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DTI / Managerial Skills
Managerial skills: experimental design for assisting creativity in problem and solving
Building a statistical model to forecast project success
through multivariate analysis
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Luca Delvecchio, Master student Business Engineering and ProductionFrancesca D. Faraci, Lecturer and Researcher DTI-ISIN
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What is the project success?
• scope• time• cost• quality• resources• risk
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Is it possible to forecast the success of a project from the
first phases ?
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Project’s success is decided in the first phases
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© SUPSI – DTI – AS – 2015 – Advanced Project Management
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What are the key factors for the project’s success?
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Key factors for project’s success
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Documentationand tracking
Experience of the Project Manager
Work Breakdown Structure
Resource estimates
Tasks assignment to professionals
Cost Estimates Time EstimatesScope
Estimates
Communication ”Culture” CommitmentCompeting Priorities
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Rosanne Lim. “Top 10 main causes of project failure” (2016)
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What kind of tools can studythe success of a project?
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Design of Experiment is the tool
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PROCESS
FACTORS RESPONSES
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DTI / Managerial Skills
Design of Experiment is the tool
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PROCESS
FACTORS RESPONSES
=
=
=
+ +
k1
k2 k3 k4
k5 k6+
PROJECT
DATAWBS
COST ESTIMATE
”CULTURE”…
TIME
COSTS
QUALITY ...
X
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Data are collected through a survey
The survey is addressed to all PMs
PMs are invited to evaluate their projects under the identified factors
A given evaluation scale is provided to ensure consistency of data
The responses considered are: scope , time , cost , quality , resources , and risk .
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Survey Status
Currently data are being collected
All PMs are invited to complete the survey at this address:
[IT] http://sondaggi2.ti-edu.ch/index.php/survey/index/sid/886765/newtest/Y/lang/it
[EN] http://sondaggi2.ti-edu.ch/index.php/survey/index/sid/886765/newtest/Y/lang/en
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Expected Results
• A quantitative and more objective definition of what are the main success factors in a project
• a stable model for project success forecasting
• an instrument to increase awareness about project success
• an instrument to foster creativity
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Thanks for the attention
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