© Aviva plc Aviva: Growth and value 7 December 2006 Andrew Moss, Group Finance Director
© Aviva plc
Aviva: Growth and value
7 December 2006
Andrew Moss, Group Finance Director
© Aviva plc
DisclaimerThis presentation may contain “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Aviva’s control including among other things, UK domestic and global economic business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the timing impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Aviva and its affiliates operate. As a result, Aviva’s actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals and expectations set forth in Aviva’s forward-looking statements.
Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements made in this presentation relate only to events as of the date on which such statements are made.
© Aviva plc
Aviva – a diversified businessHY 2006
Sales £21.3bn (1)
HY 2006EEV Operating Profits
£1.9bn (2)
33%
14%
International Life
41%
UK GI
UK Life
48%
52%
Aviva UK
International GI 12%
Aviva International
• The largest insurance provider in the UK
• 70 / 30 split of long term savings / general insurance maximises diversification benefits
• Scale and diversification are critical factors across the portfolio of businesses
• Value has a higher priority than volume
(1). HY06 Total long-term savings new business sales and GI and health new business premiums(2). HY06 EEV Operating Profits Excluding Corporate Costs and Unallocated Interest Charges
© Aviva plc
The Aviva world
Europe• Mature, stable markets• Access to distribution is key • Superior understanding of
customer as differentiator• Expand bancassurance and
grow significant direct capability
• Complement with bolt on acquisitions
Asia Pacific • High growth market• Accelerate growth in India
and China• Expand bancassurance,
DSF and IFA channels• Continue to explore other
markets
North America• Largest market with largest
projected growth
• Well established competition
• AmerUs provides the platform for growth
• Canadian GI making good returns
© Aviva plc
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3'05 Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06
UK life total sales growth
£m
UK life: Customer confidence returning
• Leading brand, products range and distribution
• Record 9 months, with total sales up 39% to £10,464 million
• Market leadership position with 12.1% market share
• Margins maintained at 2.9% (FY 2005: 2.9%)
© Aviva plc
Aviva UK £250 million cost savings
Property
Procurement
Other
£135m
Staff
£65m
£10m
£40m
• UK cost base to be reduced by 10%- UK headcount of 36,000 reduced by 4,000- Cost of £250m
• Strong strategic and financial rationale:- Remaining competitive and efficient- Growing demand for “self service” and
capability of technology- Removing overlap between Life and GI
• Further strengthen ability to meet our financial objectives
• Run rate savings of £250m by end 2007
Cost Savings Split
£250m
GI
£125m
Sales&
Operations£50m
Life
£125m
Sales&
Operations£57m
Support Functions*£143m
* Support functions include IT, HR and Finance
© Aviva plc
Simplifying the legacy
c900 products
8.5 million policies
550 systems
Current productsand systems
40% Value
60% Value
Migration
Ring-fence and rationalise
Decommission
Heritage
20% value
Scale
80% valueDevelop target systems and processes
© Aviva plc
Aviva International: 10% growth target on track
2000 – 2005 Growth:• PVNBP Growth of
over 60% and 250% increase in NBC
Ambition:• Average organic
growth of at least 10% p.a. over the next 5 years, while growing
NBC £m NBC Net/Net/Net growth
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 HY2006
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
new business profit at least as quickly *
FY NB Margin HY FY
* Compound annual growth rate, post minorities, before acquisitions, and assuming no major changes in conditions. NBC growth aftercost of capital, tax and minorities.
© Aviva plc
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Q4'05 Q1'06 Q2'06 Q3'06
AmerUs quarterly sales growth
$m
Aviva and AmerUs: the US growth platform
• Equity indexed annuities –45% CAGR in sales between 2000 – 2005
• Equity indexed life – 68% CAGR in sales between 2000 - 2005
• Leading position in equity indexed life and annuity sales in the US
• Base case post-tax return on investment of over 10% by 2009
• 1.9 x EEV or 1.4 x EEV after pre-tax cost synergies of $45 million by 2008
• Accretive to IFRS and EEV operating earnings per share by 2007 and 2008 respectively
© Aviva plc
Aviva Asia: success in chosen markets
Sri Lanka
PVNBP Growth1
CAGR – 32%
SingaporeHong Kong India China
£m
-
100
200
300
400
500
2002 2003 2004 2005 3Q2006
• Significant life and pensions
PVNBP growth
• In addition, investment sales
doubled in Q3 2006 v Q3 2005
• Aggressive development in
China and India and multi-
distribution approach
• effective bancassurance
relationships
• disciplined growth of
agency sales forces
Notes: 1) China 50%, India 26% and Sri Lanka 51% in line with JV shareholdings
© Aviva plc
General insurance: 98% target firmly on track
• GI COR reduced from 109% to 92% between 2000 and HY 2006
• Underwriting discipline and pricing
• Motor rating improved
• Household and commercial lines strongly profitable
• £125 million cost savings in the UK by 2008
Operating Profit £ bnCOR %
90
95
100
105
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
COR HY Operating Profit
HY 2006
FY Operating Profit
© Aviva plc
“Pay As You Drive”™ insurance• PAYD is a new approach to motor insurance using telematics
technology• The method of charging for car insurance is based on when, where
& how often a vehicle is used
Benefits to the Customer:
• Fairer Premiums• More for their Money• Greater Choice• Safety and Security• Emergency Help• More Control
Benefits to Norwich Union:
• Data capture• Pricing benefits across the book• Target specific market segments• More regular interaction with
customers• Publicity
© Aviva plc
Profitable growth and increasing dividends
• Best ever results in H1 2006
- Strong growth across UK Life, General Insurance and International Life businesses
- 10% increase in dividend
- Return on equity of 14%0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Half Year Full Year
Operating Profit*
£ billion
* 2000–HY2003 achieved profits basis, FY2003–HY2006 EEV basis. From HY04 non-life figures on IFRS basis, pre 2004, UK GAAP. All figures are from continuing operations.
© Aviva plc
Questions and discussion
7 December 2006
Andrew Moss, Group Finance Director