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AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Jun 18, 2020

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Page 1: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

AT&T ANALYST MEETING

Page 2: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Mike ViolaSenior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc.

Page 3: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements

Information set forth in this presentation contains financial estimates and other forward-looking statements that

are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results might differ materially. A discussion of factors that may

affect future results is contained in AT&T’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. AT&T disclaims any

obligation to update and revise statements contained in this presentation based on new information or otherwise.

This presentation may contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between the non-GAAP

financial measures and the GAAP financial measures are available on the company’s website at

https://investors.att.com.

The “quiet period” for FCC Spectrum Auctions 101/102 (28Ghz and 24Ghz) is now in effect. During the quiet period,

auction applicants are required to avoid discussions of bids, bidding strategy and post-auction market structure with

other auction applicants.

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Randall StephensonChairman and CEO, AT&T Inc.

Page 5: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

AT&T Composition3rd Quarter

Note: WarnerMedia revenue shown net of eliminations

39%48%

16%17%

15%

17%25%

15%

ADJ. EBITDAREVENUE

Mobility

Entertainment Group

Business Wireline

Latin America / Other

WarnerMedia

5%

100% 100%

3%

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Page 7: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

John DonovanCEO, AT&T Communications, LLC

Page 8: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

~50%

Growing revenues and EBITDA

+2.3% service revenue growth YoY1

High quality phone subscriber base

+2.7mn smartphones added since 3Q17

Nation’s Best Network

Mobility

Of AT&T’s Adj. EBITDA1

1 On a comparable basis; 3Q 18

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Leading the Path to 5G

Laying 5G groundwork

Exploring service opportunities

Working with Developers

Page 10: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Steady EBITDA over last 3 years

3Q16 3Q17 3Q18

Comparable Business Wireline EBITDA

$2.8 $2.7$2.7$2.7 $2.6$2.8

Business

3,600 Agencies

250,000+ Subscribers

~1/3 FirstNet square miles covered

Reimbursements to come

$2.7 $2.6$2.6

Billions ($B)

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Broadband growing

Video product evolution

Path to EBITDA stability

Entertainment Group

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2019 EBITDA~25mn Video Subscribers

~$10B ~$10B~($1B) ~$1B ~$0.2B~$0.4B ~$0.4B

2018 EBITDA~25mn Video Subscribers

Voice and Accounting Pressure

~($1B)

Video Subscriber Losses

Linear Improvement

OTTProfitability

Broadband Growth

Cost Initiatives

2-year price lock roll-off

Xandradvertising

ARPU growth

Fiber subscriber growth

Increased efficiency and automation

ARPU growth

Repackaging

Adjusted promotions

Entertainment GroupPath to stabilizing EBITDA

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John StankeyCEO, WarnerMedia

Page 14: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

WarnerMedia Highlights

$2.4 $2.0 $2.0 $1.8 $2.6

$7.7 $8.7 $8.1 $7.9$8.2

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18

Revenues Operating Income

TurnerCNN continues as the #1 digital news destination

3 of the top 5 ad-supported cable nets in primetime YTD3

Home Box Office23 Primetime Emmy Awards in 2018

Over 140 million global subscribers2

Warner Bros.Strong 4Q theatrical slate

Producing >70 series for the 2018-2019 TV season

Revenues & Operating Income1

$ in billions

1Reflects historic Time Warner adjusted results and RSNs. Otter Media is included in WarnerMedia results following AT&T's 8/7/18 acquisition of the controlling interest.Note: All stats through Q3; (2) As of year end 2017. Includes Cinemax and unconsolidated joint ventures; (3) Among adults 18-49

Page 15: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Watching MonetizationModels

Longform & Shortform

Premium / Native Digital

Dynamic & Mobile

RAPIDLY SHIFTING TOWARDS DIGITAL CONSUMPTION AND SPENDING…

… AND DIRECT CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP IS CRITICAL

The Entertainment Industry is Evolving

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Well Positioned to Capitalize

Iconic brands and franchises

Award winningcontent

Creativeexcellence

Top talent relationships

Strong global presence

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Complements existing businesses

Good for distribution partners

Enables expanded reach and growing subscriber bases

Captures data and analytics to inform new products and enable better monetization

Direct to Consumer

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Our New Direct to Consumer Offer

WARNERMEDIA AND LICENSED CONTENT FROM OTHERS

TARGET LAUNCH: 4Q 2019

Entry-level Service

Premium Service

Additional

• Classics• Kids & Family• Theatrical

BUNDLESERVICE

PREMIUMSERVICE

Premium & Popular Original Programming

Blockbuster Movies

ENTRYSERVICE

Movie-Focused

• Comedy• Niche/Genre

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aVOD Wholesale Distribution

sVOD

Positioned for the Future

Engagement

Penetration

ARPU

AT&T Reach

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Page 21: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Lori LeeCEO, AT&T Latin America and Global Marketing Officer

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• Descriptive content for stat is Aleck Sans 40pt.

At a Glance31M SUBSCRIBERS

12 COUNTRIES

$8.3B 2017REVENUE

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Environment for Growth

Network Investment Completed

Mexico2015 2016 2017 3Q-2018

MOBILE SUBS 9M 12M 15M 17M

PEOPLE COVERED 44M 78M 94M ~100M

The Most Reliable Network in Mexico1

1 Claim based on a 3rd party analysis during drive-testing developed by Nielsen. The test reported that AT&T’s network leads in overall composite “reliability” indicator ( Note - reliability factors in 2G, 3G and 4G LTE networks).

Page 24: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Sustained track record of growth and cash generation

Opportunity with OTT

Vrio

2016 2017 3Q 2018

.1Simple Free Cash Flow = Adjusted EBITDA less Capital Expenditures2Revenue growth figures are on a constant currency basis, excluding Venezuela.

10.8% 8.5%8.5% Revenue growth2

Simple free cash flow1

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Brian LesserCEO, Xandr

Page 26: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Buying in mass buying audiences

DIGITAL ADVERTISING IS BORN EXPLOSION OF AD TECH AND PLATFORMSBUYING CONTEXTUALLY

AD AD

SUBSCRIBERDATA

PURCHASEDATA

SITE VISITDATA

3RD PARTY DATA

BROWSINGDATA

TVVIEWERSHIP

DATA

LOCATIONDATA

COMEDY CENTRAL

ESPN

NFL NETWORK

FOX SPORTS

AMAZON PRIME VIDEO

FACEBOOK

NETFLIX YOUTUBE

A&E

GOOGLE

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Ad tech has brought us to a criticalmoment in time

MAJOR PLAYERS NOT WELL POSITIONED IN

PREMIUM TV AND VIDEO

ADVERTISERS AND AGENCIES

ARE FRUSTRATED

NO SINGLE PLAYER HAS ASSEMBLED

THE ASSETS

Page 28: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Compelling Set of Assets

DISTRIBUTION

DATA CONTENT

TECHNOLOGY

Page 29: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Our Media Sales Business and Platform Businesses Complement Each Other to Magnify the Opportunity

INVENTORY

AGENCIES & ADVERTISERS

AUDIENCES/ VIEWERS

Direct Sales

Programmatic Sales

3rd party

TV Platform

Digital Platform

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Measuring Success

OUTPACE THE MARKET

SCALE WITH 3RD PARTIES

INTERNAL USE OF PLATFORM

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John Stephens CFO, AT&T Inc.

Page 32: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

The Integrated Growth Story

AT&T LATIN AMERICA

AT&T COMMUNICATIONS

Mobility: top and bottom line growth

Stable EBITDA in Entertainment Group in 2019

Continued solid performance with managed growth

Direct-to-consumer plan to launch in 4Q 19

Nearly $7B annualized revenues and growing

Management team, ad inventory and platform in place

AT&T Mexico improving profitability

Sustained cash generation at Vrio

Page 33: AT&T ANALYST MEETING - Investor Relations/media/Files/A/ATT-IR... · AT&T ANALYST MEETING. Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning

Merger Synergies

END OF YEAR RUN RATE

RUN RATE TARGET

2019 2020 2021

COST SYNERGIES

$1.5B• Marketing

• Corporate overhead

• Procurement

REVENUE SYNERGIES

$1.0B• Advertising

• Churn reduction

• Cross selling

TOTALSYNERGIES

$2.5B ~ $0.7B ~ $2.0B ~ $2.5B

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Leverage Update 20192019 PLAN

YE 2018 2019 YE 2019

~$170B

~$150B~2.8x1

~2.5x1

LIQUIDITY AND REFINANCING

~$6-$8B Other cash generation initiatives

~$158B

~2.6x1

1 Net debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio; illustrative of $60B Adj. EBITDA

Pension plan essentially fully funded

~$12B Free cash flow after dividends

Hedged against rising interest rates

Successfully managed near term maturities and refi risk

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2019

Consolidated Guidance

2019

FREE CASH FLOW $26B range

DIVIDEND PAYOUT High 50s %

NET DEBT TO ADJ. EBITDA 2.5x range

GROSS CAPITAL INVESTMENT1

$23B range

ADJ. EPS GROWTH %2

Low single digits

1 Excludes expected FirstNet reimbursement in the $1 billion range; includes potential vendor financing.2 Adjustments include merger-related adjusted amortization costs in the range of $7.5 billion, a non-cash mark-to-market benefit plan gain/loss, merger integration and other adjustments. We expect the mark-to-market adjustment which is driven by interest rates and investment returns that are not reasonably estimable at this time, to be a significant item. Accordingly, we cannot provide a reconciliation between forecasted adjusted diluted EPS and reported diluted EPS without unreasonable effort.

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AT&T ANALYST MEETING