Ballistic Missile Defense Overview –8 th Annual Missile Defense Conference – LTG Patrick J. O’Reilly, USA Director Missile Defense Agency 22 MAR 10 ms-113011 / 031210 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Approved for Public Release 10-MDA-5341 (11 MAR 10)
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Ballistic Missile Defense Overview– 8th Annual Missile Defense Conference –
LTG Patrick J. O’Reilly, USADirector
Missile Defense Agency
22 MAR 10
ms-113011 / 031210
DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Approved for Public Release10-MDA-5341 (11 MAR 10)
2ms-113011 / 031210Approved for Public Release10-MDA-5341 (11 MAR 10)
Ballistic Missile Threat – 2010
EgyptScud SS-1
YemenScud SS-21
LibyaScud
IranFateh-110, CSS-8
Shahab 1 & 2Shahab 3
Shahab 3 VariantNew MRBM Pakistan
Ghaznavi,Shaheen 1
Ghauri, Shaheen 2
North KoreaToksa, Scud
ER Scud No Dong
New IRBMTaepo Dong-2
IndiaPrithvi 1 & 2
Dhanush, Agni 1Agni 2, Agni 3
Sagarika
UkraineScud SS-21
SyriaScudSS-21
TurkmenistanScud
KazakhstanScud SS-21
BelarusScud SS-21
VietnamScud
Sources: NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2009; DIA, Annual Threat Assessment 2008; DIA/MSIC Message 2009281441SS(U)
Rest of World Force Levels
2008
SRBM 5,500
MRBM 350
IR/ICBM <40
Totals 5,900
• Threats are expected to grow quantitatively and qualitatively
• Long-range threats from regional states did not emerge last decade, but the potential threat remains
• Shorter-range threats within key regions are growing rapidly
• The threat is inherently unpredictable and requires that the U.S. be well hedged against future developments
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• The United States will continue to defend the homeland against the threat of limited ballistic missile attack
• The United States will defend against regional missile threats to U.S. forces, while protecting allies and partners and enabling them to defend themselves
• Before new capabilities are deployed, they must undergo testing that enables assessment under realistic operational conditions
• The commitment to new capabilities must be fiscally sustainable over the long term
• U.S. BMD capabilities must be flexible enough to adapt as threats change
• The United States will seek to lead expanded international efforts for missile defense
Ballistic Missile Defense Review Policy Priorities– Guidance From The President, Published February 2010 –
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Layered Ballistic Missile Defense 2010
Beale Air Force Base
Upgraded Early
Warning Radar
Sea-based X-band Radar
Thule,Greenland
Fylingdales, United Kingdom
Early Warning Radar
Shemya, Alaska
THAAD Fire Units (1→2)THAAD Interceptors (0→25)
Patriot Fire Units (44→52)PAC-3 Interceptors (727→791)
Aegis Ships (19→21)
SM-3 Interceptors (35→61)
SM-2 Interceptors (72)
AN/TPY-2
IsraelAN/TPY-2
Shariki, Japan
Ground-based Interceptor
(3→4)
Vandenberg Air Force Base
Thousands of SRBMs
< 1,000 km
Hundreds of IRBMs /MRBMs1,000-5,500 km
ICBMs> 5,500 km
SRBM = Short Range Ballistic MissilesMRBM = Medium Range Ballistic MissilesIRBM = Intermediate Range Ballistic Missiles ICBM= Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles
• THAAD provides rapid worldwide response against SRBMs and MRBMs• Aegis provides mobile and semipermanent response against SRBMs, MRBMs and IRBMs• Ground-based missile defense provides permanent defense of homeland against limited ICBM attack
C2BMC
Ft. Greely
Ground-based Interceptor
(15→26)
Upgraded Early
Warning Radar
Upgraded Early
Warning Radar
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Early Intercept StrategyA
ltitu
de
Time After Lift-Off
Interceptor Launch
20092020
2016
Threat Launch
2020
2009
2016
2020
Boost TrackingLimited TrackingFire-control TrackingInterceptor FlyoutHit AssessmentIntercept
Benefits of Early Intercept1. Large Raid Handling2. Shoot-Look-Shoot3. Hedge Against Maneuvering
Threats4. Constrained Countermeasure
Deployments
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Phased Adaptive Approach In Europe
• Phase 1: Use existing / maturing systems versus SRBM / MRBM threat
- Sea-based missile defenses will be used as necessary to protect parts of southern Europe, combined with other missile defenses (2011 timeframe)
- Deploys forward-based sensor in Europe
• Phase 2: Enhanced missile defense systems versus SRBM / MRBM threat
- Use advanced sensors and improved version of the SM-3 interceptor, the Block IB, to improve the performance once the technology is proven, including a combination of sea- and land-based configurations (2015 timeframe)
• Phase 3: Improved area coverage versus MRBM / IRBM threat
- As threat matures, use the more capable SM-3 Block IIA interceptor, including a combination of sea- and land-based configurations (2018 timeframe)
• Phase 4: Capability versus potential ICBM threat
- If potential ICBM threat emerges, advanced missile defense technologies could eventually provide some capability against a regional ICBM threat
- Once proven and tested, can be made available for deployment to NATO Europe (2020 timeframe)
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Missile Defense Initiatives
Precision TrackingSatellite System
Planning
Airborne InfraredSystem To
Support BMDHigh Performance
InterceptorsDirected Energy
Research
SM-3 1B IIA IIB
Engage on Airborne Infrared(Aegis Ashore)Engage on STSS Demo Satellites Engage on Airborne Infrared
(sea-based SM-3)
Enhanced C2BMC
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Italy: MEADS partner
Japan: Forward-based X-Band radar siting, 21" Missile Development
Denmark: Upgrade Thule Early Warning Radar
Poland: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore
Czech Republic: RDT&E Cooperative Projects
United Arab Emirates: Request for THAAD, PAC-3
Ukraine: Conducting a missile defense project
Russia: Strategic cooperation /transparency dialogue
Netherlands: PAC-3, Maritime BMD Cooperation
Germany: MEADS partner, laser cross-link technology
France: Discussions
Israel: Arrow Deployed, Arrow System Improvement Program; development of short-range BMD, Upper Tier program
UK: Fylingdales Upgraded Early Warning Radar, Joint Project Arrangements for Cooperative Projects
NATO: Missile defense Architecture Analysis. Working with ALTBMD to demonstrate connectivity between NATO and U.S. missile defense systems
International Activity Highlights
R&D Cooperative Efforts
Australia: Advanced technology cooperation
Bahrain: Missile defense discussions
Qatar: Missile defense discussions
ROK: Missile defense discussions
Foreign BMD Projects / Interests
Kuwait: Missile defense discussions
Saudi Arabia: Missile defense discussions
Romania: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore
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