazine Awards: Best IR in Energy Sector, Grand Prix for Mid-Cap, Best Financial Reporting,
Best Use of Technology, Best Investor Relations Officer, Best IR by a CEO (2018 only)
• 2017 IR Magazine Global Top 50
For more information, visit www.arcresponsibility.com
Why Invest in ARC?
A Differentiated Investment with Tremendous Opportunity
• Top-tier Assets
• Owned Infrastructure
• Industry-leading
Operational Efficiencies
• Market Access
• Concentrated Asset Base
• Strong Expertise
• Balance Sheet Strength
• Full-cycle Returning Projects
• Disciplined Execution
• Managed Pace and Decline
• Technology Deployment
• Growth for Future
Development
• Free Cash Flow
• Per Share Growth
• Sustainable Dividend
Montney and Cardium Project Potential
(boe/day)
2017
Competitive Cost
Structure
Profitable
Investment
Deep Project
Inventory
Long-term
Value Creation
Base Production
• Montney
• Cardium
Project Options – Next Five Years
Sanctioned:
• Sunrise II
• Dawson IV
Next Decade
• Sunrise III
• Septimus I & II
• Attachie West II
• Attachie Central I & II
• Attachie East I & II
• Pouce Coupe
• Sundown
Follow-on Options:
• Attachie West I
• Ante Creek II• Parkland/Tower III
• Dawson V