Fearless Forecast – 2014 & Beyond Kevin Wheeler rmation is the property of ATC Events and may not be reproduced or used without attrib
Jan 12, 2015
Fearless Forecast – 2014 & Beyond
Kevin Wheeler
© This information is the property of ATC Events and may not be reproduced or used without attribution
Conflicting Worlds
2
WHENEVER-Batch processing-Lag between start & finish-Complex World-Fundamental Assumption: Past & Future similar
NOW-Streaming-No Lag between start & finish-Chaotic World-Fundamental Assumption: Past & Future different
Prescribe job content
which then changes
before we have
candidates.
We work in hierarchy, structure, rules.
Sharing & collaboration are normal.
Copyrights?
Patents?
Intellectual Capital?
Group invention & innovation
It’s about recognizing and trusting the emerging patterns we see.
We are struggling more and more to define jobs & work.
Cannot respond
quickly enough to
change
Slow, inflexible
4
COREEMPLOY
EES
PARTNERS
TEMPS CONSULTANTS
CUSTOMERS
SUPPLIERS
Work is being re-organised
Lower cash investment neededSmaller, Leaner, networked Firms
Fun, satisfying, meaningful
Lower cost structure
-Collaborative partnerships
-Virtual organizations
-Co-work
-Flexible, nimble, lean
5
GOAL: Finding Information in the Noise
We are overwhelmed with words, pictures, numbers, videos.
Patterns are harder and harder to see.
Candidates are
elusive – jobs are
changing. Social media has become “the cocktail party from hell, with the flood of information jeopardizing meaning.” -Maureen Down
99% of
informatio
n is
noise.
6
Resume
Social NetworkWeb Info
Social NetworkTweets
ResumesDatabase
Data Scientist
7
“the sexiest job in the 21st century” -Harvard Business Review
8
and Talent Management?
Challengesassumptions
High socialinfluence
ExperimentsLooks for correlations
AnalyticalKnows statistics
How does Big Data/Analytics change recruiting?
9
Search becomes about drawing information from data
10
"The Web is your CV and
social networks are your
references."
Candidates will have no need for formal resume/CV
Search will be composed of a mix of structured and unstructured, aggregated and integrated data, streaming & static data.
Ability to forecast job success & even level of performance
11
Workforce Planning
12
Assessment
13
Performance
14
Social Influence
15
Four most important tools for 2014
16Dynamic, streaming, cheap
Emerging - Gaming for Attraction & Assessment
17
18
19
20
Gamificati
on
Seamless User
Interfaces
Apps
Candidates & Hiring Managers are Center
MicroXcti
ons
Mobile Grows Exponentially
Recruiting becomes a
DYNAMIC, Realtime, all-the-
time, process Of scanning,
analyzing, and assessing
for. . .
KEY TOOLS -Games -Job Previews -Analytics -Crowdsourcing -Crowd Assessment
Jobs are DYNAMIC, evolving, global and highlyVaried.
Thanks!Contact me:
Follow me@kwheeler
PinterestKevinbwheeler
Facebookkevin.wheeler.75
23