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Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia
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Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Jan 01, 2016

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Page 1: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Baltic Real Estate Market -

Ups, Downs and Recovery

Saint PetersburgSeptember 30th, 2011

Mr. Edgars ShinsPresident of LANIDA

CEO of LATIO Ltd.Latvia

Page 2: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Baltic States

A gate between East and West

Page 3: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

ESTONIA

Page 4: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Tallin

• Population – 414,353 people

• Residential sq.m – ca. 11.05 million

• Commercial sq.m – ca. 480,000

Page 5: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Price drop in Tallin

From the beginning of the Real Estate crisis in 2007 prices have fallen in Tallinn by

41.4%

Page 6: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Sales price of apartments and sales volumes in Tallinn and Harju county between 2004

and 2011

Page 7: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Number of real estate bought by foreign citizens

Page 8: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

LATVIA

Page 9: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Riga

• Population – 703,581 people

• Residential sq.m – 25,177,800

• Commercial sq.m – 52,450,000

Page 10: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Major price drop in the world

From the beginning of the Real Estate crisis in 2007

prices have fallen by

75%

Page 11: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Fastest and highest price increase in the world

Between spring 2010 and spring 2011 in Latvia it was the fastest and highest

housing price growth in the world throughout the year

19.09% From that moment till summer 2011 –

“stagnation” in real estate market

Page 12: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Sales price of standard-type apartments and sales volumes in Riga between 2004 and 2011

Page 13: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Quantity of transactions with the real estate registered with the Land

Registry (area of a land parcel 1,500-5,000

sq.m.)

Page 14: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Number of real estate bought in Latvia by foreign citizens between

2009-2011

Page 15: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

LITHUANIA

Page 16: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Vilnius

• Population – 539,000 people

• Residential – 14,093 thous. sq.m (227,756 privately owned flats)

only 564 new apartments in 2010; 750 expected to be built in 2011

• Commercial – A and B class – total 441,000 sq.m• Retail - 417,600 sq.m

Page 17: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Price drop in Vilnius

From the beginning of the Real Estate crisis in 2007

prices in Vilnius for residential RE have fallen by

~39%

Page 18: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Price increase in Vilnius

Between spring 2010 and spring 2011 in Vilnius was “sustainable” housing price growth throughout

the year

5%

Page 19: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Average apartment price in Vilnius (EUR/sqm)

Page 20: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Number of transactions in Lithuania (per month)

Page 21: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Average apartment price, EUR/sqm

2004-2011

Page 22: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

International comparison – home ownership, %

Page 23: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

How many years does it take to save the money

for purchase of an apartment of 70 sq.m?

Page 24: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

The average rent pricein shopping centers

Page 25: Baltic Real Estate Market - Ups, Downs and Recovery Saint Petersburg September 30th, 2011 Mr. Edgars Shins President of LANIDA CEO of LATIO Ltd. Latvia.

Thank you for your attention!

Mr. Edgars ShinsPresident of LANIDACEO of LATIO Ltd.LatviaTel. +371 [email protected]@[email protected]