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4Q 2015 AUSTIN MARKET OVERVIEW
33

Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

Jan 22, 2017

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Page 1: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

4Q 2015

AUSTINMARKET

OVERVIEW

Page 2: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CITYWIDE SUBMARKET MAP

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 3: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CITYWIDE PERFORMANCE

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 42,444,966 4,815,598 167,798 11.74% $33.47

2014 Q2 42,475,999 4,647,525 6,277 11.79% $33.44

2014 Q3 42,720,370 4,373,103 377,613 11.41% $33.67

2014 Q4 42,784,115 4,068,526 420,985 10.56% $34.78

2015 Q1 43,665,210 4,612,974 383,535 11.49% $36.27

2015 Q2 44,534,490 4,795,149 585,639 11.90% $35.60

2015 Q3 44,874,380 4,650,151 766,602 10.86% $36.36

2015 Q4 45,456,083 3,747,189 1,070,732 9.64% $35.81

* Absorption includes sublease space Numbers based on CBRE statistics

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

18%

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

85%

88%

91%

94%

97%

100%

0

250,000

500,000

750,000

1,000,000

1,250,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(Sqf

t)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

$32.00

$33.00

$34.00

$35.00

$36.00

$37.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 4: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 5: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD SUBMARKET OVERVIEW

4Q 2015

Page 6: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD OVERALL SUBMARKET PERFORMANCE

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 9,084,414 1,032,112 17,164 11.81% $41.45

2014 Q2 9,084,414 1,021,461 (13,728) 11.96% $40.88

2014 Q3 9,252,285 1,041,014 153,098 11.90% $41.39

2014 Q4 9,252,285 802,517 227,661 9.44% $43.13

2015 Q1 9,768,770 1,135,835 139,236 12.81% $43.83

2015 Q2 9,809,755 870,240 291,638 10.20% $41.90

2015 Q3 9,809,755 672,222 232,375 7.83% $44.17

2015 Q4 9,732,884 631,228 3,066 7.07% $43.64

* Absorption includes sublease space Numbers based on CBRE statistics

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

(50,000)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

18%

$39.00

$40.00

$41.00

$42.00

$43.00

$44.00

$45.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 7: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 5,637,136 618,961 4,210 86,100 11.05% $44.03

2014 Q2 5,637,136 576,465 25,189 21,517 10.67% $44.81

2014 Q3 5,827,916 483,868 81,356 227,210 9.70% $45.13

2014 Q4 5,827,916 503,540 69,160 (7,476) 9.83% $46.49

2015 Q1 6,344,401 421,858 55,200 612,127 7.52% $47.28

2015 Q2 6,466,952 479,092 40,409 80,108 8.03% $47.74

2015 Q3 6,466,952 370,193 38,822 110,486 6.32% $48.70

2015 Q4 6,471,834 237,718 55,748 120,431 4.53% $52.03

* Absorption includes sublease space

CBD COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE

NET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

88%

89%

90%

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

(100,000)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

4%5%6%7%8%9%10%11%12%13%14%

$43.00$44.00$45.00$46.00$47.00$48.00$49.00$50.00$51.00$52.00$53.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 8: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

$55

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Full

Serv

ice

Rent

al R

ates

($)

Historic Rental Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 9: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

10.5

11.0

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Mar

ket S

ize

(Mill

ions

of S

F)

Tota

l Vac

ancy

Rat

e (%

)

Market Size Historic Vacancy Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

5th + ColoradoNorthShore

Shoal Creek Walk

500 W 2nd

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 10: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD COMPETITIVE SET BUILDING LIST

Building Name Net Rentable Area

Direct Available SF

Sublease Available SF

Asking Rental Rate Estimated OpEx

100 Congress 411,536 20,182 ↓ 2,177 ↑ $37.00 $20.84 ↑

300 West 6th 454,225 1,421 0 ↓ $36.00 $21.75 ↑

301 Congress 418,338 17,934 ↓ 0 $35.00 ↑ $17.95

400 West 15th 281,196 8,627 21,224 ↑ $24.50 $15.92

501 Congress 122,551 18,922 0 $32.00 $21.27 ↑

515 Congress 263,058 7,568 ↓ 4,415 ↑ $32.00 $18.05 ↑

600 Congress Ave. 503,951 13,187 ↓ 0 $33.00 $15.80

816 Congress 434,081 24,118 ↑ 0 $29.00 $17.59 ↑

Austin Centre 326,335 14,471 ↓ 10,874 ↑ $28.00 $17.65 ↑

Capitol Center 164,044 7,920 ↓ 7,245 ↑ $28.00 $19.51 ↑

Capitol Tower 172,837 0 0 $29.00 $16.52 ↑

Chase Tower 389,503 16,711 0 $31.00 $19.84 ↑

Colorado Tower 373,334 0 0 $34.00 $16.83 ↑

Frost Bank Tower 535,078 0 ↓ 0 $38.00 $21.75 ↑

IBC Bank Plaza 194,749 0 4,900 ↑ $30.00 $21.00 ↑

Lavaca Plaza 118,635 0 0 $32.50 ↑ $21.74 ↑

Littlefield Building 109,779 30,424 1,800 ↑ $29.00 $15.96 ↑

One Congress Plaza 518,385 44,055 ↓ 3,113 ↑ $40.00 ↑ $17.77 ↑

San Jacinto Center 406,279 0 ↓ 0 $40.00 ↑ $18.75 ↑

Scarbrough Building 130,789 12,178 0 $32.00 ↑ $17.96 ↑

Seaholm 143,151 0 0 $28.00 $12.00

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 11: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD DEVELOPMENTS & AVAILABILITY

Building % Preleased Total SF Est. Delivery500 W 2nd 42% 489,404 SF 1Q 20175th + Colorado 28% 179,000 SF 1Q 2016NorthShore 100% 23,592 SF 1Q 2016801 Barton Springs 0% 90,500 SF 2Q 2017Shoal Creek Walk 42% 218,432 SF 3Q 2017

Building Units/Rooms Est. Delivery5th & West 154 Units 4Q 2017Aloft & Element 422 Rooms 3Q 2017Fairmont 1,066 Rooms 3Q 2017Hotel Indigo/Holiday Inn Express 300 Rooms 2Q 2016Hyatt House Hotel 190 Rooms 4Q 2016NorthShore 436 Units 1Q 2017The Austin Proper 250 Rooms, 120 Units 2Q 2017The Independent 370 Units 3Q 2018

Building Size/Units Use405 Colorado TBD Office604 W 6th Street 31,035 SF OfficeAustin American Statesman TBD OfficeNovare/Post Office TBD OfficeRainey Gateway 355,000 SF OfficeThird + Shoal 338,279 SF OfficeWaller Creek Center 325,000 SF Office70 Rainey 164 Units MultifamilyGreen Water Residential Tower TBD MultifamilyHotel Zaza/Gables 226 Units, 160 Rooms Hotel/Multifamily

Building Available SF Max. Contiguous

One Congress Plaza 44,055 SF 31,037 SF

Perry Brooks Tower 1,409 (direct) + 28,000 SF (sublease) 22,400 SF (sublease)

Page 12: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

CBD AVAILABILITY SKYLINE

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 13: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

NORTHWESTSUBMARKET OVERVIEW

4Q 2015

Page 14: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

NORTHWEST OVERALL SUBMARKET PERFORMANCE

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 16,747,039 1,635,834 102,128 10.21% $29.20

2014 Q2 16,697,337 1,493,813 (12,658) 10.02% $29.89

2014 Q3 16,697,337 1,566,544 (103,939) 10.64% $30.65

2014 Q4 16,817,337 1,540,054 137,486 10.46% $30.83

2015 Q1 17,154,310 1,879,975 98,887 11.65% $32.06

2015 Q2 17,269,310 1,819,734 116,457 11.56% $32.74

2015 Q3 17,269,310 1,665,124 276,295 9.96% $33.26

2015 Q4 17,535,625 1,283,335 410,012 8.99% $34.14

* Absorption includes sublease space Numbers based on CBRE statistics

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

$25.00

$27.00

$29.00

$31.00

$33.00

$35.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

85%

86%

87%

88%

89%

90%

91%

92%

(200,000)

(100,000)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 15: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 12,293,184 1,050,027 135,810 56,257 9.65% $31.21

2014 Q2 12,242,690 1,030,332 246,257 (141,246) 10.43% $31.61

2014 Q3 12,389,252 911,833 321,739 189,579 9.96% $32.12

2014 Q4 12,845,611 1,197,426 320,587 171,918 11.82% $32.93

2015 Q1 12,931,909 992,203 292,334 319,774 9.93% $33.39

2015 Q2 13,120,924 897,208 284,035 292,309 9.00% $33.83

2015 Q3 13,310,232 1,129,335 287,248 (46,032) 10.64% $33.55

2015 Q4 13,831,583 1,135,749 235,206 566,979 9.91% $34.30

* Absorption includes sublease space

NORTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE

NET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%

0200,000400,000600,000800,000

1,000,0001,200,0001,400,0001,600,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

$30.00

$31.00

$32.00

$33.00

$34.00

$35.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

87%88%89%90%91%92%93%94%95%96%

(200,000)(100,000)

0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 16: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 6,106,452 433,079 55,206 (18,356) 8.00% $32.55

2014 Q2 6,106,452 476,360 109,332 (97,407) 9.59% $33.04

2014 Q3 6,253,014 401,651 157,535 173,068 8.94% $33.66

2014 Q4 6,474,987 445,544 121,157 214,458 8.75% $34.38

2015 Q1 6,553,774 447,850 71,595 126,043 7.93% $34.46

2015 Q2 6,742,789 389,248 63,891 255,321 6.72% $34.77

2015 Q3 6,719,697 407,169 76,078 (53,200) 7.19% $34.38

2015 Q4 6,938,611 322,314 93,200 286,647 5.99% $34.82

* Absorption includes sublease space

ARBORETUM MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE

NET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

86%87%88%89%90%91%92%93%94%95%

(150,000)(100,000)

(50,000)0

50,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

$32.00

$32.50

$33.00

$33.50

$34.00

$34.50

$35.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 17: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 2,453,857 276,447 29,559 8,688 12.47% $31.43

2014 Q2 2,453,857 241,923 46,956 17,127 11.77% $31.95

2014 Q3 2,453,857 211,437 92,007 (14,565) 12.37% $32.28

2014 Q4 2,688,442 389,788 127,233 21,008 19.23% $33.10

2015 Q1 2,690,750 207,238 179,538 132,553 14.37% $34.17

2015 Q2 2,690,750 181,807 152,245 52,724 12.41% $34.45

2015 Q3 2,690,750 193,874 135,899 4,279 12.26% $34.55

2015 Q4 2,690,835 173,907 79,703 76,248 9.42% $35.16

* Absorption includes sublease space

SHEPHERD MOUNTAIN MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE

NET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

75%77%79%81%83%85%87%89%91%93%

(40,000)(20,000)

020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

$30.00

$31.00

$32.00

$33.00

$34.00

$35.00

$36.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 18: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 3,732,875 340,501 51,045 65,925 10.49% $28.88

2014 Q2 3,682,381 312,049 89,969 (60,966) 10.92% $29.02

2014 Q3 3,682,381 298,745 72,197 31,076 10.07% $29.40

2014 Q4 3,682,182 362,094 72,197 (63,548) 11.79% $30.26

2015 Q1 3,687,385 337,115 41,201 61,178 10.26% $30.93

2015 Q2 3,687,385 326,153 67,899 (15,736) 10.69% $31.66

2015 Q3 3,899,785 528,292 75,271 2,889 15.48% $31.42

2015 Q4 4,202,137 639,528 62,303 204,084 16.70% $32.77

* Absorption includes sublease space

FAR NORTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE

NET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES

0%3%6%9%12%15%18%21%24%

0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

18%

21%

24%

$26.00

$27.00

$28.00

$29.00

$30.00

$31.00

$32.00

$33.00

$34.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

(100,000)

(50,000)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 19: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

NORTHWEST OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Full

Serv

ice

Rent

al R

ates

($)

Historic Rental Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

Read the full 4Q Austin Market Report at aquilacommercial.com/reports

Page 20: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

NORTHWEST OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS

10.0

11.7

13.3

15.0

16.7

18.3

20.0

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Mar

ket S

ize

(Mill

ions

of S

F)

Tota

l Vac

ancy

Rat

e (%

)

Market Size Historic Vacancy Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

Domain 1

905 & 906 BroadmoorDomain 5

Braker Pointe III Domain 8

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

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Page 21: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

*Already existing—coming to market 2Q 2016 †Already existing—coming to market 3Q 2016

Building Total SF % Preleased Estimated Delivery Status

1 Domain 1 124,571 0% 1Q 2016 Under Construction

2 Domain 5 74,787 0% 2Q 2016 Under Construction

3 905 & 906 Broadmoor* 345,000 0% 2Q 2016 Coming to Market

4 Braker Point III† 195,230 0% 3Q 2016 Coming to Market

5 Domain 8 291,000 0% 3Q 2017 Under Construction

Building Total SF % Preleased Estimated Delivery Status

6 10721 Domain Dr. 308,000 0% Planned Planned

7 Amber Oaks Phase I 90,300 0% Planned Planned

8 Amber Oaks Phase II 90,300 0% Planned Planned

9 Amber Oaks Phase III 45,000 0% Planned Planned

10 Aspen Lake Three 128,700 0% Planned Planned

11 Four Points Centre Bldg 3 250,000 0% Planned Planned

12 Four Points Centre Bldg 4 80,000 0% Planned Planned

13 Paloma Ridge C 112,500 0% Planned Planned

NORTHWEST OFFICE DEVELOPMENTS

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Page 22: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

Building Direct Available SF

Sublease Available SF

Total Available SF

1 7700 Parmer - Bldg B 31,500 - 31,500

2 7700 Parmer - Bldg C 23,693 - 23,693

3 Amber Oaks F 79,732 - 79,732

4 Amber Oaks J 6,245 33,147 39,392

5 Atrium Office Centre 20,340 - 20,340

6 Domain 3 - 20,816 20,816

7 Lakewood Center I - 45,020 45,020

8 Paloma Ridge A 106,200 - 106,200

9 Paloma Ridge B 106,200 - 106,200

10 Park Central I 15,375 23,326 38,701

11 Park Centre Bldg. 3 57,562 - 57,562

12 Prominent Pointe I 28,979 - 28,979

13 Research Park Number Five 39,237 - 39,237

14 Research Park Place 8 33,518 - 33,518

15 Research Park Plaza V 121,229 121,229

16 Research Tech Center Bldg 2 22,295 22,295

17 Riata Corporate Park Bldg 4 93,737 - 93,737

18 Riata Corporate Park Bldg 5 23,783 - 23,783

19 River Place Corp Park Bldg VII - 21,477 21,477

20 The Park at 8300 N. MoPac 6,911 31,958 38,869

21 Travesia Corporate Park 1-3 33,555 33,945 67,500

22 UFCU Plaza 28,695 - 28,695

Availabilities of 20,000 sf ±

NORTHWEST LARGE OFFICE AVAILABILITY

Page 23: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

SOUTHWESTSUBMARKET OVERVIEW

4Q 2015

Page 24: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 9,382,293 703,789 (22,457) 8.66% $31.19

2014 Q2 9,382,293 853,812 (150,296) 10.26% $30.72

2014 Q3 9,458,793 653,880 164,619 9.24% $31.38

2014 Q4 9,418,793 640,998 42,081 8.41% $34.87

2015 Q1 9,446,430 589,875 66,172 7.98% $34.35

2015 Q2 10,109,725 1,070,609 182,561 12.21% $33.76

2015 Q3 10,257,625 1,192,565 121,673 12.29% $35.03

2015 Q4 10,484,922 769,552 460,460 9.80% $35.85

* Absorption includes sublease space Numbers based on CBRE statistics

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

86%

87%

88%

89%

90%

91%

92%

93%

(200,000)

(100,000)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

$28.00

$30.00

$32.00

$34.00

$36.00

$38.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

SOUTHWEST OVERALL SUBMARKET PERFORMANCE

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Page 25: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 7,102,874 480,177 202,095 (37,795) 9.61% $34.71

2014 Q2 7,102,874 387,913 208,978 85,381 8.40% $35.06

2014 Q3 7,102,874 294,587 169,604 132,700 6.54% $35.47

2014 Q4 7,102,547 386,333 182,477 (104,946) 8.01% $36.07

2015 Q1 7,100,750 399,919 188,613 (21,519) 8.29% $36.98

2015 Q2 7,782,464 428,605 213,812 627,829 8.25% $37.55

2015 Q3 7,949,325 353,625 264,345 191,308 7.77% $37.61

2015 Q4 8,158,872 634,326 246,492 (53,301) 10.80% $38.15

* Absorption includes sublease space

SOUTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%

0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

86%87%88%89%90%91%92%93%94%95%

(200,000)(100,000)

0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

$33.00

$34.00

$35.00

$36.00

$37.00

$38.00

$39.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

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Page 26: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 2,712,851 209,356 143,888 (89,075) 13.02% $37.18

2014 Q2 2,712,851 191,624 165,931 (4,311) 13.18% $37.40

2014 Q3 2,712,851 174,207 126,557 56,791 11.09% $37.59

2014 Q4 2,713,137 158,703 124,248 18,099 10.43% $38.03

2015 Q1 2,711,340 143,863 125,110 12,181 9.92% $39.26

2015 Q2 2,925,937 110,815 101,710 271,045 7.26% $39.49

2015 Q3 2,925,937 105,532 175,528 (68,535) 9.61% $39.84

2015 Q4 2,925,937 149,170 165,733 (33,843) 10.76% $40.59

* Absorption includes sublease space

NEAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%

050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

85%86%87%88%89%90%91%92%93%94%

(150,000)(100,000)

(50,000)0

50,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

17%

$35.00

$36.00

$37.00

$38.00

$39.00

$40.00

$41.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

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Page 27: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

QuarterNet Rentable

AreaDirect

Available SFSublease

Available SFNet

Absorption*

Direct & Sublease

Vacancy Rate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate

2014 Q1 4,390,023 270,821 58,207 51,280 7.49% $33.19

2014 Q2 4,390,023 196,289 43,047 89,692 5.45% $33.62

2014 Q3 4,390,023 120,380 43,047 75,909 3.72% $34.16

2014 Q4 4,389,410 227,630 58,229 (123,045) 6.51% $34.86

2015 Q1 4,389,410 256,056 63,503 (33,700) 7.28% $35.57

2015 Q2 4,856,527 317,790 112,102 356,784 8.85% $36.39

2015 Q3 5,023,388 248,093 88,817 259,843 6.71% $36.31

2015 Q4 5,232,935 485,156 80,759 (19,458) 10.81% $36.75

* Absorption includes sublease space

FAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE

VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATESNET ABSORPTIONAVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Ava

ilabi

lity

(SF)

Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

(200,000)

(100,000)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Occ

upan

cy R

ate

Abs

orpt

ion

(SF)

Net Absorption* Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

15%

$32.00

$33.00

$34.00

$35.00

$36.00

$37.00

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

2015Q2

2015Q3

2015Q4

Vaca

ncy

Rate

Rent

al R

ate

Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate

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Page 28: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Full

Serv

ice

Rent

al R

ates

($)

Historic Rental Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

SOUTHWEST OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS

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Page 29: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

5.0

6.4

7.8

9.2

10.6

12.0

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Mar

ket S

ize

(Mill

ions

of S

F)

Tota

l Vac

ancy

Rat

e (%

)

Market Size Historic Vacancy Rate AQUILA Model 3% Job Growth 1% Job Growth

1% Job Growth

3% Job Growth

SOUTHWEST OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS

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Page 30: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

Building Total SF % Preleased EstimatedDelivery Status

1 The Backyard - Buildings B, J, & H 171,450 0% Planned Planned

2 Lantana Ridge I 87,500 0% Planned Planned

3 Lantana Ridge II 87,500 0% Planned Planned

4 Regency Park 90,000 0% Planned Planned

5 Rollingwood Center III 107,000 0% Planned Planned

6 The Terrace 3 203,130 0% Planned Planned

7 The Terrace 4 285,663 0% Planned Planned

8 The Terrace 5 218,809 0% Planned Planned

SOUTHWEST OFFICE DEVELOPMENTS

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Page 31: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

Building Direct Available SF Sublease Available SF

Total Available SF

1 3900 San Clemente 135,366 135,366

2 Encino Trace II 130,070 - 130,070

3 Rollingwood Center I & II 7,878 110,108 117,986

4 The Summit 1-5 52,939 - 52,939

5 3700 San Clemente 51,934 51,934

6 The Park on Barton Creek 1 - 42,527 42,527

7 The Park on Barton Creek 2 38,900 38,900

8 Rialto II 1,588 36,421 38,009

9 CityView Center - 24,478 24,478

10 Parkway at Oak Hill 1 & II 23,644 23,644

11 The Terrace 6 22,771 - 22,771

12 Barton Skyway II 21,435 - 21,435

Availabilities of 20,000 sf ±

SOUTHWEST LARGE OFFICE AVAILABILITY

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Page 32: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

SOUTHWEST AVAILABILITY SKYLINE

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Page 33: Austin Market Overview | 4Q 2015

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Questions? Contact Clayton Schleimer at

[email protected]

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