Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Onshore Wind

Onshore wind Bronwyn Sutton

Senior Renewable Energy

Consultant 2 July 2012

SgurrEnergy today

• Leading engineering consultancy

• Formed in 2002

• Joined Wood Group in 2010

• Global network of offices

• 100+ experienced personnel

• People and technology focused

• Company wide triple BSI accreditation & UKAS

ISO/IEC accreditation for wind farm power curve

analysis

SgurrEnergy personnel hold unparalleled knowledge to ensure successful

renewable energy project delivery

Bio-energy Hydro Wave & Tidal Solar Offshore Wind Wind

Products

What do we do?

Our network of local offices

Global track record

Europe • Belgium

• Bulgaria

• Estonia

• France

• Germany

• Greece

• Ireland

• Italy

• Malta

• Netherlands

• Norway

• Poland

• Portugal

• Russia

• Romania

• Slovakia

• Spain

• Sweden

• UK

• Ukraine

Africa • Angola

• Kenya

• South Africa

Oceania

• Australia

• New Zealand

We have consulted on over 65,000 MW of renewable energy in over 40

countries covering both project development and due diligence

Asia

• China

• India

• Israel

• Korea

• Mongolia

• Pakistan

• Philippines

• Sri Lanka

• Turkey

• United Arab Emirates

• Vietnam

North America • Canada

• Mexico

• USA

South America

• Brazil

• Chile

• Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)

2010

How bad was it really?

2010

• Variation in wind speed across

the UK in 2010

• Showing % deviation from the

long term (20 year) average

• West worse affected than the

East.

• 1% deviation in wind ≈ 2%

deviation in power.

2010

Interannual Variation

• Variation expected

year to year

• Short term

measurements need

to be corrected to

long term forecasts

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

125%

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

An

nu

al

Win

d S

pe

ed

No

rma

lise

d t

o 1

5 y

ea

r L

on

g-t

erm

Win

d S

pe

ed

UK 15 year average Scotland England Wales

Interannual variation

• Reference data sources – representative and

consistent

• Correction methods

• Minimising uncertainty

SgurrEnergy Performance

• Recent (2011) comparison of 37 organisations – all

doing the same energy yield prediction on the same

data

• SgurrEnergy is number 27 here

P90 values

New Entrants

New Entrants

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

WT

G p

rod

uct

ra

ng

e (

MW

)

WTG Manufacturer

Bankability - organisation

• Track record

• Reputation

• Who will go the distance?

Bankability – wind turbines

• Track record

• Certification

• Product evolution

• Quality assurance

• Contractual backup

Photograph courtesy of www.siemens.com

Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium



• 11 x 7.5MW

• 126m rotor

• 135m hub

• 198m tip

• 2009


• 11 x 7.5MW

• 126m rotor

• 135m hub

• 198m tip

• 2009


Just 2 hours drive from Calais!

Any questions?

Email: [email protected]

Tel: 0141 227 1700

225 Bath Street, Glasgow,G2 4GZ

sgurrenergy.com

Development Process Risk and Pitfalls – how to avoid them

Richard Mardon

Who Are We?

• Founded in 2010

• Backed by ESB Novusmodus, PE fund of

ESB (Ireland)

• Development partnership with Savills

• Four consents already ~ 16 MW (8 WTGs)

• Personally, 25yrs experience in power/

infrastructure, 12yrs in wind. Past MD of

Your Energy ~ 200MW consented/built

State of Play of UK Onshore Wind

• 4,900 MW operational (325 projects)

• 1,500 MW in construction (52)

• 4,300 MW consented / not built (262)

• 7,400 MW in planning (328)

• 2020 targets ~ 10-13GW (DECC Roadmap)

ØOps + Constr. = 6.4 GW

ØOps + Constr. + 50% Cons. = 8.6 GW

ØOps + Constr. + 50% Cons. + 25% Plan. = 10.4 GW

UK onshore wind farm development

Some Common Mantras…

• There are some things you can control and a lot

of things you cannot

• There is no such thing as a perfect project

• Time / speed is of the essence

• Without local support (Parish / Ward Cllr.) you

have an uphill struggle

• Wind speed is critical! (7m/s+)

A to Z of wind farm development

Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences

Bats Keen Landowner Safety

Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms

Designations MOD Underground

Ecology Noise Viability

Fauna Ornithology Wind

Grid Politics X-Roads

Hydrology Quangos Yuppies

Infrasound Zoology!

Major No-Go Areas – Parks / Airports

6










Infrasound Zoology!

Geographical Information Systems

GIS Mapping

• Wind Speed

• Land Designations

• Proximity Buffers










Infrasound Zoology

Nearly there – willing landowner?

10










Infrasound Zoology

Detailed Micro-siting / Design

12

13

Preliminary Layout










Infrasound Zoology

15

Then 12 months of studies….

Before you face the chamber…

16

….25% success rate

You tick all the boxes – what next?

17

• With a recommendation for approval

then planning appeal >75% success

• Local consultation vital – Parish / Ward

• Projects < 5MW ~ 80% success rate

• Local “benefits” – jobs, community

benefit (£5k/MW) and direct power sales

• Brownfield / developed land sites

Thanks – any questions?

[email protected]

Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment: Onshore Wind

Technology

mw of renewable energy

uk onshore wind

mw operational

mw consentedbuilt

yearannual wind speed

enercon e126

wind speed acrossthe

year longterm wind speed