Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State SOURCE: .
Mar 26, 2015
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Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
Back to Blue? Shifting Tides in the Tar Heel State
The State of North Carolina The Candidates The Campaign The Results
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The State of North Carolina
Race/Ethnicity 70.5% White 21.3% Black 1.8% Hispanic 6.7% Asian
Occupation 36% White Collar 64% Blue Collar
Median Income $43.9k
Partisanship 34% Republican 45% Democrats
‘04 Presidential Vote
Bush, +12%
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Figure 1. Republican Strength in North Carolina Federal Elections 1960–2006
Figure 2. Republican Strength in North Carolina State Elections 1960–2006
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Candidates: Incumbent Elizabeth Dole
SOURCE: bioguide.congress.gov
Occupation President, American Red Cross, 1991-99
Political Experience
Secretary of Labor, 1989-90 Secretary of Transportation,
1983-87 Director, White House
Office of Public Liaison, 1981-1983
Federal Trade Commission, 1975-1979
Deputy Assistant to the President for Consumer Affairs, 1969-1973
First Elected 2002
Committees Armed Services Banking, Housing, and
Urban Affairs Small Business and
Entrepreneurship
Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Elizabeth Dole, 2003-08
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Candidates: Challenger Kay Hagan
Occupation Attorney Banker
Political Experience
Senator, North Carolina State Senate, 1999-2009
SOURCE: hagen.senate.gov
Figure 3. Approval of Barak Obama and Kay Hagan, April 2008-October 2008
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Results”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Salisbury”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Only”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Days B”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Budget Expert”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Voices”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Level”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Factory”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Votes”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Market”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Ineffective”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Rocking Chairs”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Firepower”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Arf (Fibber Kay)”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Ka-Ching (Fibber Kay 2)”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Promises (Godless Americans)”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Promises 2 (Godless Americans 2)”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Belief”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Crossed”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Closer Look”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Hoax”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Bear”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Foreign Language”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Travel”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Really”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Results
Table 2. Selected Exit Poll Results from the 2008 North Carolina Senate Race
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