Balancing Fiscal Responsibility with National Security Mr. D. Mark Peterson, Panel Chair Chief Financial Officer/ Comptroller, U.S. Special Operations Command Mr. Mike Maxwell Director of J1/J8, Africa Command Ms. Elaine A. McCusker Director, Resources and Analysis, Headquarters U.S. Central Command Mr. James L. McGinley Director of Program Analysis and Financial Management, U.S. Transportation Command
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Balancing Fiscal Responsibility with National
Security
Mr. D. Mark Peterson, Panel Chair Chief Financial Officer/ Comptroller, U.S. Special Operations Command Mr. Mike Maxwell Director of J1/J8, Africa Command Ms. Elaine A. McCusker Director, Resources and Analysis, Headquarters U.S. Central Command Mr. James L. McGinley Director of Program Analysis and Financial Management, U.S. Transportation Command
Agenda
• Defining the Unified Combatant Command
• The Federal Budget
• Linking Strategy to Resources
• “Budget Informed” QDR
• Balancing Fiscal Responsibility with National Security – USCENTCOM
Source: Budget of the U.S. Government, FY 2015, Office of Management and Budget, Tables 8.5 & 8.7.
Mandatory
Net Interest
Non-DoD Discretionary
DoD Discretionary
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY6
2
FY6
5
FY6
8
FY7
1
FY7
4
FY7
7
FY8
0
FY8
3
FY8
6
FY8
9
FY9
2
FY9
5
FY9
8
FY0
1
FY0
4
FY0
7
FY1
0
FY1
3
*FY
16
*FY
19
16%
14%
63%
7%
*FY15
$200
$638
$400
$559
$390
$591
$395
$753
$575 $589
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
19
48
19
51
19
54
19
57
19
60
19
63
19
66
19
69
19
72
19
75
19
78
19
81
19
84
19
87
19
90
19
93
19
96
19
99
20
02
20
05
20
08
20
11
20
14
20
17
20
20
Constant FY15 $B
73-year Avg ($499B)
Vietnam Reagan Buildup
Korea OEF/OIF
Can we decrease the budget at projected rates without hollowing out the force?
-37% over 2 years (18.5% yr avg.)
-30% over 7 years (4.3% yr avg.)
-33% over 13 years (2.6% yr avg.)
-23.6% FY10-FY15 (4.7% yr avg.)
Source: FY2015 National Defense Budget Estimates (Green Book); Table 6-1 DoD TOA (Constant dollar adjusted) by Title. FY16-19 represents OSD (Comptroller) estimates, including OCO, from the FY15 Budget Rollout brief (Mar 14).
Context: Historical Reductions
Start of All-Volunteer Force
- Young force structure - Low OPTEMPO - Fading peer competitor - Stable Security Environment
- Older force structure - High OPTEMPO - Emerging peer competitor - Dynamic Security Environment
Key difference with current
context Peace dividend…..
without the peace?
$1.9T (CY15$) above historical avg. from 2002-2014 (of which,
approx. $1.5T was war funding).
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Fiscal Year 2015 Budget Request, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense Comptroller/CFO, Rollout Brief MAR 14
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Linking Strategy to Resources
The UCP informs COCOMs and Services, tying resources to assigned missions 9
AFGHANISTAN • Internal stability challenges • PAK safe haven an enabler for
insurgency
USCENTCOM’s strategic environment is characterized by fragile political transitions, civil wars, sectarianism, under-governed spaces, and a resilient al-Qaida movement.
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Requirements Process
1. Strategic Guidance (NSS/NMS) 2. Strategic Plans (UCP/JSCP/GEF/DPG) 3. Strategic Environment & Risks 4. OPLANS/CONPLANS/PLNORDs (TCP/DRRS/JMET) 5. Commanders & Deputies Guidance & Priorities 6. Force Allocation Decision Model (FADM) 7. CJA Process Model (Plans - Strategy - Resource) 8. Vital National Security Interest (VNSI)
Requirements Filter & Screen
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Challenges
• Sequestration/Budget Control Act/APOM
• SECDEF 20% MHQ
• Readiness
• Future Force Structure
• Continuing Resolutions, Shutdown - Uncertainty
– Bipartisan Budget Act - FY14 and FY15 only
• Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO)
– 45% of CENTCOM HQ is OCO funded
– 34% of our C4 enduring requirement is funded in OCO
– Permanent forward posture and presence are OCO-funded
– Contingency Authorities
J1/8 - Resourcing the Command's Strategy
Director of Resources
Balancing Fiscal Responsibility with National Security
ASMC National PDI–Seattle, Washington
29 May 2014
J1/8 - Resourcing the Command's Strategy 21
AFRICOM Missions and Objectives
Illicit Trafficking AQEA /
Al-Shabaab
Piracy
LRA
Instability
AQIM
Boko Haram
LRA/M23
Instability
Illicit Trafficking
AQIM
Boko Haram
AQEA /Al-Shabaab
Illicit Trafficking
Piracy
Exercises Exercise Peacekeeping, Humanitarian, Security, Counter Terrorism and Disaster Relief scenarios with partner nations
MISSION: United States Africa Command, in concert with interagency and international partners, builds defense
capabilities, responds to crisis, and deters transnational threats in order to advance U.S. national
interests and promote regional security, stability, and prosperity